Tornado Warning 14, NWS Sioux Falls, SD

555 
WWUS53 KFSD 050643
SVSFSD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
143 AM CDT SUN AUG 5 2018

SDC087-099-050700-
/O.CON.KFSD.TO.W.0014.000000T0000Z-180805T0700Z/
Minnehaha SD-McCook SD-
143 AM CDT SUN AUG 5 2018

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CDT FOR WEST
CENTRAL MINNEHAHA AND EAST CENTRAL MCCOOK COUNTIES...

At 143 AM CDT, a severe squall line capable of producing both
tornadoes and extensive straight line wind damage was located over
Montrose, or 7 miles north of Lake Vermillion State Recreation Area,
moving southeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

These dangerous storms will be near...
  Humboldt around 150 AM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

Heavy rainfall may hide this tornado. Do not wait to see or hear the
tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!

Tornadoes are extremely difficult to see and confirm at night. Do not
wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!

&&

LAT...LON 4367 9727 4380 9718 4371 9701 4361 9708
TIME...MOT...LOC 0643Z 305DEG 30KT 4369 9714 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN

$$

Weisser

048 
WWUS53 KFSD 050655
SVSFSD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
155 AM CDT SUN AUG 5 2018

SDC087-099-050705-
/O.EXP.KFSD.TO.W.0014.000000T0000Z-180805T0700Z/
Minnehaha SD-McCook SD-
155 AM CDT SUN AUG 5 2018

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR WEST CENTRAL MINNEHAHA AND EAST CENTRAL
MCCOOK COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 200 AM CDT...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.  However gusty 
winds are still possible with this thunderstorm and a severe 
thunderstorm warning remains in effect.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 700 AM CDT for
southeastern South Dakota.

LAT...LON 4367 9727 4380 9718 4371 9701 4361 9708
TIME...MOT...LOC 0655Z 303DEG 30KT 4364 9704 

$$

Weisser

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
1053 PM CDT Sat Aug 4 2018

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 334 PM CDT Sat Aug 4 2018

Per water vapor satellite drier air has begun to enter the CWA from
west. At the surface, a weak trough will continue to slide through
the area, bringing the potential for thunderstorms this evening into
the overnight hours. However, with dry air/subsidence already
sweeping through the region, any thunderstorm development looks to
be isolated. In fact, Hi-Res guidance, including HRRR show
minimal activity towards daybreak. That said, kept an isolated
mention this afternoon and evening, and up to a 30 percent chance
in the nighttime, mainly for southwest Minnesota. If storms do
develop, one or two storms could become marginally severe with
gusty winds as the main threat. Lows are expected from the mid to
upper 60s.

Various perturbations will continue to affect the area over the
next few days in a quasi-zonal upper level flow. An upper-level
shortwave trough will move over the central Dakotas on Sunday,
while at the surface a cold front extending from the Upper
Mississippi Valley to the Northern Plains will continue to slide
southward into the CWA. Decent forcing will be in place thanks to
the upper level jet and abundant surface moisture, with dewpoints
in the upper 60s and low 70s ahead of the front. That said,
scattered showers and thunderstorms return in the afternoon hours.
With increasing low to mid level lapse rates and 0-6 km bulk
shear (30-45 knots), strong to severe storms will be possible.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday night through Saturday)
Issued at 334 PM CDT Sat Aug 4 2018

Sunday night will have a better setup for thunderstorms and heavy
rainfall. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be on the
increase through the overnight hours. Model soundings suggest a deep
saturated layer over northwest Iowa and adjacent areas with PWATs
near to slightly above 2 inches; therefore confidence in periods of
heavy rainfall is increasing. Agreed with WPC in keeping the area
under a slight risk of excessive rainfall.

Several impulses of energy embedded in the flow aloft will continue
to bring chances for showers and storms Monday and Tuesday. It does
not look like a complete washout, but with diurnal heating
isolated storms cannot be ruled out.

Upper-level flow pattern changes by the middle of the week with the
upper ridge building over region from the Pacific Northwest.
Precipitation chances look minimal, though temperatures will trend
slightly upward (near average for August normal) by the end of the
week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday night)
Issued at 1041 PM CDT Sat Aug 4 2018

Isolated thunderstorms will be possible across the area
overnight, and could briefly affect TAF sites. There will be
increasing chances across the area on Sunday afternoon and
evening, with the greatest chances at KFSD and KSUX.

&&

.FSD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...None.
MN...None.
IA...None.
NE...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM...05
AVIATION...JM

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
1050 PM CDT Sat Aug 4 2018

IAZ001>003-012>014-MNZ071-072-080-081-089-090-097-098-SDZ038>040-
053>056-060>062-066-067-060400-
Lyon IA-Osceola-Dickinson-Sioux-O'Brien-Clay IA-Lincoln MN-
Lyon MN-Murray-Cottonwood-Nobles-Jackson-Pipestone-Rock-Beadle-
Kingsbury-Brookings-Sanborn-Miner-Lake-Moody-Hanson-McCook-
Minnehaha-Turner-Lincoln SD-
1050 PM CDT Sat Aug 4 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northwest Iowa,
southwest Minnesota, east central South Dakota, and southeast
South Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

A few thunderstorms could produce small hail and wind gusts to 50
mph during the overnight hours.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Scattered storms will continue on Sunday, with storm chances
increasing Sunday night. The risk of severe weather Sunday is
marginal. However, storms will bring a threat of heavy rainfall,
especially Sunday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

IAZ020>022-031-032-NEZ013-014-SDZ050-052-057>059-063>065-068>071-
060400-
Plymouth-Cherokee-Buena Vista-Woodbury-Ida-Dixon-Dakota-Gregory-
Jerauld-Brule-Aurora-Davison-Charles Mix-Douglas-Hutchinson-
Bon Homme-Yankton-Clay SD-Union-
1050 PM CDT Sat Aug 4 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northwest Iowa,
west central Iowa, northeast Nebraska, central South Dakota,
south central South Dakota, and southeast South Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Scattered thunderstorms are possible overnight and a few of the
storms could become severe. The main threats would be wind gusts
to 75 mph, hail to the size of half dollars and locally heavy
rainfall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Scattered storms will continue into Sunday, with storm chances
increasing Sunday night. The risk of severe weather Sunday is
marginal. However, storms will bring a threat of heavy rainfall,
especially Sunday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
1255 AM CDT SUN AUG 5 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1252 AM     HAIL             3 WSW CANISTOTA         43.58N 97.35W
08/05/2018  M1.00 INCH       MCCOOK             SD   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HAIL BETWEEN HALF INCH AND ONE INCH.

&&

AK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
112 AM CDT SUN AUG 5 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0104 AM     TSTM WND GST     3 N MITCHELL            43.78N 98.04W
08/05/2018  M67 MPH          DAVISON            SD   ASOS

&&

AK