Alert archive / Texas / Flash Flood Warnings in 2018

Flash Flood Warning 56, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

October 15, 2018Gillespie County, Llano County, Texas

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued this flash flood warning at Oct 15, 2018, 6:29 PM CDT for Gillespie County, Llano County, Texas. It was in force for 6 hr. 3 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Oct 15, 2018, 6:29 PM CDT (23:29 UTC)
Expired
Oct 16, 2018, 12:30 AM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties Gillespie County, TX, Llano County, TX

The radar

The Ft Hood radar (KGRK), 116 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Oct 15, 7:48 PM CDTFLASH FLOOD4 Wsw Valley Spring, TXMULTIPLE COUNTY ROADS (CR 404, CR 405, CR 408, AND CR 409) ARE CLOSED THROUGHOUT THE COUNTY DUE TO HIGH WATER.
Oct 15, 7:55 PM CDTFLASH FLOOD5 E Valley Spring, TXCR 414 AT PECAN CREEK IS WASHED OUT.
Oct 15, 8:00 PM CDTFLASH FLOODDoss, TXVIA DRIVETEXAS.ORG RM 648, RM 783, AND FM 2093 ARE ALL CLOSED IN GILLESPIE COUNTY DUE TO WATER OVER THE ROAD AND/OR LOW WATER CROSSINGS.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Del Rio, TX (KDLF), launched 12:00Z, 11.5 hours before the alert went out and 260 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Del Rio, TX at 12:00Z on 2018-10-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Del Rio, TX at 12:00Z on 2018-10-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 96 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
522 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
96 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
579 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
4.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

708 
WGUS54 KEWX 152329
FFWEWX
TXC171-299-160530-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FF.W.0056.181015T2329Z-181016T0530Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
629 PM CDT MON OCT 15 2018

The National Weather Service in Austin San Antonio has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Gillespie County in south central Texas...
  Llano County in south central Texas...

* Until 1230 AM CDT Tuesday

* At 623 PM CDT, emergency management reported heavy rain across the 
  warned area. Three to five inches of rain have fallen since 
  midnight. The emergency management in Llano County is reporting 
  flooded roads in areas not normally seen as low water crossings. 
  The Llano County sheriff is responding to numerous calls of 
  stranded motorists due to water over roadways. With rainfall 
  expected into the overnight hours flash flooding will continue. 
  Flooded roadways are difficult to recognize at night so Llano 
  County emergency management is encouraging people to stay off the 
  roads after dark and to always turn around don't drown. 

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Fredericksburg, Kingsland, Llano, Buchanan Dam, Gainesville,
  Horseshoe Bay, Buchanan Lake Village, Castell, Field Creek,
  Tivydale, Bluffton, Baby Head, Stolz, Crabapple, Oxford, Cherry
  Spring, Lone Grove, Enchanted Rock State Natural Area, Doss and
  Valley Spring.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

In hilly terrain there are hundreds of low water crossings which are
potentially dangerous in heavy rain. Do not attempt to cross flooded
roads. Find an alternate route.

&&

LAT...LON 3088 9846 3086 9842 3083 9842 3083 9838
      3079 9843 3075 9843 3074 9837 3070 9842
      3068 9840 3067 9844 3057 9841 3056 9835
      3049 9835 3049 9874 3014 9898 3013 9930
      3050 9931 3050 9896 3092 9896 3092 9845

$$

AAT
1 follow-up statement
355 
WGUS74 KEWX 160117
FFSEWX

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
817 PM CDT MON OCT 15 2018

TXC171-299-160530-
/O.CON.KEWX.FF.W.0056.000000T0000Z-181016T0530Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Gillespie TX-Llano TX-
817 PM CDT MON OCT 15 2018

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1230 AM CDT FOR
GILLESPIE AND LLANO COUNTIES...

At 812 PM CDT, emergency management reported flash flooding in 
around Llano and Gillespie Counties. County Road 414 at Pecan Creek 
in Llano County has been washed out with multiple county roads, 
including County Roads 404, 405, 408, and 409 also closed to 
flooding. Several County Roads have also been reported closed in 
Gillespie County with DriveTexas.org reporting Ranch-to-Market roads 
648 and 783 closed as well as Farm-to-Market 2093. LCRA gauges 
report 2 to 3 inches of rain have fallen in the past three hours and 
additional rainfall is expected over already saturated ground this 
evening. Flash flooding is already occurring.

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Fredericksburg, Kingsland, Llano, Buchanan Dam, Gainesville,
Horseshoe Bay, Buchanan Lake Village, Castell, Field Creek, Tivydale,
Bluffton, Baby Head, Stolz, Crabapple, Oxford, Cherry Spring, Lone
Grove, Enchanted Rock State Natural Area, Doss and Valley Spring.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

In hilly terrain there are hundreds of low water crossings which are
potentially dangerous in heavy rain. Do not attempt to cross flooded
roads. Find an alternate route.

&&

LAT...LON 3088 9846 3086 9842 3083 9842 3083 9838
      3079 9843 3075 9843 3074 9837 3070 9842
      3068 9840 3067 9844 3057 9841 3056 9835
      3049 9835 3049 9874 3014 9898 3013 9930
      3050 9931 3050 9896 3092 9896 3092 9845

$$

HUFFMAN

The office that day

Everything else NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 15, 12:36 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXVal Verde114 min
Oct 15, 2:23 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXLlano2 hr
Oct 15, 2:24 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXVal Verde2 hr
Oct 15, 3:04 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXEdwards, Kinney, Val Verde116 min
Oct 15, 4:15 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXEdwards, Kinney, Maverick2 hr
Oct 15, 4:34 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXEdwards, Real116 min
Oct 15, 5:36 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXEdwards, Kinney, Real, Uvalde114 min
Oct 15, 5:40 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXAtascosa, Bexar, Wilson2 hr
Oct 15, 6:07 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXBexar, Gonzales, Guadalupe, Karnes, Wilson113 min
Oct 15, 7:31 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXBandera, Real3 hr
Oct 15, 8:02 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXBexar, Caldwell, DeWitt, Gonzales, Guadalupe, Karnes and 1 more5 hr
Oct 15, 8:25 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXUvalde43 hr
Oct 15, 8:25 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXUvalde55 hr
Oct 15, 8:25 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXFrio6 days
Oct 15, 8:37 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXBurnet, Gillespie, Llano6 hr
Oct 15, 9:27 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXUvalde35 hr
Oct 15, 9:27 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXUvalde35 hr
Oct 15, 10:11 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXLlano64 hr
Oct 15, 10:19 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXBandera, Edwards, Gillespie, Kerr, Kinney, Real and 1 more3 hr
Oct 15, 10:43 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXBastrop, Caldwell, Hays, Lee, Travis, Williamson3 hr
Oct 15, 11:18 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXEdwards, Kinney, Real, Uvalde3 hr
Oct 15, 12:41 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXBexar3 hr
Oct 15, 1:19 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXFayette, Lavaca3 hr
Oct 15, 2:29 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXBurnet, Gillespie, Llano3 hr
Oct 15, 2:42 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXEdwards, Kinney, Real, Uvalde3 hr
Oct 15, 2:47 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXBlanco3 hr
Oct 15, 4:16 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXBandera, Kerr, Real119 min
Oct 15, 5:45 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXGillespie, Kerr, Llano6 hr
Oct 15, 6:40 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXBandera, Edwards, Kerr, Kinney, Real, Uvalde6 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Texas, 2018Every flash flood warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.