Severe Thunderstorm Warning 56, NWS Wichita, KS

091 
WWUS53 KICT 150049 RRA
SVSICT

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
749 PM CDT MON MAY 14 2018

KSC015-150059-
/O.CAN.KICT.SV.W.0056.000000T0000Z-180515T0130Z/
Butler KS-
749 PM CDT MON MAY 14 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN BUTLER COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
south central Kansas.

LAT...LON 3739 9713 3747 9712 3747 9665 3729 9666
TIME...MOT...LOC 0049Z 281DEG 15KT 3743 9692 

$$

KSC035-150130-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0056.000000T0000Z-180515T0130Z/
Cowley KS-
749 PM CDT MON MAY 14 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM CDT
FOR NORTHERN COWLEY COUNTY...

At 749 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 8 miles southeast of
Douglass, moving east at 15 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Udall, Burden, Atlanta, Rock, Cambridge and Winfield City Lake. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3739 9713 3747 9712 3747 9665 3729 9666
TIME...MOT...LOC 0049Z 281DEG 15KT 3743 9692 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

MCGUIRE

192 
WWUS53 KICT 150100
SVSICT

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
800 PM CDT MON MAY 14 2018

KSC035-150109-
/O.CAN.KICT.SV.W.0056.000000T0000Z-180515T0130Z/
Cowley KS-
800 PM CDT MON MAY 14 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN COWLEY COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore the warning has been cancelled.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
south central Kansas.

LAT...LON 3739 9713 3747 9712 3747 9665 3729 9666
TIME...MOT...LOC 0058Z 273DEG 13KT 3743 9687 

$$

MCGUIRE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
357 PM CDT Mon May 14 2018

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday night)
Issued at 307 PM CDT Mon May 14 2018

Early this afternoon, thunderstorms have begun to develop along
and south of a quasi-stationary front draped across the forecast
area. These storms have initially been in eastern Kansas, but as
convective inhibition continues to erode and enhanced convergence
ensues along the boundary, more storms are expected to initiate
this afternoon and evening. The primary threat area looks to be
south central and southeast Kansas, generally along and east of a
line from Kingman to Chase counties. This area is included in a
Severe Thunderstorm Watch in effect until 1000pm this evening,
though it is possible that some showers and non-severe storms
could linger after this time frame initially along the Oklahoma
border and later in central KS. Main concerns with any severe
storms that develop will be large hail up to the size of ping-pong
balls, damaging wind gusts up to 70 mph, frequent lightning, and
locally heavy rainfall, with rain rates of near 2 inches per hour
already observed in a couple of cells that moved through Greenwood
and Woodson counties.

Current thinking is that the surface front will slide southward
tomorrow, which should push the development of severe storms
further south into central and western Oklahoma and northern
Texas, though a few showers and thunderstorms are possible in
southern Kansas. A strong storm or two will be possible, but
widespread severe weather is not expected by Tuesday afternoon due
to much more stable air over Kansas versus locations further
south.

Wednesday and Thursday become much more tricky as the front sinks
even further south and then lifts back north on Thursday as an
upper low continues to dwell over the Central Great Basin.
Overall, thinking is that we should see a shot at a few scattered
showers or thunderstorms, but exact timing and areal coverage is
dicey to say the least

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Monday)
Issued at 307 PM CDT Mon May 14 2018

By Friday, the upper low over the western CONUS is progged to
begin lifting northward through the weekend. Ample low level
moisture will continue to be advected into the area bringing
lingering chances of showers with occasional embedded thunder
off and on throughout the weekend and into early next week.
Temperatures should remain above normal throughout the period
until at least Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday afternoon)
Issued at 1225 PM CDT Mon May 14 2018

Scattered strong to severe convection will develop along a nearly
stationary front sagging very slowly south into south central
Kansas and the Flint Hills late this afternoon and evening. The
front will move south a bit more as a weak cold front tonight
with north to northeast surface winds and lowering CIGS expected
later tonight with some MVFR category. Some elevated convection is
possible as well north of the front.

KED

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    64  82  64  82 /  60  30  40  40
Hutchinson      62  80  61  81 /  40  30  30  40
Newton          63  80  63  81 /  50  30  30  40
ElDorado        64  81  63  81 /  60  30  30  40
Winfield-KWLD   65  82  63  83 /  70  30  40  40
Russell         57  79  58  80 /  30  10  10  40
Great Bend      58  79  59  80 /  30  10  20  30
Salina          61  80  61  82 /  30  20  20  40
McPherson       61  80  61  81 /  30  30  20  40
Coffeyville     67  83  65  83 /  60  30  30  40
Chanute         66  82  64  83 /  60  30  30  40
Iola            66  81  63  82 /  60  30  20  30
Parsons-KPPF    67  83  65  83 /  60  30  30  40

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...TAV
LONG TERM...TAV
AVIATION...KED

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
354 PM CDT Mon May 14 2018

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-152100-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
354 PM CDT Mon May 14 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to develop
late this afternoon along and just south of a nearly stationary
front. The most likely area for stronger and severe storms to
develop will be south central and southeast Kansas, where a Severe
Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 10pm this evening. The
strongest storms will be capable of large hail up to ping-pong ball
size and damaging down-burst winds up to 70 mph. In addition, high
rainfall rates will be likely with the more intense storms this
evening, which may lead to some localized flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Storms will be possible Tuesday through Wednesday night and again
Friday through Saturday night. Strong storms will be possible with
any of this activity.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed through 10pm across south central
and southeast Kansas.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
http://weather.gov/wichita/hwo/

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
654 PM CDT MON MAY 14 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0650 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 N ARKANSAS CITY       37.10N 97.04W
05/14/2018                   COWLEY             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            POWER POLES DOWNED ON 41ST ROAD.

&&

KED

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
655 PM CDT MON MAY 14 2018

KSZ053-070-150030-
Greenwood KS-Chase KS-
655 PM CDT MON MAY 14 2018

The National Weather Service in Wichita has issued a

* Significant Weather Advisory for...
  Northwestern Greenwood County in southeastern Kansas...
  Chase County in east central Kansas...

* Until 730 PM CDT

* At 653 PM CDT...National Weather Service Doppler radar was tracking
  a strong thunderstorm with locally heavy rainfall 7 miles northeast
  of Burns, or 10 miles southeast of Florence...moving northeast at
  50 mph.

Hail up to the size of nickels...and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be
possible with this storm.

* Locations impacted include...
  Cottonwood Falls, Strong City, Bazaar, Elmdale, Matfield Green,
  Cedar Point, Hymer, Saffordville, Wonsevu, Tallgrass Prairie and
  Tallgrass Prairie Preserve.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
southeastern and east central Kansas.

LAT...LON 3852 9636 3817 9636 3817 9613 3806 9652
      3809 9652 3809 9684 3835 9684 3835 9682
      3840 9682 3852 9666
TIME...MOT...LOC 2354Z 240DEG 44KT 3816 9678

VAUGHAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
656 PM CDT MON MAY 14 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0649 PM     HAIL             6 N ARKANSAS CITY       37.16N 97.04W
05/14/2018  E2.00 INCH       COWLEY             KS   PUBLIC

            MPING.

&&

KED

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
706 PM CDT MON MAY 14 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0626 PM     HAIL             WINFIELD                37.27N 96.97W
05/14/2018  E0.75 INCH       Cowley             KS   PUBLIC

            VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

&&

KED

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
716 PM CDT MON MAY 14 2018

KSZ069-093-150045-
Butler KS-Cowley KS-
716 PM CDT MON MAY 14 2018

The National Weather Service in Wichita has issued a

* Significant Weather Advisory for...
  Southwestern Butler County in south central Kansas...
  Northwestern Cowley County in south central Kansas...

* Until 745 PM CDT

* At 716 PM CDT...National Weather Service meteorologists were
  tracking a strong thunderstorm near Udall...moving east at 20 mph.

hail up to the size of nickels...and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be
possible with this storm.

* Locations impacted include...
  Douglass, Udall, Atlanta, Rock and Winfield City Lake.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be prepared to take shelter in the event the storms intensify and
become severe...or a warning is issued by the National Weather
Service.

&&

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
south central Kansas.

LAT...LON 3736 9715 3754 9715 3760 9678 3733 9676
TIME...MOT...LOC 0016Z 267DEG 18KT 3746 9709

MCGUIRE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
720 PM CDT MON MAY 14 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0705 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 E CASSODAY            38.04N 96.62W
05/14/2018                   BUTLER             KS   BROADCAST MEDIA

            DAMAGE TO SHEDS FROM VIEWER.

&&

KED