Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Warnings in 2018

Tornado Warning 16, NWS Little Rock, AR

April 13, 2018Baxter County, Fulton County, Arkansas

NWS Little Rock, AR issued this tornado warning at Apr 13, 2018, 8:31 PM CDT for Baxter County, Fulton County, Arkansas. It was in force for 29 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Apr 13, 2018, 8:31 PM CDT (01:31 UTC)
Expired: Apr 13, 2018, 9:00 PM CDT
In force: 29 min
Issued by: NWS Little Rock, AR
Area: Storm-based polygon
Tornado: Radar indicated
Hail: 0.75 in

Counties Baxter County, AR, Fulton County, AR

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 138 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Apr 13, 8:35 PM CDT	TSTM WND DMG	Mountain Home, AR	REPORTS OF DAMAGE TO MULTIPLE STRUCTURES AND POWERLINES DOWN
Apr 13, 8:45 PM CDT	TORNADO	2 W Gamaliel Landing, AR	SEVERAL TREES WERE EITHER SNAPPED OR UPROOTED...WITH SOME MINOR DAMAGE TO A CHURCH...AND SOME DAMAGE TO A GARAGE AND OUTBUILDINGS.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this tornado warning; the first came 14 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Apr 13, 1:50 PM CDT	Tornado Watch PDS	SPC	8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 1.5 hours before the alert went out and 149 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 505 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -13 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 560 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 139 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 157 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.4
Supercell composite: 3.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

441 
WFUS54 KLZK 140131
TORLZK
ARC005-049-140200-
/O.NEW.KLZK.TO.W.0016.180414T0131Z-180414T0200Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
831 PM CDT FRI APR 13 2018

The National Weather Service in Little Rock has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Northern Baxter County in north central Arkansas...
  West central Fulton County in north central Arkansas...

* Until 900 PM CDT
    
* At 830 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a 
  tornado was located over Colfax, or 3 miles southwest of Mountain 
  Home, moving northeast at 50 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado. 

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. 

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. 
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree 
           damage is likely. 

* Locations impacted include...
  Mountain Home...                  Gassville...
  Ozark Regional Airport...         Gamaliel Landing...
  Fawn Park...                      Colfax...
  Cotter...                         Vidette...
  Clarkridge...                     Gamaliel...
  Buford...                         Robinson Point Landing...
  Henderson...                      Norfork Lake...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Tornadoes are extremely difficult to see and confirm at night. Do not
wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!

&&

LAT...LON 3643 9203 3623 9244 3631 9253 3650 9234
      3650 9213
TIME...MOT...LOC 0130Z 227DEG 42KT 3632 9241 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN

$$

46

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Apr 13, 6:12 PM CDT, 2 hours 19 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 13, 6:12 PM CDT, 2 hours 19 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
612 PM CDT Fri Apr 13 2018

.AVIATION...
Forecasts will continue to reflect expected evolution of
convective event, which is not entering extreme western sections
of the forecast area. Expect a near westerly surface wind of
10-18kts to prevail across all sites after 14/12z.

99

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...(ISSUED 332 PM CDT Fri Apr 13 2018)
SHORT TERM...Tonight Through Saturday
Overall forecast philosophy remains constant during this short
period. Conditions for well organized convection are indicated by
18z KLZK sounding. Still a question remains how quickly convection
will grow upscale to a more linear mode.

Heavy convection is expected to clear southeast sections by 14/14z

Text &&

LONG TERM...Saturday night through Friday

 The biggest concern in
the long term periods will be near-freezing temperatures Sunday
and Monday morning.

Closed upper low will follow the surface system departing on
Saturday night, with the primary track north of the region. Cloud
cover associated with the system will pass through northern
Arkansas, with clearing over the remainder of the area.

With much colder air moving into the region, temperatures will fall
into the 30s in most areas, and we could see readings close to
freezing in the northwest and portions of the west by Sunday
morning. However, the clouds remaining in the north should preclude
a hard freeze.

Surface high pressure will move into the region on Sunday, with
clouds clearing out. Freezing/near-freezing temperatures will be a
little more widespread on Sunday night/Monday morning, with a freeze
most likely in the west and north. Some portions of the northwest
(particularly the usual sheltered valley areas) could see
temperatures in the 20s.

The high will shift eastward Monday into Tuesday, with winds coming
around to the south, and temperatures warming back into the 70s to
around 80 degrees.

Around mid-week, a weaker front will move through the region,
yielding little more than slight rain chances and a slight increase
in cloud cover. There will be slight cooling behind this front.

Toward the end of the week, there will be another system approaching
the area, bringing another chance for rainfall. &&

&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Wind Advisory until 10 PM CDT this evening FOR Arkansas-Desha-
Drew-Independence-Jackson-Jefferson-Lincoln-Lonoke-Monroe-
Prairie-White-Woodruff.

Flash Flood Watch until 6 AM CDT Saturday FOR Arkansas-Bradley-
Desha-Drew-Lincoln-Monroe.

&&

Aviation...99

Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 13, 6:39 AM CDT, 13 hours 52 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
639 AM CDT Fri Apr 13 2018

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-141145-
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Newton-Searcy-Stone-Izard-
Independence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-Jackson-Logan-Conway-
Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-Polk-Montgomery-Garland-
Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-
Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-
Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-
639 AM CDT Fri Apr 13 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Showers and thunderstorms will affect the state on today and
tonight, as a storm system moves through the region. Scattered
strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible, with the primary
threats of damaging winds and large hail possible. Also, a few
tornadoes will be possible, primarily in the afternoon and evening
hours today. Additionally, heavy rainfall will be a concern with
any stronger storms, with localized flooding and flash flooding
possible.

Also, winds will be elevated today from the south, and be 10 to 20
mph, some gusts to around 25 to 30 mph. Caution is advised on
area bodies of water due to the increased winds.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday Through Thursday

The storm system will be pushing through Arkansas on Saturday, and
will gradually take the showers and thunderstorms to the east of
the state. Localized flooding could be on going with the heavy
rain from Friday night. Any remaining storms may contain heavy
rain before all moving out of Arkansas Saturday night. Much colder
air again will filter in behind the cold front, and spotty
locations will see around freezing temperatures Sunday and Monday
mornings. Mostly dry Monday and the coming week.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation will be needed this afternoon and evening due
to the potential of severe storms.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

59

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Apr 13, 3:14 PM CDT, 5 hours 17 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
314 PM CDT FRI APR 13 2018

ARZ040-041-132100-
Polk AR-Montgomery AR-
314 PM CDT FRI APR 13 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN POLK AND WESTERN
MONTGOMERY COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM CDT...

At 314 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Shady, or 11 miles north of Umpire, moving northeast at 40 mph.

Half inch hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Oden...                           Shady...
Opal...                           Little Missouri Falls Recreatio...
Bard Springs Recreation Area...   Caney Creek Wilderness...
Albert Pike Recreation Area...    Big Fork...
Board Camp...                     Pine Ridge...
Shady Lake Recreation Area...     Fancyhill...
Cherry Hill in Polk County...     Roaring Branch Natural Area...

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for western and
southwestern Arkansas.

LAT...LON 3452 9416 3469 9406 3468 9393 3466 9392
      3467 9388 3471 9387 3471 9382 3472 9382
      3472 9378 3473 9378 3473 9375 3474 9374
      3435 9376 3435 9412 3442 9416
TIME...MOT...LOC 2014Z 219DEG 36KT 3443 9409

Cavanaugh

Local storm report, Apr 13, 6:47 PM CDT, 1 hour 44 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
647 PM CDT FRI APR 13 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0642 PM     TSTM WND GST     FARRIS SPRINGS          35.65N  93.46W
04/13/2018  M60 MPH          JOHNSON            AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            60 MPH THUNDERSTORM WIND GUST NEAR OZONE... AR

&&

EVENT NUMBER LZK201800026

CROSS

Local storm report, Apr 13, 7:12 PM CDT, 1 hour 19 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
712 PM CDT FRI APR 13 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0642 PM     TSTM WND DMG     FARRIS SPRINGS          35.64N  93.46W
04/13/2018                   JOHNSON            AR   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES DOWNED NEAR OZONE

&&

EVENT NUMBER LZK201800027

CROSS

Local storm report, Apr 13, 7:58 PM CDT, 33 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
758 PM CDT FRI APR 13 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0750 PM     TORNADO          3 W PENCIL BLUFF        34.63N  93.79W
04/13/2018                   MONTGOMERY         AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            BRIEF TORNADO TOUCHDOWN REPORTED

&&

EVENT NUMBER LZK201800028

CROSS

Local storm report, Apr 13, 8:25 PM CDT, 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
825 PM CDT FRI APR 13 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0620 PM     TSTM WND DMG     POTTER                  34.55N  94.34W
04/13/2018                   POLK               AR   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MULTIPLE RESIDENTS WITHOUT POWER... AND DOWNED TREES
            BLOCKING ROADS

&&

EVENT NUMBER LZK201800030

CROSS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Little Rock, AR issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Apr 13, 7:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Baxter, Boone, Johnson, Logan, Marion, Newton and 3 more	49 min
Apr 13, 7:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Conway, Johnson, Logan, Pope, Van Buren, Yell	42 min
Apr 13, 7:39 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Johnson, Logan, Scott, Yell	51 min
Apr 13, 7:47 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Montgomery, Polk, Scott, Yell	43 min
Apr 13, 8:05 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Baxter, Conway, Fulton, Izard, Marion, Pope and 4 more	40 min
Apr 13, 8:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Clark, Conway, Garland, Hot Spring, Johnson, Logan and 6 more	62 min
Apr 13, 8:37 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Conway, Pope, Yell	16 min
Apr 13, 8:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Baxter, Cleburne, Conway, Fulton, Izard, Marion and 4 more	61 min
Apr 13, 9:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Clark, Conway, Faulkner, Garland, Hot Spring, Montgomery and 5 more	62 min
Apr 13, 9:13 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Conway, Faulkner, Perry	47 min
Apr 13, 9:17 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Garland, Montgomery	24 min
Apr 13, 9:32 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Cleburne, Faulkner, Fulton, Independence, Izard, Jackson and 4 more	43 min
Apr 13, 9:45 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Faulkner, Lonoke, White	30 min
Apr 13, 9:49 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Cleburne, Faulkner, Jackson, Lonoke, Prairie, Pulaski and 3 more	41 min
Apr 13, 10:00 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Faulkner, Garland, Grant, Jefferson, Lonoke, Prairie and 2 more	45 min
Apr 13, 10:09 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Cleburne, Fulton, Independence, Izard, Jackson, Sharp and 2 more	51 min
Apr 13, 10:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Lonoke, Prairie, Pulaski, White, Woodruff	32 min
Apr 13, 11:00 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Jackson, Woodruff	45 min
Apr 14, 12:21 AM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Bradley, Calhoun, Cleveland, Drew, Lincoln	25 min
Apr 14, 12:34 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Arkansas	41 min
Apr 14, 1:06 AM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Arkansas, Monroe	10 min
Apr 14, 1:16 AM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Drew, Jefferson, Lincoln	29 min
Apr 14, 1:28 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Arkansas	47 min
Apr 14, 1:36 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Calhoun, Cleveland, Dallas, Grant, Ouachita	39 min
Apr 14, 1:46 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Cleveland	44 min
Apr 14, 2:08 AM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Bradley, Calhoun, Ouachita	23 min
Apr 14, 2:15 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Bradley, Calhoun, Cleveland, Dallas, Lincoln	60 min
Apr 14, 2:34 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Arkansas, Desha, Drew	41 min
Apr 14, 2:40 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	LZK	Arkansas, Cleveland, Jefferson, Lincoln	3 hr
Apr 14, 2:58 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	LZK	Arkansas, Cleveland, Dallas, Grant, Jefferson	3 hr
Apr 14, 3:04 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	LZK	Arkansas, Desha, Jefferson, Lincoln, Monroe	3 hr
Apr 14, 3:15 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Arkansas, Desha, Drew, Lincoln	60 min
Apr 14, 3:32 AM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Desha, Drew	28 min
Apr 14, 4:12 AM CDT	Freeze Watch	LZK	Marion	10 hr
Apr 14, 4:20 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	LZK	Hot Spring	3 hr
Apr 14, 7:15 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	LZK	Hot Spring	6 hr
Apr 14, 9:28 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	LZK	Perry	36 hr
Apr 14, 9:33 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	LZK	Independence, Jackson, Lawrence	19 days
Apr 14, 9:35 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	LZK	Randolph	24 hr
Apr 14, 10:11 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	LZK	Jackson, Woodruff	19 days
Apr 14, 10:53 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	LZK	Clark, Hot Spring	25 hr
Apr 14, 10:55 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	LZK	Saline	17 hr
Apr 14, 2:34 PM CDT	Freeze Watch	LZK	Baxter, Cleburne, Conway, Faulkner, Fulton, Independence and 5 more	13 hr
Apr 14, 2:34 PM CDT	Freeze Warning	LZK	Marion	18 hr

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Arkansas, 2018 Every tornado warning in 2018 Tornadoes in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.