Severe Thunderstorm Warning 4, NWS Northern Indiana

849 
WWUS53 KIWX 030017
SVSIWX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
817 PM EDT WED MAY 2 2018

INC039-087-113-141-MIC149-030045-
/O.CON.KIWX.SV.W.0004.000000T0000Z-180503T0045Z/
Elkhart IN-Noble IN-St. Joseph IN-Lagrange IN-St. Joseph MI-
817 PM EDT WED MAY 2 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM EDT
FOR ELKHART...NORTHERN NOBLE...NORTHEASTERN ST. JOSEPH...LAGRANGE AND
SOUTHERN ST. JOSEPH COUNTIES...

At 815 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Middlebury, or
9 miles east of Goshen, moving east at 70 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...At 815 PM EDT the public reported dime sized hail in 
         Elkhart. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect considerable 
         tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to mobile homes, 
         roofs, and outbuildings. 

Locations impacted include...
South Bend, Elkhart, Mishawaka, Goshen, Sturgis, Lagrange, Wakarusa, 
and Shipshewana.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4178 8532 4159 8519 4151 8519 4149 8595
      4148 8606 4152 8618 4170 8625 4177 8577
TIME...MOT...LOC 0015Z 266DEG 59KT 4163 8567 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

Brown

973 
WWUS53 KIWX 030040
SVSIWX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
840 PM EDT WED MAY 2 2018

INC141-030049-
/O.CAN.KIWX.SV.W.0004.000000T0000Z-180503T0045Z/
St. Joseph IN-
840 PM EDT WED MAY 2 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN ST. JOSEPH COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 4178 8532 4159 8519 4151 8519 4150 8557
      4157 8563 4171 8571 4177 8577
TIME...MOT...LOC 0039Z 266DEG 59KT 4166 8514 

$$

INC039-087-113-MIC149-030045-
/O.CON.KIWX.SV.W.0004.000000T0000Z-180503T0045Z/
Elkhart IN-Noble IN-Lagrange IN-St. Joseph MI-
840 PM EDT WED MAY 2 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM EDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN ELKHART...NORTHEASTERN NOBLE...LAGRANGE AND
SOUTHEASTERN ST. JOSEPH COUNTIES...

At 839 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 7 miles west of
Angola, moving east at 70 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Law Enforcement. Reports of trees and power lines down have 
         been reported with this line of storms in the South Bend 
         and Mishawaka area as they moved through. 

IMPACT...Expect considerable tree damage. Damage is likely to mobile 
         homes, roofs, and outbuildings. 

Locations impacted include...
Sturgis, Lagrange, Middlebury, Topeka, Scott, Wolcottville,
Shipshewana, Honeyville, Stroh, Brighton, Indianola, Brushy Prairie,
Woodruff, Elmira, Big Long Lake, Eddy, Adams Lake, Oliver Lake, Howe
and Plato.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4178 8532 4159 8519 4151 8519 4150 8557
      4157 8563 4171 8571 4177 8577
TIME...MOT...LOC 0039Z 266DEG 59KT 4166 8514 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

FISHER

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
734 PM EDT Wed May 2 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 322 PM EDT Wed May 2 2018

A wet period is just ahead with periodic chances for showers and
storms from tonight through Friday, with storms ending early
Friday evening. A few strong to severe thunderstorms are possible,
but widespread severe weather is not expected. Highs will be in
the 70s Thursday through Saturday, then a little cooler Sunday
with highs from 65 to around 70. Little if any rain is expected
this weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Friday)
Issued at 317 PM EDT Wed May 2 2018

Moisture has really increased from the south this afternoon with
dew points climbing to around 60 degrees most areas. Any fire
weather issues will end tonight with a widespread rain. Given
moisture increasing from the south with steeper mid level lapse
rates, surface based CAPEs per SPC analysis had climbed to around
1500 J/Kg over the southern sections of northern Indiana this
afternoon. A stray shower or storm is possible over these area;
however, better chances for showers & storms will be tonight as
upstream convection organizes and moves east along a strong but
slowly moving front. Severe weather parameters appear marginal
tonight through Friday. The Storm Prediction Center has maintained
a marginal risk for severe storms into Friday in this regard.
There may be a break in the showers and storms Thursday before the
second wave moves across the area late Thursday into Friday.
Precipitable water values will rise above 1.5 inches per GFS and
be close to climate maxes for this time of year through Thursday
night. Widespread rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches are
likely by late Friday. Locally heavy rainfall and rises on rivers
are likely with some rivers possibly flooding.

&&

.LONG TERM...(Friday Night through Wednesday)
Issued at 317 PM EDT Wed May 2 2018

A tranquil period is ahead for the weekend into early next week.
There is a good chance a weak system will bring some showers
Sunday, but the rest of the period from Saturday through next
Wednesday should be dry with temperatures close to normal.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Thursday Evening)
Issued at 734 PM EDT Wed May 2 2018

VFR through the overnight although continued and sustained moisture
advection into the area along with numerous showers/thunderstorms
will eventually yield MVFR cigs aft daybreak Thu. Thereafter should
remain dry/stable until late aftn/early eve before next chc tsra
takes shape.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...NONE.
MI...NONE.
OH...NONE.
LM...NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS...Skipper
SHORT TERM...Skipper
LONG TERM...Skipper
AVIATION...T

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Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
519 PM EDT Wed May 2 2018

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-
015-016-024-025-031000-
La Porte-St. Joseph IN-Elkhart-Lagrange-Steuben-Noble-De Kalb-Starke-
Pulaski-Marshall-Fulton IN-Kosciusko-Whitley-Allen IN-White-Cass IN-
Miami-Wabash-Huntington-Wells-Adams-Grant-Blackford-Jay-Berrien-
Cass MI-St. Joseph MI-Branch-Hillsdale-Williams-Fulton OH-Defiance-
Henry-Paulding-Putnam-Van Wert-Allen OH-
519 PM EDT Wed May 2 2018 /419 PM CDT Wed May 2 2018/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southwest
Michigan...northern Indiana and northwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms tonight. A few storms may
approach severe limits with hail up to 1 inch and wind gusts to 60
mph this evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Additional chances for thunderstorms exist toward Thursday evening
and again Friday afternoon. A few strong storms are possible each
period with an isolated severe risk possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters may be needed this evening.

&&

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for further details or updates...or
check our web site at weather.gov/iwx

LMZ043-046-031000-
New Buffalo MI to St Joseph MI-Michigan City IN to New Buffalo MI-
519 PM EDT Wed May 2 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of The Nearshore
Waters of Southeastern Lake Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

A few southwest gusts to 25 knots are possible this evening.

Scattered to numerous are expected through evening. A strong to
severe thunderstorm is possible this evening with gusty winds in
excess of 35 knots and hail up to 1 inch in diameter.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Conditions hazardous to small craft may develop Thursday night into
early Friday.

Additional chances for thunderstorms exist Thursday afternoon and
evening with an isolated strong to severe thunderstorm possible.

&&

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for further details or updates...or
check our web site at weather.gov/iwx

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
700 PM EDT WED MAY 2 2018

INZ007-MIZ080-081-022330-
Steuben-Branch-Hillsdale-
700 PM EDT WED MAY 2 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN STEUBEN...
SOUTHEASTERN BRANCH AND HILLSDALE COUNTIES...

At 700 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Reading, or 12
miles southwest of Hillsdale, moving east at 50 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Hillsdale, Hudson, Somerset, Cambria, Camden, and North Adams.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 69 in Michigan between mile markers 1 and 8.
 Interstate 80 in Indiana between mile markers 147 and 151.

LAT...LON 4181 8436 4167 8492 4185 8506 4207 8440
      4207 8436
TIME...MOT...LOC 2300Z 249DEG 43KT 4181 8482

NWS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
711 PM EDT WED MAY 2 2018

INZ017-018-022345-
Whitley-Allen-
711 PM EDT WED MAY 2 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT WEST CENTRAL ALLEN AND
SOUTHEASTERN WHITLEY COUNTIES...

At 711 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near South Whitley,
or near Columbia City, moving northeast at 35 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Fort Wayne, Columbia City, Washington Center, Arcola, Dunfee,
and Collins.

This includes Interstate 69 in Indiana between mile markers 303 and
310.

LAT...LON 4111 8560 4122 8533 4110 8513 4101 8533
      4100 8538 4100 8555
TIME...MOT...LOC 2311Z 247DEG 30KT 4106 8551

NWS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
729 PM EDT WED MAY 2 2018

MIZ081-030000-
Hillsdale-
729 PM EDT WED MAY 2 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN HILLSDALE COUNTY...

At 728 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Hillsdale,
moving northeast at 45 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Hillsdale, Hudson, Jonesville, Osseo and Somerset Center.

LAT...LON 4205 8436 4186 8436 4180 8457 4207 8473
      4207 8437
TIME...MOT...LOC 2328Z 246DEG 40KT 4193 8454

NWS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
744 PM EDT WED MAY 2 2018

INZ004-005-014-030015-
St. Joseph-Marshall-Elkhart-
744 PM EDT WED MAY 2 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN ELKHART...CENTRAL
ST. JOSEPH AND NORTH CENTRAL MARSHALL COUNTIES...

At 743 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Lakeville, or
near Gulivoire Park, moving northeast at 45 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
South Bend, Elkhart, Mishawaka, Goshen, Granger, Osceola, and Wyatt.

This includes Interstate 80 in Indiana between mile markers 85 and
88.

LAT...LON 4141 8631 4158 8647 4175 8607 4163 8586
TIME...MOT...LOC 2343Z 235DEG 39KT 4153 8630

NWS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
751 PM EDT WED MAY 2 2018

MIZ080-081-030015-
Branch-Hillsdale-
751 PM EDT WED MAY 2 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN BRANCH AND WEST
CENTRAL HILLSDALE COUNTIES...

At 750 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Bronson, or 8
miles southwest of Coldwater, moving northeast at 30 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Coldwater, Marble Lake, and Coldwater Lake.

This includes Interstate 69 in Michigan between mile markers 2 and
17.

LAT...LON 4203 8492 4187 8472 4176 8501 4176 8514
      4187 8521
TIME...MOT...LOC 2350Z 237DEG 28KT 4184 8509

NWS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
758 PM EDT WED MAY 2 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0757 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 SW KNOX               41.27N 86.65W
05/02/2018  E56 MPH          STARKE             IN   PUBLIC

            NO HAIL WITH STORM VIA TWITTER.

&&

GH