Alert archive / Texas / River Flood Warnings in 2018
River Flood Warning 92, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued this river flood warning at Oct 18, 2018, 9:32 AM CDT for Val Verde County, Texas. It took effect at Oct 18, 2018, 8:49 PM CDT. It was in force for 24 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 18, 2018, 9:32 AM CDT (14:32 UTC)
- In effect from
- Oct 18, 2018, 8:49 PM CDT
- Expired
- Oct 19, 2018, 8:24 PM CDT
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
County Val Verde County, TX
The radar
The Laughlin AFB radar (KDFX), 78 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Devils River at Pafford Crossing near Comstock (CMKT2).
- Action stage
- 4 ft
- Minor stage
- 5 ft
- Moderate stage
- 6 ft
- Major stage
- 12 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 08449400, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
751
WGUS44 KEWX 181432
FLWEWX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
932 AM CDT Thu Oct 18 2018
...The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued
a flood warning for the...
Devils River
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
All persons with interests along the river should monitor
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary
precautions to protect life and property.
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary.
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks.
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember
to turn around and do not drown.
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/ewx.
&&
TXC465-190831-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FL.W.0091.181018T1432Z-181019T2131Z/
/BKCT2.3.ER.181018T1242Z.181018T1800Z.181019T0931Z.NO/
932 AM CDT Thu Oct 18 2018
The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued a
* Flood Warning for the Devils River At Bakers Crossing 19N Of Comstock
until Friday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 9:15 AM Thursday the stage was 10.1 feet (3.1 meters).
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet (1.8 meters).
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 16.2 feet 4.9 meters by this
afternoon. The river &
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...(5.2 meters), Major flooding can wash livestock,
autos, camp equipment and campers away well into the flood plain and
tributaries of the Devils River above Glasscock Ranch to Amistad Reservoir.
Roads and bridges are severely flooded and extremely dangerous. Many areas are
cut off for hours.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM (FT)
Location STG STG STG Day Time Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Bakers Crossing 4 6 10.1 Thu 09 AM 5.3 3.2 3.0 2.8 2.6
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM (M)
Location STG STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Bakers Crossing 1 2 3.1 Thu 09 AM 1.6 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8
&&
LAT...LON 2996 10118 2996 10110 2989 10097 2971 10095
2968 10103 2986 10105
$$
TXC465-190831-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FL.W.0092.181019T0600Z-181019T1800Z/
/CMKT2.1.ER.181019T0600Z.181019T0600Z.181019T0600Z.NO/
932 AM CDT Thu Oct 18 2018
The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued a
* Flood Warning for the Devils River At Pafford Crossing nr Comstock
from late tonight to Friday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 9:15 AM Thursday the stage was 2.8 feet (0.9 meters).
* Flood stage is 5.0 feet (1.5 meters).
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage after midnight
tomorrow.
* Impact...At 5.0 feet...(1.5 meters), Minor lowland flooding one quarter mile
wide at Pafford Crossing covers most of the right bank. Turbulent flow above
Pafford Crossing to Amistad Reservoir can wash campers, automobiles, and
equipment downstream.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM (FT)
Location STG STG STG Day Time Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Pafford Crossing 4 5 2.8 Thu 09 AM 4.7 3.5 2.7 2.6 2.5
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM (M)
Location STG STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Pafford Crossing 1 2 0.9 Thu 09 AM 1.4 1.1 0.8 0.8 0.8
&&
LAT...LON 2968 10103 2971 10095 2966 10089 2956 10092
2953 10100 2963 10097
$$7 follow-up statements
047
WGUS84 KEWX 182045
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
345 PM CDT Thu Oct 18 2018
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Devils River At Cauthorn Ranch Near Juno Affecting Val Verde County
Devils River At Bakers Crossing 19N Of Comstock Affecting Val Verde County
Devils River At Pafford Crossing nr Comstock Affecting Val Verde County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
All persons with interests along the river should monitor
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary
precautions to protect life and property.
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary.
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks.
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember
to turn around and do not drown.
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/ewx.
&&
TXC465-191444-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-181020T0120Z/
/JNXT2.2.ER.181018T0646Z.181018T2000Z.181019T1320Z.UU/
345 PM CDT Thu Oct 18 2018
...Flood warning extended until Friday evening...The flood warning continues for
the Devils River At Cauthorn Ranch Near Juno.
* until Friday evening...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 3:00 PM Thursday the stage was 15.1 feet (4.6 meters).
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet (2.4 meters).
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Friday
morning.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...(4.9 meters), Flow is well into the flood plain and
life threatening to campers near the river from the headwaters to Amistad
Reservoir. Low roads and crossings are extremely dangerous along the Devils
River and tributaries. Livestock should be removed from the flood plain.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM (FT)
Location STG STG STG Day Time Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Cauthorn Ranch N 7 8 15.1 Thu 03 PM 8.6 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM (M)
Location STG STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Cauthorn Ranch N 2 2 4.6 Thu 03 PM 2.6 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3
&&
LAT...LON 3010 10115 3010 10107 3003 10114 2996 10110
2996 10118 3003 10122
$$
TXC465-191444-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0091.000000T0000Z-181020T0022Z/
/BKCT2.2.ER.181018T1242Z.181019T0000Z.181019T1222Z.NO/
345 PM CDT Thu Oct 18 2018
...Flood warning extended until Friday evening...The flood warning continues for
the Devils River At Bakers Crossing 19N Of Comstock.
* until Friday evening...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 3:15 PM Thursday the stage was 13.0 feet (4.0 meters).
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet (1.8 meters).
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 13.6 feet (4.1 meters) by
Thursday evening. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...(3.7 meters), Campers, automobiles and equipment near
the river above Juno to Amistad Reservoir can be washed downstream. The river
is very turbulent at this level and dangerous for inexperienced swimmers,
canoeists and kayakers. Five feet of flow covers the Highway 163 bridge below
Juno.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM (FT)
Location STG STG STG Day Time Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Bakers Crossing 4 6 13.0 Thu 03 PM 6.1 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.7
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM (M)
Location STG STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Bakers Crossing 1 2 4.0 Thu 03 PM 1.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8
&&
LAT...LON 2996 10118 2996 10110 2989 10097 2971 10095
2968 10103 2986 10105
$$
TXC465-191444-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0092.181019T1200Z-181020T0000Z/
/CMKT2.1.ER.181019T1200Z.181019T1200Z.181019T1200Z.NO/
345 PM CDT Thu Oct 18 2018
...Flood warning extended until Friday evening...The flood warning continues for
the Devils River At Pafford Crossing nr Comstock.
* from Friday morning to Friday evening...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 3:15 PM Thursday the stage was 2.8 feet (0.8 meters).
* Flood stage is 5.0 feet (1.5 meters).
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage Friday morning.
* Impact...At 5.0 feet...(1.5 meters), Minor lowland flooding one quarter mile
wide at Pafford Crossing covers most of the right bank. Turbulent flow above
Pafford Crossing to Amistad Reservoir can wash campers, automobiles, and
equipment downstream.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM (FT)
Location STG STG STG Day Time Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Pafford Crossing 4 5 2.8 Thu 03 PM 5.0 2.8 2.7 2.8 2.8
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM (M)
Location STG STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Pafford Crossing 1 2 0.8 Thu 03 PM 1.5 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.9
&&
LAT...LON 2968 10103 2971 10095 2966 10089 2956 10092
2953 10100 2963 10097
$$615
WGUS84 KEWX 190149
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
849 PM CDT Thu Oct 18 2018
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Devils River At Cauthorn Ranch Near Juno Affecting Val Verde County
Devils River At Bakers Crossing 19N Of Comstock Affecting Val Verde County
Devils River At Pafford Crossing nr Comstock Affecting Val Verde County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
All persons with interests along the river should monitor
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary
precautions to protect life and property.
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary.
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks.
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember
to turn around and do not drown.
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/ewx.
&&
TXC465-191949-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-181020T2215Z/
/JNXT2.2.ER.181018T0646Z.181018T2000Z.181020T1015Z.UU/
849 PM CDT Thu Oct 18 2018
...Flood warning extended until Saturday afternoon...The flood warning continues
for
the Devils River At Cauthorn Ranch Near Juno.
* until Saturday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 8:00 PM Thursday the stage was 14.0 feet (4.3 meters).
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet (2.4 meters).
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Saturday
morning.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...(4.0 meters), Campers, autos and gear on the banks
wash downstream as this flood wave moves downstream.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM (FT)
Location STG STG STG Day Time Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Cauthorn Ranch N 7 8 14.0 Thu 08 PM 10.2 7.1 4.4 4.4 4.4
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM (M)
Location STG STG STG Day Time Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Cauthorn Ranch N 2 2 4.3 Thu 08 PM 3.1 2.2 1.3 1.3 1.3
&&
LAT...LON 3010 10115 3010 10107 3003 10114 2996 10110
2996 10118 3003 10122
$$
TXC465-191949-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0091.000000T0000Z-181021T0637Z/
/BKCT2.2.ER.181018T1242Z.181019T0045Z.181020T1837Z.NO/
849 PM CDT Thu Oct 18 2018
...Flood warning extended until late Saturday night...The flood warning
continues for
the Devils River At Bakers Crossing 19N Of Comstock.
* until late Saturday night...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 8:15 PM Thursday the stage was 13.6 feet (4.2 meters).
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet (1.8 meters).
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Saturday
early afternoon.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...(4.3 meters), Flooding can wash automobiles,
equipment, and campers downstream from above Juno to Amistad Reservoir. Roads
and bridges near the river are very dangerous. Six feet of flow covers the
Bakers Crossing bridge. Livestock should be moved from flood prone areas.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM (FT)
Location STG STG STG Day Time Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Bakers Crossing 4 6 13.6 Thu 08 PM 11.3 9.1 3.1 2.9 2.8
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM (M)
Location STG STG STG Day Time Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Bakers Crossing 1 2 4.2 Thu 08 PM 3.4 2.8 0.9 0.9 0.9
&&
LAT...LON 2996 10118 2996 10110 2989 10097 2971 10095
2968 10103 2986 10105
$$
TXC465-191949-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0092.181019T0149Z-181020T0705Z/
/CMKT2.1.ER.181018T2337Z.181019T0600Z.181019T1905Z.NO/
849 PM CDT Thu Oct 18 2018
...Flood warning extended until late Friday night...The flood warning continues
for
the Devils River At Pafford Crossing nr Comstock.
* from this evening to late Friday night...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 8:15 PM Thursday the stage was 5.3 feet (1.6 meters).
* Flood stage is 5.0 feet (1.5 meters).
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 5.5 feet (1.7 meters) by
after midnight tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow early
afternoon.
* Impact...At 5.0 feet...(1.5 meters), Minor lowland flooding one quarter mile
wide at Pafford Crossing covers most of the right bank. Turbulent flow above
Pafford Crossing to Amistad Reservoir can wash campers, automobiles, and
equipment downstream.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM (FT)
Location STG STG STG Day Time Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Pafford Crossing 4 5 5.3 Thu 08 PM 4.1 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.8
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM (M)
Location STG STG STG Day Time Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Pafford Crossing 1 2 1.6 Thu 08 PM 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9
&&
LAT...LON 2968 10103 2971 10095 2966 10089 2956 10092
2953 10100 2963 10097
$$242
WGUS44 KEWX 190626
FLWEWX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
126 AM CDT Fri Oct 19 2018
...The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued
a flood warning for the...
Devils River
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
All persons with interests along the river should monitor
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary
precautions to protect life and property.
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary.
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks.
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember
to turn around and do not drown.
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/ewx.
&&
TXC465-200026-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0092.000000T0000Z-181020T2306Z/
/CMKT2.2.ER.181018T2337Z.181019T0700Z.181020T1106Z.NO/
126 AM CDT Fri Oct 19 2018
...Observed flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
The flood warning continues for
THE Devils River At Pafford Crossing nr Comstock.
* until Saturday evening...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 1:15 AM Friday the stage was 6.2 feet (1.9 meters).
* Flood stage is 5.0 feet (1.5 meters).
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 6.8 feet or 2.1 meters
over the next 24 hours as water moves down the Devils River. The river should
remain above flood stage through Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...(1.8 meters), Moderate lowland flooding over 1/4 mile
wide covers the right bank to the canyon walls. The turbulent flow can wash
motorists, campers, and equipment downstream from Pafford Crossing to Amistad
Reservoir. Livestock are cut off and potentially drowned below Juno to Amistad
Reservoir.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM (FT)
Location STG STG STG Day Time Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Pafford Crossing 4 5 6.2 Fri 01 AM 4.6 3.9 3.7 3.6 3.5
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM (M)
Location STG STG STG Day Time Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Pafford Crossing 1 2 1.9 Fri 01 AM 1.4 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1
&&
LAT...LON 2968 10103 2971 10095 2966 10089 2956 10092
2953 10100 2963 10097
$$128
WGUS84 KEWX 191411
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
911 AM CDT Fri Oct 19 2018
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Devils River At Cauthorn Ranch Near Juno Affecting Val Verde County
Devils River At Bakers Crossing 19N Of Comstock Affecting Val Verde County
Devils River At Pafford Crossing nr Comstock Affecting Val Verde County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
All persons with interests along the river should monitor
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary
precautions to protect life and property.
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary.
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks.
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember
to turn around and do not drown.
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/ewx.
&&
TXC465-200811-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-181021T1410Z/
/JNXT2.2.ER.181018T0646Z.181018T2000Z.181021T0210Z.UU/
911 AM CDT Fri Oct 19 2018
...Flood warning extended until Sunday morning...The flood warning continues for
the Devils River At Cauthorn Ranch Near Juno.
* until Sunday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 8:00 AM Friday the stage was 8.5 feet (2.6 meters).
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet (2.4 meters).
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 9.4 feet (2.9 meters) by
early Saturday afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage late
Saturaday evening.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...(3.0 meters), Numerous portions of Highway 163 along
the Devils River become flooded. Low water crossings and bridges along the
Devils River are impassable, and motorists may become stranded between low
spots for several hours.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM (FT)
Location STG STG STG Day Time Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Cauthorn Ranch N 7 8 8.5 Fri 08 AM 6.2 6.2 4.9 4.3 4.3
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM (M)
Location STG STG STG DAY TIME Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Cauthorn Ranch N 2 2 2.6 Fri 08 AM 1.9 1.9 1.5 1.3 1.3
&&
LAT...LON 3010 10115 3010 10107 3003 10114 2996 10110
2996 10118 3003 10122
$$
TXC465-200811-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0091.000000T0000Z-181021T2100Z/
/BKCT2.2.ER.181018T1242Z.181019T0045Z.181021T0900Z.NO/
911 AM CDT Fri Oct 19 2018
...Flood warning extended until Sunday afternoon...The flood warning continues
for
the Devils River At Bakers Crossing 19N Of Comstock.
* until Sunday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 8:15 AM Friday the stage was 9.2 feet (2.8 meters).
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet (1.8 meters).
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Sunday
morning.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...(3.0 meters), Moderate lowland flooding is several
feet over the Bakers Crossing bridge at Highway 163. Flow is well into the
flood plain and very dangerous to campers and river recreationists above Juno
to Amistad Reservoir.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM (FT)
Location STG STG STG Day Time Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Bakers Crossing 4 6 9.2 Fri 08 AM 7.6 5.5 2.9 2.8 2.7
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM (M)
Location STG STG STG DAY TIME Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Bakers Crossing 1 2 2.8 Fri 08 AM 2.3 1.7 0.9 0.9 0.8
&&
LAT...LON 2996 10118 2996 10110 2989 10097 2971 10095
2968 10103 2986 10105
$$
TXC465-200811-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0092.000000T0000Z-181021T0336Z/
/CMKT2.2.ER.181018T2337Z.181019T0745Z.181020T1536Z.NO/
911 AM CDT Fri Oct 19 2018
...Flood warning extended until Saturday evening...The flood warning continues
for
the Devils River At Pafford Crossing nr Comstock.
* until Saturday evening...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 8:15 AM Friday the stage was 5.2 feet (1.6 meters).
* Flood stage is 5.0 feet (1.5 meters).
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 5.9 feet (1.8 meters) by
midnight tonight. The river will fall below flood stage late Saturday
morning.
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...(1.8 meters), Moderate lowland flooding over 1/4 mile
wide covers the right bank to the canyon walls. The turbulent flow can wash
motorists, campers, and equipment downstream from Pafford Crossing to Amistad
Reservoir. Livestock are cut off and potentially drowned below Juno to Amistad
Reservoir.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM (FT)
Location STG STG STG Day Time Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Pafford Crossing 4 5 5.2 Fri 08 AM 5.3 3.8 3.7 3.6 3.5
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM (M)
Location STG STG STG DAY TIME Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Pafford Crossing 1 2 1.6 Fri 08 AM 1.6 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1
&&
LAT...LON 2968 10103 2971 10095 2966 10089 2956 10092
2953 10100 2963 10097
$$132
WGUS84 KEWX 191913
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
213 PM CDT Fri Oct 19 2018
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Devils River At Cauthorn Ranch Near Juno Affecting Val Verde County
Devils River At Bakers Crossing 19N Of Comstock Affecting Val Verde County
Devils River At Pafford Crossing nr Comstock Affecting Val Verde County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
All persons with interests along the river should monitor
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary
precautions to protect life and property.
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary.
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks.
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember
to turn around and do not drown.
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/ewx.
&&
TXC465-201312-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-181021T0936Z/
/JNXT2.2.ER.181018T0646Z.181018T2000Z.181020T2136Z.UU/
213 PM CDT Fri Oct 19 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Devils River At Cauthorn Ranch Near Juno.
* until late Saturday night...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 1:00 PM Friday the stage was 7.5 feet (2.3 meters).
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet (2.4 meters).
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by late Saturday morning and continue to
rise to near 8.3 feet 2.5 meters by early Saturday afternoon. The river will
fall below flood stage by Saturday evening.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...(3.0 meters), Numerous portions of Highway 163 along
the Devils River become flooded. Low water crossings and bridges along the
Devils River are impassable, and motorists may become stranded between low
spots for several hours.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM (FT)
Location STG STG STG Day Time Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Cauthorn Ranch N 7 8 7.5 Fri 01 PM 7.7 6.6 5.3 4.4 4.4
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM (M)
Location STG STG STG DAY TIME Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Cauthorn Ranch N 2 2 2.3 Fri 01 PM 2.3 2.0 1.6 1.3 1.3
&&
LAT...LON 3010 10115 3010 10107 3003 10114 2996 10110
2996 10118 3003 10122
$$
TXC465-201312-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0091.000000T0000Z-181022T0051Z/
/BKCT2.2.ER.181018T1242Z.181019T0045Z.181021T1251Z.NO/
213 PM CDT Fri Oct 19 2018
...Flood warning extended until Sunday evening...The flood warning continues for
the Devils River At Bakers Crossing 19N Of Comstock.
* until Sunday evening...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 1:15 PM Friday the stage was 7.8 feet (2.4 meters).
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet (1.8 meters).
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 8.5 feet (2.6 meters) by
early Saturday afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage Sunday
morning.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...(3.0 meters), Moderate lowland flooding is several
feet over the Bakers Crossing bridge at Highway 163. Flow is well into the
flood plain and very dangerous to campers and river recreationists above Juno
to Amistad Reservoir.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM (FT)
Location STG STG STG Day Time Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Bakers Crossing 4 6 7.8 Fri 01 PM 7.6 6.1 3.2 2.8 2.8
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM (M)
Location STG STG STG DAY TIME Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Bakers Crossing 1 2 2.4 Fri 01 PM 2.3 1.9 1.0 0.9 0.9
&&
LAT...LON 2996 10118 2996 10110 2989 10097 2971 10095
2968 10103 2986 10105
$$
TXC465-201312-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0092.000000T0000Z-181020T2024Z/
/CMKT2.2.ER.181018T2337Z.181019T0745Z.181020T0824Z.NO/
213 PM CDT Fri Oct 19 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Devils River At Pafford Crossing nr Comstock.
* until Saturday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 1:15 PM Friday the stage was 4.7 feet (1.4 meters).
* Flood stage is 5.0 feet (1.5 meters).
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage Friday evening and continue to rise to near
5.2 feet 1.6 meters after midnight Saturday morning. The river will fall below
flood stage Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...(1.8 meters), Moderate lowland flooding over 1/4 mile
wide covers the right bank to the canyon walls. The turbulent flow can wash
motorists, campers, and equipment downstream from Pafford Crossing to Amistad
Reservoir. Livestock are cut off and potentially drowned below Juno to Amistad
Reservoir.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM (FT)
Location STG STG STG Day Time Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Pafford Crossing 4 5 4.7 Fri 01 PM 4.7 3.2 3.1 3.0 2.8
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM (M)
Location STG STG STG DAY TIME Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Pafford Crossing 1 2 1.4 Fri 01 PM 1.4 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9
&&
LAT...LON 2968 10103 2971 10095 2966 10089 2956 10092
2953 10100 2963 10097
$$762
WGUS84 KEWX 200110
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
810 PM CDT Fri Oct 19 2018
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas..
Devils River At Cauthorn Ranch Near Juno Affecting Val Verde County
Devils River At Bakers Crossing 19N Of Comstock Affecting Val Verde County
Devils River At Pafford Crossing nr Comstock Affecting Val Verde County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
All persons with interests along the river should monitor
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary
precautions to protect life and property.
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary.
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks.
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember
to turn around and do not drown.
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/ewx.
&&
TXC465-201910-
/O.CON.KEWX.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-181021T0936Z/
/JNXT2.2.ER.181018T0646Z.181018T2000Z.181020T2136Z.UU/
810 PM CDT Fri Oct 19 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Devils River At Cauthorn Ranch Near Juno.
* until late Saturday night...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 7:00 PM Friday the stage was 6.8 feet (2.1 meters).
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet (2.4 meters).
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by tomorrow late morning and continue to
rise to near 8.3 feet 2.5 meters by tomorrow early afternoon. The river will
fall below flood stage by tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 8.0 feet...(2.4 meters), Several low crossings on Highway 163 on
the Devils River are flooded, and motorists may become stranded between
crossings for several hours.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM (FT)
Location STG STG STG Day Time Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Cauthorn Ranch N 7 8 6.8 Fri 07 PM 7.7 6.6 5.3 4.4 4.4
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM (M)
Location STG STG STG Day Time Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Cauthorn Ranch N 2 2 2.1 Fri 07 PM 2.3 2.0 1.6 1.3 1.3
&&
LAT...LON 3010 10115 3010 10107 3003 10114 2996 10110
2996 10118 3003 10122
$$
TXC465-201910-
/O.CON.KEWX.FL.W.0091.000000T0000Z-181022T0051Z/
/BKCT2.2.ER.181018T1242Z.181019T0045Z.181021T1251Z.NO/
810 PM CDT Fri Oct 19 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Devils River At Bakers Crossing 19N Of Comstock.
* until Sunday evening...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 7:15 PM Friday the stage was 6.9 feet (2.1 meters).
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet (1.8 meters).
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 8.5 feet (2.6 meters) by
tomorrow early afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage Sunday
morning.
* Impact...At 8.0 feet...(2.4 meters), Moderate lowland flooding reaches the
Highway 163 bridge floor several miles below Juno. This level is turbulent and
dangerous for inexperienced swimmers, canoeists and kayakers.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM (FT)
Location STG STG STG Day Time Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Bakers Crossing 4 6 6.9 Fri 07 PM 7.6 6.1 3.2 2.8 2.8
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM (M)
Location STG STG STG Day Time Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Bakers Crossing 1 2 2.1 Fri 07 PM 2.3 1.9 1.0 0.9 0.9
&&
LAT...LON 2996 10118 2996 10110 2989 10097 2971 10095
2968 10103 2986 10105
$$
TXC465-201910-
/O.CON.KEWX.FL.W.0092.000000T0000Z-181020T2024Z/
/CMKT2.2.ER.181018T2337Z.181019T0745Z.181020T0824Z.NO/
810 PM CDT Fri Oct 19 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Devils River At Pafford Crossing nr Comstock.
* until Saturday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 7:15 PM Friday the stage was 3.8 feet (1.1 meters).
* Flood stage is 5.0 feet (1.5 meters).
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by after midnight tomorrow and continue to
rise to near 5.2 feet 1.6 meters by after midnight tomorrow. The river will
fall below flood stage by early tomorrow.
* Impact...At 5.0 feet...(1.5 meters), Minor lowland flooding one quarter mile
wide at Pafford Crossing covers most of the right bank. Turbulent flow above
Pafford Crossing to Amistad Reservoir can wash campers, automobiles, and
equipment downstream.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM (FT)
Location STG STG STG Day Time Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Pafford Crossing 4 5 3.8 Fri 07 PM 4.7 3.2 3.1 3.0 2.8
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM (M)
Location STG STG STG Day Time Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Pafford Crossing 1 2 1.1 Fri 07 PM 1.4 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9
&&
LAT...LON 2968 10103 2971 10095 2966 10089 2956 10092
2953 10100 2963 10097
$$664
WGUS84 KEWX 200124
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
824 PM CDT Fri Oct 19 2018
...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Texas...
Devils River At Cauthorn Ranch Near Juno Affecting Val Verde County
Devils River At Pafford Crossing nr Comstock Affecting Val Verde County
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Devils River At Bakers Crossing 19N Of Comstock Affecting Val Verde County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
All persons with interests along the river should monitor
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary
precautions to protect life and property.
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary.
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks.
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember
to turn around and do not drown.
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/ewx.
&&
TXC465-200154-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-181021T0936Z/
/JNXT2.2.ER.181018T0646Z.181018T2000Z.181019T1505Z.UU/
824 PM CDT Fri Oct 19 2018
The flood warning is cancelled for
the Devils River At Cauthorn Ranch Near Juno.
* At 8:00 PM Friday the stage was 6.7 feet (2.0 meters).
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet (2.4 meters).
* Fell below flood stage at 10:05 AM Friday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 5.0 feet meters by Sunday
morning.
* Impact...At 8.0 feet...(2.4 meters), Several low crossings on Highway 163 on
the Devils River are flooded, and motorists may become stranded between
crossings for several hours.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM (FT)
Location STG STG STG Day Time Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Cauthorn Ranch N 7 8 6.7 Fri 08 PM 5.9 5.0 4.5 4.3 4.3
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM (M)
Location STG STG STG Day Time Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Cauthorn Ranch N 2 2 2.0 Fri 08 PM 1.8 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.3
&&
LAT...LON 3010 10115 3010 10107 3003 10114 2996 10110
2996 10118 3003 10122
$$
TXC465-201923-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0091.000000T0000Z-181021T0300Z/
/BKCT2.2.ER.181018T1242Z.181019T0045Z.181020T1500Z.NO/
824 PM CDT Fri Oct 19 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Devils River At Bakers Crossing 19N Of Comstock.
* until Saturday evening...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 7:15 PM Friday the stage was 6.9 feet (2.1 meters).
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet (1.8 meters).
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by tomorrow
late morning.
* Impact...At 8.0 feet...(2.4 meters), Moderate lowland flooding reaches the
Highway 163 bridge floor several miles below Juno. This level is turbulent and
dangerous for inexperienced swimmers, canoeists and kayakers.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM (FT)
Location STG STG STG Day Time Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Bakers Crossing 4 6 6.9 Fri 07 PM 6.2 4.6 3.5 3.0 2.8
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM (M)
Location STG STG STG Day Time Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Bakers Crossing 1 2 2.1 Fri 07 PM 1.9 1.4 1.1 0.9 0.9
&&
LAT...LON 2996 10118 2996 10110 2989 10097 2971 10095
2968 10103 2986 10105
$$
TXC465-200154-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0092.000000T0000Z-181020T2024Z/
/CMKT2.2.ER.181018T2337Z.181019T0745Z.181019T1705Z.NO/
824 PM CDT Fri Oct 19 2018
The flood warning is cancelled for
the Devils River At Pafford Crossing nr Comstock.
* At 7:15 PM Friday the stage was 3.8 feet (1.1 meters).
* Flood stage is 5.0 feet (1.5 meters).
* Fell below flood stage at 12:05 PM Friday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 3.1 feet meters by Sunday
morning.
* Impact...At 5.0 feet...(1.5 meters), Minor lowland flooding one quarter mile
wide at Pafford Crossing covers most of the right bank. Turbulent flow above
Pafford Crossing to Amistad Reservoir can wash campers, automobiles, and
equipment downstream.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM (FT)
Location STG STG STG Day Time Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Pafford Crossing 4 5 3.8 Fri 07 PM 3.6 3.1 2.9 2.8 2.6
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM (M)
Location STG STG STG Day Time Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Pafford Crossing 1 2 1.1 Fri 07 PM 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8
&&
LAT...LON 2968 10103 2971 10095 2966 10089 2956 10092
2953 10100 2963 10097
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Oct 18, 9:06 AM CDT, 26 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 18, 9:06 AM CDT, 26 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 906 AM CDT Thu Oct 18 2018 .UPDATE... Area radars are currently showing light showers mainly across the southern counties of south central Texas. However, a line of light to isolated moderate showers just entered the southern parts of Karnes and Dewitt counties while moving to the northwest. So far, the rain rates are less than a one tenth of an inch. Based on current radar and satellite data, the moderate to localized heavy rainfall expected for this morning is been delayed for this afternoon and evening per latest HiRes models and guidance. Still expecting 1 to 2 inches with isolated 4 inches for the next 18 to 24 hours. Will keep you updated as new information comes in and the shower activity begins to impact the region. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 618 AM CDT Thu Oct 18 2018/ AVIATION... IFR/MVFR CIGs and intermittent SHRA with restrictions to VSBY can be expected at all TAF sites today through Friday morning. There is a potential for LIFR VSBYs in the heavier SHRA, however, due to uncertainty on timing will leave out for now and update based on radar trends. Northerly winds 6 to 14 KTs prevail. PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 410 AM CDT Thu Oct 18 2018/ SHORT TERM (Today through Friday)... For today and into Friday a disturbance will rotate around the western side of the upper level high situated across the Gulf Coast interacting with very moist air to create more scattered light to moderate showers across the area. The best chance of any of these heavier showers will be later today, through the overnight hours into Friday morning. With additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches possible, with isolated totals up to 4 inches we have extended the Flash Flood Watch through Friday morning. Beyond Friday morning the watch may need to be reconfigured as the threat for heavier rain will shift from across the Rio Grande Plains to focus on the Texas Hill Country. This disturbance will drag in rich Gulf moisture and increase precipitable water values to 1.9-2.1 inches for late today through Friday (check out the Wednesday evening update AFD for a more in- depth explanation on PW). These values are well into the 90th percentile for this time of year and could translate into pockets of heavier rainfall. Soils, especially across the Edwards Plateau (from Real to Kerr counties) and Hill Country (from Gillespie to Llano to Burnet counties), are so saturated that even 1 to 2 inches of rain will cause increased runoff and could lead to additional river rises or flooded road ways. Over the last 3 days anywhere between 4 and 12 inches of rainfall have fallen on the Edwards Plateau and Hill Country so these areas remain the focus for the flash flood threat, but moderate to heavy rainfall could work into the I-35 corridor today and tonight as well leading to their inclusion in the watch. Afternoon highs will continue to run about 10 degrees below seasonal normals, with lows right around where they should be for mid October. With the saturated soils across parts of South Central Texas and the continued wet forecast this remains a dangerous situation as rainfall from the last few days continues to work its way through area rivers. The Lower Colorado River Authority announced that by mid-day Thursday up to 8 flood gates at Mansfield Dam could be opened (4 are currently releasing about 25,000 cfs down the Colorado) to move some of the water from Lake Travis down the Colorado. Lake Travis, as of 3am is at just over 700 feet msl, the 6th highest the lake has ever been (Visit the NWS AHPS page and search for MSDT2 to view the other past crests). The Devils River in Val Verde County, the Nueces River in Dimmit County, and the Frio River in Frio County all continue to be in flood this morning as well. We urge residents and visitors to South Central Texas to monitor closely the weather conditions for the next several days as any rainfall amounts could lead to additional flash flooding or river flooding. Also, those along the Colorado River should monitor information coming from the Lower Colorado River Authority concerning releases from area lakes and take needed actions to protect lives and property along the Colorado. LONG TERM (Friday Night through Wednesday)... The longterm forecast is a mixed bag of good news and bad news. The good news is that on Saturday a large trough will dig out of Canada across the eastern half of the U.S. and drag a cold front through Texas. While this will act as a focus for more rain during the day on Saturday the front should clear out precipitation for Saturday night through Sunday night, other than some isolated showers across the Rio Grande Plains. This should give a good 24 hours for water to work through area rivers, with no additional rainfall. The front will also help to knock down temperatures that will have rebounded to afternoon highs near 70 by Saturday (still below normal), back down into the lower 60s. A lucky few may see some peaks of sun on Sunday though mostly cloudy skies should prevail. Now the bad news...there is more rain in the forecast for the first half of next week. Both the ECMWF and GFS show the persistent upper level low pressure system that has been sitting across the Southwest U.S. finally ejected eastward across the Southern Plains. This in itself will provide a catalyst for another round of potentially heavy rainfall beginning on Monday and lasting through Wednesday night. What bares watching is the possibility than a Pacific tropical system gets pulled into the through as it traverses across Texas. This system has yet to form, but is shown in both the ECMWF and GFS and NHC currently has a 90% chance of formation along the southern Mexican coast. The GFS has the trough picking up the tropical system Wednesday into Thursday producing widespread heavy rainfall across much of Texas. The ECMWF is faster with the main trough pulling it through Texas as tropical system makes landfall. The difference here will be the amount of moisture the trough has to work with. With all of the Pacific moisture the GFS dumps 5-10 inches from San Angelo to Abilene, while the ECMWF with the miss-match of trough first, then tropical system shows only 2-4 inches. There are a lot of factors that will come into play next week from the timing of the trough moving eastward, to the location, strength, and timing of the yet-to- form Pacific Tropical System, and how much the area gets to dry out this weekend. How these come together will determine how much and where the rain falls during the first half of next week and what additional impacts will be felt across South Central Texas. Probably the *best* news is that both long-term global models show ridging trying to work into Texas behind the trough and a drier forecast beginning Thursday of next week. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Austin Camp Mabry 58 57 65 58 67 / 70 60 70 60 50 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 59 57 65 58 67 / 70 60 60 60 50 New Braunfels Muni Airport 59 58 67 60 68 / 70 60 60 50 50 Burnet Muni Airport 56 54 62 56 65 / 80 80 70 70 60 Del Rio Intl Airport 58 57 69 61 68 / 70 70 40 50 60 Georgetown Muni Airport 57 55 63 56 66 / 70 70 70 70 50 Hondo Muni Airport 59 58 70 61 69 / 80 80 60 60 50 San Marcos Muni Airport 59 57 66 59 67 / 70 60 60 60 50 La Grange - Fayette Regional 64 60 70 60 68 / 60 50 60 50 40 San Antonio Intl Airport 59 59 68 61 68 / 80 70 60 50 50 Stinson Muni Airport 60 60 69 62 69 / 80 70 60 50 50 && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Flash Flood Watch through Friday morning for Bandera-Bexar-Blanco- Burnet-Comal-Edwards-Gillespie-Hays-Kendall-Kerr-Kinney-Llano- Maverick-Medina-Real-Travis-Uvalde-Val Verde-Williamson-Zavala. && Aviation...Platt Short-Term/Long-Term...17 Public Service/Data Collection...YB
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 18, 4:26 AM CDT, 5 hours 6 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 426 AM CDT Thu Oct 18 2018 TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-191000- Llano-Burnet-Williamson-Val Verde-Edwards-Real-Kerr-Bandera- Gillespie-Kendall-Blanco-Hays-Travis-Bastrop-Lee-Kinney-Uvalde- Medina-Bexar-Comal-Guadalupe-Caldwell-Fayette-Maverick-Zavala- Frio-Atascosa-Wilson-Karnes-Gonzales-De Witt-Lavaca-Dimmit- 426 AM CDT Thu Oct 18 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for South-Central Texas.. .DAY ONE...Today And Tonight. An upper level disturbance will bring another surge of moisture across our area today. This will result in periods of showers through Friday morning. Moderate to heavy rainfall is possible across most areas. This could lead to renewed flash flooding and river flooding, especially for areas across the Edwards Plateau and Hill Country to along the I-35 corridor where soils remain saturated from recent heavy rains. A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect through Friday morning for this area. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches, with isolated pockets of up to 4 inches, are possible. Rivers and lakes will remain elevated for the next several days. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Scattered to numerous showers continue for most areas Friday. Moderate to heavy rains are possible Friday morning, especially across the Hill Country. A cold front will bring scattered to numerous showers across most areas on Saturday, then showers become more isolated and focus toward the Rio Grande Plains on Sunday. An upper level disturbance and the remnants of a possible eastern Pacific tropical system result in increasing showers Monday through Wednesday. Additional rounds of heavy rains are possible. Rivers and lakes will remain elevated for the next several days. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated, but spotters are encouraged to relay any reports of heavy rain or flooding.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 12:45 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EWX | Val Verde | 44 hr |
| Oct 18, 9:32 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EWX | Val Verde | 52 hr |
| Oct 18, 5:41 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Bandera, Medina | 3 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Texas, 2018Every river flood warning in 2018
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.