Severe Thunderstorm Warning 154, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

689 
WWUS52 KGSP 252004
SVSGSP

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
404 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2018

NCC075-099-113-173-252045-
/O.CON.KGSP.SV.W.0154.000000T0000Z-180625T2045Z/
Macon NC-Jackson NC-Swain NC-Graham NC-
404 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM EDT
FOR MACON...NORTHWESTERN JACKSON...SWAIN AND GRAHAM COUNTIES...

At 403 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 6 miles southeast of Bryson City to 3 miles southeast
of Hayesville, moving east at 15 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind 
         damage to trees and power lines.

Locations impacted include...
Franklin, Bryson City, Robbinsville, Cherokee, Town Of Santeetlah,
Smoky Mountains-Newfound Gap, Smoky Mountains-Fontana Area, Lake
Santeetlah, Fontana Lake and Nantahala Lake.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Scattered trees and power lines will be blown down in the warned
area. Seek shelter inside an interior room.

Please report damaging winds, hail, or flooding to the National
Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg by calling toll free, 1, 800,
2 6 7, 8 1 0 1, or by posting on our Facebook page, or Tweet it using
hashtag nwsgsp. Your message should describe the event and the
specific location where it occurred.

&&

LAT...LON 3547 8393 3552 8388 3556 8377 3558 8360
      3556 8358 3556 8350 3561 8345 3564 8338
      3563 8318 3499 8343 3500 8352 3515 8365
      3515 8373 3519 8371 3520 8373 3523 8369
      3526 8371 3525 8385 3522 8396 3523 8399
TIME...MOT...LOC 2003Z 271DEG 14KT 3535 8338 3500 8379 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Carroll

872 
WWUS52 KGSP 252028
SVSGSP

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
428 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2018

NCC075-252037-
/O.CAN.KGSP.SV.W.0154.000000T0000Z-180625T2045Z/
Graham NC-
428 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR GRAHAM COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area, therefore the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM EDT for
northeastern Georgia...and western North Carolina.

LAT...LON 3519 8371 3520 8373 3523 8369 3537 8359
      3556 8350 3561 8345 3561 8341 3564 8338
      3563 8318 3499 8343 3500 8352 3502 8352
      3504 8355 3507 8357 3510 8361 3513 8362
      3513 8363 3515 8365 3515 8373
TIME...MOT...LOC 2027Z 271DEG 14KT 3535 8327 3500 8368 

$$

NCC099-113-173-252045-
/O.CON.KGSP.SV.W.0154.000000T0000Z-180625T2045Z/
Macon NC-Jackson NC-Swain NC-
428 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM EDT
FOR MACON...NORTHWESTERN JACKSON AND EASTERN SWAIN COUNTIES...

At 427 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 3 miles southwest of Sylva to 5 miles northeast of
Hiawassee, moving east at 15 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind 
         damage to trees and power lines.

Locations impacted include...
Franklin, Bryson City, Cherokee, Smoky Mountains-Deep Creek, Smoky
Mountains-Newfound Gap, Nantahala Lake, Smoky Mountains-Oconaluftee,
Wesser, Burningtown and Kyle.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Scattered trees and power lines will be blown down in the warned
area. Seek shelter inside an interior room.

Please report damaging winds, hail, or flooding to the National
Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg by calling toll free, 1, 800,
2 6 7, 8 1 0 1, or by posting on our Facebook page, or Tweet it using
hashtag nwsgsp. Your message should describe the event and the
specific location where it occurred.

&&

LAT...LON 3519 8371 3520 8373 3523 8369 3537 8359
      3556 8350 3561 8345 3561 8341 3564 8338
      3563 8318 3499 8343 3500 8352 3502 8352
      3504 8355 3507 8357 3510 8361 3513 8362
      3513 8363 3515 8365 3515 8373
TIME...MOT...LOC 2027Z 271DEG 14KT 3535 8327 3500 8368 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Carroll

356 
WWUS52 KGSP 252042
SVSGSP

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
442 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2018

NCC099-113-173-252052-
/O.EXP.KGSP.SV.W.0154.000000T0000Z-180625T2045Z/
Macon NC-Jackson NC-Swain NC-
442 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR MACON...NORTHWESTERN JACKSON
AND EASTERN SWAIN COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 445 PM EDT...
    
The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the area.
Therefore the warning will be allowed to expire.  However gusty winds
are still possible with these thunderstorms.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM EDT for
northeastern Georgia...and western North Carolina.

LAT...LON 3519 8371 3520 8373 3523 8369 3537 8359
      3556 8350 3561 8345 3561 8341 3564 8338
      3563 8318 3499 8343 3500 8352 3502 8352
      3504 8355 3507 8357 3510 8361 3513 8362
      3513 8363 3515 8365 3515 8373
TIME...MOT...LOC 2042Z 271DEG 14KT 3535 8321 3500 8362 

$$

Carroll

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
242 PM EDT Mon Jun 25 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
Scattered thunderstorms will impact the area again this afternoon
and evening with damaging winds possible. A weak cold front will
drop through the forecast area tonight, bringing more seasonable
temperatures Tuesday. A passing trough will increase chances for
showers and storms Wednesday, with hot weather returning to end the
week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 2pm EDT Monday.  Round of thunderstorms, some possibly severe,
is just beginning this afternoon across the CWA.  SBCAPE is good
with afternoon heating, though MLCAPE is more moderate.  Windshear
is moderate as well, and activity is being assisted by propagation
of upstream system. Per CAMs, thunder is anticipated to continue
through the evening, with activity becoming focused more to the east
after 7pm and ending after 10pm.  Upper flow is weak and westerly,
but a shortwave has developed in association with MCS propagating
into the area.  As system passes by this evening, surface trough
moves further off shore and surface ridge becomes established with
high pressure building-up east of the Appalachians in a warm-season
wedge set-up.  Sagging frontal boundary becomes a wedge front
Tuesday morning, bringing somewhat cooler air with low overcast
across the region.  Despite cooler and cloudy conditions on Tuesday
due to wedge, enough instability developes in the afternoon for some
thunderstorms, though with less coverage and intensity than ones
today.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 120 pm Monday: Cyclonic mid/upper tropospheric flow will
quickly return to the forecast area early in the short term, before
the upper trough axis shifts to the East Coast late in the period.
Surface boundary will be sliding south and west across the area at
the start of the period, with short term model guidance depicting
strong low level convergence along the boundary, along with not-too-
shabby warm sector instability (and it is a June front, so
instability extends for at least a couple of hundred miles to the
"cool" side of the boundary).  Meanwhile, with strong instability
still likely to develop Tue pm across the TN Valley, clusters of
convection will have plenty of opportunity to end up in our forecast
area through at least the first half or so of the period.
Slow-moving back door fronts this time of year are red flags for
potential flash flooding, as they provide ample opportunity for
training and/or anchored cells, and in fact the latest runs of the
GFS and NAM are signaling this potential in producing blobs of heavy
rainfall across the southern half of the area Tue evening.

Surface boundary will wash out and the air mass modify rather
quickly by mid-week, with strong instability likely developing
across the area Wed afternoon/evening, as the trough axis and
attendant front/surface trough are progressing across the TN Valley
and southern Appalachians. Another round of at least scattered
convection is therefore expected during this time, supporting 40-60
pops across the area. Increasing height gradient associated with
approaching trough will yield modest deep-layer shear, which should
be sufficient to allow some degree of convective organization posing
an enhanced threat of locally damaging winds. Increasing
anticyclonic flow aloft, along with lower theta-E area spilling into
the area should allow for a significant draw down in convective
activity Thu afternoon, although small chances for terrain-
influenced diurnal convection will still exist. Temps will be near
normal to begin the period, but return to several degrees above
climo by Thursday.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 130 PM EDT Monday: Mid level high pressure will be centered
over the eastern states for the extended period leading to continued
hot conditions with mainly diurnally driven showers and
thunderstorms. The hottest day of this period looks to be Friday
when the mid level high is closest overhead. The combination of the
actual temperature and the humidity will lead to peak heat indices
near 105 in the Piedmont region. As the high moves off to the
northeast of the area Saturday through next Monday, it will be
slightly less hot with peak heat indices 100 to 105 outside the
mountains.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
At KCLT and elsewhere: Thunderstorms with outflows approaching
severe limits are expected all areas this afternoon through the
evening as a complex of storms currently across KY/TN/AL/GA
propagates southeastward.  Weak front currently oriented northwest-
southeast across CLT may help provide additional focus at times, but
front is diffuse, and severe storms are possible all areas.  Thunder
moves west to east across the area, exiting after 2 or 3Z.  Gradual
southwest movement of front will continue to veer winds at KCLT,
though weakness of pressure gradient will keep winds light to
variable many locations.  Main trough associated with front moves
east, allowing a cold-air-damming surface high to bring
northeasterly winds and low-overcast into the area by early Tuesday
morning at KCLT, and other locations later.  Some light rain/drizzle
is expected behind the wedge front; and by Tuesday afternoon, models
develop some CAPE again, despite CAD conditions, giving some chance
for thunderstorms.

Outlook: Through midweek, a slow-moving or stalled front will
enhance coverage of SHRA/TSRA, mostly in the afternoon/evening.
Patchy morning fog and/or low stratus may increase as well in
mountain valleys and/or locations with wet ground.

Confidence Table...

            18-24Z        00-06Z        06-12Z        12-18Z
KCLT       High 100%     High 100%     Med   63%     High  85%
KGSP       High 100%     High  85%     Med   63%     High  80%
KAVL       High 100%     High  90%     Med   63%     High  85%
KHKY       High 100%     High  99%     Low   56%     Med   77%
KGMU       High 100%     High 100%     Med   61%     High  84%
KAND       High 100%     High 100%     Med   69%     High  92%

The percentage reflects the number of guidance members agreeing
with the scheduled TAF issuance flight rule category. Complete hourly
experimental aviation forecast consistency tables and ensemble forecasts
are available at the following link:

www.weather.gov/gsp/aviation

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...None.
NC...None.
SC...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...SW
NEAR TERM...WJM
SHORT TERM...JDL
LONG TERM...SW
AVIATION...WJM

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
109 PM EDT Mon Jun 25 2018

GAZ010-017-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-068-069-072-
501>510-261715-
Rabun-Habersham-Avery-Alexander-Iredell-Davie-Madison-Yancey-
Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe-Catawba-Rowan-Graham-
Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson-Transylvania-Henderson-
Cleveland-Lincoln-Cabarrus-Caldwell Mountains-Greater Caldwell-
Burke Mountains-Greater Burke-McDowell Mountains-Eastern McDowell-
Rutherford Mountains-Greater Rutherford-Polk Mountains-Eastern Polk-
109 PM EDT Mon Jun 25 2018

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 218 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Georgia, piedmont
North Carolina and western North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms are possible this
afternoon and evening. Damaging winds will be the main threat, and
large hail will also be possible. Dangerous cloud-to-ground
lightning and brief heavy rain can be expected as well.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

..Tuesday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Wednesday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Thursday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Friday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Saturday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Sunday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

None.

GAZ018-026-028-029-NCZ070-071-082-SCZ001>014-019-261715-
Stephens-Franklin-Hart-Elbert-Gaston-Mecklenburg-Union-
Oconee Mountains-Pickens Mountains-Greenville Mountains-
Greater Oconee-Greater Pickens-Greater Greenville-Spartanburg-
Cherokee-York-Anderson-Abbeville-Laurens-Chester-Greenwood-
109 PM EDT Mon Jun 25 2018

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 218 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Georgia, piedmont
North Carolina and upstate South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms are possible this
afternoon and evening. Damaging winds will be the main threat, and
large hail will also be possible. Dangerous cloud-to-ground
lightning and brief heavy rain can be expected as well.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

..Tuesday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Wednesday...Excessive heat possible.
..Thursday...Excessive heat possible.
..Friday...Excessive heat possible.
..Saturday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Sunday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

None.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
323 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0250 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 SSW BOILING SPRINGS   35.00N 82.00W
06/25/2018                   SPARTANBURG        SC   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC REPORTED TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED ON TURNING
            LEAF CIRCLE

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
328 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0245 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 SW WELLFORD           34.95N 82.11W
06/25/2018                   SPARTANBURG        SC   SOCIAL MEDIA

            SOCIAL MEDIA REPORT OF A TREE DOWN ON A WOODEN FENCE
            IN THE WELLFORD AREA.

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
328 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2018

SCZ009-014-252030-
York SC-Chester SC-
328 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN CHESTER AND
SOUTHEASTERN YORK COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM EDT...

At 328 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles south of York, or near Mcconnells, moving east at 20 mph.

Locations to be impacted include...
Rock Hill, York, Fort Mill, Newport, Lesslie, Mcconnells, Catawba,
Lowrys and Edgemoor.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph will be possible in these areas.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM EDT for
Upstate South Carolina.

LAT...LON 3484 8137 3498 8124 3504 8090 3501 8091
      3499 8089 3488 8088 3487 8088 3484 8087
      3483 8090 3482 8090 3479 8088 3475 8088
      3471 8087
TIME...MOT...LOC 1928Z 283DEG 16KT 3488 8118

WJM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
338 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0330 PM     HAIL             1 ESE LEICESTER         35.65N 82.66W
06/25/2018  E0.50 INCH       BUNCOMBE           NC   PUBLIC

            HALF INCH HAIL ON WILD PINE COURT.

&&

KRENTZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
344 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0326 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ROBBINSVILLE            35.32N 83.81W
06/25/2018                   GRAHAM             NC   911 CALL CENTER

            COUNTY REPORTS A FEW TREES BLOWN DOWN ACROSS THE TOWN.

&&

KRENTZ

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
345 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2018

SCZ014-252015-
Chester SC-
345 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN CHESTER COUNTY
UNTIL 415 PM EDT...

At 344 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 14
miles northeast of Winnsboro, or 4 miles west of Great Falls, moving
east at 45 mph.

Locations to be impacted include...
Great Falls, Fort Lawn, Richburg and Fishing Creek Reservoir.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph will be possible in these areas.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM EDT for
Upstate South Carolina.

LAT...LON 3467 8089 3465 8089 3464 8090 3462 8089
      3460 8089 3456 8087 3454 8088 3456 8106
      3473 8103 3474 8087 3470 8086
TIME...MOT...LOC 1944Z 283DEG 37KT 3456 8098

WJM