Severe Thunderstorm Warning 222, NWS Dodge City, KS

963 
WWUS53 KDDC 200256
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
956 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

KSC067-075-093-129-187-189-200330-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0222.000000T0000Z-180620T0330Z/
Morton KS-Hamilton KS-Kearny KS-Grant KS-Stanton KS-Stevens KS-
956 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 PM
CDT/930 PM MDT/ FOR MORTON...SOUTHEASTERN HAMILTON...SOUTHWESTERN
KEARNY...GRANT...STANTON AND NORTHWESTERN STEVENS COUNTIES...

At 955 PM CDT/855 PM MDT/, the leading edge of severe thunderstorms 
were located along a line extending from 7 miles south of Lakin to 
3 miles east of Johnson City to 5 miles east of Two Buttes, 
moving southeast at 50 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect considerable 
         tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to mobile homes, 
         roofs, and outbuildings.

Locations impacted include...
Ulysses, Hugoton, Elkhart, Johnson City, Rolla, Moscow, Manter,
Richfield, The Saunders Elevator, Big Bow, Feterita, Wilburton and
Hickok.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3770 10204 3781 10170 3801 10138 3741 10109
      3713 10139 3699 10188 3699 10202 3705 10205
TIME...MOT...LOC 0255Z 326DEG 42KT 3784 10128 3758 10169 3757 10229 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

UMSCHEID

269 
WWUS53 KDDC 200318
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1018 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

KSC075-200328-
/O.CAN.KDDC.SV.W.0222.000000T0000Z-180620T0330Z/
Hamilton KS-
1018 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN HAMILTON COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for 
southwestern Kansas. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch also remains in 
effect until 500 AM CDT for southwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3770 10204 3772 10152 3801 10138 3741 10109
      3713 10139 3699 10188 3699 10202 3705 10205
TIME...MOT...LOC 0318Z 321DEG 35KT 3746 10113 3741 10153 3749 10212 

$$

KSC067-093-129-187-189-200330-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0222.000000T0000Z-180620T0330Z/
Morton KS-Kearny KS-Grant KS-Stanton KS-Stevens KS-
1018 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 PM CDT
FOR MORTON...SOUTHWESTERN KEARNY...GRANT...STANTON AND NORTHWESTERN
STEVENS COUNTIES...

At 1018 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 2 miles south of Ryus to 10 miles south of Big Bow to
4 miles west of The Saunders Elevator, moving southeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect considerable 
         tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to mobile homes, 
         roofs, and outbuildings.

Locations impacted include...
Ulysses, Hugoton, Elkhart, Johnson City, Rolla, Moscow, Manter,
Richfield, The Saunders Elevator, Big Bow, Feterita, Wilburton and
Hickok.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3770 10204 3772 10152 3801 10138 3741 10109
      3713 10139 3699 10188 3699 10202 3705 10205
TIME...MOT...LOC 0318Z 321DEG 35KT 3746 10113 3741 10153 3749 10212 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

UMSCHEID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
607 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

...UPDATE TO AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...(This afternoon through Wednesday)
Issued at 1154 AM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

Potential for severe weather, MCS, and heavy rain setting up from
this evening through the overnight. An upper level low in Montana
will kick out a shortwave which will move from central Colorado
into western Kansas through tonight. This wave will combine with
a stationary to an eventual cold front across west central Kansas
to produce several areas of rain. The highest confidence of the
heaviest rain of possibly 2-3 inches will be along and just south
of the I-70 corridor. Models are hinting at a couple rounds of
initiation with the first being during the afternoon and then
another round of storms coming in from northeast Colorado in
association with the main shortwave and cold front.

Severe threat initially this afternoon will be a short time frame
of supercells primarily along the Colorado border where we could
see large hail and an isolated tornado threat. As the event
evolves it will quickly become a wind threat as the storms will
quickly develop into a line and move across the area.

Wednesday as the upper low progresses into Nebraska and the
shortwave move into central Kansas the rain should gradually end
from west to east through the morning into the afternoon. With the
clouds hanging around and cold air advection high temperatures
will be in the lower to mid 80s.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 104 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

The upper level low slowly moves eastward into Iowa Wednesday
evening into Thursday morning and will bring in a second cold
front across the region. This will lead to cooler temperatures
through the day Thursday into Friday morning.

The storm system should exit the area by Friday bringing the
return of southeast winds and moisture. Both GFS and Euro hint at
convection trying to develop along a warm front as a shortwave
moves out of Colorado by the late afternoon.

The weekend has another upper level low developing in the Pacific
northwest and moving towards the Rockies with a good baroclinic
zone developing roughly along the I-70 corridor. With upslope flow
and moisture in place the possibility of another heavy rain event
and MCS could be in place.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday evening)
Issued at 604 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

Thunderstorms are likely to continue across good portions of west
central, central, and much of southwest Kansas through late tonight
increasing the potential for periods of MVFR/IFR conditions in
the vicinity of all TAF sites. Outside of storm activity,
predominately VFR conditions will persist through early Wednesday
afternoon. Gusty south winds 15 to 25kt will persist across
central and eastern portions of southwest Kansas through late this
evening as a stationary boundary remains anchored from southeast
Colorado northeast into north central Kansas. Winds will then turn
northerly 10 to 20kt early to mid Wednesday morning as a cold
front pushes across the region.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  64  84  61  81 /  90  50  10   0
GCK  63  84  59  82 /  90  30  10   0
EHA  62  84  60  86 /  70  20  10   0
LBL  65  84  61  86 /  80  30  10   0
HYS  66  82  60  77 /  90  20  10  10
P28  69  82  64  85 /  70  60  10  10

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch through Wednesday morning for KSZ030-031-
043>045.

&&

SHORT TERM...Tatro
LONG TERM...Tatro
AVIATION...JJohnson

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
336 AM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-200845-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
336 AM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018 /236 AM MDT Tue Jun 19 2018/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected late this afternoon
into the overnight period, first across west central Kansas
spreading southeast as the night progresses. The strongest storms
will be capable of producing hail around 2 inches and winds over
70 mph. An isolated tornado can not be ruled out across west
central Kansas late this afternoon.

A flash flood watch will be in effect along the I-70 corridor late
this afternoon into the overnight period. See the latest flood
product for more information.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Lightning: Significant risk
* Excessive heat: Limited risk
* Non-thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

A chance of thunderstorms will be possible across south central
Kansas Wednesday morning. These storms are not expected to be
severe at this time.

A chance of thunderstorms will be possible Friday night and again
Sunday. It is too early to tell if any of these storms will become
severe.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Wednesday
  - Lightning: Elevated risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Limited risk

* Thursday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

* Friday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Saturday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

* Sunday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

* Monday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed first across west central Kansas
late this afternoon spreading southeast this evening into tonight.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
855 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0835 PM     HAIL             8 S ROLLA               37.01N 101.63W
06/19/2018  E1.00 INCH       MORTON             KS   PUBLIC

            LOTS OF QUARTER SIZE HAIL ON THE GROUND.

&&

LCR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
914 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0902 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 ESE SCOTT CITY        38.48N 100.88W
06/19/2018  M64 MPH          SCOTT              KS   AWOS

&&

MR

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
917 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

KSZ085-086-200300-
Seward KS-Stevens KS-
917 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN SEWARD AND SOUTHEASTERN
STEVENS COUNTIES UNTIL 1000 PM CDT...

At 917 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Tyrone, or 6 miles southwest of Liberal, moving east at 35 mph.

Half inch hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Liberal, Kismet and Hayne.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
southwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3703 10114 3721 10068 3700 10064 3700 10113
TIME...MOT...LOC 0217Z 250DEG 28KT 3697 10102

TATRO

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
922 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

KSZ087-200300-
Meade KS-
922 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL MEADE COUNTY UNTIL 1000
PM CDT...

At 922 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Meade State Park, moving east at 30 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Meade, Fowler, Meade State Park, Missler and Plains.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
southwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3711 10055 3726 10059 3747 10013 3717 10010
TIME...MOT...LOC 0222Z 250DEG 28KT 3720 10047

TATRO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
923 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0918 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 W SHIELDS             38.61N 100.47W
06/19/2018  M62 MPH          LANE               KS   MESONET

&&

MR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
927 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0915 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NNE SCOTT CITY        38.49N 100.90W
06/19/2018                   SCOTT              KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            LARGE TREE BLOWN OVER AT GOLF COURSE .

&&

LCR