Severe Thunderstorm Warning 132, NWS Des Moines, IA

094 
WWUS53 KDMX 110530
SVSDMX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
1230 AM CDT MON JUN 11 2018

IAC159-175-110600-
/O.CON.KDMX.SV.W.0132.000000T0000Z-180611T0600Z/
Union IA-Ringgold IA-
1230 AM CDT MON JUN 11 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CDT
FOR SOUTHERN UNION AND NORTHERN RINGGOLD COUNTIES...

At 1230 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 10 miles northwest
of Sun Valley Lake, or 10 miles southeast of Creston, moving south at
20 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Sun Valley Lake, Afton, Diagonal, Tingley, Arispe, Shannon City,
Ellston and Beaconsfield.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4099 9441 4103 9432 4104 9411 4079 9401
      4075 9402 4074 9446
TIME...MOT...LOC 0530Z 348DEG 17KT 4095 9423 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

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061 
WWUS53 KDMX 110538
SVSDMX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
1238 AM CDT MON JUN 11 2018

IAC159-175-110600-
/O.CON.KDMX.SV.W.0132.000000T0000Z-180611T0600Z/
Union IA-Ringgold IA-
1238 AM CDT MON JUN 11 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CDT
FOR SOUTHERN UNION AND NORTHERN RINGGOLD COUNTIES...

At 1238 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 8 miles northwest
of Sun Valley Lake, or 12 miles southeast of Creston, moving south at
20 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Sun Valley Lake, Diagonal, Tingley, Arispe, Shannon City, Ellston and
Beaconsfield.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4094 9440 4100 9429 4100 9413 4075 9402
      4074 9443
TIME...MOT...LOC 0538Z 348DEG 17KT 4091 9422 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
1156 PM CDT Sun Jun 10 2018

.SHORT TERM.../Tonight through Monday/
Issued at 324 PM CDT Sun Jun 10 2018

MCS which moved into southern Iowa this morning lingered in the
area all day. Thunderstorms on the western edge of the complex
intensified this afternoon producing locally heavy rain.
Thunderstorms were elevated in nature and were being supported by
warm and moist influx from the wsw. Will keep these storms going
early until the diurnal support diminishes towards evening. The
surface front was south of Iowa across northern Missouri this
afternoon. This boundary should remain nearly stationary tonight.
A strong low-level jet should intensify across the central plains
and overrun the boundary and support the development of elevated
thunderstorms over central Iowa. These storms, once they form,
should remain nearly stationary overnight since the forcing
mechanisms remain in place. As a result, we should see a swath of
locally heavy rain. At this time, it appears the heavy rain should
remain south of the flood hit areas in the Cedar Basin.

The thunderstorm activity should diminish as the low-level jet
decreases Monday morning. Meanwhile, the much anticipated upper
trough should move into the northern plains and eventually through
the upper midwest Monday night and Tuesday. The associated front
should move through central Iowa Tuesday night. Before it
arrives,the old surface boundary over northern Missouri will
struggle to lift north across Iowa on Monday. This will make
temperatures difficult so the confidence of the temperature
forecast is below average on Monday. We should see considerable
cloud debris and at least a chance showers and storms during the
day.

With the approaching frontal zone Monday night, there is a good
chance of more thunderstorms Monday evening. The CAMs at this
range keep the more robust storms over southern Iowa which is
consistent with the slight risk area for severe weather.

.LONG TERM.../Monday night through Sunday/
Issued at 324 PM CDT Sun Jun 10 2018

A surface high with drier air behind the front should provide
drier and cooler air across Iowa. Even with that, temperatures
will remain above normal for early June. The dry weather should
allow flooded areas some time to recover.

After the upper trough passes to the east by midweek, the models
are consistent in rising 500 mb heights and building unseasonably
warm air north into the upper midwest. There is a good signal for
warm advection, moisture transport supported, thunderstorms across
central Iowa Wednesday night as the warm and humid air returns.
After that, precipitation chances should be low with highs in the
lower to mid 90s next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION.../For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday night/
Issued at 1156 PM CDT Sun Jun 10 2018

Main TAF concern will be for quasi-stationary line of storms that
has developed between KFOD and KDSM.  Heavy rain and lightning will
be the danger to aviation.  Widespread MVFR/local IFR cigs expected
over all TAF's through 15Z before improving some.  IFR vsbys likely
due to heavy rain with storms.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 324 PM CDT Sun Jun 10 2018

River flooding concerns remain focused over parts of north
central into northeast Iowa, but there may be an isolated concern
over a small part of southwest Iowa on some tributaries of the
East Nishnabotna River. The Winnebago River in Mason City fell
below flood stage this morning with Iowa Flood Center gauges along
Willow Creek in and near Mason City falling to levels similar to
where they were Saturday afternoon before the rain started. This
likely means elevated, but not out of bank levels along much of
Willow Creek. For the Shell Rock River, the flood crest has
recently occurred at Marble Rock at mid-afternoon per an Iowa
Flood Center Gauge. Rises should slow as the crest occurs likely
later today or later this evening before beginning to fall in
Greene and Clarksville. The river will crest in Shell Rock early
Monday morning as well. Flooding is also forecast along the Cedar
River in Cedar Falls and Waterloo as the water from the Cedar
tributaries routes downstream. The bulk of heavier rainfall
should stay south of these Winnebago, Shell Rock, and Cedar basins
tonight, but a cold front will bring additional storms across
these basins later Monday into Monday night. This rainfall should
be briefly heavy, but should be more progressive than previous
days and mitigate against an otherwise greater threat. Farther
southwest over parts of southwest Iowa, a band of showers and
thunderstorms have been fairly stationary over parts of Shelby
into southwest Audubon and northern Cass Counties with radar
estimated rain totals averaging 3 to 5 inches with isolated higher
totals possible as of mid-afternoon Sunday. Automated weather
stations in this area indicate radar estimates may be a bit high,
but have one gauge near Elk Horn recording almost 3.5 inches
today so far. The mitigating factors to these rain amounts is that
antecedent conditions have been on the drier side and the rain
has fallen over a prolonged period since 5 or 6am this morning.
However, tributaries of the East Nishnabotna River may be primed
if future heavy rain falls over these basins.

&&

.DMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Johnson
LONG TERM...Johnson
AVIATION...FAB
HYDROLOGY...Ansorge

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
1011 PM CDT Sun Jun 10 2018

IAZ004>007-015>017-023>026-033-034-037-038-044-045-049-050-057-
058-062-070-071-075-081-082-086-092-093-097-120315-
Emmet-Kossuth-Winnebago-Worth-Palo Alto-Hancock-Cerro Gordo-
Pocahontas-Humboldt-Wright-Franklin-Sac-Calhoun-Hardin-Grundy-
Crawford-Carroll-Marshall-Tama-Audubon-Guthrie-Poweshiek-Cass-
Adair-Mahaska-Adams-Union-Wapello-Taylor-Ringgold-Davis-
1011 PM CDT Sun Jun 10 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Iowa.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Scattered thunderstorms are possible tonight. Isolated severe
storms are possible with large hail and damaging winds. Heavy
rainfall could occur with any storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Additional thunderstorms are possible later Monday afternoon into
Monday evening. A few severe storms will be possible with the
primary threats damaging wind gusts and locally heavy rain. Large
hail and isolated tornadoes may also occur.

Scattered storms are possible at times from Wednesday night
through Friday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed at times through Monday night.

IAZ027-028-039-120315-
Butler-Bremer-Black Hawk-
1011 PM CDT Sun Jun 10 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Iowa.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Scattered thunderstorms are possible this afternoon into tonight.
Isolated severe storms are possible with large hail and damaging
winds. Locally heavy rainfall could occur with any storms.

River Flood Warnings are in effect along the Shell Rock and Cedar
River basins. Please refer to our website at
weather.gov/desmoines for further details.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Additional thunderstorms are possible later Monday afternoon into
Monday evening. A few severe storms will be possible with the
primary threats damaging wind gusts and locally heavy rain. Large
hail and isolated tornadoes may also occur.

Scattered storms are possible at times from Wednesday night
through Friday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed at times through Monday night.

IAZ035-036-046>048-059>061-072>074-083>085-094>096-120315-
Webster-Hamilton-Greene-Boone-Story-Dallas-Polk-Jasper-Madison-
Warren-Marion-Clarke-Lucas-Monroe-Decatur-Wayne-Appanoose-
1011 PM CDT Sun Jun 10 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Iowa.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

A Flash Flood Watch is in effect until 8 AM. Please refer to our
website at weather.gov/desmoines for further details.

Thunderstorms with heavy rainfall are likely tonight. Isolated
severe storms are possible with threat being large hail and
damaging winds.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Additional thunderstorms are possible later Monday afternoon into
Monday evening. A few severe storms will be possible with the
primary threats damaging wind gusts and locally heavy rain. Large
hail and isolated tornadoes may also occur.

Scattered storms are possible at times from Wednesday night
through Friday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed at times through Monday night.

FAB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
925 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2018

IAZ047-059-060-110315-
Boone IA-Polk IA-Dallas IA-
925 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2018

...Small Hail Dime to Nickel Size...

At 924 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Woodward, or 9 miles southeast of Perry, moving southeast at 25 mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 30 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Des Moines, West Des Moines, Ankeny, Urbandale, Johnston, Clive,
Grimes, Windsor Heights, Polk City, Saylorville, Granger, Woodward,
Big Creek Lake, Saylorville Lake, Valley West Mall, Merle Hay Mall,
Minburn, Bouton and Big Creek State Park.

LAT...LON 4180 9410 4190 9400 4176 9355 4157 9374
TIME...MOT...LOC 0224Z 296DEG 20KT 4179 9393

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
932 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0850 PM     HAIL             TRURO                   41.21N 93.85W
06/10/2018  E0.88 INCH       MADISON            IA   PUBLIC

            VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

&&

CC

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
943 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2018

IAZ060-061-073-110330-
Jasper IA-Polk IA-Warren IA-
943 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2018

...Lots of Small Hail...

At 942 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Johnston, moving southeast at 40 mph.

Dime size hail will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Des Moines, Ankeny, Urbandale, Johnston, Altoona, Pleasant Hill,
Grimes, Windsor Heights, Carlisle, Bondurant, Polk City, Saylorville,
Mitchellville, Prairie City, Saylorville Lake, Adventureland
Amusement Park, Merle Hay Mall, Iowa Events Center, Prairie Meadows
and Iowa State Fairgrounds.

LAT...LON 4151 9325 4151 9333 4144 9333 4140 9338
      4167 9381 4170 9381 4182 9371 4160 9314
TIME...MOT...LOC 0242Z 302DEG 35KT 4171 9368

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
1000 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2018

IAZ083-084-094-095-110400-
Clarke IA-Wayne IA-Lucas IA-Decatur IA-
1000 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2018

...Dime to Nickel Hail...

At 1000 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles east of Osceola, moving southeast at 10 mph.

Nickel size hail will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Woodburn, Derby and Le Roy.

LAT...LON 4104 9371 4108 9364 4093 9338 4083 9358
TIME...MOT...LOC 0300Z 320DEG 9KT 4102 9364

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1015 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1014 PM     HAIL             NW WEST DES MOINES      41.60N 93.83W
06/10/2018  E0.88 INCH       DALLAS             IA   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

CC

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
1024 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2018

IAZ046>048-059-060-072-073-083-084-110415-
Story IA-Boone IA-Greene IA-Clarke IA-Polk IA-Lucas IA-Madison IA-
Dallas IA-Warren IA-
1024 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2018

...Rounds of Heavy Rainfall and Small Hail...

At 1021 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms
through parts of central Iowa, generally moving southeast around 20
mph.

Multiple rounds of heavy rainfall and dime size hail will be
possible with these storms. Rainfall amounts may reach or exceed 1
to 2 inches over the next hour, let alone overnight.

Locations impacted include...
Des Moines, West Des Moines, Ankeny, Urbandale, Johnston, Clive,
Indianola, Altoona, Waukee, Boone, Norwalk, Pleasant Hill, Grimes,
Perry, Winterset, Osceola, Jefferson, Chariton, Adel and Windsor
Heights.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Periods of torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms,
and may lead to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle
through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4182 9428 4186 9428 4186 9431 4221 9453
      4221 9401 4175 9337 4116 9333 4116 9331
      4090 9328 4090 9382
TIME...MOT...LOC 0321Z 326DEG 28KT 4129 9362

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