Severe Thunderstorm Warning 122, NWS Sioux Falls, SD

470 
WWUS53 KFSD 050705
SVSFSD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
205 AM CDT SUN AUG 5 2018

SDC061-067-087-099-125-050715-
/O.CON.KFSD.SV.W.0122.000000T0000Z-180805T0715Z/
Minnehaha SD-McCook SD-Hanson SD-Turner SD-Hutchinson SD-
205 AM CDT SUN AUG 5 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 AM CDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN MINNEHAHA...SOUTHERN MCCOOK...SOUTHEASTERN HANSON...
TURNER AND EASTERN HUTCHINSON COUNTIES...

At 204 AM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from Monroe to near Marion to near Menno, moving south at
35 mph.

These are very dangerous storms.

HAZARD...80 mph wind gusts and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be heavily damaged. Expect 
         considerable damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles. 
         Extensive tree damage and power outages are likely.

These severe storms will be near...
  Menno around 210 AM CDT.
  Hurley around 215 AM CDT.

Other locations impacted by these severe thunderstorms include
Olivet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with these storms, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4361 9707 4318 9706 4317 9774 4351 9781
      4354 9737 4368 9726
TIME...MOT...LOC 0704Z 349DEG 32KT 4346 9721 4336 9730 4330 9764 

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...80MPH
 
$$

Weisser

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
1053 PM CDT Sat Aug 4 2018

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 334 PM CDT Sat Aug 4 2018

Per water vapor satellite drier air has begun to enter the CWA from
west. At the surface, a weak trough will continue to slide through
the area, bringing the potential for thunderstorms this evening into
the overnight hours. However, with dry air/subsidence already
sweeping through the region, any thunderstorm development looks to
be isolated. In fact, Hi-Res guidance, including HRRR show
minimal activity towards daybreak. That said, kept an isolated
mention this afternoon and evening, and up to a 30 percent chance
in the nighttime, mainly for southwest Minnesota. If storms do
develop, one or two storms could become marginally severe with
gusty winds as the main threat. Lows are expected from the mid to
upper 60s.

Various perturbations will continue to affect the area over the
next few days in a quasi-zonal upper level flow. An upper-level
shortwave trough will move over the central Dakotas on Sunday,
while at the surface a cold front extending from the Upper
Mississippi Valley to the Northern Plains will continue to slide
southward into the CWA. Decent forcing will be in place thanks to
the upper level jet and abundant surface moisture, with dewpoints
in the upper 60s and low 70s ahead of the front. That said,
scattered showers and thunderstorms return in the afternoon hours.
With increasing low to mid level lapse rates and 0-6 km bulk
shear (30-45 knots), strong to severe storms will be possible.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday night through Saturday)
Issued at 334 PM CDT Sat Aug 4 2018

Sunday night will have a better setup for thunderstorms and heavy
rainfall. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be on the
increase through the overnight hours. Model soundings suggest a deep
saturated layer over northwest Iowa and adjacent areas with PWATs
near to slightly above 2 inches; therefore confidence in periods of
heavy rainfall is increasing. Agreed with WPC in keeping the area
under a slight risk of excessive rainfall.

Several impulses of energy embedded in the flow aloft will continue
to bring chances for showers and storms Monday and Tuesday. It does
not look like a complete washout, but with diurnal heating
isolated storms cannot be ruled out.

Upper-level flow pattern changes by the middle of the week with the
upper ridge building over region from the Pacific Northwest.
Precipitation chances look minimal, though temperatures will trend
slightly upward (near average for August normal) by the end of the
week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday night)
Issued at 1041 PM CDT Sat Aug 4 2018

Isolated thunderstorms will be possible across the area
overnight, and could briefly affect TAF sites. There will be
increasing chances across the area on Sunday afternoon and
evening, with the greatest chances at KFSD and KSUX.

&&

.FSD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...None.
MN...None.
IA...None.
NE...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM...05
AVIATION...JM

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
1050 PM CDT Sat Aug 4 2018

IAZ001>003-012>014-MNZ071-072-080-081-089-090-097-098-SDZ038>040-
053>056-060>062-066-067-060400-
Lyon IA-Osceola-Dickinson-Sioux-O'Brien-Clay IA-Lincoln MN-
Lyon MN-Murray-Cottonwood-Nobles-Jackson-Pipestone-Rock-Beadle-
Kingsbury-Brookings-Sanborn-Miner-Lake-Moody-Hanson-McCook-
Minnehaha-Turner-Lincoln SD-
1050 PM CDT Sat Aug 4 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northwest Iowa,
southwest Minnesota, east central South Dakota, and southeast
South Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

A few thunderstorms could produce small hail and wind gusts to 50
mph during the overnight hours.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Scattered storms will continue on Sunday, with storm chances
increasing Sunday night. The risk of severe weather Sunday is
marginal. However, storms will bring a threat of heavy rainfall,
especially Sunday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

IAZ020>022-031-032-NEZ013-014-SDZ050-052-057>059-063>065-068>071-
060400-
Plymouth-Cherokee-Buena Vista-Woodbury-Ida-Dixon-Dakota-Gregory-
Jerauld-Brule-Aurora-Davison-Charles Mix-Douglas-Hutchinson-
Bon Homme-Yankton-Clay SD-Union-
1050 PM CDT Sat Aug 4 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northwest Iowa,
west central Iowa, northeast Nebraska, central South Dakota,
south central South Dakota, and southeast South Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Scattered thunderstorms are possible overnight and a few of the
storms could become severe. The main threats would be wind gusts
to 75 mph, hail to the size of half dollars and locally heavy
rainfall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Scattered storms will continue into Sunday, with storm chances
increasing Sunday night. The risk of severe weather Sunday is
marginal. However, storms will bring a threat of heavy rainfall,
especially Sunday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
1255 AM CDT SUN AUG 5 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1252 AM     HAIL             3 WSW CANISTOTA         43.58N 97.35W
08/05/2018  M1.00 INCH       MCCOOK             SD   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HAIL BETWEEN HALF INCH AND ONE INCH.

&&

AK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
112 AM CDT SUN AUG 5 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0104 AM     TSTM WND GST     3 N MITCHELL            43.78N 98.04W
08/05/2018  M67 MPH          DAVISON            SD   ASOS

&&

AK