Flash Flood Warning 30, NWS Sioux Falls, SD

546 
WGUS73 KFSD 050740
FFSFSD

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
240 AM CDT SUN AUG 5 2018

SDC083-099-051000-
/O.CON.KFSD.FF.W.0030.000000T0000Z-180805T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Minnehaha SD-Lincoln SD-
240 AM CDT SUN AUG 5 2018

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN MINNEHAHA AND NORTHERN LINCOLN COUNTIES...

At 231 AM CDT, the public reported 2.6 inches of rain in 
southeastern Sioux Falls. Flash flooding is expected to begin 
shortly.

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Sioux Falls, Brandon, Harrisburg, Tea, Lake Alvin State Recreation
Area and Rowena.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

Excessive runoff from heavy rainfall will cause flooding of small
creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses as
well as other drainage areas and low lying spots.

Please report flooding to your local law enforcement agency when you
can do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 4340 9691 4362 9691 4363 9652 4350 9653
      4350 9660 4348 9658 4345 9660 4343 9659
      4343 9657 4342 9657 4340 9654

$$

Ferguson

475 
WGUS73 KFSD 050952
FFSFSD

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
452 AM CDT SUN AUG 5 2018

SDC083-099-051002-
/O.EXP.KFSD.FF.W.0030.000000T0000Z-180805T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Minnehaha SD-Lincoln SD-
452 AM CDT SUN AUG 5 2018

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN MINNEHAHA AND NORTHERN
LINCOLN COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 500 AM CDT...

The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a
threat. Please continue to heed any remaining road closures.

LAT...LON 4340 9691 4362 9691 4363 9652 4350 9653
      4350 9660 4348 9658 4345 9660 4343 9659
      4343 9657 4342 9657 4340 9654

$$

Ferguson

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
1053 PM CDT Sat Aug 4 2018

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 334 PM CDT Sat Aug 4 2018

Per water vapor satellite drier air has begun to enter the CWA from
west. At the surface, a weak trough will continue to slide through
the area, bringing the potential for thunderstorms this evening into
the overnight hours. However, with dry air/subsidence already
sweeping through the region, any thunderstorm development looks to
be isolated. In fact, Hi-Res guidance, including HRRR show
minimal activity towards daybreak. That said, kept an isolated
mention this afternoon and evening, and up to a 30 percent chance
in the nighttime, mainly for southwest Minnesota. If storms do
develop, one or two storms could become marginally severe with
gusty winds as the main threat. Lows are expected from the mid to
upper 60s.

Various perturbations will continue to affect the area over the
next few days in a quasi-zonal upper level flow. An upper-level
shortwave trough will move over the central Dakotas on Sunday,
while at the surface a cold front extending from the Upper
Mississippi Valley to the Northern Plains will continue to slide
southward into the CWA. Decent forcing will be in place thanks to
the upper level jet and abundant surface moisture, with dewpoints
in the upper 60s and low 70s ahead of the front. That said,
scattered showers and thunderstorms return in the afternoon hours.
With increasing low to mid level lapse rates and 0-6 km bulk
shear (30-45 knots), strong to severe storms will be possible.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday night through Saturday)
Issued at 334 PM CDT Sat Aug 4 2018

Sunday night will have a better setup for thunderstorms and heavy
rainfall. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be on the
increase through the overnight hours. Model soundings suggest a deep
saturated layer over northwest Iowa and adjacent areas with PWATs
near to slightly above 2 inches; therefore confidence in periods of
heavy rainfall is increasing. Agreed with WPC in keeping the area
under a slight risk of excessive rainfall.

Several impulses of energy embedded in the flow aloft will continue
to bring chances for showers and storms Monday and Tuesday. It does
not look like a complete washout, but with diurnal heating
isolated storms cannot be ruled out.

Upper-level flow pattern changes by the middle of the week with the
upper ridge building over region from the Pacific Northwest.
Precipitation chances look minimal, though temperatures will trend
slightly upward (near average for August normal) by the end of the
week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday night)
Issued at 1041 PM CDT Sat Aug 4 2018

Isolated thunderstorms will be possible across the area
overnight, and could briefly affect TAF sites. There will be
increasing chances across the area on Sunday afternoon and
evening, with the greatest chances at KFSD and KSUX.

&&

.FSD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...None.
MN...None.
IA...None.
NE...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM...05
AVIATION...JM

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
1050 PM CDT Sat Aug 4 2018

IAZ001>003-012>014-MNZ071-072-080-081-089-090-097-098-SDZ038>040-
053>056-060>062-066-067-060400-
Lyon IA-Osceola-Dickinson-Sioux-O'Brien-Clay IA-Lincoln MN-
Lyon MN-Murray-Cottonwood-Nobles-Jackson-Pipestone-Rock-Beadle-
Kingsbury-Brookings-Sanborn-Miner-Lake-Moody-Hanson-McCook-
Minnehaha-Turner-Lincoln SD-
1050 PM CDT Sat Aug 4 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northwest Iowa,
southwest Minnesota, east central South Dakota, and southeast
South Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

A few thunderstorms could produce small hail and wind gusts to 50
mph during the overnight hours.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Scattered storms will continue on Sunday, with storm chances
increasing Sunday night. The risk of severe weather Sunday is
marginal. However, storms will bring a threat of heavy rainfall,
especially Sunday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

IAZ020>022-031-032-NEZ013-014-SDZ050-052-057>059-063>065-068>071-
060400-
Plymouth-Cherokee-Buena Vista-Woodbury-Ida-Dixon-Dakota-Gregory-
Jerauld-Brule-Aurora-Davison-Charles Mix-Douglas-Hutchinson-
Bon Homme-Yankton-Clay SD-Union-
1050 PM CDT Sat Aug 4 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northwest Iowa,
west central Iowa, northeast Nebraska, central South Dakota,
south central South Dakota, and southeast South Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Scattered thunderstorms are possible overnight and a few of the
storms could become severe. The main threats would be wind gusts
to 75 mph, hail to the size of half dollars and locally heavy
rainfall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Scattered storms will continue into Sunday, with storm chances
increasing Sunday night. The risk of severe weather Sunday is
marginal. However, storms will bring a threat of heavy rainfall,
especially Sunday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
1255 AM CDT SUN AUG 5 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1252 AM     HAIL             3 WSW CANISTOTA         43.58N 97.35W
08/05/2018  M1.00 INCH       MCCOOK             SD   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HAIL BETWEEN HALF INCH AND ONE INCH.

&&

AK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
112 AM CDT SUN AUG 5 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0104 AM     TSTM WND GST     3 N MITCHELL            43.78N 98.04W
08/05/2018  M67 MPH          DAVISON            SD   ASOS

&&

AK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
156 AM CDT SUN AUG 5 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0154 AM     HAIL             3 N SIOUX FALLS         43.59N 96.73W
08/05/2018  M0.75 INCH       MINNEHAHA          SD   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

AK