Alert archive / Texas / River Flood Warnings in 2018

River Flood Warning 84, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

October 15, 2018Kerr County, Texas

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued this river flood warning at Oct 15, 2018, 8:52 PM CDT for Kerr County, Texas. It took effect at Oct 16, 2018, 1:49 AM CDT. It was in force for 37 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 15, 2018, 8:52 PM CDT (01:52 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 16, 2018, 1:49 AM CDT
Expired
Oct 17, 2018, 3:12 PM CDT
In force
37 hr
Issued by
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Kerr County, TX

The radar

The Austin/San Antonio radar (KEWX), 105 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Guadalupe River at Kerrville (KRRT2).

Action stage
7 ft
Minor stage
9 ft
Moderate stage
12 ft
Major stage
20 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 08166200, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

550 
WGUS44 KEWX 160152
FLWEWX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
852 PM CDT Mon Oct 15 2018

...The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued 
 a flood warning for the... 

  Guadalupe River 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 
 
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 
 
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 
 
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 
 
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.weather.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC265-161951-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FL.W.0084.181016T0657Z-181016T2106Z/
/KRRT2.1.ER.181016T0657Z.181016T0700Z.181016T0906Z.NO/
852 PM CDT Mon Oct 15 2018

 The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Guadalupe River At Kerrville.
* from late tonight to Tuesday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:45 PM Monday the stage was 5.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by after midnight tomorrow and continue to 
  rise to near 9.1 feet by after midnight tomorrow. The river will fall below 
  flood stage by early tomorrow.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Flow is over the right bank with no significant damage.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat
 Kerrville           7    9    5.5   Mon 09 PM   6.2   2.8   2.4   2.4   2.3


&&

LAT...LON 3003 9919 3010 9916 2997 9902 3000 9890
      2993 9891 2991 9906             

$$
8 follow-up statements
279 
WGUS44 KEWX 160251
FLWEWX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
951 PM CDT Mon Oct 15 2018

...The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued 
 a flood warning for the... 

  Guadalupe River 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 
 
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 
 
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 
 
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 
 
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.weather.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC265-162050-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0084.181016T0649Z-181017T0038Z/
/KRRT2.2.ER.181016T0649Z.181016T1000Z.181016T1238Z.NO/
951 PM CDT Mon Oct 15 2018

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity... 
The flood warning continues for 
 the Guadalupe River At Kerrville.
* from late tonight to Tuesday evening...or until the warning is cancelled. 
* At  9:45 PM Monday the stage was 6.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by after midnight tonight and continue to 
  rise to near 12.9 feet by early tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage
  by tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Flow is over the left bank. Secondary and primary 
  roads and bridges are flooded. The swimming pool and tennis court in a resort 
  and restuarant upstream left bank flood. Flow is near the USGS 1:5 year flood 
  level.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat
 Kerrville           7    9    6.8   Mon 10 PM  10.8   2.9   2.5   2.4   2.4


&&

LAT...LON 3003 9919 3010 9916 2997 9902 3000 9890
      2993 9891 2991 9906             

$$
790 
WGUS84 KEWX 161221
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
721 AM CDT Tue Oct 16 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Guadalupe River at Hunt Affecting Kerr County
  Guadalupe River At Kerrville Affecting Kerr County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.weather.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC265-170620-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0083.000000T0000Z-181018T2200Z/
/HNTT2.2.ER.181015T2304Z.181016T1145Z.181018T1000Z.NO/
721 AM CDT Tue Oct 16 2018

 The flood warning continues for
  the Guadalupe River at Hunt.
* At  7:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 18.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Thursday 
  morning. River is cresting now but a second crest may occur later this morning. 
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Major flooding of low areas of recreation camps along 
  the North and South Forks washes canoes and gear downstream from docks and low
  areas. Roads near the river, including along Highway 39, are extremely 
  dangerous for auto traffic and travel is highly discouraged. Autos in low 
  areas of Camp Waldemar are swept downstream. Flow is near the USGS 1:10 year 
  flood level.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
 Hunt               10   10   18.9   Tue  7 AM  11.1   9.9   9.7   9.5   9.2


&&

LAT...LON 3003 9941 3010 9941 3010 9916 3003 9919


$$

TXC265-170620-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0084.000000T0000Z-181017T1848Z/
/KRRT2.2.ER.181016T0635Z.181016T1500Z.181017T0648Z.NO/
721 AM CDT Tue Oct 16 2018

 The flood warning continues for
  the Guadalupe River At Kerrville.
* At  6:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 14.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 17.9 feet by late this 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage after midnight tomorrow.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Flow reaches the first floor of a resort and 
  restuarant upstream left bank. Near the USGS 1:10 year flood.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
 Kerrville           7    9   14.6   Tue  7 AM   7.2   4.5   3.9   3.5   3.1


&&

LAT...LON 3003 9919 3010 9916 2997 9902 3000 9890
      2993 9891 2991 9906             

$$
000 
WGUS84 KEWX 161329
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
829 AM CDT Tue Oct 16 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Guadalupe River at Hunt Affecting Kerr County
  Guadalupe River At Kerrville Affecting Kerr County
  Guadalupe River At Comfort Affecting Kendall County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.weather.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC265-170728-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0083.000000T0000Z-181018T1800Z/
/HNTT2.2.ER.181015T2304Z.181016T1145Z.181018T0600Z.NO/
829 AM CDT Tue Oct 16 2018

 The flood warning continues for
  the Guadalupe River at Hunt.
* At  8:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 18.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by early 
  Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Major flooding of low areas of recreation camps along 
  the North and South Forks washes canoes and gear downstream from docks and low
  areas. Roads near the river, including along Highway 39, are extremely 
  dangerous for auto traffic and travel is highly discouraged. Autos in low 
  areas of Camp Waldemar are swept downstream. Flow is near the USGS 1:10 year 
  flood level.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
 Hunt               10   10   18.4   Tue  8 AM  11.3   9.8   9.2   8.8   8.5


&&

LAT...LON 3003 9941 3010 9941 3010 9916 3003 9919


$$

TXC265-170728-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0084.000000T0000Z-181017T1915Z/
/KRRT2.2.ER.181016T0635Z.181016T1600Z.181017T0715Z.NO/
829 AM CDT Tue Oct 16 2018

 The flood warning continues for
  the Guadalupe River At Kerrville.
* At  7:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 13.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 18.0 feet by late this 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage after midnight tomorrow.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Flow reaches the first floor of a resort and 
  restuarant upstream left bank. Near the USGS 1:10 year flood.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
 Kerrville           7    9   13.9   Tue  8 AM   7.4   4.1   3.0   2.4   2.1


&&

LAT...LON 3003 9919 3010 9916 2997 9902 3000 9890
      2993 9891 2991 9906             

$$

TXC259-170728-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-181017T1300Z/
/COMT2.3.ER.181016T1257Z.181016T1700Z.181017T0100Z.NO/
829 AM CDT Tue Oct 16 2018

 The flood warning continues for
  the Guadalupe River At Comfort.
* At  7:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 20.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by this morning and continue to rise to near
  28.2 feet by this afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage by this 
  evening.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet...Numerous homes flood above Center Point to near 
  Comfort. Most roads and bridges near the river flood. Flow approaches homes in
  the western part of Comfort and additional runoff down Cypress Creek floods 
  them. Major lowland flooding cuts livestock off in the flood plain, 
  potentially drowning them.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
 Comfort            10   21   20.2   Tue  8 AM  15.7  10.0   7.5   5.5   4.9


&&

LAT...LON 2993 9891 3000 9890 2996 9863 2990 9840
      2983 9839 2988 9864             

$$
606 
WGUS44 KEWX 161426
FLWEWX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
926 AM CDT Tue Oct 16 2018

...The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued 
 a flood warning for the... 

  Guadalupe River 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 
 
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 
 
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 
 
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 
 
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.weather.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC265-170826-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0084.000000T0000Z-181017T2336Z/
/KRRT2.3.ER.181016T0635Z.181016T1600Z.181017T1136Z.NO/
926 AM CDT Tue Oct 16 2018

...Observed flooding increased from Moderate to Major severity... 
...Forecast flooding increased from Moderate to Major severity... 
The flood warning continues for 
 the Guadalupe River At Kerrville.
* until Wednesday evening...or until the warning is cancelled. 
* At  8:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 20.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 23.0 feet by late this 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet...Flooding  is life threatening from the headwaters 
  to below Comfort. Lowest homes above Center Point to below Comfort flood.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
 Kerrville           7    9   20.4   Tue 09 AM   8.8   5.3   4.3   3.6   2.9


&&

LAT...LON 3003 9919 3010 9916 2997 9902 3000 9890
      2993 9891 2991 9906             

$$
501 
WGUS84 KEWX 161940
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
240 PM CDT Tue Oct 16 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Guadalupe River at Hunt Affecting Kerr County
  Guadalupe River At Kerrville Affecting Kerr County
  Guadalupe River At Comfort Affecting Kendall County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.weather.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC265-171339-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0083.000000T0000Z-181018T1200Z/
/HNTT2.2.ER.181015T2304Z.181016T1145Z.181018T0000Z.NO/
240 PM CDT Tue Oct 16 2018

 The flood warning continues for
  the Guadalupe River at Hunt.
* At  2:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 14.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Wednesday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding puts a few feet of water 
  over the Highway 39 bridge near Hunt. Numerous secondary roads and bridges are
  flooded and very dangerous.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
 Hunt               10   10   14.8   Tue 02 PM  10.9   9.5   9.0   8.8   8.8


&&

LAT...LON 3003 9941 3010 9941 3010 9916 3003 9919


$$

TXC265-171339-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0084.000000T0000Z-181017T2120Z/
/KRRT2.3.ER.181016T0635Z.181016T1400Z.181017T0920Z.NO/
240 PM CDT Tue Oct 16 2018

 The flood warning continues for
  the Guadalupe River At Kerrville.
* At  1:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 12.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and the river will fall below flood stage
  wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Flow is over the left bank. Secondary and primary 
  roads and bridges are flooded. The swimming pool and tennis court in a 
  resort and restuarant upstream left bank flood. Flood is near the USGS
  1:5 year flood level. 

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
 Kerrville           7    9   12.1   Tue 01 PM   8.0   4.1   3.0   2.7   2.6


&&

LAT...LON 3003 9919 3010 9916 2997 9902 3000 9890
      2993 9891 2991 9906             

$$

TXC259-171339-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-181017T1430Z/
/COMT2.1.ER.181016T1316Z.181016T1745Z.181017T0230Z.NO/
240 PM CDT Tue Oct 16 2018

 The flood warning continues for
  the Guadalupe River At Comfort.
* At  1:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 25.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by tonight.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...Major flooding reaches the lowest residences above 
  Center Point to near Comfort. Numerous secondary and primary roads are flooded
  making low bridges and crossings extremely dangerous. Water approaches a 
  mobile home park in Center Point. As the Guadalupe River backs up Cypress 
  Creek in the west part of Comfort, additional flow in Cypress creek floods 
  homes.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
 Comfort            10   21   25.0   Tue 02 PM  16.3  10.0   7.7   5.8   4.8


&&

LAT...LON 2993 9891 3000 9890 2996 9863 2990 9840
      2983 9839 2988 9864             

$$
105 
WGUS84 KEWX 170127
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
827 PM CDT Tue Oct 16 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
  Guadalupe River at Hunt Affecting Kerr County
  Guadalupe River At Kerrville Affecting Kerr County
  Guadalupe River At Comfort Affecting Kendall County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.weather.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC265-171927-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0083.000000T0000Z-181018T0100Z/
/HNTT2.2.ER.181015T2304Z.181016T1145Z.181017T1300Z.NO/
827 PM CDT Tue Oct 16 2018

 The flood warning continues for
  the Guadalupe River at Hunt.
* At  8:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 11.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding reaches the Highway 39 
  bridge floor two miles east of Hunt preventing easy travel to western parts of
  the county. Areas of the headwaters are isolated temporarily as low water 
  crossings flood.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:

                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
 Hunt               10   10   11.6   Tue 08 PM  10.1   9.0   8.9   8.8   8.8

&&

LAT...LON 3003 9941 3010 9941 3010 9916 3003 9919


$$

TXC265-171927-
/O.CON.KEWX.FL.W.0084.000000T0000Z-181017T2120Z/
/KRRT2.3.ER.181016T0635Z.181016T2245Z.181017T0920Z.NR/
827 PM CDT Tue Oct 16 2018

The flood warning continues for
  the Guadalupe River At Kerrville.
* At  7:45 PM Tuesday the stage was missing, but estimated to be near 12 feet based 
  on nearby guage reports.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Record flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue a gradual fall to below flood stage by early 
  tomorrow.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...flow is over the left bank. Secondary and primary roads and 
  bridges are flooded. The swimming pool and tennis court in a resort and restuarant 
  upstream left bank flood. Flow is near the USGS 1:5 year flood level.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:

                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
 Kerrville           7    9     M    Tue 08 PM   8.0   3.2   2.8   2.7   2.6

&&

LAT...LON 3003 9919 3010 9916 2997 9902 3000 9890
      2993 9891 2991 9906             

$$

TXC259-171407-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-181017T1407Z/
/COMT2.1.ER.181016T1316Z.181016T1745Z.181017T0207Z.NO/
827 PM CDT Tue Oct 16 2018

 The flood warning continues for
  the Guadalupe River At Comfort.
* At  7:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 19.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding covers low areas of the flood 
  plain flooding lowest roads and bridges. Motorists should enter crossings over
  the Guadalupe River with care.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:

                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
 Comfort            10   21   19.2   Tue 08 PM  14.3   9.0   7.3   6.4   5.8

&&

LAT...LON 2993 9891 3000 9890 2996 9863 2990 9840
      2983 9839 2988 9864             

$$
492 
WGUS84 KEWX 171408
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
908 AM CDT Wed Oct 17 2018

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Texas...

  Guadalupe River at Hunt Affecting Kerr County

...The flood warning has expired for the following rivers in Texas...

  Guadalupe River  Comfort Affecting Kendall County

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Guadalupe River At Kerrville Affecting Kerr County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.weather.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC265-171438-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0083.000000T0000Z-181018T0100Z/
/HNTT2.2.ER.181015T2304Z.181016T1145Z.181017T1318Z.NO/
908 AM CDT Wed Oct 17 2018

The flood warning is cancelled for
  the Guadalupe River at Hunt.
* At  8:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 9.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 9.1 feet by Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Water extends into low areas of the flood plain.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon
 Hunt               10   10    9.9   Wed 09 AM   9.1   8.9   8.8   8.8   8.7


&&

LAT...LON 3003 9941 3010 9941 3010 9916 3003 9919


$$

TXC265-180809-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0084.000000T0000Z-181018T0920Z/
/KRRT2.3.ER.181016T0635Z.181016T2245Z.181017T2120Z.NR/
908 AM CDT Wed Oct 17 2018

 The flood warning continues for
  the Guadalupe River At Kerrville.
* At  8:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 9.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Flow is over the right bank with no significant damage.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon
 Kerrville           7    9    9.8   Wed 09 AM   6.3   5.0   3.7   2.6   2.5


&&

LAT...LON 3003 9919 3010 9916 2997 9902 3000 9890
      2993 9891 2991 9906             

$$

TXC259-171438-
/O.EXP.KEWX.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-181017T1407Z/
/COMT2.1.ER.181016T1316Z.181016T1745Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
908 AM CDT Wed Oct 17 2018

The flood warning has expired for
  the Guadalupe River At Comfort.
* At  8:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 10.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon
 Comfort            10   21   10.6   Wed 09 AM   5.4   4.8   4.6   4.5   4.4


&&

LAT...LON 2993 9891 3000 9890 2996 9863 2990 9840
      2983 9839 2988 9864             

$$
346 
WGUS84 KEWX 172012
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
312 PM CDT Wed Oct 17 2018

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Texas...

  Guadalupe River At Kerrville Affecting Kerr County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.weather.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC265-172042-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0084.000000T0000Z-181018T0920Z/
/KRRT2.3.ER.181016T0635Z.181016T2245Z.181017T1631Z.NR/
312 PM CDT Wed Oct 17 2018

The flood warning is cancelled for
  the Guadalupe River At Kerrville.
* At  2:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 3.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Bankfull stage is 7.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river is below bankfull and will continue to fall to near 3.0 feet 
  by tomorrow morning. The river is below bankfull and this will be the last forecast 
  for this event.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon
 Kerrville           7    9    3.6   Wed 03 PM   3.3   3.3   3.3   3.3   3.3


&&

LAT...LON 3003 9919 3010 9916 2997 9902 3000 9890
      2993 9891 2991 9906             

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Oct 15, 7:14 PM CDT, 1 hour 38 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 15, 7:14 PM CDT, 1 hour 38 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
714 PM CDT Mon Oct 15 2018

.AVIATION...
Periods of SHRA are expected at the terminals through at least 14-18Z
Tuesday as an upper level speed maxima overrides a frontal boundary
located around 850 MB draped north of the terminals. This will result
in visibilities dropping as low as LIFR in heavier SHRA, with
IFR/MVFR conditions prevailing as ceilings remain trapped beneath a
low level frontal inversion. With the surface pressure gradient
relaxing, expect northerly winds to begin decreasing but remain
generally elevated in the 10-15 knot range. Amendments are expected
to handle more intense SHRA that approach the terminals.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 410 PM CDT Mon Oct 15 2018/

SHORT TERM (Tonight through Tuesday Night)...
Much cooler temperatures along with widespread rain and a few
thunderstorms can be found across south central Texas this afternoon.
Temperatures are currently in the upper 30s to upper 40s across the
region, compared to 24 hours ago when temperatures were mainly in the
80s to lower 90s.

Widespread rain along with a few embedded thunderstorms are expected
to continue through tonight as southerly warm air advection above
the cold low-level northerly flow continues. For the early part of
this evening, the main concern is expected to remain out west along
the Rio Grande, where the HRRR suggests some stronger convection from
Mexico will move northward into the Rio Grande plains. For the
overnight hours, the models suggest additional showers and embedded
thunderstorms will continue, with the heavier totals expected to
remain across the Rio Grande plains, southern Edwards Plateau and
Hill Country. Locally heavy rainfall may also spill over into Tuesday
and with this in mind, we have opted to extend the Flash Flood Watch
into early Tuesday evening. Storm total amounts through Tuesday of 1
to 3 inches with a few totals of 4 to 6 inches are expected.

LONG TERM (Wednesday through Monday)...
We could see a brief break in the rainfall on Wednesday for areas
along and east of I-35. However, west of I-35, rain chances continue
to remain high as additional shortwave energy moves out of Mexico
into the Rio Grande plains. Rain chances look to increase again on
Thursday as the medium range models show a series of disturbances
moving up from deep south Texas into the region. The forecast for the
upcoming weekend into early next week remains uncertain as the
operational GFS and ECMWF diverge on the mid-level flow pattern. The
GFS suggests a drier forecast with a surge of cool and dry air on
Saturday. The ECMWF also shows this surge of cooler air, but
maintains a warm air advection pattern and keeps much higher rain
chances intact. For now, we will keep rain chances in the forecast,
but have gone a little lower than the ECMWF.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              44  47  45  54  49 /  90  80  50  40  30
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  46  47  43  55  49 /  90  80  50  40  40
New Braunfels Muni Airport     45  49  45  56  51 /  90  70  40  30  40
Burnet Muni Airport            41  44  43  53  48 / 100  80  60  50  30
Del Rio Intl Airport           43  48  46  54  50 /  90  70  70  70  50
Georgetown Muni Airport        43  46  45  53  49 /  90  80  50  40  30
Hondo Muni Airport             46  50  48  57  49 / 100  70  50  40  60
San Marcos Muni Airport        45  48  46  55  52 /  90  70  40  30  40
La Grange - Fayette Regional   47  50  49  58  53 /  80  60  30  30  40
San Antonio Intl Airport       45  49  46  57  51 /  90  70  40  40  50
Stinson Muni Airport           47  52  48  58  51 /  90  70  40  30  50

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch through Tuesday evening for Bandera-Blanco-Burnet-
Edwards-Gillespie-Kendall-Kerr-Kinney-Llano-Maverick-Medina-Real-
Uvalde-Val Verde-Zavala.

&&

Aviation...Huffman
Short-Term/Long-Term...Treadway
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 15, 3:52 PM CDT, 5 hours before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
352 PM CDT Mon Oct 15 2018

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-162100-
Llano-Burnet-Williamson-Val Verde-Edwards-Real-Kerr-Bandera-
Gillespie-Kendall-Blanco-Hays-Travis-Bastrop-Lee-Kinney-Uvalde-
Medina-Bexar-Comal-Guadalupe-Caldwell-Fayette-Maverick-Zavala-
Frio-Atascosa-Wilson-Karnes-Gonzales-De Witt-Lavaca-Dimmit-
352 PM CDT Mon Oct 15 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for South-Central Texas..

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon And Tonight.

Locally heavy rainfall is possible today into tonight. A Flash
Flood Watch is in effect through 7 pm Tuesday evening for areas
along and west of Interstate 35. 1 to 3 inches of rain is possible
with isolated areas receiving up to 4 to 6 inches across the
Flash Flood Watch area.

The strong cold front will bring a drastic change in
temperatures today. Widespread wind chill indices in the 40s are
expected with indices dropping as low as the low 30s in the Hill
Country.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The Flash Flood Watch will continue through the day on Tuesday as
locally heavy rainfall will be possible across the Watch area.

Cooler temperatures and wind chill values will continue for
Tuesday and Wednesday.

High confidence for rainfall returns to the forecast for Thursday.
Locally heavy rainfall may be possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Oct 15, 7:50 PM CDT, 1 hour 2 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
750 PM CDT MON OCT 15 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0748 PM     FLASH FLOOD      4 WSW VALLEY SPRING     30.83N 98.89W
10/15/2018                   LLANO              TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MULTIPLE COUNTY ROADS (CR 404, CR 405, CR
            408, AND CR 409) ARE CLOSED THROUGHOUT THE
            COUNTY DUE TO HIGH WATER.

&&

AAT
Local storm report, Oct 15, 7:56 PM CDT, 56 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
756 PM CDT MON OCT 15 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0755 PM     FLASH FLOOD      5 E VALLEY SPRING       30.87N 98.73W
10/15/2018                   LLANO              TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            CR 414 AT PECAN CREEK IS WASHED OUT.

&&

AAT
Local storm report, Oct 15, 8:01 PM CDT, 51 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
801 PM CDT MON OCT 15 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 PM     FLASH FLOOD      DOSS                    30.44N 99.13W
10/15/2018                   GILLESPIE          TX   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            VIA DRIVETEXAS.ORG RM 648, RM 783, AND FM
            2093 ARE ALL CLOSED IN GILLESPIE COUNTY DUE
            TO WATER OVER THE ROAD AND/OR LOW WATER
            CROSSINGS.

&&

AAT

The office that day

Everything else NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 15, 7:20 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXKerr38 hr
Oct 15, 8:10 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBlanco, Gillespie5 hr
Oct 15, 8:35 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXEdwards, Kerr, Real6 hr
Oct 15, 9:04 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXBurnet6 hr
Oct 15, 10:27 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBurnet2 hr
Oct 15, 10:38 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXLlano28 hr
Oct 15, 10:38 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXGillespie4 hr
Oct 15, 10:38 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXBlanco30 hr
Oct 16, 12:31 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBurnet, Gillespie, Llano3 hr
Oct 16, 2:30 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXEdwards, Kerr, Real3 hr
Oct 16, 3:32 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXGillespie, Llano18 hr
Oct 16, 6:17 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXWilliamson15 hr
Oct 16, 7:18 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXKendall26 hr
Oct 16, 9:32 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBurnet12 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Texas, 2018Every river flood warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.