Alert archive / Wisconsin / River Flood Warnings in 2018

River Flood Warning 105, NWS Milwaukee, WI

October 2, 2018Rock County, Wisconsin

NWS Milwaukee, WI issued this river flood warning at Oct 2, 2018, 2:48 AM CDT for Rock County, Wisconsin. It was in force for 24 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 2, 2018, 2:48 AM CDT (07:48 UTC)
Expired
Oct 3, 2018, 2:48 AM CDT
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Milwaukee, WI
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Rock County, WI

The radar

The Milwaukee radar (KMKX), 53 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Yahara River at Fulton (FULW3). The gauge peaked at 10.13 ft at Oct 2, 2018, 3:00 AM CDT.

actionminormoderatemajor68101210/0210/0310/04
Action stage
8.5 ft
Minor stage
10 ft
Moderate stage
11 ft
Major stage
12 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05430175, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

288 
WGUS43 KMKX 020748
FLWMKX


Flood Warning
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
248 AM CDT Tue Oct 2 2018

...The National Weather Service in Milwaukee/Sullivan has issued a 
flood warning for the following rivers in Wisconsin...

  Yahara River Near Fulton affecting Rock County


&& 
WIC105-021947-
/O.NEW.KMKX.FL.W.0105.181002T0748Z-000000T0000Z/
/FULW3.1.ER.181002T0530Z.181002T0600Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
248 AM CDT Tue Oct 2 2018

The National Weather Service in Milwaukee/sullivan has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Yahara River Near Fulton.
* At  1:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 10.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecasts are not issued for this location but the river will 
  continue to rise this morning. The warning will 
  remain in effect until the river falls below flood stage.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...There is extensive flooding of agricultural
  land. A small park is flooded in Fulton.

&&

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation, soil moisture conditions, and predicted
precipitation for the basin. Precipitation is for the next 24 hours 
in the future from April through September and for 48 hours in the 
future from October through March.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Wed  Thu  Fri  Sat
Fulton          10.0   8.5  10.07 01 AM 10/02   Not a forecast pt

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
Fulton          10.07  01 AM 10/02    3.33      ..Not available..

Below is predicted precipitation information in 6 hour increments
for the listed sites. This information is updated twice daily-morning
and evening. Precipitation prediction is for 48 hours into the future
from October through March and for 24 hours into the future from
April through September.

Fulton: 6 pm-midn  Tue Oct 02  0.66
Fulton: midn-6 am  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Fulton: 6 am-noon  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Fulton: noon-6 pm  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Fulton: 6 pm-midn  Wed Oct 03  0.02
Fulton: midn-6 am  Thu Oct 04  0.07
Fulton: 6 am-noon  Thu Oct 04  0.00
Fulton: noon-6 pm  Thu Oct 04  0.02
&&

LAT...LON 4284 8919 4284 8916 4282 8916 4282 8914
      4280 8916 4282 8919             

$$
2 follow-up statements
800 
WGUS83 KMKX 021043
FLSMKX


Flood Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
543 AM CDT Tue Oct 2 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Wisconsin...
 
  East Branch Pecatonica River Near Blanchardville affecting Lafayette
  County 
  Fox River At Burlington affecting Racine County 
  Pecatonica River At Darlington affecting Lafayette County 
  Sugar River At Brodhead affecting Green and Rock Counties 
 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Wisconsin...Illinois...
  Rock River Near Lake Koshkonong affecting Jefferson and Rock 
  Counties 
  Rock River At Afton affecting Rock County 
  Fox River At Princeton affecting Green Lake County 
  Fox River Near Berlin affecting Green Lake County 
  Fox River Near New Munster affecting Lake and Kenosha Counties 
  Pecatonica River At Martintown affecting Green County 
  Root River At Franklin affecting Milwaukee County 
  Root River Canal At Raymond affecting Racine County 
  Yahara River Near Fulton affecting Rock County 
 

&& 
WIC055-105-022243-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0106.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NVLW3.1.ER.181002T0315Z.181006T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
543 AM CDT Tue Oct 2 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Rock River Near Lake Koshkonong.
* At  4:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 10.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 10.9 feet by 
  Saturday early afternoon. Additional rises may be possible 
  thereafter.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...In the Town of Lake Koshkonong, floodwaters
  affect Ralph Road, Vets Lane, Blackhawk Island Road, Fox Hill Road,
  and Oxbow Bend Road.

&&

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation, soil moisture conditions, and predicted
precipitation for the basin. Precipitation is for the next 24 hours 
in the future from April through September and for 48 hours in the 
future from October through March.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Wed  Thu  Fri  Sat
Lake Koshkonong 10.0   9.0  10.05 04 AM 10/02  10.0 10.3 10.7 10.8

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
Lake Koshkonong 10.37  04 PM 09/25    0.26      10.90 01 PM 10/06

Below is predicted precipitation information in 6 hour increments
for the listed sites. This information is updated twice daily-morning
and evening. Precipitation prediction is for 48 hours into the future
from October through March and for 24 hours into the future from
April through September.

Lk Koshkonong: 6 pm-midn  Tue Oct 02  0.69
Lk Koshkonong: midn-6 am  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: 6 am-noon  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: noon-6 pm  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: 6 pm-midn  Wed Oct 03  0.01
Lk Koshkonong: midn-6 am  Thu Oct 04  0.07
Lk Koshkonong: 6 am-noon  Thu Oct 04  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: noon-6 pm  Thu Oct 04  0.02
&&

LAT...LON 4293 8897 4283 8883 4282 8891 4278 8899
      4288 8911 4291 8904             

$$

WIC105-022243-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/AFTW3.2.ER.180901T1700Z.180912T0830Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
543 AM CDT Tue Oct 2 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Rock River At Afton.
* At  4:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 10.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 11.0 feet by this
  afternoon then begin falling.
* Impact...At 11.1 feet...Floodwaters affect Riverside Park and South
  River Road in Janesville and there is widespread lowland and 
  agricultural land flooding in the Afton and Janesville areas. This 
  level is the 10 percent flood meaning that there is a 10 percent 
  chance of the river reaching this level in any given year.

&&

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation, soil moisture conditions, and predicted
precipitation for the basin. Precipitation is for the next 24 hours 
in the future from April through September and for 48 hours in the 
future from October through March.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Wed  Thu  Fri  Sat
Afton            9.0   8.0  10.66 04 AM 10/02  11.0 10.7 10.8 10.9

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
Afton           10.66  04 AM 10/02    1.15      11.00 01 PM 10/02

Below is predicted precipitation information in 6 hour increments
for the listed sites. This information is updated twice daily-morning
and evening. Precipitation prediction is for 48 hours into the future
from October through March and for 24 hours into the future from
April through September.

Afton: 6 pm-midn  Tue Oct 02  0.83
Afton: midn-6 am  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Afton: 6 am-noon  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Afton: noon-6 pm  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Afton: 6 pm-midn  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Afton: midn-6 am  Thu Oct 04  0.05
Afton: 6 am-noon  Thu Oct 04  0.00
Afton: noon-6 pm  Thu Oct 04  0.01
&&

LAT...LON 4274 8910 4274 8903 4261 8900 4257 8898
      4257 8909 4261 8910             

$$

WIC047-022243-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0101.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PCNW3.1.ER.181001T2252Z.181005T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
543 AM CDT Tue Oct 2 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Fox River At Princeton.
* At  4:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 9.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 10.0 feet by 
  Thursday evening then begin falling.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Floodwaters are in the back yards of some 
  homes along South Farmer, Jefferson, North Mechanic and West Water 
  Streets in Princeton. There is widespread flooding of lowland and 
  wooded land. 

&&

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation, soil moisture conditions, and predicted
precipitation for the basin. Precipitation is for the next 24 hours 
in the future from April through September and for 48 hours in the 
future from October through March.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Wed  Thu  Fri  Sat
Princeton        9.5   7.5   9.55 04 AM 10/02   9.5  9.7 10.0 10.0

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
Princeton        9.99  08 PM 09/25    0.10      10.00 07 PM 10/04

Below is predicted precipitation information in 6 hour increments
for the listed sites. This information is updated twice daily-morning
and evening. Precipitation prediction is for 48 hours into the future
from October through March and for 24 hours into the future from
April through September.

Princeton: 6 pm-midn  Tue Oct 02  0.09
Princeton: midn-6 am  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Princeton: 6 am-noon  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Princeton: noon-6 pm  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Princeton: 6 pm-midn  Wed Oct 03  0.02
Princeton: midn-6 am  Thu Oct 04  0.31
Princeton: 6 am-noon  Thu Oct 04  0.00
Princeton: noon-6 pm  Thu Oct 04  0.09
&&

LAT...LON 4395 8913 4389 8894 4379 8907 4376 8922
      4387 8931 4391 8919             

$$

WIC047-022243-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BERW3.2.ER.180901T2345Z.180912T2215Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
543 AM CDT Tue Oct 2 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Fox River Near Berlin.
* At  4:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 13.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 13.8 feet by 
  Saturday early afternoon then begin falling.
* Impact...At 13.8 feet...Floodwaters are over the banks in the 
  Berlin area and affect the road in Riverside Park in Berlin. 
  Floodwaters are into Webster Street Park in Berlin. 

&&

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation, soil moisture conditions, and predicted
precipitation for the basin. Precipitation is for the next 24 hours 
in the future from April through September and for 48 hours in the 
future from October through March.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Wed  Thu  Fri  Sat
Berlin          13.0  12.0  13.51 04 AM 10/02  13.5 13.5 13.6 13.7

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
Berlin          14.17  06 AM 09/25    0.02      13.80 01 PM 10/06

Below is predicted precipitation information in 6 hour increments
for the listed sites. This information is updated twice daily-morning
and evening. Precipitation prediction is for 48 hours into the future
from October through March and for 24 hours into the future from
April through September.

Berlin: 6 pm-midn  Tue Oct 02  0.09
Berlin: midn-6 am  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Berlin: 6 am-noon  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Berlin: noon-6 pm  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Berlin: 6 pm-midn  Wed Oct 03  0.02
Berlin: midn-6 am  Thu Oct 04  0.31
Berlin: 6 am-noon  Thu Oct 04  0.00
Berlin: noon-6 pm  Thu Oct 04  0.09
&&

LAT...LON 4398 8899 4398 8888 4391 8888 4389 8901
      4395 8911 4396 8908             

$$

WIC065-022243-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0096.000000T0000Z-181004T0705Z/
/BCHW3.2.ER.181001T1848Z.181002T1800Z.181003T1905Z.NO/
543 AM CDT Tue Oct 2 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The East Branch Pecatonica River Near Blanchardville.
* At  4:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 12.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 14.1 feet by this
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow early 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...McKellar Park in Blanchardville is 
  completely flooded including the swimming pool and tennis courts. 
  Highway H in Blanchardville is flooded and closed.

&&

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation, soil moisture conditions, and predicted
precipitation for the basin. Precipitation is for the next 24 hours 
in the future from April through September and for 48 hours in the 
future from October through March.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Wed  Thu  Fri  Sat
Blanchardville  11.0   9.0  12.81 04 AM 10/02  13.9 10.1  8.9  8.3

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
Blanchardville  12.81  04 AM 10/02    4.54      14.10 01 PM 10/02

Below is predicted precipitation information in 6 hour increments
for the listed sites. This information is updated twice daily-morning
and evening. Precipitation prediction is for 48 hours into the future
from October through March and for 24 hours into the future from
April through September.

Blanchardville: 6 pm-midn  Tue Oct 02  0.41
Blanchardville: midn-6 am  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Blanchardville: 6 am-noon  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Blanchardville: noon-6 pm  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Blanchardville: 6 pm-midn  Wed Oct 03  0.03
Blanchardville: midn-6 am  Thu Oct 04  0.09
Blanchardville: 6 am-noon  Thu Oct 04  0.00
Blanchardville: noon-6 pm  Thu Oct 04  0.00
&&

LAT...LON 4283 8992 4284 8984 4279 8981 4272 8984
      4272 8991 4279 8991             

$$

WIC101-022243-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0097.181002T2338Z-181006T1200Z/
/BRGW3.1.ER.181002T2338Z.181003T1800Z.181006T0600Z.NO/
543 AM CDT Tue Oct 2 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Fox River At Burlington.
* At  4:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 10.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this evening and continue to 
  rise to near 11.7 feet by tomorrow early afternoon. The river will 
  fall below flood stage by early Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 11.5 feet...Floodwaters are into Riverside Park in 
  Burlington. Floodwaters cover a portion of Brever Road about 4 
  miles south of Burlington.

&&

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation, soil moisture conditions, and predicted
precipitation for the basin. Precipitation is for the next 24 hours 
in the future from April through September and for 48 hours in the 
future from October through March.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Wed  Thu  Fri  Sat
Burlington      11.0   9.0  10.03 05 AM 10/02  11.0 11.6 11.4 11.1

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
Burlington      10.04  04 AM 10/02    1.87      11.70 01 PM 10/03

Below is predicted precipitation information in 6 hour increments
for the listed sites. This information is updated twice daily-morning
and evening. Precipitation prediction is for 48 hours into the future
from October through March and for 24 hours into the future from
April through September.

Burlington: 6 pm-midn  Tue Oct 02  0.81
Burlington: midn-6 am  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Burlington: 6 am-noon  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Burlington: noon-6 pm  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Burlington: 6 pm-midn  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Burlington: midn-6 am  Thu Oct 04  0.05
Burlington: 6 am-noon  Thu Oct 04  0.00
Burlington: noon-6 pm  Thu Oct 04  0.02
&&

LAT...LON 4277 8832 4277 8812 4269 8815 4262 8813
      4262 8832 4267 8838             

$$

ILC097-WIC059-022243-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0098.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NMSW3.2.ER.181002T0830Z.181004T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
543 AM CDT Tue Oct 2 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Fox River Near New Munster.
* At  5:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 11.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 13.8 feet by 
  early Thursday morning then begin falling.
* Impact...At 13.8 feet...Floodwaters are into the lower levels of 
  some homes in the Town of Wheatland and Village of Salem Lakes 
  areas along Riverside Drive and Shorewood Drive.  This level is the
  20 percent chance flood meaning there is a 20 percent chance of the
  river reaching this level in any given year.

&&

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation, soil moisture conditions, and predicted
precipitation for the basin. Precipitation is for the next 24 hours 
in the future from April through September and for 48 hours in the 
future from October through March.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Wed  Thu  Fri  Sat
New Munster     11.0  10.0  11.11 05 AM 10/02  12.6 13.7 13.7 13.1

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
New Munster     11.04  04 AM 10/02    2.88      13.80 01 AM 10/04

Below is predicted precipitation information in 6 hour increments
for the listed sites. This information is updated twice daily-morning
and evening. Precipitation prediction is for 48 hours into the future
from October through March and for 24 hours into the future from
April through September.

New Munster: 6 pm-midn  Tue Oct 02  0.81
New Munster: 1 am-7 am  Wed Oct 03  0.00
New Munster: 6 am-noon  Wed Oct 03  0.00
New Munster: noon-6 pm  Wed Oct 03  0.00
New Munster: 6 pm-midn  Wed Oct 03  0.00
New Munster: midn-6 am  Thu Oct 04  0.04
New Munster: 6 am-noon  Thu Oct 04  0.00
New Munster: noon-6 pm  Thu Oct 04  0.01
&&

LAT...LON 4262 8832 4262 8814 4252 8813 4245 8811
      4245 8827 4255 8825             

$$

WIC065-022243-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0103.181002T1038Z-181003T1400Z/
/DARW3.1.ER.181002T0820Z.181002T1800Z.181003T0200Z.NO/
543 AM CDT Tue Oct 2 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pecatonica River At Darlington.
* At  4:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 13.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 13.9 feet...This level is about a 50 percent chance 
  flood meaning there is a 50 percent chance in any given year of the
  river reaching this level. Floodwaters cover a portion of Main 
  Street in Darlington. A part of the Lafayette County Fairgrounds is
  flooded.

&&

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation, soil moisture conditions, and predicted
precipitation for the basin. Precipitation is for the next 24 hours 
in the future from April through September and for 48 hours in the 
future from October through March.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Wed  Thu  Fri  Sat
Darlington      13.5  10.0  13.60 04 AM 10/02  13.6 11.0  8.2  6.7

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
Darlington      13.60  04 AM 10/02    6.44      13.80 01 PM 10/02

Below is predicted precipitation information in 6 hour increments
for the listed sites. This information is updated twice daily-morning
and evening. Precipitation prediction is for 48 hours into the future
from October through March and for 24 hours into the future from
April through September.

Darlington: 6 pm-midn  Tue Oct 02  0.35
Darlington: midn-6 am  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Darlington: 6 am-noon  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Darlington: noon-6 pm  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Darlington: 6 pm-midn  Wed Oct 03  0.03
Darlington: midn-6 am  Thu Oct 04  0.06
Darlington: 6 am-noon  Thu Oct 04  0.00
Darlington: noon-6 pm  Thu Oct 04  0.01
&&

LAT...LON 4273 9025 4276 9011 4269 9004 4263 8997
      4259 9011 4267 9022             

$$

WIC045-022243-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0107.181002T1700Z-181008T1048Z/
/MTNW3.1.ER.181002T1700Z.181005T0000Z.181008T0448Z.NO/
543 AM CDT Tue Oct 2 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pecatonica River At Martintown.
* At  4:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 12.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue to
  rise to near 17.1 feet by Thursday evening. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by Sunday before midnight.
* Impact...At 17.5 feet...Floodwaters are in the back years of some 
  homes in the Martintown area. Martintown Road and West River Road 
  are flooded. Upstream in Browntown, Highway MM and West Indies Road
  are flooded. About 1 mile downstream in Winslow Illinois, Highway 
  73 is flooded.

&&

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation, soil moisture conditions, and predicted
precipitation for the basin. Precipitation is for the next 24 hours 
in the future from April through September and for 48 hours in the 
future from October through March.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Wed  Thu  Fri  Sat
Martintown      13.5   9.5  12.83 04 AM 10/02  14.3 16.3 17.1 17.0

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
Martintown      14.57  08 PM 09/25    2.13      17.10 07 PM 10/04

Below is predicted precipitation information in 6 hour increments
for the listed sites. This information is updated twice daily-morning
and evening. Precipitation prediction is for 48 hours into the future
from October through March and for 24 hours into the future from
April through September.

Martintown: 6 pm-midn  Tue Oct 02  0.67
Martintown: midn-6 am  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Martintown: 6 am-noon  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Martintown: noon-6 pm  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Martintown: 6 pm-midn  Wed Oct 03  0.02
Martintown: midn-6 am  Thu Oct 04  0.05
Martintown: 6 am-noon  Thu Oct 04  0.00
Martintown: noon-6 pm  Thu Oct 04  0.00
&&

LAT...LON 4272 8992 4272 8984 4263 8980 4251 8970
      4251 8988 4260 8993             

$$

WIC079-022243-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0099.000000T0000Z-181003T2100Z/
/FRKW3.1.ER.181001T2145Z.181002T1200Z.181003T0900Z.NO/
543 AM CDT Tue Oct 2 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Root River At Franklin.
* At  4:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 8.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 8.5 feet by this 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage early tomorrow.
* Impact...At 8.9 feet...A stage of 8.95 feet is the 20 percent 
  chance flood meaning there is a 20 percent chance in any given year
  of the river reaching this level. A portion of Oakwood Road in 
  southern Milwaukee County is flooded and closed. There is flooding 
  to agricultural land.

&&

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation, soil moisture conditions, and predicted
precipitation for the basin. Precipitation is for the next 24 hours 
in the future from April through September and for 48 hours in the 
future from October through March.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Wed  Thu  Fri  Sat
Franklin         8.0   7.0   8.34 04 AM 10/02   8.2  7.5  6.7  5.7

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
Franklin         8.36  03 AM 10/02    2.02       8.50 07 AM 10/02

Below is predicted precipitation information in 6 hour increments
for the listed sites. This information is updated twice daily-morning
and evening. Precipitation prediction is for 48 hours into the future
from October through March and for 24 hours into the future from
April through September.

Franklin: 6 pm-midn  Tue Oct 02  0.75
Franklin: midn-6 am  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Franklin: 6 am-noon  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Franklin: noon-6 pm  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Franklin: 6 pm-midn  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Franklin: midn-6 am  Thu Oct 04  0.06
Franklin: 6 am-noon  Thu Oct 04  0.00
Franklin: noon-6 pm  Thu Oct 04  0.01
&&

LAT...LON 4291 8808 4291 8798 4289 8793 4287 8790
      4281 8795 4285 8806             

$$

WIC101-022243-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0095.000000T0000Z-181003T2100Z/
/RAYW3.1.ER.181001T1507Z.181002T1200Z.181003T0900Z.NO/
543 AM CDT Tue Oct 2 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Root River Canal At Raymond.
* At  4:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 10.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 10.3 feet by this
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage early tomorrow.
* Impact...At 10.1 feet...This level is the 20 percent chance flood 
  meaning there is a 20 percent chance in any given year of the river
  reaching this level. Floodwaters cover a baseball diamond on 6 Mile
  Road. There is extensive flooding to lowland and agricultural land.

&&

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation, soil moisture conditions, and predicted
precipitation for the basin. Precipitation is for the next 24 hours 
in the future from April through September and for 48 hours in the 
future from October through March.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Wed  Thu  Fri  Sat
Raymond          9.0   7.0  10.02 04 AM 10/02   9.7  8.1  6.4  5.1

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
Raymond         10.20  03 AM 10/02    2.03      10.30 07 AM 10/02

Below is predicted precipitation information in 6 hour increments
for the listed sites. This information is updated twice daily-morning
and evening. Precipitation prediction is for 48 hours into the future
from October through March and for 24 hours into the future from
April through September.

Raymond: 6 pm-midn  Tue Oct 02  0.80
Raymond: midn-6 am  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Raymond: 6 am-noon  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Raymond: noon-6 pm  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Raymond: 6 pm-midn  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Raymond: midn-6 am  Thu Oct 04  0.05
Raymond: 6 am-noon  Thu Oct 04  0.00
Raymond: noon-6 pm  Thu Oct 04  0.01
&&

LAT...LON 4286 8803 4286 8798 4282 8796 4280 8796
       4279 8803 4282 8803            

$$

WIC045-105-022243-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0104.000000T0000Z-181006T0900Z/
/BROW3.1.ER.181002T0240Z.181003T0000Z.181006T0300Z.NO/
543 AM CDT Tue Oct 2 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Sugar River At Brodhead.
* At  4:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 6.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 5.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 6.9 feet by this 
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage Friday before 
  midnight.
* Impact...At 7.0 feet...Some roads are flooded about 6 miles 
  downstream in Avon Township of Rock County.

&&

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation, soil moisture conditions, and predicted
precipitation for the basin. Precipitation is for the next 24 hours 
in the future from April through September and for 48 hours in the 
future from October through March.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Wed  Thu  Fri  Sat
Brodhead         5.0   4.5   5.99 04 AM 10/02   6.9  6.6  6.0  5.1

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
Brodhead         5.99  04 AM 10/02    2.93       6.90 07 PM 10/02

Below is predicted precipitation information in 6 hour increments
for the listed sites. This information is updated twice daily-morning
and evening. Precipitation prediction is for 48 hours into the future
from October through March and for 24 hours into the future from
April through September.

Brodhead: 6 pm-midn  Tue Oct 02  0.83
Brodhead: midn-6 am  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Brodhead: 6 am-noon  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Brodhead: noon-6 pm  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Brodhead: 6 pm-midn  Wed Oct 03  0.01
Brodhead: midn-6 am  Thu Oct 04  0.05
Brodhead: 6 am-noon  Thu Oct 04  0.00
Brodhead: noon-6 pm  Thu Oct 04  0.00
&&

LAT...LON 4267 8950 4267 8933 4259 8930 4249 8922
      4249 8942 4261 8951             

$$

WIC105-022243-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0105.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FULW3.1.ER.181002T0530Z.181002T0815Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
543 AM CDT Tue Oct 2 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yahara River Near Fulton.
* At  4:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 10.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring. 
* The river is currently falling and will fall below flood stage
  by late this morning. 
* Impact...At 10.2 feet...A stage of 10.19 feet is the 10 percent 
  chance flood meaning that there is a 10 percent chance in any given
  year of the river reaching this level. There is widespread lowland 
  and agricultural land flooding. A small park in Fulton is flooded.

&&

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation, soil moisture conditions, and predicted
precipitation for the basin. Precipitation is for the next 24 hours 
in the future from April through September and for 48 hours in the 
future from October through March.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Wed  Thu  Fri  Sat
Fulton          10.0   8.5  10.15 04 AM 10/02   Not a forecast pt

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
Fulton          10.18  03 AM 10/02    2.74      ..Not available..

Below is predicted precipitation information in 6 hour increments
for the listed sites. This information is updated twice daily-morning
and evening. Precipitation prediction is for 48 hours into the future
from October through March and for 24 hours into the future from
April through September.

Fulton: 6 pm-midn  Tue Oct 02  0.66
Fulton: midn-6 am  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Fulton: 6 am-noon  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Fulton: noon-6 pm  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Fulton: 6 pm-midn  Wed Oct 03  0.02
Fulton: midn-6 am  Thu Oct 04  0.07
Fulton: 6 am-noon  Thu Oct 04  0.00
Fulton: noon-6 pm  Thu Oct 04  0.02
&&

LAT...LON 4284 8919 4284 8916 4282 8916 4282 8914
      4280 8916 4282 8919             

$$
129 
WGUS83 KMKX 021546
FLSMKX


Flood Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
1046 AM CDT Tue Oct 2 2018

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Wisconsin...
 
  Fox River At Waukesha affecting Waukesha County
  Yahara River Near Fulton affecting Rock County
 

&& 
WIC133-021616-
/O.CAN.KMKX.FL.W.0102.000000T0000Z-181005T0000Z/
/WKEW3.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1046 AM CDT Tue Oct 2 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Fox River At Waukesha.
* At  9:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 5.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to crest below flood stage at 5.8
  feet tonight.

&& 

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging 
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past 
precipitation, soil moisture conditions, and predicted
precipitation for the basin. Precipitation is for the next 24 hours 
in the future from April through September and for 48 hours in the 
future from October through March.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Tue  Wed  Thu  Fri
Waukesha         6.0   5.0   5.40 09 AM 10/02   5.7  5.7  5.7  5.5

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
Waukesha         5.58  09 PM 10/01    0.93       5.80 01 AM 10/03

Below is the latest predicted precipitation information in 6 hour
increments for the listed sites. This information is updated twice
daily - in the morning and evening. Precipitation prediction is for
48 hours into the future from October through March and for 24
hours into the future from April through September.

Waukesha: 6 am-noon  Tue Oct 02  0.00
Waukesha: noon-6 pm  Tue Oct 02  0.00
Waukesha: 6 pm-midn  Tue Oct 02  0.00
Waukesha: midn-6 am  Wed Oct 03  0.07
Waukesha: 6 am-noon  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Waukesha: noon-6 pm  Wed Oct 03  0.02
Waukesha: 6 pm-midn  Wed Oct 03  0.23
Waukesha: midn-6 am  Thu Oct 04  0.02
&&

LAT...LON 4304 8824 4304 8817 4300 8821 4297 8823
      4300 8832 4302 8826             

$$

WIC105-021616-
/O.CAN.KMKX.FL.W.0105.000000T0000Z-181002T1546Z/
/FULW3.1.ER.181002T0530Z.181002T0815Z.181002T1137Z.UU/
1046 AM CDT Tue Oct 2 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Yahara River Near Fulton.
* At  9:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 9.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecasts are not issued for this location.

&& 

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation, soil moisture conditions, and predicted
precipitation for the basin. Precipitation is for the next 24 hours 
in the future from April through September and for 48 hours in the 
future from October through March.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Tue  Wed  Thu  Fri
Fulton          10.0   8.5   9.82 09 AM 10/02   not a forecast point

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
Fulton          10.18  03 AM 10/02    1.49      ..Not available..

Below is the latest predicted precipitation information in 6 hour
increments for the listed sites. This information is updated twice
daily - in the morning and evening. Precipitation prediction is for
48 hours into the future from October through March and for 24
hours into the future from April through September.

Fulton: 6 am-noon  Tue Oct 02  0.00
Fulton: noon-6 pm  Tue Oct 02  0.00
Fulton: 6 pm-midn  Tue Oct 02  0.02
Fulton: midn-6 am  Wed Oct 03  0.07
Fulton: 6 am-noon  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Fulton: noon-6 pm  Wed Oct 03  0.02
Fulton: 6 pm-midn  Wed Oct 03  0.20
Fulton: midn-6 am  Thu Oct 04  0.00
&&

LAT...LON 4284 8919 4284 8916 4282 8916 4282 8914
      4280 8916 4282 8919             

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Milwaukee, WI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Oct 1, 11:55 PM CDT, 2 hours 53 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 1, 11:55 PM CDT, 2 hours 53 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
1155 PM CDT Mon Oct 1 2018

.UPDATE...

Rain has all but ended in the far southeast forecast area, with
mainly dry weather expected for the rest of the night. Cloudy
skies will keep temps a few degrees above seasonal normals
tonight.

&&

.AVIATION(06Z TAFS)...

After rain winds down in the southeast over the next hour or so,
mainly dry weather is expected for the rest of the night. High
pressure will keep it dry on Tuesday.

Widespread low ceilings will persist into Tuesday morning. There
should be some improvement in ceilings by Tuesday afternoon,
though possibly no better than MVFR.

Models are suggesting fog could develop tonight given the recent
rain and light winds. Not sure about this though due to cloudy
skies expected through the night. Will have to watch trends
behind the departing rainfall. Currently think visibilities will
probably be no worse than 2-4 miles.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... (Issued 933 PM CDT Mon Oct 1 2018)

UPDATE...

Rain has come to an end for areas northwest of a line from Monroe
to Port Washington. Rain and isolated thunder will wind down in
the southeast by midnight. Other than a stray shower or two, dry
weather will then be expected across southern Wisconsin overnight.

MARINE...

Decided to extend the Small Craft Advisory from North Point Light
northward until 4 am later tonight due to lingering waves of 4 to
6 feet. Should see waves subside to 2 to 4 feet by daybreak.

Lighter winds and lower waves are expected across Lake Michigan on
Tuesday as high pressure briefly moves through.

Southerly winds will pick up late Tuesday night into Wednesday
ahead of approaching strong low pressure. A Small Craft Advisory
will likely be needed for the nearshore waters Wednesday into
Wednesday night, with winds possibly reaching gale force across
the northern half of Lake Michigan.

PREV DISCUSSION... (Issued 719 PM CDT Mon Oct 1 2018)

UPDATE...

A broad line of moderate to locally heavy rainfall with embedded
thunder continues to trek through the area this evening. Flooding
concerns are not too high, as the heaviest rainfall this evening
is falling south of where the heavy rain fell last night.
The better instability remains south of the WI/IL border, so not
particularly concerned about a severe threat as this wave pushes
through. Will continue to keep an eye on the stronger radar
returns though toward the IL border in case anything tries to get
feisty.

AVIATION(00Z TAFS)...

Rain with embedded thunder will continue to push through this
evening, largely exiting to the east by midnight or shortly
thereafter.

There's a mix of ceilings out there this evening, but think that
widespread low ceilings will settle in behind the
rainfall...persisting into Tuesday morning. There should be some
improvement in ceilings by Tuesday afternoon, though possibly no
better than MVFR.

Models are suggesting fog could develop tonight given the recent
rain and light winds. Not sure about this though due to cloudy
skies expected through the night. Will have to watch trends
behind the departing rainfall.

PREV DISCUSSION... (Issued 348 PM CDT Mon Oct 1 2018)

SHORT TERM...

Rest Of This Afternoon and Tonight...Forecast Confidence Is
Medium.

A slow northward transport of better MLCAPE through cntrl/nrn IL
with passage of northward moving warm front. Still looks like our
CAPE in srn WI will be of the elevated variety, but still a close
enough call in the far south that it bears watching. MESO progs
show a cluster of shra/tsra moving across the area into the mid
evening hours. 850 mb frontogenesis is shifting a bit northward
through CWA. Plenty of 0-6km shear with limited instability.

Primary threat at this point looks to be some hail and some
additional heavy rains. With this precip on the move not expecting
anything more than isolated impacts from the rainfall. So will
hold off on any Flood Watch at this juncture.

Tuesday...Forecast Confidence Is Medium.

Low pressure passing to the east with a surface high settling
across. LLVL RH progs show some clearing potential in the
afternoon, more so on the GFS/ECMWF versus the NAM. Overall
expecting a quiet day within this overall active pattern.

Tuesday Night Through Thursday...Forecast Confidence Is Medium.

Models are in pretty good agreement with the next system affecting
the area Tuesday night into Wednesday night. Period of focused
warm air advection Tuesday night into Wednesday may bring some
showers and a few storms to the area. However, most of the
activity should focus northwest of the area, as the low level jet
points into that area.

Despite possible clouds on Wednesday, gusty south to southwest
winds should bring warm highs into the upper 70s and lower 80s. If
more sun can develop, temperatures may go higher. Strong cold
front pushes southeast through the area Wednesday evening, exiting
later Wednesday night. Thunderstorms are likely with the front.
The focus for severe storms looks to remain northwest of the area,
though we could still see some stronger storms moving into the
western parts of the area. Marginal risk for severe on SPC Day 3
Outlook seems reasonable, as shear will be quite strong.
Instability will be questionable with possible cloud cover. Not
expecting a lot or rain with this next system.

Things should dry out for Thursday, with cold air advection
moving in. Temperatures will return to more seasonable values.

LONG TERM...

Thursday Night Through Monday...Forecast Confidence Is Medium.

Active patter looks to continue with another system affecting the
region for Thursday night into Friday night, and possible
lingering into Saturday. There are model differences with trends
during this period, with the GFS the taking low pressure northeast
through Wisconsin Friday night and exiting Saturday. The ECMWF and
Canadian keep a slower timing of the low crossing northeast
through the area Saturday. Either way, it looks wet with generally
small chances for thunderstorms. Rainfall amounts are difficult to
pin down at this point, with the model uncertainty. Keep up with
the forecast!

Another warm front may move northward into the area later in the
weekend and early next week. Lots of uncertainty with trends this
far out, but it looks wet and active.

AVIATION(18Z TAFS)...

IFR ceilings in place with low level boundary remaining south of
the area. Expecting some lower vsbys in precip areas. SHRA/TSRA
threat will be greatest through about 04z or so. Ceilings expected
to be at IFR levels into this evening. Some improvement expected
on Tuesday, as low passes by and surface ridging takes hold.

MARINE...

Small Craft Advisory looks good with onshore winds and building
waves. The northern lake continues to look favorable for possible
gale conditions on Wednesday, so a watch will probably be needed
at some point soon for that.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...None.
LM...Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM CDT Tuesday for LMZ643-644.

&&

Update...DDV
Tonight/Tuesday and Aviation/Marine...Collar
Tuesday Night through Monday...Wood
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 1, 9:52 PM CDT, 4 hours 56 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
952 PM CDT Mon Oct 1 2018

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-022100-
Marquette-Green Lake-Fond Du Lac-Sheboygan-Sauk-Columbia-Dodge-
Washington-Ozaukee-Iowa-Dane-Jefferson-Waukesha-Milwaukee-
Lafayette-Green-Rock-Walworth-Racine-Kenosha-
952 PM CDT Mon Oct 1 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of east central
Wisconsin, south central Wisconsin and southeast Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Monday

There are mainly small chances for thunderstorms Tuesday night
into Wednesday, with thunderstorms likely later Wednesday
afternoon into Wednesday evening. There is a small risk for a
severe thunderstorm late Wednesday afternoon and evening, mainly
over south central Wisconsin.

There are mainly small chances for thunderstorms at times Thursday
night into the weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed into this evening, and again
Wednesday late afternoon and evening. Otherwise, your rainfall
reports are appreciated.

LMZ643>646-022100-
Sheboygan to Port Washington WI-
Port Washington to North Point Light WI-
North Point Light to Wind Point WI-
Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL-
952 PM CDT Mon Oct 1 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect until 4 am tonight from
North Point Light northward due to lingering high waves.

Thunderstorms will continue to move across southern portions of Lake
Michigan early tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Monday

There are mainly small chances for thunderstorms Tuesday night
into Wednesday, with thunderstorms likely Wednesday evening.

There are mainly small chances for thunderstorms at times Thursday
night into the weekend.

Winds and waves will likely reach Small Craft Advisory levels
Wednesday into Wednesday night. South to southwest winds will
approach gale force levels Wednesday afternoon.

There are mainly small chances for thunderstorms at times
Thursday night into the weekend.

LMZ080-261-362-364-366-563-565-567-669-671-673-675-777-779-868-
870-872-874-876-878-022100-
Lake Michigan Michigan City IN to St. Joseph MI 5 NM offshore to
mid-line of lake.-
Lake Michigan from Seul Choix Point to Rock Island Passage 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan South of a line from Seul Choix Point to the
Mackinac Bridge and North of a line from Charlevoix MI to South
Fox Island 5NM offshore-
Lake Michigan from Charlevoix to Point Betsie MI 5NM Offshore to
mid lake-
Lake Michigan from Point Betsie to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Rock Island Passage to Sturgeon Bay WI 5NM
offshore to mid lake-
Lake Michigan from Sturgeon Bay to Two Rivers WI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Two Rivers to Sheboygan WI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from Sheboygan to Port Washington WI 5NM offshore
to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Port Washington to North Point Light WI 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from North Point Light to Wind Point WI 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Winthrop Harbor to Wilmette Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wilmette Harbor to Michigan City in 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Pentwater to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from Whitehall to Pentwater MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from Grand Haven to Whitehall MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Holland to Grand Haven MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from South Haven to Holland MI 5NM offshore to Mid
lake-
Lake Michigan from St Joseph to South Haven MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
952 PM CDT Mon Oct 1 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the open waters of Lake
Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Thunderstorms will continue to move across southern portions of Lake
Michigan early tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Monday

There are mainly small chances for thunderstorms Tuesday night into
Wednesday, with thunderstorms likely Wednesday evening over the
southern half of the lake.

South to southwest winds will approach gale force levels Wednesday
afternoon, mainly over the north half of the lake. High waves are
possible in this area Wednesday into Wednesday night.

There are mainly small chances for thunderstorms at times Thursday
night into the weekend.

There are mainly small chances for thunderstorms at times Thursday
night into the weekend.

DDV

www.weather.gov/mkx

The office that day

Everything else NWS Milwaukee, WI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 1, 7:32 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMKXRock, Walworth43 min
Oct 1, 8:00 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMKXWalworth45 min
Oct 1, 9:58 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningMKXGreen Lake25 days
Oct 1, 9:58 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningMKXWaukesha69 hr
Oct 1, 9:58 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningMKXLafayette3 days
Oct 1, 9:59 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningMKXGreen, Rock13 days
Oct 1, 10:03 PM CDTRiver Flood WatchMKXRacine5 hr
Oct 2, 2:56 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningMKXJefferson, Rock25 days
Oct 2, 2:56 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningMKXGreen22 days
Oct 2, 3:28 AM CDTGale WatchMKX12 hr
Oct 2, 3:18 PM CDTGale WarningMKX40 hr
Oct 2, 3:18 PM CDTSmall Craft AdvisoryMKX3 days
Oct 2, 5:27 PM CDTRiver Flood WatchMKXJefferson22 hr
Oct 2, 5:27 PM CDTRiver Flood WatchMKXJefferson17 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Wisconsin, 2018Every river flood warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.