Severe Thunderstorm Warning 89, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

095 
WWUS52 KGSP 032124
SVSGSP

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
524 PM EDT SUN JUN 3 2018

NCC021-089-032145-
/O.CON.KGSP.SV.W.0089.000000T0000Z-180603T2145Z/
Henderson NC-Buncombe NC-
524 PM EDT SUN JUN 3 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM EDT
FOR HENDERSON AND SOUTH CENTRAL BUNCOMBE COUNTIES...

At 524 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 7 miles northwest of
Hendersonville, or near Mills River, moving southeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind 
         damage to trees and power lines.

Locations impacted include...
Hendersonville, Arden, Mills River, Fletcher, Flat Rock, Etowah,
Mountain Home, Laurel Park, B.R. Parkway-Mount Pisgah To The Nc
Arboretum and Asheville Airport.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A few trees and power lines will be blown down in the warned area.
Hail can cause major property damage, especially to vehicles. Seek
shelter inside an interior room.

Please report damaging winds, hail, or flooding to the National
Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg by calling toll free, 1, 800,
2 6 7, 8 1 0 1, or by posting on our Facebook page, or Tweet it using
hashtag nwsgsp. Your message should describe the event and the
specific location where it occurred.

&&

LAT...LON 3542 8227 3541 8227 3539 8226 3520 8241
      3519 8242 3539 8271 3542 8274 3545 8271
      3549 8263 3549 8254
TIME...MOT...LOC 2124Z 314DEG 14KT 3540 8256 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

MOORE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
257 PM EDT Sun Jun 3 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
A well-deserved drier and seasonably warm airmass arrives to begin
the work week.  Only isolated showers and thunderstorms are expected
on Wednesday as a cold front settles into the area from the north.
Drier and seasonable conditions return for Thursday behind the
front before temperatures, humidity, and chances for showers and
thunderstorms increase Friday through Sunday as another cold front
approaches the region.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 255 PM Sunday: Another warm day has evolved across
northeast GA and the western Carolinas, as latest obs are
showing temperatures well into the mid to upper 80s. With an
upper trough moving across the Great Lakes region and it's
associated cold front draped down through eastern KY/TN and into
AL/LA, expect another late afternoon/evening of isolated to
scattered convection as the front propagates from west to east
this evening into tonight. Latest radar imagery already shows a
few isolated showers and thunderstorms that have developed
across the mountains and Upstate within the past hour. With
continued downslope flow, a developing leeside trough, SB CAPE
1500-2500 J/kg, steep low level lapse rates and 0-6km bulk shear
up to 30 kts across portions of the area - the potential for a
few severe thunderstorms will continue across the western half
of the CWA into early this evening.

With the loss of daytime heating, expect convection to wane as it
nears the I-77 corridor this evening, though would not entirely rule
out a few showers/thunderstorms reaching the CLT area before all is
said and done. The cold front will push through tonight, allowing
for drier air to infiltrate in with sfc high pressure building in
from the west for the beginning of the work week. Expect Monday will
be the first rain-free day that we've seen in awhile across the area
with plenty of sunshine and temperatures around to just above normal.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 230 PM Sunday: Dry and comparatively cool weather is
expected to continue through the first half of the short term,
as an upper trough axis persists along the East Coast. A weak
boundary dropping into the area from the north on Wednesday may
provide a focus for some isolated diurnal convection, although
guidance is in rather good agreement that moisture and
instability will be difficult to come by. Temps will be near to
slightly below normal through Tue night, warming to slightly
above normal Wed afternoon.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 245 PM Sunday: By Wednesday evening, the longwave trough
axis will be east of the region with the post-frontal surface high
pressure center moving off the Mid-Atlantic coastline.  The surface
ridge axis will settle across the area into Thursday while heights
gradually build aloft as the Southern Plains heat ridge slowly
builds eastward.  Weak low-level flow and the upper-level ridge axis
overhead should work to limit convection on Thursday, and while the
official forecast keeps the area completely dry per the ECMWF and
Canadian solutions, the GFS is a little faster in veering surface
winds SEly and advecting enough flow and moisture to trigger some
afternoon convection.  Nevertheless, high temperatures are expected
to near normal on Thursday before the airmass begins to modify as
the upper-level ridge axis strengthens and southerly flow returns.
This should allow isolated to widely scattered diurnal convection
to return for Friday afternoon as a strong shortwave drops into
the Midwest embedded within the NW flow aloft.  The associated
cold front will sag into the Ohio Valley on Saturday as a repeat
convective performance is expected across the area; however,
by Sunday, moisture pooling ahead of the front combined with the
proximity of the front and aforementioned shortwave energy will
bring better chances for showers and thunderstorms across the
region.  At this time there is decent model agreement on dropping
the front into the area from north to south near the end of the
period or Monday morning.  In the meantime, given the pattern,
high temperatures will be slightly above normal for the weekend
with increasing humidity.  As dewpoints approach 70 degrees,
low temperatures, therefore, will become somewhat uncomfortable
Friday night through Sunday night.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
At KCLT and elsewhere: VFR prevails at all TAF sites this
afternoon with WNW winds and a healthy, growing CU field across the
FA as seen from latest satellite imagery. With a cold front draped
down through eastern TN/KY and back into NW AL, convection has
already begun to fire along this boundary. Expect this activity to
move from west to east as the cold front begins pushing across the
FA later this afternoon, starting within the next few hours. Expect
convection will wane into the evening hours as it approaches KCLT
around 01/02Z. Flight restrictions may briefly drop to MVFR in any
heavy downpours/stronger storms that move over a TAF site. Behind
the front, VFR will prevail through the remainder of the valid TAF
period as NW/downslope winds will persist with drier air
infiltrating in. Sfc high pressure building in from the west will
dominate the weather pattern through at least Monday evening. With
elevated boundary layer winds, do not anticipate fog development
overnight.

Outlook: Increasing chances for VCSH/VCTS towards the end of the
week. Otherwise, expect VFR.

Confidence Table...

            19-01Z        01-07Z        07-13Z        13-18Z
KCLT       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
KGSP       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
KAVL       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
KHKY       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
KGMU       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
KAND       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%

The percentage reflects the number of guidance members agreeing
with the scheduled TAF issuance flight rule category. Complete hourly
experimental aviation forecast consistency tables and ensemble forecasts
are available at the following link:

www.weather.gov/gsp/aviation

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...None.
NC...None.
SC...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JMP
NEAR TERM...SGL
SHORT TERM...JDL
LONG TERM...JMP
AVIATION...SGL

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
430 AM EDT Sun Jun 3 2018

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-
068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-040830-
Rabun-Habersham-Stephens-Franklin-Hart-Elbert-Avery-Alexander-
Iredell-Davie-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe-Catawba-
Rowan-Graham-Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson-Transylvania-
Henderson-Cleveland-Lincoln-Gaston-Mecklenburg-Cabarrus-Union-
Caldwell Mountains-Greater Caldwell-Burke Mountains-Greater Burke-
McDowell Mountains-Eastern McDowell-Rutherford Mountains-
Greater Rutherford-Polk Mountains-Eastern Polk-Oconee Mountains-
Pickens Mountains-Greenville Mountains-Greater Oconee-
Greater Pickens-Greater Greenville-Spartanburg-Cherokee-York-
Anderson-Abbeville-Laurens-Chester-Greenwood-
430 AM EDT Sun Jun 3 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Georgia, piedmont
North Carolina, western North Carolina and upstate South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop across the area this
afternoon and evening. Some of these storms will become severe with
damaging wind gusts and large hail. Gusty winds, cloud to ground
lightning, and brief, heavy rainfall will be possible with any
storm.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

..Monday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Tuesday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Wednesday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Thursday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Friday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Saturday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

None.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
400 PM EDT SUN JUN 3 2018

SCZ002-005-006-032030-
Pickens Mountains SC-Greater Pickens SC-Greater Greenville SC-
400 PM EDT SUN JUN 3 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL GREENVILLE AND
NORTHEASTERN PICKENS COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM EDT...

At 400 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 6
miles north of Easley, moving southeast at 25 mph.

Locations to be impacted include...
Easley, Pickens, Greenville Downtown, Berea, Cherrydale Point, Furman
University, Welcome, West Greenville, Pumpkintown and Dacusville.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail will be possible in these
areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio and tv
stations, as well as local cable tv outlets for additional
information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3493 8272 3501 8266 3501 8254 3500 8254
      3498 8253 3498 8255 3497 8253 3498 8249
      3487 8238 3475 8263
TIME...MOT...LOC 2000Z 331DEG 20KT 3491 8258

MOORE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
437 PM EDT SUN JUN 3 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0435 PM     HAIL             5 NNE AVALON            34.57N 83.17W
06/03/2018  E1.00 INCH       STEPHENS           GA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER REPORTS QUARTER SIZE HAIL ON THE GEORGIA SIDE OF
            LAKE HARTWELL.

&&

KRENTZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
443 PM EDT SUN JUN 3 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0442 PM     HAIL             5 NNE AVALON            34.57N 83.17W
06/03/2018  E1.50 INCH       STEPHENS           GA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER REPORTS PING PONG SIZE HAIL.

&&

KRENTZ

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
443 PM EDT SUN JUN 3 2018

NCZ048-032130-
Madison NC-
443 PM EDT SUN JUN 3 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT MADISON COUNTY UNTIL 530 PM
EDT...

At 443 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 13
miles south of Greeneville, or 7 miles northwest of Hot Springs,
moving southeast at 25 mph.

Locations to be impacted include...
Marshall, Mars Hill, Hot Springs, Allenstand, Walnut, Luck, Spring
Creek and Canto.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail will be possible in these
areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Gusty winds can blow down trees that are dead, or that have weakened
root systems. Outdoor furniture and similar items can be tossed
around if not anchored. Seek shelter indoors.

&&

LAT...LON 3583 8247 3569 8282 3570 8284 3583 8294
      3584 8292 3587 8292 3588 8290 3593 8292
      3593 8290 3594 8290 3595 8287 3595 8285
      3592 8282 3593 8281 3597 8278 3599 8279
      3600 8277
TIME...MOT...LOC 2043Z 313DEG 23KT 3598 8291

LANE

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
447 PM EDT SUN JUN 3 2018

NCZ051-058-059-032130-
Graham NC-Swain NC-Northern Jackson NC-
447 PM EDT SUN JUN 3 2018

...A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN
JACKSON... SWAIN AND GRAHAM COUNTIES UNTIL 530 PM EDT...

At 445 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated the leading edge of a cluster
of strong thunderstorms along a line extending from 14 miles
northwest of Bryson City to 11 miles north of Robbinsville to 13
miles east of Madisonville, and moving southeast at 30 mph.

Locations to be impacted include...
Bryson City, Robbinsville, Cherokee, Smoky Mountains-Deep Creek,
Lake Santeetlah, Fontana Lake, Fontana Village and Smoky
Mountains-Twentymile Creek.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail will be possible in these
areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Gusty winds can blow down trees that are dead, or that have weakened
root systems. Outdoor furniture and similar items can be tossed
around if not anchored. Seek shelter indoors.

Lake Santeetlah and Fontana Lake are in the path of these storms.
Cloud to ground lightning and gusty winds will create dangerous
boating conditions. Move to shore immediately.

&&

LAT...LON 3546 8396 3547 8392 3552 8387 3553 8382
      3556 8377 3557 8363 3558 8361 3556 8358
      3557 8353 3545 8319 3532 8343 3527 8382
      3541 8402
TIME...MOT...LOC 2045Z 293DEG 26KT 3553 8368 3549 8387 3553 8412

LANE

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
448 PM EDT SUN JUN 3 2018

NCZ052-053-064-065-032115-
Buncombe NC-Transylvania NC-Haywood NC-Henderson NC-
448 PM EDT SUN JUN 3 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTH CENTRAL TRANSYLVANIA...
NORTHWESTERN HENDERSON...SOUTHEASTERN HAYWOOD AND SOUTHWESTERN
BUNCOMBE COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM EDT...

At 448 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles east of Waynesville, or 5 miles south of Canton, moving
southeast at 20 mph.

Locations to be impacted include...
B.R. Parkway-Mount Pisgah To The Nc Arboretum, Mount Pisgah, Canton,
Bent Creek, Looking Glass, B.R. Parkway-Black Balsam To Mount Pisgah,
Cruso and Sunburst.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail will be possible in these
areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio and tv
stations, as well as local cable tv outlets for additional
information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3541 8296 3553 8290 3550 8260 3528 8273
TIME...MOT...LOC 2048Z 293DEG 19KT 3546 8286

MOORE