River Flood Warning 136, NWS Atlanta, GA

912 
WGUS82 KFFC 140439
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1139 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
  Oostanaula River near Calhoun affecting Gordon County 


GAC129-141838-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0136.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CALG1.1.ER.181113T2227Z.181113T2230Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1139 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Oostanaula River near Calhoun.
* Until further notice.
* At 11 PM Tuesday the stage was 21.1 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 21 feet.
* At 21 feet...Minor flooding begins of woodlands...fields and 
  pastures upstream and downstream from the gage behind a water 
  treatment plant off Mauldin Road. A boat ramp and portions of a 
  small parking lot on the upstream and right bank side of the 
  Georgia Highway 136 Connector will be under water.


&&

LAT...LON 3455 8499 3455 8492 3439 8506 3443 8512 3453 8504


$$

479 
WGUS82 KFFC 141146
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
646 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Big Creek near Alpharetta affecting Forsyth and Fulton Counties 

  Sweetwater Creek near Austell affecting Cobb and Douglas Counties 

 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
  Coahulla Creek near Keiths Mill near Dalton affecting Whitfield 
  County 

  Oostanaula River near Calhoun affecting Gordon County 

  Coosa River near Rome Mayos Bar L & D Park affecting Floyd County 

  Ocmulgee River near Macon affecting Bibb...Houston...Jones...
  Monroe and Twiggs Counties 

  Oconee River near Penfield affecting Clarke...Greene and Oconee 
  Counties 


GAC313-150146-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0121.000000T0000Z-181115T1802Z/
/CHCG1.1.ER.181113T0143Z.181114T2100Z.181115T1202Z.UU/
646 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Coahulla Creek near Keiths Mill near Dalton.
* Until Thursday afternoon.
* At 6 AM Wednesday the stage was 17.4 feet...and rising slowly.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 17.5 feet by late this 
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow morning.
* At 18 feet...Minor flooding expands into the pastures...fields 
  and woodlands upstream and downstream from the Keiths Mill Road 
  bridge.


&&

LAT...LON 3471 8489 3480 8495 3488 8495 3488 8486
      3480 8488 3474 8486             

$$

GAC129-150146-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0136.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CALG1.1.ER.181113T2227Z.181114T1030Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
646 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Oostanaula River near Calhoun.
* Until further notice.
* At 6 AM Wednesday the stage was 21.3 feet...and cresting.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 21 feet.
* At 21 feet...Minor flooding begins of woodlands...fields and 
  pastures upstream and downstream from the gage behind a water 
  treatment plant off Mauldin Road. A boat ramp and portions of a 
  small parking lot on the upstream and right bank side of the 
  Georgia Highway 136 Connector will be under water.


&&

LAT...LON 3455 8499 3455 8492 3439 8506 3443 8512 3453 8504


$$

GAC115-150146-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0128.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RMBG1.1.ER.181113T1309Z.181114T0700Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
646 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Coosa River near Rome Mayos Bar L & D Park.
* Until further notice.
* At 6 AM Wednesday the stage was 26.0 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 24 feet.
* At 26 feet...Minor flooding continues in the woodlands...fields 
  and pastures along the river upstream and downstream from the gage 
  on the old Lock and Dam behind the Trading Post. The boat ramp will
  be completely under water at Lock and Dam park. 
 

&&

LAT...LON 3425 8524 3421 8518 3417 8526 3420 8536
      3425 8531 3423 8526             

$$

GAC117-121-150146-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0102.000000T0000Z-181117T0600Z/
/APHG1.1.ER.181112T1851Z.181113T2045Z.181117T0000Z.NO/
646 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

...Flood Warning extended until late Friday night...The Flood Warning
continues for
  The Big Creek near Alpharetta.
* Until late Friday night.
* At 6 AM Wednesday the stage was 9.2 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 7 feet.
* The river will fall to below flood stage by Friday evening.
* At 9 feet...Minor flooding expands along the creek from near 
  Cumming to Alpharetta and Roswell. Backyards of homes off Seale 
  Drive and Gunter Court and portions of the Golf of Georgia begin to
  flood. The Big Creek Greenway experiences significant flooding up 
  to 3 feet deep...which results in closure of most of the paths. 
  This especially occurs upstream and downstream from the gage on 
  Kimball Bridge Road and Rock Mill Park. A large portion of the YMCA
  Campground off Preston Ridge Road will be under a foot of water. 


&&

LAT...LON 3410 8425 3410 8420 3404 8425 3402 8430
      3404 8433 3407 8427             

$$

GAC067-097-142235-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0129.000000T0000Z-181114T2235Z/
/AUSG1.1.ER.181113T1616Z.181114T0715Z.181114T1635Z.NO/
646 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

...Flood Warning extended until this afternoon...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Sweetwater Creek near Austell.
* Until this afternoon.
* At 6 AM Wednesday the stage was 11.3 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 10 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late this 
  morning.
* At 12 feet...Minor flooding continues in the woodlands and fields
  upstream and downstream from the gage near the Interstate 20 
  bridge. Portions of a paintball playing field just downstream of 
  the bridge and athletic fields in the Woodrow Wilson Park on Mount 
  Vernon Road are flooded with one to two feet of water. Water also 
  floods yards of four elevated homes along Mount Vernon Road. A 
  portion of Wren Circle in Douglas County...the County Iron Works 
  and Sunlight Drive in Cobb County begin to flood.


&&

LAT...LON 3379 8464 3385 8463 3380 8459 3374 8459
      3370 8463 3376 8466             

$$

GAC021-153-169-207-289-150146-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0134.181115T1040Z-000000T0000Z/
/MACG1.1.ER.181115T1040Z.181118T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
646 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Ocmulgee River near Macon.
* From early tomorrow until further notice.
* At 6 AM Wednesday the stage was 16.2 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 18 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by early tomorrow and continue 
  to rise to near 20.4 feet by Saturday evening.
* At 20 feet...Minor flooding expands. An increasing amount of the 
  Macon GreenWay Ocmulgee Heritage Trail floods north of the Martin 
  Luther King Boulevard bridge. The flood waters will be around one 
  foot deep on portions of the trail and both banks overflow upstream
  from the bridge. Large portions of agricultural lands well 
  downstream will be under one to three feet of water.


&&

LAT...LON 3290 8372 3293 8367 3282 8356 3266 8353
      3263 8359 3274 8363             

$$

GAC059-133-219-150146-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0135.181114T1851Z-181118T0538Z/
/PNFG1.1.ER.181114T1851Z.181117T0600Z.181117T2338Z.NO/
646 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Oconee River near Penfield.
* From this afternoon until late Saturday night.
* At 6 AM Wednesday the stage was 12.3 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue 
  to rise to near 15.4 feet by tomorrow morning.The river will fall 
  below flood stage by Saturday evening.
* At 17 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand into fields...
  woodlands and pastures near the river. The water level is very 
  close to Ward Road on the right bank. Flood waters will be 
  approaching irrigation systems and they may need to be moved to 
  higher ground.


&&

LAT...LON 3364 8325 3364 8333 3383 8333 3384 8327


$$

888 
WGUS82 KFFC 141706
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1206 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Big Creek near Alpharetta affecting Forsyth and Fulton Counties 

  Sweetwater Creek near Austell affecting Cobb and Douglas Counties 

  Ocmulgee River near Macon affecting Bibb...Houston...Jones...
  Monroe and Twiggs Counties 

  Middle Oconee River near Arcade affecting Barrow and Jackson 
  Counties 

  Oconee River near Penfield affecting Clarke...Greene and Oconee 
  Counties 

  Coahulla Creek near Keiths Mill near Dalton affecting Whitfield 
  County 

  Oostanaula River near Calhoun affecting Gordon County 

  Coosa River near Rome Mayos Bar L & D Park affecting Floyd County 

  Coosa River near Plant Hammond affecting Floyd County 

  Suwanee Creek near Suwanee affecting Gwinnett County 


GAC313-150706-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0121.000000T0000Z-181115T1802Z/
/CHCG1.1.ER.181113T0143Z.181114T2100Z.181115T1202Z.UU/
1206 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Coahulla Creek near Keiths Mill near Dalton.
* Until Thursday afternoon.
* At 11 AM Wednesday the stage was 17.4 feet...and steady.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 17.5 feet by late this 
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage Thursday morning.
* At 18.0 feet...Minor flooding expands into the pastures...fields 
  and woodlands upstream and downstream from the Keiths Mill Road 
  bridge.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 17.6 feet on Sep 29 2018.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3471 8489 3480 8495 3488 8495 3488 8486
      3480 8488 3474 8486             

$$

GAC129-150706-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0136.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CALG1.1.ER.181113T2227Z.181114T1030Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1206 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Oostanaula River near Calhoun.
* Until further notice.
* At 11 AM Wednesday the stage was 21.1 feet...and slowly falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* At 21.0 feet...Minor flooding begins of woodlands...fields and 
  pastures upstream and downstream from the gage behind a water 
  treatment plant off Mauldin Road. A boat ramp and portions of a 
  small parking lot on the upstream and right bank side of the 
  Georgia Highway 136 Connector will be under water.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.0 feet on Dec 10 2009.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3455 8499 3455 8492 3439 8506 3443 8512 3453 8504


$$

GAC115-150706-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0128.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RMBG1.1.ER.181113T1309Z.181114T0700Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1206 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Coosa River near Rome Mayos Bar L & D Park.
* Until further notice.
* At 10 AM Wednesday the stage was 25.5 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* At 26.0 feet...Minor flooding continues in the woodlands...fields 
  and pastures along the river upstream and downstream from the gage 
  on the old Lock and Dam behind the Trading Post. The boat ramp will
  be completely under water at Lock and Dam park. 
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 25.6 feet on Feb 6 2010.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3425 8524 3421 8518 3417 8526 3420 8536
      3425 8531 3423 8526             

$$

GAC115-150706-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0138.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HMMG1.1.ER.181114T0120Z.181114T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1206 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Coosa River near Plant Hammond.
* Until further notice.
* At 7 AM Wednesday the stage was 572.8 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 570.0 feet.
* At 573.0 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand further into the
  woodlands...fields and pasture along the river upstream and 
  downstream from the gage behind Plant Hammond. The access road near
  the intakes behind the plant begins to flood. The boat ramp near 
  the intakes and a small portion of an access road near and under 
  the Georgia Highway 100 bridge will be under 3 feet of water.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 572.8 feet on Feb 7 2010.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3425 8531 3420 8536 3421 8539 3427 8542 3428 8537


$$

GAC117-121-150706-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0102.000000T0000Z-181117T0900Z/
/APHG1.1.ER.181112T1851Z.181113T2045Z.181117T0300Z.NO/
1206 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

...Flood Warning extended until late Friday night...The Flood Warning
continues for
  The Big Creek near Alpharetta.
* Until late Friday night.
* At 11 AM Wednesday the stage was 8.2 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 8.4 feet by early Friday 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage Friday before 
  midnight.
* At 8.0 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand further into the 
  woodlands and fields along the creek from near Cumming in south 
  Forsyth County to Alpharetta and Roswell in north Fulton County. 
  Additional portions of The Big Creek Greenway have minor flooding 
  with 1 to 2 feet of water. Most of the walking and biking paths 
  will be closed...especially upstream and downstream from the gage 
  on Kimball Bridge Road and near Rock Mill Park. Portions of the 
  YMCA Campground off Preston Ridge Road will flood.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.4 feet on Jul 4 2015.  

&&

LAT...LON 3410 8425 3410 8420 3404 8425 3402 8430
      3404 8433 3407 8427             

$$

GAC135-150706-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0139.181115T1040Z-181116T0330Z/
/SWEG1.1.ER.181115T1040Z.181115T1800Z.181115T2130Z.NO/
1206 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Suwanee Creek near Suwanee.
* From Thursday tomorrow until Thursday evening.
* At 11AM Wednesday the stage was 2.6 feet...and falling but will begin
  rising this evening.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by early Thursday and continue 
  to rise to near 8.7 feet by thursday early afternoon.The river will
  fall below flood stage by Thursday afternoon.
* At 9.0 feet...Minor flooding expands along the creek upstream and 
  downstream from the gage at U S Highway 23 or Buford Highway. Most 
  of the Suwanee Creek Greenway and trails are flooded from the 
  Suwanee Creek Park to George Pierce Park. The minor flooding will 
  also begin to affect portions of the playground area behind the 
  Suwanee Elementary School. 
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.6 feet on Mar 28 2009.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3412 8403 3410 8396 3403 8398 3401 8413
      3403 8412 3406 8409             

$$

GAC067-097-150508-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0129.000000T0000Z-181115T0508Z/
/AUSG1.1.ER.181113T1616Z.181114T0715Z.181114T2308Z.NO/
1206 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

...Flood Warning extended until late tonight...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Sweetwater Creek near Austell.
* Until late tonight.
* At 11 AM Wednesday the stage was 11.1 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by this 
  evening.
* At 12.0 feet...Minor flooding continues in the woodlands and fields
  upstream and downstream from the gage near the Interstate 20 
  bridge. Portions of a paintball playing field just downstream of 
  the bridge and athletic fields in the Woodrow Wilson Park on Mount 
  Vernon Road are flooded with one to two feet of water. Water also 
  floods yards of four elevated homes along Mount Vernon Road. A 
  portion of Wren Circle in Douglas County...the County Iron Works 
  and Sunlight Drive in Cobb County begin to flood.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.1 feet on Jan 5 2015.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3379 8464 3385 8463 3380 8459 3374 8459
      3370 8463 3376 8466             

$$

GAC021-153-169-207-289-150706-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0134.181115T0900Z-181119T1715Z/
/MACG1.1.ER.181115T0900Z.181118T0000Z.181119T1115Z.NO/
1206 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Monday afternoon...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Ocmulgee River near Macon.
* From early Thursday until Monday afternoon.
* At 11 AM Wednesday the stage was 16.7 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by early tomorrow and continue 
  to rise to near 20.4 feet by Saturday evening.The river will fall 
  below flood stage by Monday morning.
* At 20.0 feet...Minor flooding expands. An increasing amount of the 
  Macon GreenWay Ocmulgee Heritage Trail floods north of the Martin 
  Luther King Boulevard bridge. The flood waters will be around one 
  foot deep on portions of the trail and both banks overflow upstream
  from the bridge. Large portions of agricultural lands well 
  downstream will be under one to three feet of water.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 20.4 feet on Oct 14 2009.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3290 8372 3293 8367 3282 8356 3266 8353
      3263 8359 3274 8363             

$$

GAC013-157-150706-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0131.000000T0000Z-181116T0955Z/
/ACDG1.1.ER.181113T1619Z.181115T1800Z.181116T0355Z.NO/
1206 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

...Flood Warning extended until late Thursday night...The Flood 
Warning continues for
  The Middle Oconee River near Arcade.
* From Thursday morning until late Thursday night.
* At 11 AM Wednesday the stage was 12.4 feet...and falling but will
  begin rising tonight.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Thursday morning and continue
  to rise to near 18.4 feet by Thursday afternoon.The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Thurdsday evening.
* At 18.0 feet...Minor flooding continues in the woodlands...fields 
  and pasture upstream and downstream from the gage at Georgia 
  Highway 82. A few dirt access roads and a residential yard just 
  downstream will be flooded with up to two feet of water.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 18.9 feet on Feb 6 2010.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3404 8377 3410 8375 3406 8355 3400 8347
      3395 8352 3402 8363             

$$

GAC059-133-219-150706-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0135.181114T1845Z-181118T1334Z/
/PNFG1.1.ER.181114T1845Z.181116T0000Z.181118T0734Z.NO/
1206 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday morning...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Oconee River near Penfield.
* From this afternoon until Sunday morning.
* At 11 AM Wednesday the stage was 12.6 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue 
  to rise to near 16.8 feet by Thursday evening.The river will fall 
  below flood stage by early Sunday morning.
* At 17.0 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand into fields...
  woodlands and pastures near the river. The water level is very 
  close to Ward Road on the right bank. Flood waters will be 
  approaching irrigation systems and they may need to be moved to 
  higher ground.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.8 feet on Dec 3 2009.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3364 8325 3364 8333 3383 8333 3384 8327


$$

927 
WGUS82 KFFC 141933
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
233 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Georgia...
 
  Oostanaula River near Calhoun affecting Gordon County

 
GAC129-142003-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0136.000000T0000Z-181114T1933Z/
/CALG1.1.ER.181113T2227Z.181114T1030Z.181114T1830Z.NO/
233 PM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Oostanaula River near Calhoun.
* This takes effect immediately.
* At 2 PM Wednesday the stage was 20.9 feet...and falling.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall.
* At 21.0 feet...Minor flooding begins of woodlands...fields and 
  pastures upstream and downstream from the gage behind a water 
  treatment plant off Mauldin Road. A boat ramp and portions of a 
  small parking lot on the upstream and right bank side of the 
  Georgia Highway 136 Connector will be under water.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.0 feet on Dec 10 2009.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3455 8499 3455 8492 3439 8506 3443 8512 3453 8504


$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
244 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

.SHORT TERM /Tonight through Wednesday Night/...

Forecast continues to evolve essentially as expected. Somewhat of a
lull in rainfall today through tonight as the deep upper low settles
into the lower Mississippi Valley. More heavy rainfall develops
across the region tomorrow through tomorrow night under strongly
diffluent upper flow ahead of the upper low. PWs remain well above
seasonal normals and strong upper forcing combined with strong
isentropic lift should provide for a prolonged period of moderate to
occasionally heavy rain by midday tomorrow through much of Wednesday
night. Instability is forecast to be minimal at best so I am not
expecting much if any thunder or severe potential. Biggest threat
will obviously be flooding. Some models hinting at a brief threat
for some wintry precipitation tomorrow evening in the extreme
northeast, but potential appears too low to include in the forecast
weather grids at this time.

20

.LONG TERM /Thursday through Tuesday/...
Extended period begins with the culprit upper low exiting through
KY and Eastern TN and much of the moisture exiting to the east
with it. Mid level dry slot looks to work into the region during
the day Thursday from west to east so there should be a relatively
quick shut off to the rainfall. Late Thursday there appears to be
a window where there is enough wrap around moisture and cold air
across North GA that some snow showers could start mixing in.
Model soundings for that area suggest a shallow but saturated
subfreezing layer below about 850mb with drier air above it which
favors upslope snow showers. Have added snow showers which would
be more likely in the NW facing slopes during the evening hours on
Thursday into the first part of the overnight. Because the low is
rapidly exiting to the east...much of moisture evacuates quickly
with it so the window looks to be only about 6-9 hours or so. Have
not included any appreciable amounts but would not be surprised
to hear about a trace or dusting in some of the higher elevations.
Not anticipating any issues with the snow otherwise.

By Friday...zonal upper flow and dry conditions set the tone for
what should be a nice weekend. Temps look to be near normal for
the weekend after a cold start Friday AM.

A weak upper level system works through the flow on Monday.
Models suggest that it will be moisture starved and may only bring
some clouds and low end rain chances.

Stellman

&&

.HYDROLOGY...

Highest rainfall amounts are oriented from our west-central Georgia
counties northeastward into east-central and northeast Georgia.
Soils remain moist enough and stream flows are already high enough
across northwest Georgia to include all but our extreme southeast
counties in a new Flash Flood Watch beginning early Wednesday
morning and continuing through the overnight hours into early
Thursday morning.

20
&&

AVIATION...
18Z Update...

Fairly wide range of conditions expected through 06Z, although a
mixture of MVFR and IFR conditions are expected to predominate. Most
areas IFR or lower after 06Z. Scattered light rain across the
forecast area through 06Z, becoming more widespread and increasing
in intensity by 12Z. Northwest winds 6-10kt, becoming northeast by
04Z-08Z. Wind speeds increase to 8-12kt after 12-14Z.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...

Low confidence on cig and vsby timing.
Medium confidence for all other elements.

20

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          44  48  37  45 /  60 100 100  50
Atlanta         45  48  39  46 /  60 100 100  30
Blairsville     40  47  36  45 /  40  90 100  50
Cartersville    42  48  38  45 /  50 100 100  30
Columbus        48  52  42  49 /  70 100 100  20
Gainesville     44  47  38  44 /  50 100 100  50
Macon           49  51  42  52 /  70 100 100  30
Rome            41  48  38  45 /  40 100  90  20
Peachtree City  44  49  39  47 /  60 100 100  30
Vidalia         53  54  45  55 /  50  90  90  40

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch from late tonight through Thursday morning for
the following zones: Baldwin...Banks...Barrow...Bartow...Bibb...
Bleckley...Butts...Carroll...Catoosa...Chattahoochee...
Chattooga...Cherokee...Clarke...Clayton...Cobb...Coweta...
Crawford...Crisp...Dade...Dawson...DeKalb...Dodge...Dooly...
Douglas...Fannin...Fayette...Floyd...Forsyth...Gilmer...
Glascock...Gordon...Greene...Gwinnett...Hall...Hancock...
Haralson...Harris...Heard...Henry...Houston...Jackson...Jasper...
Jefferson...Johnson...Jones...Lamar...Laurens...Lumpkin...
Macon...Madison...Marion...Meriwether...Monroe...Morgan...
Murray...Muscogee...Newton...North Fulton...Oconee...
Oglethorpe...Paulding...Peach...Pickens...Pike...Polk...
Pulaski...Putnam...Rockdale...Schley...South Fulton...Spalding...
Stewart...Sumter...Talbot...Taliaferro...Taylor...Towns...
Troup...Twiggs...Union...Upson...Walker...Walton...Warren...
Washington...Webster...White...Whitfield...Wilcox...Wilkes...
Wilkinson.

&&

SHORT TERM...20
LONG TERM....Stellman
AVIATION...20

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
311 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-142015-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
311 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for much of the area through
Thursday AM.

Rain will continue overnight tonight, with an additional 0.25 to
0.5 inches possible on top of what was received today and yesterday.
At times rain may be moderate to heavy, and localized flooding
will be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday...

An extended period of heavy rain is expected through early
Thursday. The rain could be heavy at times with isolated
thunderstorms for portions of central Georgia. As the rain occurs,
an increased threat for river and stream flooding is expected by
the middle of the week. An additional 2 to 3 inches of rainfall is
likely with isolated higher amounts for a large portion of North
and Central GA on Wednesday into Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.