Alert archive / Indiana / Special Weather Statements in 2018

Special Weather Statement, NWS Northern Indiana

May 3, 2018Huntington County, Miami County, Wabash County, Indiana

NWS Northern Indiana issued this special weather statement at May 3, 2018, 8:09 AM EDT for Huntington County, Miami County, Wabash County, Indiana. It was in force for 36 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 3, 2018, 8:09 AM EDT (12:09 UTC)
Expired
May 3, 2018, 8:45 AM EDT
In force
36 min
Issued by
NWS Northern Indiana

Counties Huntington County, IN, Miami County, IN, Wabash County, IN

The radar

The Northern Indiana radar (KIWX), 59 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 0.2 hours before the alert went out and 249 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2018-05-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 30 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2018-05-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 232 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
30 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-163 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1335 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
232 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
186 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Northern Indiana wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at May 3, 6:39 AM EDT, 1 hour 30 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 3, 6:39 AM EDT, 1 hour 30 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
639 AM EDT Thu May 3 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 408 AM EDT Thu May 3 2018

Periods of showers and thunderstorms will continue this morning
before the coverage of rain showers diminishes for a time late
morning into the mid to late afternoon hours. Some flooding is
possible this morning due to the runoff from heavy rainfall
last night, and the additional rainfall this morning. Showers and
thunderstorms are expected to redevelop late this afternoon into
tonight, and continue into Friday. There is a low risk of an
isolated severe thunderstorm tonight. Dry weather will return for
Friday night and Saturday. High temperatures this afternoon will
reach into the mid and upper 70s, with low temperatures tonight
only dropping into the lower to mid 60s.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 408 AM EDT Thu May 3 2018

Active pattern from last evening continues into this morning. The
combination of boundary sprawling across the area and continued
low level jet feeding into this boundary yielded some healthy
rainfall amounts last night along with several reports of wind
damage. Composite boundary has been wavering as each successive
round of showers and thunderstorms has tracked across far northern
Indiana into southern Lower Michigan. Fortunately, most of the
heavy rain over the past several hours has become situated across
southern Lower Michigan, just north of areas which received the
heaviest rainfall last evening (southern Starke into Marshall
county). Larger scale convectively enhanced vort max near MS River
will bring yet another round of showers and thunderstorms to most
of the forecast area in the 10Z-14Z timeframe. Scattered storms
have developed east of this vort max, likely indicative of
stronger advective forcing wing from central Illinois into east
central Illinois. Overall severe threat should be very limited
into this morning as storms have become more elevated, but still
feeding of some respectable elevated instability via modest mid
level lapse rates in place.

With another quick quarter inch to three quarters of an inch
(locally an inch) this morning, will keep flash flood watch in place
for western portions of the watch for locations which received
the heavier rainfall last night. Radar estimates that between 1.5
to 3.5 inches of rain has fallen across portions of Berrien/Cass
counties in Lower Michigan, and will extend the flash flood watch
into these counties this morning. Have dropped eastern portions of
the flash flood watch in northern Indiana where rainfall amounts
were more limited last night including the Fort Wayne area.

It still appears as though a lull in heavier rain showers will set
up later this morning into most of this afternoon in wake of
approaching convectively enhanced vort this morning. In addition
to lull in forcing, the very steep mid level lapse rates of last
evening will not be as substantial today. Will have to watch for
another embedded wave in southwest upper flow approaching Ohio
Valley this afternoon into this evening. Belt of stronger mid
level flow will accompany this vort max with best chance of
additional organized convection late this afternoon across far
southern portions of the area. Currently not expecting much in the
way of severe weather potential though this afternoon.

For tonight, moisture transport ramps up once again via a 50-60
knot low level jet in advance of primary upper level trough.
Northward surge of this boundary this evening should at least
yield less potential of training, although given anomalous PWATs
some additional heavy rainfall is possible. Some marginal severe
threat will exist tonight given strong forcing and robust flow
profiles, but limited instability should yield only a marginal
threat (mainly wind).

&&

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 408 AM EDT Thu May 3 2018

The dampening upper level trough and associated frontal boundary
will produce last day of thunder chances on Friday, although
strong/severe potential continues to look limited with better
chances of more vigorous convection dropping southeast of the area
by mid afternoon. Cold advection is not substantial behind this
trough as flow quickly deamplifies. Have not made many changes to
previous forecast in terms of Sunday rain/storm chances as a
northwest flow wave drops into the region. Thunder potential looks
limited given little opportunity for notable moisture return, but
will maintain slight chances of thunder across the south. Decent
cool push behind this system for early next week, with decent
agreement among medium range models of next large scale south
central Canadian troughing bringing more rain chances middle of
next week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Friday Morning)
Issued at 622 AM EDT Thu May 3 2018

Short wave enhanced by yesterdays convection will track across
northern Indiana this morning bringing another round of showers
and thunderstorms through mid morning. Reductions to MVFR cigs are
expected in association with the heavier showers and storms
through mid morning, with cigs in the 2-3k foot range possibly
holding through midday. It still appears as though a lull in the
greater shower and thunderstorm coverage should develop this
afternoon before chances increase once again late this afternoon
into this evening. Timing the increasing chances this afternoon is
of relatively low confidence at this time, so will limit thunder
mention to VCTS. Large scale upper support will increase later
this evening as primary upper trough approaches which will result
in continued scattered-numerous showers/embedded thunder through
the night. Other aviation weather concern today will be winds as
strong southwesterly low level winds will develop again. Some
decoupling tonight combined with more robust low level jet
development should result in another night of LLWS concerns,
particularly for KFWA.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...Flash Flood Watch until noon EDT /11 AM CDT/ today for
     INZ003>005-012>016.

MI...Flash Flood Watch until noon EDT today for MIZ077-078.

OH...NONE.
LM...NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS...Marsili
SHORT TERM...Marsili
LONG TERM...Marsili
AVIATION...Marsili

Visit us at www.weather.gov/iwx

Follow us on Facebook...Twitter...and YouTube at:
www.facebook.com/NWSNorthernIndiana
www.twitter.com/nwsiwx
www.youtube.com/NWSNorthernIndiana
Hazardous weather outlook, May 3, 5:29 AM EDT, 2 hours 40 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
529 AM EDT Thu May 3 2018

INZ003>005-012-014-016-MIZ077-078-040930-
La Porte-St. Joseph IN-Elkhart-Starke-Marshall-Kosciusko-Berrien-
Cass MI-
529 AM EDT Thu May 3 2018 /429 AM CDT Thu May 3 2018/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southwest Michigan
and northern Indiana.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A period of showers and thunderstorms is expected this morning.
Severe weather is not expected, but some localized flooding is
possible due to the heavy rain last night, and additional rainfall
this morning.

There is a chance of thunderstorms again this afternoon. Severe
weather is not expected.

Chances of thunderstorms will increase tonight. Locally heavy
rainfall and isolated severe weather are possible. The main severe
weather threats tonight will be isolated damaging wind gusts and
isolated large hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

There is a chance of thunderstorms Friday morning. Severe weather is
not expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters may be needed tonight. Delayed reports from the severe
weather last night will also be appreciated.

&&

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for further details or updates...or
check our web site at weather.gov/iwx

INZ006>009-013-015-017-018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ079>081-OHZ001-002-
004-005-015-016-024-025-040930-
Lagrange-Steuben-Noble-De Kalb-Pulaski-Fulton IN-Whitley-Allen IN-
White-Cass IN-Miami-Wabash-Huntington-Wells-Adams-Grant-Blackford-
Jay-St. Joseph MI-Branch-Hillsdale-Williams-Fulton OH-Defiance-Henry-
Paulding-Putnam-Van Wert-Allen OH-
529 AM EDT Thu May 3 2018 /429 AM CDT Thu May 3 2018/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern Indiana...
southwest Michigan and northwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A period of showers and thunderstorms is expected this morning.
Severe weather is not expected.

Chances of thunderstorms will increase again late this afternoon into
tonight. Isolated severe storms are possible tonight with the main
threats of isolated damaging wind gusts and isolated large hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

There is a continued chance of thunderstorms through mid afternoon
Friday. A few storms may be strong through mid afternoon on Friday,
especially along and south of Route 24 across extreme northeast
Indiana and northwest Ohio.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters may be needed tonight. Delayed reports from the severe
weather last night will also be appreciated.

&&

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for further details or updates...or
check our web site at weather.gov/iwx

LMZ043-046-040930-
New Buffalo MI to St Joseph MI-Michigan City IN to New Buffalo MI-
529 AM EDT Thu May 3 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of The Nearshore
Waters of Southeastern Lake Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A few thunderstorms are expected this morning. Severe weather is not
expected.

Chances of thunderstorms will increase again tonight. A few of the
storms may produce small hail and wind gusts in excess of 35 knots.

Conditions hazardous to small craft are possible late tonight into
early Friday.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Conditions hazardous to small craft are possible Friday morning.

&&

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for further details or updates...or
check our web site at weather.gov/iwx

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 3, 5:27 AM EDT, 2 hours 42 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
527 AM EDT THU MAY 3 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0948 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 SSE JEROME            41.97N 84.42W
05/02/2018                   HILLSDALE          MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LARGE TREE DOWN ON WALDRON ROAD.

&&

NDM
Local storm report, May 3, 5:59 AM EDT, 2 hours 10 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
559 AM EDT THU MAY 3 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0810 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 WNW LOMAX             41.26N 86.89W
05/02/2018                   LA PORTE           IN   PUBLIC

            TREE DOWN ONTO ROADWAY.

&&

LWF
Local storm report, May 3, 6:04 AM EDT, 2 hours 5 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
604 AM EDT THU MAY 3 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0948 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 SSE JEROME            41.97N 84.42W
05/02/2018                   HILLSDALE          MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LARGE TREE DOWN ON WALDRON ROAD.

0932 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 NE MOSCOW             42.06N 84.50W
05/02/2018  E65 MPH          HILLSDALE          MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

0929 PM     TSTM WND DMG     COLDWATER               41.94N 85.01W
05/02/2018                   BRANCH             MI   EMERGENCY MNGR

            APPX 14-INCH LIMB FROM TREE FELL ACROSS
            ROAD, POWER OUTAGE ON CHURCH ST AT DAUGHERTY
            ST, 2107 HRS.

0925 PM     HAIL             BRIDGMAN                41.94N 86.56W
05/02/2018  M0.50 INCH       BERRIEN            MI   PUBLIC

            VIA TWITTER.

0922 PM     TSTM WND GST     COLDWATER               41.94N 85.00W
05/02/2018  M72 MPH          BRANCH             MI   ASOS

0908 PM     LIGHTNING        STURGIS                 41.80N 85.42W
05/02/2018                   ST. JOSEPH         MI   AMATEUR RADIO

            LOTS OF STRUCTURE FIRES DUE TO LIGHTNING
            STRIKES.

0900 PM     TSTM WND DMG     UNION                   41.79N 85.87W
05/02/2018                   CASS               MI   PUBLIC

            ROOF DAMAGE ON GARAGE.

0847 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CONSTANTINE             41.84N 85.67W
05/02/2018                   ST. JOSEPH         MI   AMATEUR RADIO

            POWER POLES DOWN.

0836 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SIMONTON LAKE           41.75N 85.97W
05/02/2018                   ELKHART            IN   BROADCAST MEDIA

            DOWNED TREES AND FENCES.

0831 PM     TSTM WND DMG     OSCEOLA                 41.67N 86.08W
05/02/2018                   ST. JOSEPH         IN   PUBLIC

            SEVERAL TREES AND BRANCHES DOWN.

0830 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 SSE SIMONTON LAKE     41.72N 85.95W
05/02/2018                   ELKHART            IN   BROADCAST MEDIA

            LIMBS AND TREES DOWN.

0830 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 WSW OSCEOLA           41.66N 86.10W
05/02/2018                   ST. JOSEPH         IN   BROADCAST MEDIA

            SEVERAL POWER POLES DOWN NEAR MARTINS.

0828 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MOTTVILLE               41.80N 85.76W
05/02/2018                   ST. JOSEPH         MI   AMATEUR RADIO

            POWER POLES DOWN.

0823 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MISHAWAKA               41.67N 86.17W
05/02/2018                   ST. JOSEPH         IN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            POWER LINES DOWN IN THE CITY.

0820 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BRISTOL                 41.72N 85.82W
05/02/2018                   ELKHART            IN   PUBLIC

            NUMEROUS TREES LIMBS SNAPPED.

0815 PM     TSTM WND GST     ELKHART                 41.69N 85.97W
05/02/2018  E60 MPH          ELKHART            IN   PUBLIC

            DIME SIZED HAIL AS WELL.

0810 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 N SAN PIERRE          41.23N 86.89W
05/02/2018                   STARKE             IN   PUBLIC

            10-15" DIAMETER TREES DOWNED.

0810 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 WNW LOMAX             41.26N 86.89W
05/02/2018                   LA PORTE           IN   PUBLIC

            TREE DOWN ONTO ROADWAY.

0800 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SOUTH BEND              41.68N 86.26W
05/02/2018                   ST. JOSEPH         IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES UPROOTED, LARGE BRANCHES SNAPPED.

0757 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 SW KNOX               41.27N 86.65W
05/02/2018  E56 MPH          STARKE             IN   PUBLIC

            NO HAIL WITH STORM VIA TWITTER.

0756 PM     TSTM WND GST     SOUTH BEND INTERNATIONA 41.71N 86.32W
05/02/2018  M71 MPH          ST. JOSEPH         IN   ASOS

            ASOS STATION SBN, SOUTH BEND INTERNATIONAL
            AP.

0517 PM     HAIL             3 NNW WOOSTER           41.24N 85.77W
05/02/2018  E0.75 INCH       KOSCIUSKO          IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HAIL LASTED FOR 3 MINUTES.

&&
Special weather statement, May 3, 8:09 AM EDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
809 AM EDT THU MAY 3 2018

INZ023>025-031245-
Wabash-Miami-Huntington-
809 AM EDT THU MAY 3 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT WABASH...HUNTINGTON AND CENTRAL
MIAMI COUNTIES...

At 809 AM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Peru, moving
northeast at 55 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Huntington, Peru, Wabash, North Manchester, Andrews, Markle, Mexico,
Roanoke, Erie, Roann, Lagro, Richvalley, Peoria, Bippus, Bowerstown,
Servia, Lincolnville, Bracken, Goblesville and Urbana.

This includes Interstate 69 in Indiana between mile markers 284 and
291.

LAT...LON 4079 8614 4100 8576 4099 8534 4080 8534
      4063 8602
TIME...MOT...LOC 1209Z 243DEG 48KT 4076 8597

PBM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Northern Indiana issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 2, 8:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXElkhart, LaGrange, Noble, Saint Joseph45 min
May 2, 8:17 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryIWXLaPorte, Marshall, Starke3 hr
May 2, 8:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXElkhart47 min
May 2, 8:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXFulton, Kosciusko, Marshall42 min
May 2, 8:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXLaGrange, Steuben46 min
May 2, 8:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXLaGrange27 min
May 2, 8:49 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryIWXKosciusko, Marshall3 hr
May 2, 8:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXKosciusko, Noble, Whitley40 min
May 2, 9:25 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningIWX58 min
May 2, 9:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXAllen, DeKalb, Noble24 min
May 2, 9:53 PM EDTFlash Flood WatchIWXAllen, DeKalb, Elkhart, Fulton, LaGrange, Marshall and 5 more11 hr
May 2, 10:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXLaPorte, Saint Joseph40 min
May 2, 10:48 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementIWXMarshall27 min
May 2, 11:15 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementIWXKosciusko30 min
May 2, 11:47 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningIWX43 min
May 3, 12:16 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningIWX44 min
May 3, 9:24 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningIWXElkhart25 hr
May 3, 9:45 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningIWXElkhart, Saint Joseph5 days
May 3, 1:54 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningIWXAllen, DeKalb6 days
May 3, 7:34 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningIWXDefiance, Fulton, Williams6 days
May 2, 9:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXBranch28 min
May 2, 9:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXBranch, Hillsdale44 min
May 2, 9:27 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementIWXCass33 min
May 2, 9:46 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementIWXBerrien29 min
May 2, 9:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXBerrien48 min
May 2, 10:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXBerrien, Cass, Saint Joseph51 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Indiana, 2018Every special weather statement in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.