Severe Thunderstorm Warning 71, NWS Wichita, KS

904 
WWUS53 KICT 150457
SVSICT

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1157 PM CDT MON MAY 14 2018

KSC125-133-205-150506-
/O.CAN.KICT.SV.W.0071.000000T0000Z-180515T0515Z/
Wilson KS-Neosho KS-Montgomery KS-
1157 PM CDT MON MAY 14 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN WILSON...SOUTHERN
NEOSHO AND MONTGOMERY COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until midnight CDT for
southeastern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3700 9551 3718 9552 3738 9552 3738 9508
      3735 9507 3700 9508
TIME...MOT...LOC 0456Z 281DEG 24KT 3737 9530 3692 9543 

$$

KSC099-150515-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0071.000000T0000Z-180515T0515Z/
Labette KS-
1157 PM CDT MON MAY 14 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 AM CDT
FOR LABETTE COUNTY...

At 1156 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Parsons to 10 miles south of Edna, moving east at
30 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, trees and localized 
         flooding. 

Locations impacted include...
Parsons, Oswego, Chetopa, Altamont, Edna, Mound Valley, Bartlett,
Labette, Parsons Tri City Airport, Angola, Dennis and Big Hill Lake.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with these storms, and may lead to 
flash flooding. There have been a number of reports of two to three 
inches of rain with this storm. Do not drive your vehicle through 
flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3700 9551 3718 9552 3738 9552 3738 9508
      3735 9507 3700 9508
TIME...MOT...LOC 0456Z 281DEG 24KT 3737 9530 3692 9543 

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

METZGER

952 
WWUS53 KICT 150506
SVSICT

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1206 AM CDT TUE MAY 15 2018

KSC099-150516-
/O.EXP.KICT.SV.W.0071.000000T0000Z-180515T0515Z/
Labette KS-
1206 AM CDT TUE MAY 15 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR LABETTE COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT
1215 AM CDT...
            
The storms which prompted the warning have weakened below severe
limits, and no longer pose an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore the warning will be allowed to expire.  However heavy rain
is still possible with these thunderstorms.

LAT...LON 3700 9551 3718 9552 3738 9552 3738 9508
      3735 9507 3700 9508
TIME...MOT...LOC 0506Z 281DEG 24KT 3736 9522 3691 9535 

$$

METZGER

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
856 PM CDT Mon May 14 2018

.UPDATE...
Issued at 856 PM CDT Mon May 14 2018

Scattered strong/severe thunderstorms are ongoing across portions
of south-central and southeast Kansas. Activity is becoming most
widespread across south-central Kansas and also along the Turnpike
corridor across the Flint Hills, as the increasing low-level jet
impinges on the nearly stalled ENE-WSW oriented synoptic front,
along with numerous outflow boundary interactions. Continued
strong instability coupled with weak yet adequate deep layer shear
will continue to support a threat for large hail and damaging
winds for the next few hours. Another tornado or two cannot be
ruled out, especially across far southern KS, due to increased
effective helicity from the stronger low-level jet. However, the
overall severe threat should gradually diminish with time as
updrafts merge and instability decreases through late evening.

Another round of non-severe showers/thunderstorms may develop
and/or move in from western KS overnight into early Tuesday
morning, as 850-700mb warm/moist advection increases ahead of
subtle shortwave energy approaching from the west/northwest.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday night)
Issued at 307 PM CDT Mon May 14 2018

Early this afternoon, thunderstorms have begun to develop along
and south of a quasi-stationary front draped across the forecast
area. These storms have initially been in eastern Kansas, but as
convective inhibition continues to erode and enhanced convergence
ensues along the boundary, more storms are expected to initiate
this afternoon and evening. The primary threat area looks to be
south central and southeast Kansas, generally along and east of a
line from Kingman to Chase counties. This area is included in a
Severe Thunderstorm Watch in effect until 1000pm this evening,
though it is possible that some showers and non-severe storms
could linger after this time frame initially along the Oklahoma
border and later in central KS. Main concerns with any severe
storms that develop will be large hail up to the size of ping-pong
balls, damaging wind gusts up to 70 mph, frequent lightning, and
locally heavy rainfall, with rain rates of near 2 inches per hour
already observed in a couple of cells that moved through Greenwood
and Woodson counties.

Current thinking is that the surface front will slide southward
tomorrow, which should push the development of severe storms
further south into central and western Oklahoma and northern
Texas, though a few showers and thunderstorms are possible in
southern Kansas. A strong storm or two will be possible, but
widespread severe weather is not expected by Tuesday afternoon due
to much more stable air over Kansas versus locations further
south.

Wednesday and Thursday become much more tricky as the front sinks
even further south and then lifts back north on Thursday as an
upper low continues to dwell over the Central Great Basin.
Overall, thinking is that we should see a shot at a few scattered
showers or thunderstorms, but exact timing and areal coverage is
dicey to say the least

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Monday)
Issued at 307 PM CDT Mon May 14 2018

By Friday, the upper low over the western CONUS is progged to
begin lifting northward through the weekend. Ample low level
moisture will continue to be advected into the area bringing
lingering chances of showers with occasional embedded thunder
off and on throughout the weekend and into early next week.
Temperatures should remain above normal throughout the period
until at least Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Tuesday evening)
Issued at 802 PM CDT Mon May 14 2018

Scattered shower/thunderstorm clusters will continue through the
evening, most widespread generally along and southeast of the KS
Turnpike. The strongest activity will be capable of large hail,
damaging winds, frequent lightning and torrential rainfall.
Thinking storm intensity should tend to wane by late evening,
although persistent warm/moist advection due to increasing low-
level jet impinging on boundary across the area may lead to
additional shower/thunderstorm activity developing across western
KS and spreading east overnight.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    65  82  64  82 /  60  30  40  40
Hutchinson      62  80  61  81 /  40  30  30  40
Newton          63  80  63  81 /  50  30  30  40
ElDorado        64  81  63  81 /  70  30  30  40
Winfield-KWLD   65  82  63  83 /  70  30  40  40
Russell         58  79  58  80 /  20  10  10  40
Great Bend      59  79  59  80 /  30  10  20  30
Salina          61  80  61  82 /  30  20  20  40
McPherson       61  80  61  81 /  30  30  20  40
Coffeyville     68  83  65  83 /  50  30  30  40
Chanute         67  82  64  83 /  70  30  30  40
Iola            65  81  63  82 /  70  30  20  30
Parsons-KPPF    68  83  65  83 /  60  30  30  40

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

UPDATE...ADK
SHORT TERM...TAV
LONG TERM...TAV
AVIATION...ADK

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
922 PM CDT Mon May 14 2018

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-160230-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
922 PM CDT Mon May 14 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms will continue through the
evening across portions of south-central and southeast Kansas. The
strongest activity will be capable of large hail, damaging winds,
very heavy rain and localized flooding. The severe threat will
gradually wane by late evening, although small hail, gusty winds and
heavy rain will remain a concern past midnight.

Another area of non-severe showers and thunderstorms may move into
or develop across portions of central and south-central Kansas
overnight. Brief heavy rain and small hail will be the main threats
if this activity can materialize.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Periodic hit-or-miss thunderstorms remain possible Tuesday through
Wednesday night, and again Friday through Saturday night. While
organized severe weather appears unlikely, strong to marginally
severe storms are possible with any of this activity.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will be needed through late this evening across
mainly south-central and southeast Kansas.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
http://weather.gov/wichita/hwo/

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1039 PM CDT MON MAY 14 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1030 PM     HAIL             BENTON                  37.79N 97.11W
05/14/2018  E1.00 INCH       Butler             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

RBL

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1046 PM CDT MON MAY 14 2018

KSZ053-069-070-150430-
Butler KS-Greenwood KS-Chase KS-
1046 PM CDT MON MAY 14 2018

The National Weather Service in Wichita has issued a

* Significant Weather Advisory for...
  Northern Butler County in south central Kansas...
  Northwestern Greenwood County in southeastern Kansas...
  Southern Chase County in east central Kansas...

* Until 1130 PM CDT

* At 1044 PM CDT...National Weather Service meteorologists were
  tracking a strong thunderstorm 8 miles east of Potwin, or 8 miles
  north of El Dorado...moving northeast at 35 mph.

Hail up to the size of nickels...and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be
possible with this storm.

* Locations impacted include...
  El Dorado, Towanda, Leon, Potwin, Hamilton, Burns, Rosalia,
  Cassoday, Bazaar, Matfield Green, El Dorado State Park, Thrall,
  Wonsevu, El Dorado Airport, El Dorado Lake and Eureka City Lake.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be prepared to take shelter in the event the storms intensify and
become severe...or a warning is issued by the National Weather
Service.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until midnight CDT for
south central, southeastern and east central Kansas.

LAT...LON 3775 9703 3792 9712 3809 9692 3809 9684
      3816 9684 3837 9659 3799 9611 3768 9678
TIME...MOT...LOC 0345Z 226DEG 74KT 3795 9687

VAUGHAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1047 PM CDT MON MAY 14 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1010 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 NNE THAYER            37.51N 95.46W
05/14/2018  M59 MPH          NEOSHO             KS   MESONET

&&

RBL

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1104 PM CDT MON MAY 14 2018

KSZ083-150430-
Sedgwick KS-
1104 PM CDT MON MAY 14 2018

The National Weather Service in Wichita has issued a

* Significant Weather Advisory for...
  Southern Sedgwick County in south central Kansas...

* Until 1130 PM CDT

* At 1104 PM CDT...National Weather Service meteorologists were
  tracking a strong thunderstorm near Clearwater...moving northeast
  at 30 mph.

hail up to the size of nickels...and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be
possible with this storm.

* Locations impacted include...
  Wichita, Derby, Haysville, Goddard, Clearwater, Downtown Wichita,
  West Wichita, Eisenhower National Airport, Mcconnell Air Force
  Base, South Wichita, Lake Afton and Oaklawn.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until midnight CDT for
south central Kansas.

LAT...LON 3760 9767 3778 9738 3756 9719 3747 9747
      3748 9757
TIME...MOT...LOC 0404Z 237DEG 27KT 3757 9754

MCGUIRE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1111 PM CDT MON MAY 14 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1010 PM     HAIL             4 E CHANUTE             37.67N 95.39W
05/14/2018  E1.00 INCH       NEOSHO             KS   CO-OP OBSERVER

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL FOR 10 FULL MINTUES.

&&

RBL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1113 PM CDT MON MAY 14 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1110 PM     HAIL             5 WNW CLEARWATER        37.53N 97.58W
05/14/2018  E0.75 INCH       SEDGWICK           KS   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

RBL