River Flood Warning 102, NWS Milwaukee, WI

Issued

Oct 1, 2018, 9:58 PM CDT (02:58 UTC)

In effect from

Oct 2, 2018, 5:30 AM CDT

Expired

Oct 4, 2018, 7:00 PM CDT

In force

62 hr

Issued by

NWS Milwaukee, WI

Area

Storm-based polygon

Flood severity

Minor

County Waukesha County, WI

The Milwaukee radar (KMKX), 26 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Written for the forecast point Fox River at Waukesha (WKEW3). The gauge peaked at 5.67 ft at Oct 3, 2018, 6:00 AM CDT.

Action stage

5 ft

Minor stage

6 ft

Moderate stage

8 ft

Major stage

10 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05543830, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

215 
WGUS83 KMKX 020258
FLSMKX


Flood Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
958 PM CDT Mon Oct 1 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Wisconsin...Illinois...
 
  East Branch Pecatonica River Near Blanchardville affecting Lafayette
  County 
  Fox River At Burlington affecting Racine County 
  Fox River Near New Munster affecting Lake and Kenosha Counties 
  Root River At Franklin affecting Milwaukee County 
  Root River At Racine affecting Racine County 
  Root River Canal At Raymond affecting Racine County 
 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Wisconsin...
  Rock River At Afton affecting Rock County 
  Fox River Near Berlin affecting Green Lake County 
 

&& 
WIC105-021458-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/AFTW3.2.ER.180901T1700Z.180912T0830Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
958 PM CDT Mon Oct 1 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Rock River At Afton.
* At  8:15 PM Monday the stage was 10.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 10.8 feet by 
  Saturday morning then begin falling.
* Impact...At 10.7 feet...Floodwaters affect a road in Riverside Park
  on the north side of Janesville and South River Road on the south 
  side of Janesville. There is extensive lowland and agricultural 
  land flooding in the Afton and Janesville areas.

&&

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation, soil moisture conditions, and predicted
precipitation for the basin. Precipitation is for the next 24 hours 
in the future from April through September and for 48 hours in the 
future from October through March.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Tue  Wed  Thu  Fri
Afton            9.0   8.0  10.10 08 PM 10/01  10.6 10.7 10.7 10.7

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
Afton           10.10  08 PM 10/01    0.91      10.80 07 AM 10/06

Below is predicted precipitation information in 6 hour increments
for the listed sites. This information is updated twice daily-morning
and evening. Precipitation prediction is for 48 hours into the future
from October through March and for 24 hours into the future from
April through September.

Afton: 6 pm-midn  Mon Oct 01  0.83
Afton: midn-6 am  Tue Oct 02  0.01
Afton: 6 am-noon  Tue Oct 02  0.00
Afton: noon-6 pm  Tue Oct 02  0.00
Afton: 6 pm-midn  Tue Oct 02  0.00
Afton: midn-6 am  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Afton: 6 am-noon  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Afton: noon-6 pm  Wed Oct 03  0.00
&&

LAT...LON 4274 8910 4274 8903 4261 8900 4257 8898
      4257 8909 4261 8910             

$$

WIC047-021458-
/O.NEW.KMKX.FL.W.0101.181002T0258Z-000000T0000Z/
/PCNW3.1.ER.181001T2252Z.181005T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
958 PM CDT Mon Oct 1 2018

* At  8:00 PM Monday the stage was 9.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 10.0 feet by 
  Thursday evening then begin falling.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Floodwaters are in the back yards of some 
  homes along South Farmer, Jefferson, North Mechanic and West Water 
  Streets in Princeton. There is widespread flooding of lowland and 
  wooded land. 

&&

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation, soil moisture conditions, and predicted
precipitation for the basin. Precipitation is for the next 24 hours 
in the future from April through September and for 48 hours in the 
future from October through March.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Tue  Wed  Thu  Fri
Princeton        9.5   7.5   9.54 08 PM 10/01   9.5  9.7 10.0 10.0

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
Princeton       10.01  11 PM 09/24    0.06      10.00 07 PM 10/04

Below is predicted precipitation information in 6 hour increments
for the listed sites. This information is updated twice daily-morning
and evening. Precipitation prediction is for 48 hours into the future
from October through March and for 24 hours into the future from
April through September.

Princeton: 6 pm-midn  Mon Oct 01  0.09
Princeton: midn-6 am  Tue Oct 02  0.00
Princeton: 6 am-noon  Tue Oct 02  0.00
Princeton: noon-6 pm  Tue Oct 02  0.00
Princeton: 6 pm-midn  Tue Oct 02  0.00
Princeton: midn-6 am  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Princeton: 6 am-noon  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Princeton: noon-6 pm  Wed Oct 03  0.04
&&

LAT...LON 4395 8913 4389 8894 4379 8907 4376 8922
      4387 8931 4391 8919             

$$

WIC047-021458-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BERW3.2.ER.180901T2345Z.180912T2215Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
958 PM CDT Mon Oct 1 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Fox River Near Berlin.
* At  8:00 PM Monday the stage was 13.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 13.8 feet by 
  Saturday early afternoon then begin falling.
* Impact...At 13.8 feet...Floodwaters are over the banks in the 
  Berlin area and affect the road in Riverside Park in Berlin. 
  Floodwaters are into Webster Street Park in Berlin. 

&&

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation, soil moisture conditions, and predicted
precipitation for the basin. Precipitation is for the next 24 hours 
in the future from April through September and for 48 hours in the 
future from October through March.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Tue  Wed  Thu  Fri
Berlin          13.0  12.0  13.52 08 PM 10/01  13.5 13.5 13.6 13.7

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
Berlin          14.20  11 PM 09/24   -0.01      13.80 01 PM 10/06

Below is predicted precipitation information in 6 hour increments
for the listed sites. This information is updated twice daily-morning
and evening. Precipitation prediction is for 48 hours into the future
from October through March and for 24 hours into the future from
April through September.

Berlin: 6 pm-midn  Mon Oct 01  0.09
Berlin: midn-6 am  Tue Oct 02  0.00
Berlin: 6 am-noon  Tue Oct 02  0.00
Berlin: noon-6 pm  Tue Oct 02  0.00
Berlin: 6 pm-midn  Tue Oct 02  0.00
Berlin: midn-6 am  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Berlin: 6 am-noon  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Berlin: noon-6 pm  Wed Oct 03  0.04
&&

LAT...LON 4398 8899 4398 8888 4391 8888 4389 8901
      4395 8911 4396 8908             

$$

WIC065-021458-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0096.000000T0000Z-181004T0824Z/
/BCHW3.2.ER.181001T1848Z.181002T1800Z.181003T2024Z.NO/
958 PM CDT Mon Oct 1 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The East Branch Pecatonica River Near Blanchardville.
* At  8:00 PM Monday the stage was 12.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 14.2 feet by 
  tomorrow early afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Wednesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...McKellar Park in Blanchardville is 
  completely flooded including the swimming pool and tennis courts. 
  Highway H in Blanchardville is flooded and closed.

&&

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation, soil moisture conditions, and predicted
precipitation for the basin. Precipitation is for the next 24 hours 
in the future from April through September and for 48 hours in the 
future from October through March.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Tue  Wed  Thu  Fri
Blanchardville  11.0   9.0  12.00 08 PM 10/01  13.7 10.4  8.6  8.1

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
Blanchardville  12.00  08 PM 10/01    5.22      14.20 01 PM 10/02

Below is predicted precipitation information in 6 hour increments
for the listed sites. This information is updated twice daily-morning
and evening. Precipitation prediction is for 48 hours into the future
from October through March and for 24 hours into the future from
April through September.

Blanchardville: 6 pm-midn  Mon Oct 01  0.41
Blanchardville: midn-6 am  Tue Oct 02  0.00
Blanchardville: 6 am-noon  Tue Oct 02  0.00
Blanchardville: noon-6 pm  Tue Oct 02  0.00
Blanchardville: 6 pm-midn  Tue Oct 02  0.00
Blanchardville: midn-6 am  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Blanchardville: 6 am-noon  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Blanchardville: noon-6 pm  Wed Oct 03  0.00
&&

LAT...LON 4283 8992 4284 8984 4279 8981 4272 8984
      4272 8991 4279 8991             

$$

WIC133-021458-
/O.NEW.KMKX.FL.W.0102.181002T1030Z-181005T0000Z/
/WKEW3.1.ER.181002T1030Z.181003T0600Z.181004T1800Z.NO/
958 PM CDT Mon Oct 1 2018

* At  8:00 PM Monday the stage was 5.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early tomorrow and continue to
  rise to near 6.3 feet by early Wednesday morning. The river will 
  fall below flood stage by Thursday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...Water spreads into parks and lowland areas 
  in the city of Waukesha. At this level, there are no known flooding
  effects to homes or streets.

&&

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation, soil moisture conditions, and predicted
precipitation for the basin. Precipitation is for the next 24 hours 
in the future from April through September and for 48 hours in the 
future from October through March.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Tue  Wed  Thu  Fri
Waukesha         6.0   5.0   5.02 08 PM 10/01   6.2  6.1  5.9  5.7

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
Waukesha         5.02  08 PM 10/01    1.69       6.30 01 AM 10/03

Below is predicted precipitation information in 6 hour increments
for the listed sites. This information is updated twice daily-morning
and evening. Precipitation prediction is for 48 hours into the future
from October through March and for 24 hours into the future from
April through September.

Waukesha: 6 pm-midn  Mon Oct 01  0.71
Waukesha: midn-6 am  Tue Oct 02  0.04
Waukesha: 6 am-noon  Tue Oct 02  0.00
Waukesha: noon-6 pm  Tue Oct 02  0.00
Waukesha: 6 pm-midn  Tue Oct 02  0.00
Waukesha: midn-6 am  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Waukesha: 6 am-noon  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Waukesha: noon-6 pm  Wed Oct 03  0.00
&&

LAT...LON 4304 8824 4304 8817 4300 8821 4297 8823
      4300 8832 4302 8826             

$$

WIC101-021458-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0097.181002T1600Z-181006T1200Z/
/BRGW3.1.ER.181002T1600Z.181003T1800Z.181006T0600Z.NO/
958 PM CDT Mon Oct 1 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Fox River At Burlington.
* At  8:45 PM Monday the stage was 9.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow late morning and 
  continue to rise to near 11.7 feet by Wednesday early afternoon. 
  The river will fall below flood stage by early Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 11.5 feet...Floodwaters are into Riverside Park in 
  Burlington. Floodwaters cover a portion of Brever Road about 4 
  miles south of Burlington.

&&

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation, soil moisture conditions, and predicted
precipitation for the basin. Precipitation is for the next 24 hours 
in the future from April through September and for 48 hours in the 
future from October through March.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Tue  Wed  Thu  Fri
Burlington      11.0   9.0   9.81 09 PM 10/01  11.3 11.7 11.5 11.1

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
Burlington       9.81  09 PM 10/01    2.22      11.70 01 PM 10/03

Below is predicted precipitation information in 6 hour increments
for the listed sites. This information is updated twice daily-morning
and evening. Precipitation prediction is for 48 hours into the future
from October through March and for 24 hours into the future from
April through September.

Burlington: 6 pm-midn  Mon Oct 01  0.81
Burlington: midn-6 am  Tue Oct 02  0.05
Burlington: 6 am-noon  Tue Oct 02  0.00
Burlington: noon-6 pm  Tue Oct 02  0.00
Burlington: 6 pm-midn  Tue Oct 02  0.00
Burlington: midn-6 am  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Burlington: 6 am-noon  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Burlington: noon-6 pm  Wed Oct 03  0.00
&&

LAT...LON 4277 8832 4277 8812 4269 8815 4262 8813
      4262 8832 4267 8838             

$$

ILC097-WIC059-021458-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0098.181002T0815Z-000000T0000Z/
/NMSW3.2.ER.181002T0815Z.181004T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
958 PM CDT Mon Oct 1 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Fox River Near New Munster.
* At  9:00 PM Monday the stage was 10.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early tomorrow and continue to
  rise to near 13.8 feet by early Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 13.8 feet...Floodwaters are into the lower levels of 
  some homes in the Town of Wheatland and Village of Salem Lakes 
  areas along Riverside Drive and Shorewood Drive.  This level is the
  20 percent chance flood meaning there is a 20 percent chance of the
  river reaching this level in any given year.

&&

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation, soil moisture conditions, and predicted
precipitation for the basin. Precipitation is for the next 24 hours 
in the future from April through September and for 48 hours in the 
future from October through March.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Tue  Wed  Thu  Fri
New Munster     11.0  10.0  10.35 09 PM 10/01  12.6 13.7 13.7 13.1

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
New Munster     10.22  08 PM 10/01    2.80      13.80 01 AM 10/04

Below is predicted precipitation information in 6 hour increments
for the listed sites. This information is updated twice daily-morning
and evening. Precipitation prediction is for 48 hours into the future
from October through March and for 24 hours into the future from
April through September.

New Munster: 6 pm-midn  Mon Oct 01  0.81
New Munster: 1 am-7 am  Tue Oct 02  0.06
New Munster: 6 am-noon  Tue Oct 02  0.00
New Munster: noon-6 pm  Tue Oct 02  0.00
New Munster: 6 pm-midn  Tue Oct 02  0.00
New Munster: midn-6 am  Wed Oct 03  0.00
New Munster: 6 am-noon  Wed Oct 03  0.00
New Munster: noon-6 pm  Wed Oct 03  0.00
&&

LAT...LON 4262 8832 4262 8814 4252 8813 4245 8811
      4245 8827 4255 8825             

$$

WIC065-021458-
/O.NEW.KMKX.FL.W.0103.181002T1648Z-181003T1500Z/
/DARW3.1.ER.181002T1648Z.181002T1800Z.181003T0300Z.NO/
958 PM CDT Mon Oct 1 2018

* At  8:15 PM Monday the stage was 12.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.5 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow late morning and 
  continue to rise to near 13.6 feet by tomorrow early afternoon. The
  river will fall below flood stage by tomorrow late evening.
* Impact...At 13.5 feet...Floodwaters touch Main Street in 
  Darlington. A part of the Lafayette County Fairgrounds has 2 to 3 
  feet of water over it.

&&

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation, soil moisture conditions, and predicted
precipitation for the basin. Precipitation is for the next 24 hours 
in the future from April through September and for 48 hours in the 
future from October through March.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Tue  Wed  Thu  Fri
Darlington      13.5  10.0  11.97 08 PM 10/01  13.6 11.5  8.3  6.2

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
Darlington      11.97  08 PM 10/01    6.55      13.60 01 PM 10/02

Below is predicted precipitation information in 6 hour increments
for the listed sites. This information is updated twice daily-morning
and evening. Precipitation prediction is for 48 hours into the future
from October through March and for 24 hours into the future from
April through September.

Darlington: 6 pm-midn  Mon Oct 01  0.35
Darlington: midn-6 am  Tue Oct 02  0.00
Darlington: 6 am-noon  Tue Oct 02  0.00
Darlington: noon-6 pm  Tue Oct 02  0.00
Darlington: 6 pm-midn  Tue Oct 02  0.00
Darlington: midn-6 am  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Darlington: 6 am-noon  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Darlington: noon-6 pm  Wed Oct 03  0.00
&&

LAT...LON 4273 9025 4276 9011 4269 9004 4263 8997
      4259 9011 4267 9022             

$$

WIC079-021458-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0099.000000T0000Z-181003T2100Z/
/FRKW3.1.ER.181001T2145Z.181002T1200Z.181003T0900Z.NO/
958 PM CDT Mon Oct 1 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Root River At Franklin.
* At  8:00 PM Monday the stage was 8.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 8.5 feet by 
  tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage Wednesday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 8.9 feet...A stage of 8.95 feet is the 20 percent 
  chance flood meaning there is a 20 percent chance in any given year
  of the river reaching this level. A portion of Oakwood Road in 
  southern Milwaukee County is flooded and closed. There is flooding 
  to agricultural land.

&&

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation, soil moisture conditions, and predicted
precipitation for the basin. Precipitation is for the next 24 hours 
in the future from April through September and for 48 hours in the 
future from October through March.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Tue  Wed  Thu  Fri
Franklin         8.0   7.0   8.18 08 PM 10/01   8.2  7.5  6.7  5.7

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
Franklin         8.18  08 PM 10/01    5.05       8.50 07 AM 10/02

Below is predicted precipitation information in 6 hour increments
for the listed sites. This information is updated twice daily-morning
and evening. Precipitation prediction is for 48 hours into the future
from October through March and for 24 hours into the future from
April through September.

Franklin: 6 pm-midn  Mon Oct 01  0.75
Franklin: midn-6 am  Tue Oct 02  0.05
Franklin: 6 am-noon  Tue Oct 02  0.00
Franklin: noon-6 pm  Tue Oct 02  0.00
Franklin: 6 pm-midn  Tue Oct 02  0.00
Franklin: midn-6 am  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Franklin: 6 am-noon  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Franklin: noon-6 pm  Wed Oct 03  0.00
&&

LAT...LON 4291 8808 4291 8798 4289 8793 4287 8790
      4281 8795 4285 8806             

$$

WIC101-021458-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0100.181003T0000Z-181003T1200Z/
/RACW3.1.ER.181003T0000Z.181003T0000Z.181003T0600Z.NO/
958 PM CDT Mon Oct 1 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Root River At Racine.
* At  8:00 PM Monday the stage was 4.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage 
  tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 7.0 feet...There is flooding in Lincoln Park and 
  Horlick Park in Racine.

&&

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation, soil moisture conditions, and predicted
precipitation for the basin. Precipitation is for the next 24 hours 
in the future from April through September and for 48 hours in the 
future from October through March.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Tue  Wed  Thu  Fri
Racine           7.0   6.0   4.81 08 PM 10/01   7.0  6.5  5.2  4.5

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
Racine           5.01  10 AM 10/01    1.94       7.00 07 PM 10/02

Below is predicted precipitation information in 6 hour increments
for the listed sites. This information is updated twice daily-morning
and evening. Precipitation prediction is for 48 hours into the future
from October through March and for 24 hours into the future from
April through September.

Racine: 6 pm-midn  Mon Oct 01  0.78
Racine: midn-6 am  Tue Oct 02  0.06
Racine: 6 am-noon  Tue Oct 02  0.00
Racine: noon-6 pm  Tue Oct 02  0.00
Racine: 6 pm-midn  Tue Oct 02  0.00
Racine: midn-6 am  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Racine: 6 am-noon  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Racine: noon-6 pm  Wed Oct 03  0.00
&&

LAT...LON 4281 8795 4287 8790 4280 8783 4276 8778
      4268 8782 4278 8792             

$$

WIC101-021458-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0095.000000T0000Z-181003T2100Z/
/RAYW3.1.ER.181001T1507Z.181002T1200Z.181003T0900Z.NO/
958 PM CDT Mon Oct 1 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Root River Canal At Raymond.
* At  8:00 PM Monday the stage was 9.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 10.3 feet by 
  tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage Wednesday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 10.1 feet...This level is the 20 percent chance flood 
  meaning there is a 20 percent chance in any given year of the river
  reaching this level. Floodwaters cover a baseball diamond on 6 Mile
  Road. There is extensive flooding to lowland and agricultural land.

&&

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation, soil moisture conditions, and predicted
precipitation for the basin. Precipitation is for the next 24 hours 
in the future from April through September and for 48 hours in the 
future from October through March.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Tue  Wed  Thu  Fri
Raymond          9.0   7.0   9.47 08 PM 10/01   9.7  8.1  6.4  5.1

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
Raymond          9.49  08 PM 10/01    6.04      10.30 07 AM 10/02

Below is predicted precipitation information in 6 hour increments
for the listed sites. This information is updated twice daily-morning
and evening. Precipitation prediction is for 48 hours into the future
from October through March and for 24 hours into the future from
April through September.

Raymond: 6 pm-midn  Mon Oct 01  0.80
Raymond: midn-6 am  Tue Oct 02  0.06
Raymond: 6 am-noon  Tue Oct 02  0.00
Raymond: noon-6 pm  Tue Oct 02  0.00
Raymond: 6 pm-midn  Tue Oct 02  0.00
Raymond: midn-6 am  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Raymond: 6 am-noon  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Raymond: noon-6 pm  Wed Oct 03  0.00
&&

LAT...LON 4286 8803 4286 8798 4282 8796 4280 8796
       4279 8803 4282 8803            

$$

129 
WGUS83 KMKX 021546
FLSMKX


Flood Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
1046 AM CDT Tue Oct 2 2018

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Wisconsin...
 
  Fox River At Waukesha affecting Waukesha County
  Yahara River Near Fulton affecting Rock County
 

&& 
WIC133-021616-
/O.CAN.KMKX.FL.W.0102.000000T0000Z-181005T0000Z/
/WKEW3.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1046 AM CDT Tue Oct 2 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Fox River At Waukesha.
* At  9:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 5.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to crest below flood stage at 5.8
  feet tonight.

&& 

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging 
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past 
precipitation, soil moisture conditions, and predicted
precipitation for the basin. Precipitation is for the next 24 hours 
in the future from April through September and for 48 hours in the 
future from October through March.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Tue  Wed  Thu  Fri
Waukesha         6.0   5.0   5.40 09 AM 10/02   5.7  5.7  5.7  5.5

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
Waukesha         5.58  09 PM 10/01    0.93       5.80 01 AM 10/03

Below is the latest predicted precipitation information in 6 hour
increments for the listed sites. This information is updated twice
daily - in the morning and evening. Precipitation prediction is for
48 hours into the future from October through March and for 24
hours into the future from April through September.

Waukesha: 6 am-noon  Tue Oct 02  0.00
Waukesha: noon-6 pm  Tue Oct 02  0.00
Waukesha: 6 pm-midn  Tue Oct 02  0.00
Waukesha: midn-6 am  Wed Oct 03  0.07
Waukesha: 6 am-noon  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Waukesha: noon-6 pm  Wed Oct 03  0.02
Waukesha: 6 pm-midn  Wed Oct 03  0.23
Waukesha: midn-6 am  Thu Oct 04  0.02
&&

LAT...LON 4304 8824 4304 8817 4300 8821 4297 8823
      4300 8832 4302 8826             

$$

WIC105-021616-
/O.CAN.KMKX.FL.W.0105.000000T0000Z-181002T1546Z/
/FULW3.1.ER.181002T0530Z.181002T0815Z.181002T1137Z.UU/
1046 AM CDT Tue Oct 2 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Yahara River Near Fulton.
* At  9:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 9.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecasts are not issued for this location.

&& 

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation, soil moisture conditions, and predicted
precipitation for the basin. Precipitation is for the next 24 hours 
in the future from April through September and for 48 hours in the 
future from October through March.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Tue  Wed  Thu  Fri
Fulton          10.0   8.5   9.82 09 AM 10/02   not a forecast point

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
Fulton          10.18  03 AM 10/02    1.49      ..Not available..

Below is the latest predicted precipitation information in 6 hour
increments for the listed sites. This information is updated twice
daily - in the morning and evening. Precipitation prediction is for
48 hours into the future from October through March and for 24
hours into the future from April through September.

Fulton: 6 am-noon  Tue Oct 02  0.00
Fulton: noon-6 pm  Tue Oct 02  0.00
Fulton: 6 pm-midn  Tue Oct 02  0.02
Fulton: midn-6 am  Wed Oct 03  0.07
Fulton: 6 am-noon  Wed Oct 03  0.00
Fulton: noon-6 pm  Wed Oct 03  0.02
Fulton: 6 pm-midn  Wed Oct 03  0.20
Fulton: midn-6 am  Thu Oct 04  0.00
&&

LAT...LON 4284 8919 4284 8916 4282 8916 4282 8914
      4280 8916 4282 8919             

$$

NWS Milwaukee, WI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Oct 1, 9:33 PM CDT, 25 minutes earlier.

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
933 PM CDT Mon Oct 1 2018

.UPDATE...

Rain has come to an end for areas northwest of a line from Monroe
to Port Washington. Rain and isolated thunder will wind down in
the southeast by midnight. Other than a stray shower or two, dry
weather will then be expected across southern Wisconsin overnight.

&&

.MARINE...

Decided to extend the Small Craft Advisory from North Point Light
northward until 4 am later tonight due to lingering waves of 4 to
6 feet. Should see waves subside to 2 to 4 feet by daybreak.

Lighter winds and lower waves are expected across Lake Michigan on
Tuesday as high pressure briefly moves through.

Southerly winds will pick up late Tuesday night into Wednesday
ahead of approaching strong low pressure. A Small Craft Advisory
will likely be needed for the nearshore waters Wednesday into
Wednesday night, with winds possibly reaching gale force across
the northern half of Lake Michigan.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... (Issued 719 PM CDT Mon Oct 1 2018)

UPDATE...

A broad line of moderate to locally heavy rainfall with embedded
thunder continues to trek through the area this evening. Flooding
concerns are not too high, as the heaviest rainfall this evening
is falling south of where the heavy rain fell last night.
The better instability remains south of the WI/IL border, so not
particularly concerned about a severe threat as this wave pushes
through. Will continue to keep an eye on the stronger radar
returns though toward the IL border in case anything tries to get
feisty.

AVIATION(00Z TAFS)...

Rain with embedded thunder will continue to push through this
evening, largely exiting to the east by midnight or shortly
thereafter.

There's a mix of ceilings out there this evening, but think that
widespread low ceilings will settle in behind the
rainfall...persisting into Tuesday morning. There should be some
improvement in ceilings by Tuesday afternoon, though possibly no
better than MVFR.

Models are suggesting fog could develop tonight given the recent
rain and light winds. Not sure about this though due to cloudy
skies expected through the night. Will have to watch trends
behind the departing rainfall.

PREV DISCUSSION... (Issued 348 PM CDT Mon Oct 1 2018)

SHORT TERM...

Rest Of This Afternoon and Tonight...Forecast Confidence Is
Medium.

A slow northward transport of better MLCAPE through cntrl/nrn IL
with passage of northward moving warm front. Still looks like our
CAPE in srn WI will be of the elevated variety, but still a close
enough call in the far south that it bears watching. MESO progs
show a cluster of shra/tsra moving across the area into the mid
evening hours. 850 mb frontogenesis is shifting a bit northward
through CWA. Plenty of 0-6km shear with limited instability.

Primary threat at this point looks to be some hail and some
additional heavy rains. With this precip on the move not expecting
anything more than isolated impacts from the rainfall. So will
hold off on any Flood Watch at this juncture.

Tuesday...Forecast Confidence Is Medium.

Low pressure passing to the east with a surface high settling
across. LLVL RH progs show some clearing potential in the
afternoon, more so on the GFS/ECMWF versus the NAM. Overall
expecting a quiet day within this overall active pattern.

Tuesday Night Through Thursday...Forecast Confidence Is Medium.

Models are in pretty good agreement with the next system affecting
the area Tuesday night into Wednesday night. Period of focused
warm air advection Tuesday night into Wednesday may bring some
showers and a few storms to the area. However, most of the
activity should focus northwest of the area, as the low level jet
points into that area.

Despite possible clouds on Wednesday, gusty south to southwest
winds should bring warm highs into the upper 70s and lower 80s. If
more sun can develop, temperatures may go higher. Strong cold
front pushes southeast through the area Wednesday evening, exiting
later Wednesday night. Thunderstorms are likely with the front.
The focus for severe storms looks to remain northwest of the area,
though we could still see some stronger storms moving into the
western parts of the area. Marginal risk for severe on SPC Day 3
Outlook seems reasonable, as shear will be quite strong.
Instability will be questionable with possible cloud cover. Not
expecting a lot or rain with this next system.

Things should dry out for Thursday, with cold air advection
moving in. Temperatures will return to more seasonable values.

LONG TERM...

Thursday Night Through Monday...Forecast Confidence Is Medium.

Active patter looks to continue with another system affecting the
region for Thursday night into Friday night, and possible
lingering into Saturday. There are model differences with trends
during this period, with the GFS the taking low pressure northeast
through Wisconsin Friday night and exiting Saturday. The ECMWF and
Canadian keep a slower timing of the low crossing northeast
through the area Saturday. Either way, it looks wet with generally
small chances for thunderstorms. Rainfall amounts are difficult to
pin down at this point, with the model uncertainty. Keep up with
the forecast!

Another warm front may move northward into the area later in the
weekend and early next week. Lots of uncertainty with trends this
far out, but it looks wet and active.

AVIATION(18Z TAFS)...

IFR ceilings in place with low level boundary remaining south of
the area. Expecting some lower vsbys in precip areas. SHRA/TSRA
threat will be greatest through about 04z or so. Ceilings expected
to be at IFR levels into this evening. Some improvement expected
on Tuesday, as low passes by and surface ridging takes hold.

MARINE...

Small Craft Advisory looks good with onshore winds and building
waves. The northern lake continues to look favorable for possible
gale conditions on Wednesday, so a watch will probably be needed
at some point soon for that.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...None.
LM...Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM CDT Tuesday for LMZ643-644.

&&

Update...DDV
Tonight/Tuesday and Aviation/Marine...Collar
Tuesday Night through Monday...Wood

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
952 PM CDT Mon Oct 1 2018

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-022100-
Marquette-Green Lake-Fond Du Lac-Sheboygan-Sauk-Columbia-Dodge-
Washington-Ozaukee-Iowa-Dane-Jefferson-Waukesha-Milwaukee-
Lafayette-Green-Rock-Walworth-Racine-Kenosha-
952 PM CDT Mon Oct 1 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of east central
Wisconsin, south central Wisconsin and southeast Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Monday

There are mainly small chances for thunderstorms Tuesday night
into Wednesday, with thunderstorms likely later Wednesday
afternoon into Wednesday evening. There is a small risk for a
severe thunderstorm late Wednesday afternoon and evening, mainly
over south central Wisconsin.

There are mainly small chances for thunderstorms at times Thursday
night into the weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed into this evening, and again
Wednesday late afternoon and evening. Otherwise, your rainfall
reports are appreciated.

LMZ643>646-022100-
Sheboygan to Port Washington WI-
Port Washington to North Point Light WI-
North Point Light to Wind Point WI-
Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL-
952 PM CDT Mon Oct 1 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect until 4 am tonight from
North Point Light northward due to lingering high waves.

Thunderstorms will continue to move across southern portions of Lake
Michigan early tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Monday

There are mainly small chances for thunderstorms Tuesday night
into Wednesday, with thunderstorms likely Wednesday evening.

There are mainly small chances for thunderstorms at times Thursday
night into the weekend.

Winds and waves will likely reach Small Craft Advisory levels
Wednesday into Wednesday night. South to southwest winds will
approach gale force levels Wednesday afternoon.

There are mainly small chances for thunderstorms at times
Thursday night into the weekend.

LMZ080-261-362-364-366-563-565-567-669-671-673-675-777-779-868-
870-872-874-876-878-022100-
Lake Michigan Michigan City IN to St. Joseph MI 5 NM offshore to
mid-line of lake.-
Lake Michigan from Seul Choix Point to Rock Island Passage 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan South of a line from Seul Choix Point to the
Mackinac Bridge and North of a line from Charlevoix MI to South
Fox Island 5NM offshore-
Lake Michigan from Charlevoix to Point Betsie MI 5NM Offshore to
mid lake-
Lake Michigan from Point Betsie to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Rock Island Passage to Sturgeon Bay WI 5NM
offshore to mid lake-
Lake Michigan from Sturgeon Bay to Two Rivers WI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Two Rivers to Sheboygan WI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from Sheboygan to Port Washington WI 5NM offshore
to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Port Washington to North Point Light WI 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from North Point Light to Wind Point WI 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Winthrop Harbor to Wilmette Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wilmette Harbor to Michigan City in 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Pentwater to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from Whitehall to Pentwater MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from Grand Haven to Whitehall MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Holland to Grand Haven MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from South Haven to Holland MI 5NM offshore to Mid
lake-
Lake Michigan from St Joseph to South Haven MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
952 PM CDT Mon Oct 1 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the open waters of Lake
Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Thunderstorms will continue to move across southern portions of Lake
Michigan early tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Monday

There are mainly small chances for thunderstorms Tuesday night into
Wednesday, with thunderstorms likely Wednesday evening over the
southern half of the lake.

South to southwest winds will approach gale force levels Wednesday
afternoon, mainly over the north half of the lake. High waves are
possible in this area Wednesday into Wednesday night.

There are mainly small chances for thunderstorms at times Thursday
night into the weekend.

There are mainly small chances for thunderstorms at times Thursday
night into the weekend.

DDV

www.weather.gov/mkx

In the hours before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
732 PM CDT MON OCT 1 2018

WIZ069-070-020115-
Walworth-Rock-
732 PM CDT MON OCT 1 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT WESTERN WALWORTH AND
SOUTHEASTERN ROCK COUNTIES...

At 732 PM CDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Beloit, moving
east at 40 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph are possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Janesville, Beloit, Elkhorn, Delavan, Williams Bay, Walworth,
Clinton, Fontana-On-Geneva Lake, Sharon, Darien, Como, Richmond,
Tiffany, Abells Corners, Tibbets, Allens Grove, Millard, Avalon,
Shopiere and Afton.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

LAT...LON 4250 8910 4272 8910 4277 8852 4249 8851
TIME...MOT...LOC 0032Z 269DEG 37KT 4259 8898

DDV

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
800 PM CDT MON OCT 1 2018

WIZ070>072-020145-
Walworth-Racine-Kenosha-
800 PM CDT MON OCT 1 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN WALWORTH...WESTERN
RACINE AND WESTERN KENOSHA COUNTIES...

At 759 PM CDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Delavan, moving
east at 40 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Elkhorn, Lake Geneva, Twin Lakes, Union Grove, Paddock Lake, Camp
Lake, Rochester, Genoa City, Silver Lake, Powers Lake, Browns Lake,
Como, Pell Lake, Eagle Lake, Bohners Lake, Waterford North, Salem,
Burlington, Waterford and Springfield.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

LAT...LON 4276 8852 4280 8803 4249 8803 4250 8851
TIME...MOT...LOC 0059Z 269DEG 37KT 4259 8861

DDV

River Flood Warnings in Wisconsin, 2018Every river flood warning in 2018

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.