Alert archive / Texas / River Flood Warnings in 2018
River Flood Warning 82, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued this river flood warning at Oct 15, 2018, 10:11 AM CDT for Llano County, Texas. It was in force for 64 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 15, 2018, 10:11 AM CDT (15:11 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 18, 2018, 2:06 AM CDT
- In force
- 64 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Moderate
County Llano County, TX
The radar
The Ft Hood radar (KGRK), 125 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Llano River at Llano (LLAT2). The gauge peaked at 40.01 ft at Oct 16, 2018, 7:00 AM CDT.
- Action stage
- 10 ft
- Minor stage
- 10 ft
- Moderate stage
- 12 ft
- Major stage
- 23 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 08151500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
038
WGUS44 KEWX 151511
FLWEWX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1011 AM CDT Mon Oct 15 2018
...The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued
a flood warning for the...
Llano River
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
All persons with interests along the river should monitor
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary
precautions to protect life and property.
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary.
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks.
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember
to turn around and do not drown.
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/ewx.
&&
TXC299-160910-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FL.W.0082.181015T1511Z-181017T1220Z/
/LLAT2.2.ER.181015T1434Z.181015T2100Z.181017T0020Z.NO/
1011 AM CDT Mon Oct 15 2018
The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued a
* Flood Warning for
the Llano River at Llano.
* until Wednesday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 10:00 AM Monday the stage was 11.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 13.4 feet by late this
afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding makes secondary roads and
low bridges in the flood plain dangerous to motorists. Equipment should be
moved from low docks and boat ties loosened downstream in Kingsland.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG Day Time Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
Llano 10 10 11.4 Mon 10 AM 9.4 7.2 5.4 4.5 4.1
&&
LAT...LON 3067 9896 3075 9896 3078 9854 3067 9843
3060 9841 3071 9858
$$14 follow-up statements
676
WGUS84 KEWX 151957
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
257 PM CDT Mon Oct 15 2018
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Llano River at Llano Affecting Llano County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
All persons with interests along the river should monitor
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary
precautions to protect life and property.
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary.
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks.
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember
to turn around and do not drown.
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/ewx.
&&
TXC299-161356-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-181017T2300Z/
/LLAT2.2.ER.181015T1434Z.181016T2100Z.181017T1100Z.NO/
257 PM CDT Mon Oct 15 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Llano River at Llano.
* At 2:00 PM Monday the stage was 12.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 13.6 feet by tomorrow
afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding makes secondary roads and
low bridges in the flood plain dangerous to motorists. Equipment should be
moved from low docks and boat ties loosened downstream in Kingsland.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG Day Time Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
Llano 10 10 12.4 Mon 2 PM 13.2 9.7 5.2 4.0 3.6
&&
LAT...LON 3067 9896 3075 9896 3078 9854 3067 9843
3060 9841 3071 9858
$$916
WGUS84 KEWX 160024
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
724 PM CDT Mon Oct 15 2018
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Llano River at Llano Affecting Llano County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
All persons with interests along the river should monitor
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary
precautions to protect life and property.
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary.
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks.
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember
to turn around and do not drown.
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/ewx.
&&
TXC299-161824-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-181018T0430Z/
/LLAT2.2.ER.181015T1434Z.181016T2000Z.181017T1630Z.NO/
724 PM CDT Mon Oct 15 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Llano River at Llano.
* At 7:00 PM Monday the stage was 14.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 14.8 feet by tomorrow
afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage late Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding threatens docks and boats in
the flood plain downstream in Kingsland. Secondary roads and bridges will be
flooded and dangerous to motorists. Flow exceeds the USGS 1:2 year flood
level.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG Day Time Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
Llano 10 10 14.0 Mon 07 PM 13.2 10.6 6.5 4.5 3.9
&&
LAT...LON 3067 9896 3075 9896 3078 9854 3067 9843
3060 9841 3071 9858
$$169
WGUS84 KEWX 160214
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
914 PM CDT Mon Oct 15 2018
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Llano River at Llano Affecting Llano County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
All persons with interests along the river should monitor
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary
precautions to protect life and property.
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary.
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks.
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember
to turn around and do not drown.
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/ewx.
&&
TXC299-162013-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-181018T0800Z/
/LLAT2.2.ER.181015T1434Z.181016T1900Z.181017T2000Z.NO/
914 PM CDT Mon Oct 15 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Llano River at Llano.
* At 9:00 PM Monday the stage was 13.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 14.9 feet by tomorrow early
afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage Wednesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding threatens docks and boats in
the flood plain downstream in Kingsland. Secondary roads and bridges will be
flooded and dangerous to motorists. Flow exceeds the USGS 1:2 year flood
level.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG Day Time Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
Llano 10 10 13.8 Mon 09 PM 13.6 11.0 6.8 4.7 4.0
&&
LAT...LON 3067 9896 3075 9896 3078 9854 3067 9843
3060 9841 3071 9858
$$762
WGUS84 KEWX 160736
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
236 AM CDT Tue Oct 16 2018
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Llano River at Llano Affecting Llano County
Sandy Creek Near Kingsland Affecting Llano County
Pedernales River At Johnson City Affecting Blanco County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
All persons with interests along the river should monitor
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary
precautions to protect life and property.
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary.
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks.
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember
to turn around and do not drown.
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/ewx.
&&
TXC299-170136-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-181019T0000Z/
/LLAT2.2.ER.181015T1434Z.181017T1000Z.181018T1200Z.NO/
236 AM CDT Tue Oct 16 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Llano River at Llano.
* At 2:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 19.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 22.5 feet by early tomorrow.
The river will fall below flood stage Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Major lowland flooding makes primary and secondary
roads and low bridges near the river and tributaries dangerous. Boats and
docks are severely inundated downstream near and in Kingsland. Lowest resorts
near the Llano River mouth in Kingsland flood.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG DAY TIME Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
Llano 10 10 19.8 Tue 02 AM 20.4 22.4 10.0 6.7 5.4
&&
LAT...LON 3067 9896 3075 9896 3078 9854 3067 9843
3060 9841 3071 9858
$$
TXC299-170124-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0085.000000T0000Z-181017T0124Z/
/KNLT2.2.ER.181016T0358Z.181016T0450Z.181016T1324Z.NO/
236 AM CDT Tue Oct 16 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Sandy Creek Near Kingsland.
* At 2:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 15.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by this
morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Flow will be well into the flood plain above Highway
71 to Lake LBJ. Residents of flood prone areas in Sandy Harbor should monitor
NOAA Weather Radio for developing heavy rain and flood conditions. Flow will
threaten lowest homes in Sandy Harbor. Boats and docks will be severely
flooded and damaged. Flow exceeds USGS 1:10 year flood level.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG DAY TIME Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
Kingsland 8 12 15.7 Tue 02 AM 12.8 7.5 6.5 6.0 5.7
&&
LAT...LON 3051 9855 3057 9856 3060 9841 3055 9839
$$
TXC031-170136-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0087.181016T0842Z-181017T0420Z/
/JOCT2.1.ER.181016T0842Z.181016T1000Z.181016T1620Z.NO/
236 AM CDT Tue Oct 16 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Pedernales River At Johnson City.
* At 2:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 10.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by early this morning and continue to rise
to near 16.0 feet by early this morning. The river will fall below flood stage
by late this morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding makes secondary roads,
bridges and low crossings very dangerous. Swimmers and recreationists should
move from the flood plain downstream in Pedernales Falls State Park. Near the
USGS 1:2 year flood.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG DAY TIME Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
Johnson City 13 14 10.5 Tue 02 AM 16.0 11.4 10.7 10.7 10.6
&&
LAT...LON 3026 9841 3034 9841 3037 9818 3046 9809
3041 9802 3031 9812
$$881
WGUS44 KEWX 160845
FLWEWX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
345 AM CDT Tue Oct 16 2018
...The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued
a flood warning for the...
Llano River
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
All persons with interests along the river should monitor
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary
precautions to protect life and property.
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary.
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks.
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember
to turn around and do not drown.
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/ewx.
&&
TXC299-170245-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-181019T0430Z/
/LLAT2.3.ER.181015T1434Z.181016T1700Z.181018T1630Z.NO/
345 AM CDT Tue Oct 16 2018
...Observed flooding increased from Moderate to Major severity...
...Forecast flooding increased from Moderate to Major severity...
The flood warning continues for
the Llano River at Llano.
* until Thursday evening...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 3:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 23.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 31.9 feet by 1 PM
Tuesday afternoon. This will put the river well above major flood stage
and good for 4th highest crest on record. The river is expected to begin
falling by this afternoon, but will mostly remain above major flood stage
as another secondary flood wave will raise the river level back to another
crest near 30 feet by early Wednesday morning.
The river is expected to fall below flood stage late Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 32.0 feet...Disastrous flooding well into the flood plain will cut
off and potentially drown thousands of livestock. Homes, resorts, commercial
buildings, boats, docks and marinas will flood disastrously above Castell to
Marble Falls on Lake LBJ. Roads and bridges near the river will be severely
flooded and dangerous to motorists. Exceeds the USGS 1:25 year flood.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG DAY TIME Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
Llano 10 10 23.3 Tue 03 AM 27.0 29.4 10.9 7.3 5.9
&&
LAT...LON 3067 9896 3075 9896 3078 9854 3067 9843
3060 9841 3071 9858
$$178
WGUS84 KEWX 161023
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
523 AM CDT Tue Oct 16 2018
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Llano River at Llano Affecting Llano County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
All persons with interests along the river should monitor
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary
precautions to protect life and property.
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary.
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks.
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember
to turn around and do not drown.
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/ewx.
&&
TXC299-170422-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-181019T0300Z/
/LLAT2.3.ER.181015T1434Z.181016T1100Z.181018T1500Z.NR/
523 AM CDT Tue Oct 16 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Llano River at Llano.
* At 5:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 35.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 41.0 feet by this morning.
The river will fall below flood stage late Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 38.0 feet...Robinson City Park in Llano will flood. Many homes in
Scotts Acres on south side of Llano will be severely damaged and lowest mobile
homes destroyed in water up to 6 feet, some washing downstream. Many homes
near Castell to below Llano will be damaged. The FM 2900 bridge in Kingsland
will flood. Much of Kingsland Lodge in Kingsland will be destroyed. Many homes
downstream in Marble Falls will flood as flow backs up Backbone Creek.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG DAY TIME Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
Llano 10 10 35.3 Tue 05 AM 41.0 31.8 10.6 7.1 5.8
&&
LAT...LON 3067 9896 3075 9896 3078 9854 3067 9843
3060 9841 3071 9858
$$157
WGUS84 KEWX 161410
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
910 AM CDT Tue Oct 16 2018
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Llano River at Llano Affecting Llano County
Sandy Creek Near Kingsland Affecting Llano County
Pedernales River At Johnson City Affecting Blanco County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
All persons with interests along the river should monitor
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary
precautions to protect life and property.
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary.
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks.
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember
to turn around and do not drown.
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/ewx.
&&
TXC299-170809-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-181019T1120Z/
/LLAT2.3.ER.181015T1434Z.181016T1220Z.181018T2320Z.NR/
910 AM CDT Tue Oct 16 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Llano River at Llano.
* At 9:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 38.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is nearing a crest, however, a secondary flood wave is
is expected to arrive Wednesday morning. The river will fall below flood
stage on Thursday evening.
* Impact...At 38.0 feet...Robinson City Park in Llano will flood. Many homes in
Scotts Acres on south side of Llano will be severely damaged and lowest mobile
homes destroyed in water up to 6 feet, some washing downstream. Many homes
near Castell to below Llano will be damaged. The FM 2900 bridge in Kingsland
will flood. Much of Kingsland Lodge in Kingsland will be destroyed. Many homes
downstream in Marble Falls will flood as flow backs up Backbone Creek.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG Day Time Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Llano 10 10 38.7 Tue 9 AM 35.2 11.9 7.7 6.0 5.3
&&
LAT...LON 3067 9896 3075 9896 3078 9854 3067 9843
3060 9841 3071 9858
$$
TXC299-170809-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0085.000000T0000Z-181017T1010Z/
/KNLT2.2.ER.181016T0358Z.181016T1600Z.181016T2210Z.NO/
910 AM CDT Tue Oct 16 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Sandy Creek Near Kingsland.
* At 9:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 16.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 17.6 feet by late this
morning. The river will fall below flood stage late this afternoon.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding will extends well into the
flood plain damaging docks, boats and property in low areas of the flood plain
downstream in Kingsland. Flow exceeds USGS 1:5 year flood level.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG Day Time Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Kingsland 8 12 16.0 Tue 9 AM 8.1 6.9 6.3 5.9 5.7
&&
LAT...LON 3051 9855 3057 9856 3060 9841 3055 9839
$$
TXC031-170809-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-181017T1815Z/
/JOCT2.1.ER.181016T0911Z.181016T1115Z.181017T0615Z.NO/
910 AM CDT Tue Oct 16 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Pedernales River At Johnson City.
* At 9:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 15.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 16.0 feet by late this
afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage after midnight tomorrow.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding makes secondary roads,
bridges and low crossings very dangerous. Swimmers and recreationists should
move from the flood plain downstream in Pedernales Falls State Park. Near the
USGS 1:2 year flood.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG Day Time Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Johnson City 13 14 15.4 Tue 9 AM 12.5 10.9 10.7 10.7 10.7
&&
LAT...LON 3026 9841 3034 9841 3037 9818 3046 9809
3041 9802 3031 9812
$$319
WGUS84 KEWX 161944
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
244 PM CDT Tue Oct 16 2018
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Llano River at Llano Affecting Llano County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
All persons with interests along the river should monitor
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary
precautions to protect life and property.
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary.
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks.
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember
to turn around and do not drown.
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/ewx.
&&
TXC299-171343-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-181019T1800Z/
/LLAT2.3.ER.181015T1434Z.181017T0000Z.181019T0600Z.NR/
244 PM CDT Tue Oct 16 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Llano River at Llano.
* At 2:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 31.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 40.1 feet by Wednesday morning
as a secondary flood wave arrives. This forecast level would be in
the vicinity of the crest height that occurred Tuesday morning. The river will
fall below flood stage early Friday morning.
* Impact...At 38.0 feet...Robinson City Park in Llano will flood. Many homes in
Scotts Acres on south side of Llano will be severely damaged and lowest mobile
homes destroyed in water up to 6 feet, some washing downstream. Many homes
near Castell to below Llano will be damaged. The FM 2900 bridge in Kingsland
will flood. Much of Kingsland Lodge in Kingsland will be destroyed. Many homes
downstream in Marble Falls will flood as flow backs up Backbone Creek.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG Day Time Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Llano 10 10 31.3 Tue 2 PM 28.9 14.6 8.9 5.9 5.0
&&
LAT...LON 3067 9896 3075 9896 3078 9854 3067 9843
3060 9841 3071 9858
$$363
WGUS84 KEWX 170058
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
758 PM CDT Tue Oct 16 2018
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Llano River at Llano Affecting Llano County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
All persons with interests along the river should monitor
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary
precautions to protect life and property.
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary.
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks.
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember
to turn around and do not drown.
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/ewx.
&&
TXC299-171858-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-181019T1000Z/
/LLAT2.3.ER.181015T1434Z.181016T1225Z.181018T2200Z.NR/
758 PM CDT Tue Oct 16 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Llano River at Llano.
* At 7:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 28.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Thursday
afternoon, but will remain at risk to be close to 30 feet for this evening due to slight fluctuations.
* Impact...At 38.0 feet...Robinson City Park in Llano will flood. Many homes in
Scotts Acres on south side of Llano will be severely damaged and lowest mobile
homes destroyed in water up to 6 feet, some washing downstream. Many homes
near Castell to below Llano will be damaged. The FM 2900 bridge in Kingsland
will flood. Much of Kingsland Lodge in Kingsland will be destroyed. Many homes
downstream in Marble Falls will flood as flow backs up Backbone Creek.
* Impact...at 30.0 feet...disastrous flooding will reach lowest residences below
Castell to below Llano. Flow will be to the slab of the city of Llano water
treatment plant on the right bank just above Highway 16. Numerous resorts at
Kingsland and in Lake LBJ will have severe flood damage. Boats, docks and
facilities lining the lower Llano and Lake LBJ near Kingsland may be severely
damaged or destroyed.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG Day Time Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Llano 10 10 28.4 Tue 07 PM 26.0 10.2 7.0 5.6 4.9
&&
LAT...LON 3067 9896 3075 9896 3079 9852 3058 9824
3049 9829 3066 9855
$$686
WGUS84 KEWX 170757
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
257 AM CDT Wed Oct 17 2018
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Llano River at Llano Affecting Llano County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
All persons with interests along the river should monitor
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary
precautions to protect life and property.
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary.
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks.
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember
to turn around and do not drown.
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/ewx.
&&
TXC299-180156-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-181019T1400Z/
/LLAT2.3.ER.181015T1434Z.181016T1225Z.181019T0200Z.NR/
257 AM CDT Wed Oct 17 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Llano River at Llano.
* At 2:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 16.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by tomorrow
late evening.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding threatens docks and boats in
the flood plain downstream in Kingsland. Secondary roads and bridges will be
flooded and dangerous to motorists. Flow exceeds the USGS 1:2 year flood
level.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG DAY TIME Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Llano 10 10 16.4 Wed 02 AM 14.8 12.1 8.3 6.7 6.0
&&
LAT...LON 3067 9896 3075 9896 3079 9852 3058 9824
3049 9829 3066 9855
$$235
WGUS84 KEWX 171355
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
855 AM CDT Wed Oct 17 2018
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Llano River at Llano Affecting Llano County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
All persons with interests along the river should monitor
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary
precautions to protect life and property.
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary.
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks.
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember
to turn around and do not drown.
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/ewx.
&&
TXC299-180754-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-181019T0700Z/
/LLAT2.3.ER.181015T1434Z.181016T1225Z.181018T1900Z.NR/
855 AM CDT Wed Oct 17 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Llano River at Llano.
* At 8:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 12.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
early Thursday afternoon.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding makes secondary roads and
low bridges in the flood plain dangerous to motorists. Equipment should be
moved from low docks and boat ties loosened downstream in Kingsland.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG Day Time Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
Llano 10 10 12.9 Wed 08 AM 10.6 8.2 6.7 5.9 5.3
&&
LAT...LON 3067 9896 3075 9896 3079 9852 3058 9824
3049 9829 3066 9855
$$616
WGUS84 KEWX 172101
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
401 PM CDT Wed Oct 17 2018
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Llano River at Llano Affecting Llano County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
All persons with interests along the river should monitor
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary
precautions to protect life and property.
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary.
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks.
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember
to turn around and do not drown.
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/ewx.
&&
TXC299-181500-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-181019T1200Z/
/LLAT2.3.ER.181015T1434Z.181016T1225Z.181019T0000Z.NR/
401 PM CDT Wed Oct 17 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Llano River at Llano.
* At 3:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 11.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding makes secondary roads and
low bridges in the flood plain dangerous to motorists. Equipment should be
moved from low docks and boat ties loosened downstream in Kingsland.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG Day Time Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
Llano 10 10 11.2 Wed 03 PM 11.7 7.5 5.5 4.8 4.5
&&
LAT...LON 3067 9896 3075 9896 3079 9852 3058 9824
3049 9829 3066 9855
$$513
WGUS84 KEWX 180124
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
824 PM CDT Wed Oct 17 2018
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Llano River at Llano Affecting Llano County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
All persons with interests along the river should monitor
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary
precautions to protect life and property.
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary.
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks.
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember
to turn around and do not drown.
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/ewx.
&&
TXC299-181400-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-181018T1400Z/
/LLAT2.3.ER.181015T1434Z.181016T1225Z.181018T0200Z.NR/
824 PM CDT Wed Oct 17 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Llano River at Llano.
* At 8:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 10.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by tonight.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding can swamp boats in the lower
Llano River in Kingsland.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG Day Time Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
Llano 10 10 10.1 Wed 08 PM 8.7 7.2 5.9 5.4 5.0
&&
LAT...LON 3067 9896 3075 9896 3079 9852 3058 9824
3049 9829 3066 9855
$$083
WGUS84 KEWX 180706
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
206 AM CDT Thu Oct 18 2018
...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Texas...
Llano River at Llano Affecting Llano County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
All persons with interests along the river should monitor
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary
precautions to protect life and property.
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary.
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks.
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember
to turn around and do not drown.
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/ewx.
&&
TXC299-180736-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-181018T1400Z/
/LLAT2.3.ER.181015T1434Z.181016T1225Z.181018T0148Z.NR/
206 AM CDT Thu Oct 18 2018
The flood warning is cancelled for
the Llano River at Llano.
* At 1:00 AM Thursday the stage was 9.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding can swamp boats in the lower
Llano River in Kingsland.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG DAY TIME Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
Llano 10 10 9.4 Thu 01 AM 8.9 8.3 7.4 6.3 5.2
&&
LAT...LON 3067 9896 3075 9896 3079 9852 3058 9824
3049 9829 3066 9855
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Oct 15, 6:37 AM CDT, 3 hours 34 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 15, 6:37 AM CDT, 3 hours 34 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 637 AM CDT Mon Oct 15 2018 .UPDATE... See below for the 12z aviation discussion... && .AVIATION... Widespread showers and isolated thunderstorms are ongoing across the region this morning in the wake of the passing cold front earlier this morning. This should continue through the rest of the morning hours and into the early afternoon at all sites. Went ahead and dropped prevailing SHRA at AUS/SAT/SSF at 20z this afternoon in favor of VCSH as confidence in exact timing and location of showers declines. Have kept prevailing SHRA at DRT through the entire TAF period where confidence is a bit higher. Locally heavy rainfall may briefly drop visibilities to as low as less than 1 SM. CIGs should remain low end MVFR (around 1000 to 1500 feet) throughout the entire TAF period, but could briefly drop to IFR at times. Winds will remain out of the north with sustained winds in the 15 to 20 knot ballpark with gusts in the 25 to 30 knot ballpark. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 410 AM CDT Mon Oct 15 2018/ SHORT TERM (Today through Tuesday)... Strong cold front along an Eagle Pass to San Antonio to La Grange line will sweep across the remainder of South Central Texas by sunrise. Meanwhile, an upper level trough will deepen across the southwestern states/northwestern Mexico with the right entrance region of upper level jet overhead. Showers and mainly isolated thunderstorms are ongoing along and behind the front with an area of moderate to heavy rains moving east from the Rio Grande associated with an 850 MB boundary. Expect this area to continue to track east this morning into afternoon when the boundary will stall across the Hill Country into Central Texas and have maintained the Flash Flood Watch for our western half through early this evening. 1 to 3 inches of rain are expected with isolated spots of 4 to 6 inches possible. The passage of the front with a cold air depth of 5K feet has undercut the instability and shear resulting in a rapidly ending potential for strong to severe storms. However, cannot rule out some small hail early this morning due to elevated CAPE. Strong cold advection will continue behind the front today with temperatures steady or slowly falling as thick cloud cover and rains inhibit sufficient insolation. The upper trough remains out west tonight into Tuesday with a stalled 850 MB boundary over the Edwards Plateau, Hill Country, and Central Texas as the front has moved well off the coast and south into Mexico. The position of the jet and 850 MB boundary, as well as, weak mid level impulses result in isentropic lift keeping high POPs going into Tuesday. Cold advection continues into Tuesday with only a small rise in temperatures possible in the afternoon due minimal insolation. LONG TERM (Tuesday Night through Sunday)... The upper level trough lingers over the southwestern states and northwestern Mexico for the remainder of this week through next weekend. The 850 MB boundary lifts north taking the heaviest rains with it, although, a stronger mid level impulse could bring another period of heavy rains later this week. Regardless, isentropic lift will continue chances of rain/showers through next weekend. Weak elevated instability could allow for very isolated thunderstorms. Some models show weak ridging building in next weekend which would lead to a decrease in rain chances. Temperatures will remain well below normal with small daily temperature ranges due to thick cloud cover and rain. However, temperatures will slowly warm as the rain will allow warmer temperatures aloft to modify the cold airmass at the surface. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Austin Camp Mabry 47 43 48 46 52 / 90 90 80 40 40 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 47 43 49 46 53 / 90 90 80 40 30 New Braunfels Muni Airport 48 44 48 46 56 / 90 90 70 40 30 Burnet Muni Airport 43 42 46 43 53 / 90 90 90 50 50 Del Rio Intl Airport 47 42 48 45 52 / 90 90 70 60 60 Georgetown Muni Airport 45 42 47 45 51 / 90 100 90 50 40 Hondo Muni Airport 49 45 49 47 57 / 90 90 70 50 40 San Marcos Muni Airport 48 44 48 47 53 / 90 90 80 40 30 La Grange - Fayette Regional 51 48 51 49 56 / 90 70 70 30 30 San Antonio Intl Airport 49 45 48 47 54 / 90 90 70 40 30 Stinson Muni Airport 51 46 49 48 56 / 90 90 70 40 30 && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Flash Flood Watch through this evening for Bandera-Blanco-Burnet- Edwards-Gillespie-Kendall-Kerr-Kinney-Llano-Maverick-Medina-Real- Uvalde-Val Verde-Zavala. && Aviation...BMW Short-Term/Long-Term...04
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 15, 4:12 AM CDT, 5 hours 59 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 412 AM CDT Mon Oct 15 2018 TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-160915- Llano-Burnet-Williamson-Val Verde-Edwards-Real-Kerr-Bandera- Gillespie-Kendall-Blanco-Hays-Travis-Bastrop-Lee-Kinney-Uvalde- Medina-Bexar-Comal-Guadalupe-Caldwell-Fayette-Maverick-Zavala- Frio-Atascosa-Wilson-Karnes-Gonzales-De Witt-Lavaca-Dimmit- 412 AM CDT Mon Oct 15 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for South-Central Texas.. .DAY ONE...Today And Tonight. Locally heavy rainfall is possible today. A Flash Flood Watch is in effect through 7 pm Monday evening for areas along and west of Interstate 35. 1 to 3 inches of rain is possible with isolated areas receiving up to 4 to 6 inches across the Flash Flood Watch area. The strong cold front will bring a drastic change in temperatures today. Widespread wind chill indices in the 40s are expected with indices dropping as low as the low 30s in the Hill Country. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. While the heavy rain threat shifts further north into central and north central Texas for Tuesday, there is still a slight chance for some locally heavy rainfall. Cooler temperatures and wind chill values will continue for Tuesday and Wednesday. High confidence for rainfall returns to the forecast for Thursday. Locally heavy rainfall may be possible. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 12:36 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Val Verde | 114 min |
| Oct 15, 2:23 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Llano | 2 hr |
| Oct 15, 2:24 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Val Verde | 2 hr |
| Oct 15, 3:04 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Edwards, Kinney, Val Verde | 116 min |
| Oct 15, 4:15 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Edwards, Kinney, Maverick | 2 hr |
| Oct 15, 4:34 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Edwards, Real | 116 min |
| Oct 15, 5:36 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Edwards, Kinney, Real, Uvalde | 114 min |
| Oct 15, 5:40 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Atascosa, Bexar, Wilson | 2 hr |
| Oct 15, 6:07 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Bexar, Gonzales, Guadalupe, Karnes, Wilson | 113 min |
| Oct 15, 7:31 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Bandera, Real | 3 hr |
| Oct 15, 8:02 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Bexar, Caldwell, DeWitt, Gonzales, Guadalupe, Karnes and 1 more | 5 hr |
| Oct 15, 8:25 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EWX | Uvalde | 43 hr |
| Oct 15, 8:25 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EWX | Uvalde | 55 hr |
| Oct 15, 8:25 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EWX | Frio | 6 days |
| Oct 15, 8:37 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Burnet, Gillespie, Llano | 6 hr |
| Oct 15, 9:27 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EWX | Uvalde | 35 hr |
| Oct 15, 9:27 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EWX | Uvalde | 35 hr |
| Oct 15, 10:19 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Bandera, Edwards, Gillespie, Kerr, Kinney, Real and 1 more | 3 hr |
| Oct 15, 10:43 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Bastrop, Caldwell, Hays, Lee, Travis, Williamson | 3 hr |
| Oct 15, 11:18 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Edwards, Kinney, Real, Uvalde | 3 hr |
| Oct 15, 12:41 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Bexar | 3 hr |
| Oct 15, 1:19 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Fayette, Lavaca | 3 hr |
| Oct 15, 2:29 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Burnet, Gillespie, Llano | 3 hr |
| Oct 15, 2:42 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Edwards, Kinney, Real, Uvalde | 3 hr |
| Oct 15, 2:47 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Blanco | 3 hr |
| Oct 15, 4:16 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Bandera, Kerr, Real | 119 min |
| Oct 15, 5:45 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Gillespie, Kerr, Llano | 6 hr |
| Oct 15, 6:29 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Gillespie, Llano | 6 hr |
| Oct 15, 6:40 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Bandera, Edwards, Kerr, Kinney, Real, Uvalde | 6 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Texas, 2018Every river flood warning in 2018
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.