Severe Thunderstorm Warning 221, NWS Dodge City, KS

058 
WWUS53 KDDC 200251
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
951 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

KSC055-057-069-081-083-101-135-171-200330-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0221.000000T0000Z-180620T0330Z/
Ford KS-Finney KS-Ness KS-Scott KS-Hodgeman KS-Lane KS-Gray KS-
Haskell KS-
951 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN FORD...FINNEY...WESTERN NESS...SOUTHEASTERN SCOTT...
WESTERN HODGEMAN...LANE...GRAY AND HASKELL COUNTIES...

At 949 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 2 miles northeast of Arnold to 4 miles northwest of
Kalvesta to 11 miles southwest of Plymell, moving southeast at 40
mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated and winds measured by automated weather 
         stations.

IMPACT...Expect considerable tree damage. Damage is likely to mobile 
         homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

Locations impacted include...
Dodge City, Garden City, Cimarron, Holcomb, Sublette, Ness City,
Dighton, Montezuma, Jetmore, Pierceville, Copeland, Ingalls, Ransom,
Ensign, Utica, Alamota, Charleston, Howell, Shields and Beeler.

At 935 PM CDT, a 65 mph wind gust was measured by a mesonet station 
in Garden City.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3742 10107 3803 10109 3837 10071 3870 10054
      3870 10012 3865 9982 3773 9994
TIME...MOT...LOC 0249Z 327DEG 36KT 3866 10001 3811 10034 3773 10105 

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

UMSCHEID

219 
WWUS53 KDDC 200317
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1017 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

KSC171-200326-
/O.CAN.KDDC.SV.W.0221.000000T0000Z-180620T0330Z/
Scott KS-
1017 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN SCOTT COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
southwestern and west central Kansas. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch
also remains in effect until 500 AM CDT for southwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3742 10107 3772 10106 3814 10047 3870 10012
      3865 9982 3773 9994
TIME...MOT...LOC 0316Z 345DEG 47KT 3815 9989 3779 10024 3749 10097 

$$

KSC055-057-069-081-083-101-135-200330-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0221.000000T0000Z-180620T0330Z/
Ford KS-Finney KS-Ness KS-Hodgeman KS-Lane KS-Gray KS-Haskell KS-
1017 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN FORD...CENTRAL FINNEY...WESTERN NESS...WESTERN
HODGEMAN...SOUTHEASTERN LANE...GRAY AND HASKELL COUNTIES...

At 1016 PM CDT, the leading edge of severe thunderstorms were located 
along a line extending from 4 miles north of Jetmore to 3 miles 
west of Howell to 3 miles north of Satanta, moving south at 55 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect considerable tree damage. Damage is likely to mobile 
         homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

Locations impacted include...
Dodge City, Cimarron, Sublette, Ness City, Montezuma, Jetmore,
Pierceville, Copeland, Ingalls, Ransom, Ensign, Charleston, Howell,
Beeler, Plymell, Arnold and Kalvesta.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3742 10107 3772 10106 3814 10047 3870 10012
      3865 9982 3773 9994
TIME...MOT...LOC 0316Z 345DEG 47KT 3815 9989 3779 10024 3749 10097 

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

UMSCHEID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
607 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

...UPDATE TO AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...(This afternoon through Wednesday)
Issued at 1154 AM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

Potential for severe weather, MCS, and heavy rain setting up from
this evening through the overnight. An upper level low in Montana
will kick out a shortwave which will move from central Colorado
into western Kansas through tonight. This wave will combine with
a stationary to an eventual cold front across west central Kansas
to produce several areas of rain. The highest confidence of the
heaviest rain of possibly 2-3 inches will be along and just south
of the I-70 corridor. Models are hinting at a couple rounds of
initiation with the first being during the afternoon and then
another round of storms coming in from northeast Colorado in
association with the main shortwave and cold front.

Severe threat initially this afternoon will be a short time frame
of supercells primarily along the Colorado border where we could
see large hail and an isolated tornado threat. As the event
evolves it will quickly become a wind threat as the storms will
quickly develop into a line and move across the area.

Wednesday as the upper low progresses into Nebraska and the
shortwave move into central Kansas the rain should gradually end
from west to east through the morning into the afternoon. With the
clouds hanging around and cold air advection high temperatures
will be in the lower to mid 80s.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 104 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

The upper level low slowly moves eastward into Iowa Wednesday
evening into Thursday morning and will bring in a second cold
front across the region. This will lead to cooler temperatures
through the day Thursday into Friday morning.

The storm system should exit the area by Friday bringing the
return of southeast winds and moisture. Both GFS and Euro hint at
convection trying to develop along a warm front as a shortwave
moves out of Colorado by the late afternoon.

The weekend has another upper level low developing in the Pacific
northwest and moving towards the Rockies with a good baroclinic
zone developing roughly along the I-70 corridor. With upslope flow
and moisture in place the possibility of another heavy rain event
and MCS could be in place.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday evening)
Issued at 604 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

Thunderstorms are likely to continue across good portions of west
central, central, and much of southwest Kansas through late tonight
increasing the potential for periods of MVFR/IFR conditions in
the vicinity of all TAF sites. Outside of storm activity,
predominately VFR conditions will persist through early Wednesday
afternoon. Gusty south winds 15 to 25kt will persist across
central and eastern portions of southwest Kansas through late this
evening as a stationary boundary remains anchored from southeast
Colorado northeast into north central Kansas. Winds will then turn
northerly 10 to 20kt early to mid Wednesday morning as a cold
front pushes across the region.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  64  84  61  81 /  90  50  10   0
GCK  63  84  59  82 /  90  30  10   0
EHA  62  84  60  86 /  70  20  10   0
LBL  65  84  61  86 /  80  30  10   0
HYS  66  82  60  77 /  90  20  10  10
P28  69  82  64  85 /  70  60  10  10

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch through Wednesday morning for KSZ030-031-
043>045.

&&

SHORT TERM...Tatro
LONG TERM...Tatro
AVIATION...JJohnson

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
336 AM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-200845-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
336 AM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018 /236 AM MDT Tue Jun 19 2018/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected late this afternoon
into the overnight period, first across west central Kansas
spreading southeast as the night progresses. The strongest storms
will be capable of producing hail around 2 inches and winds over
70 mph. An isolated tornado can not be ruled out across west
central Kansas late this afternoon.

A flash flood watch will be in effect along the I-70 corridor late
this afternoon into the overnight period. See the latest flood
product for more information.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Lightning: Significant risk
* Excessive heat: Limited risk
* Non-thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

A chance of thunderstorms will be possible across south central
Kansas Wednesday morning. These storms are not expected to be
severe at this time.

A chance of thunderstorms will be possible Friday night and again
Sunday. It is too early to tell if any of these storms will become
severe.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Wednesday
  - Lightning: Elevated risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Limited risk

* Thursday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

* Friday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Saturday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

* Sunday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

* Monday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed first across west central Kansas
late this afternoon spreading southeast this evening into tonight.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
850 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 PM     HAIL             2 ENE WILBURTON         37.08N 101.73W
06/19/2018  E2.00 INCH       MORTON             KS   PUBLIC

&&

MR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
855 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0835 PM     HAIL             8 S ROLLA               37.01N 101.63W
06/19/2018  E1.00 INCH       MORTON             KS   PUBLIC

            LOTS OF QUARTER SIZE HAIL ON THE GROUND.

&&

LCR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
914 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0902 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 ESE SCOTT CITY        38.48N 100.88W
06/19/2018  M64 MPH          SCOTT              KS   AWOS

&&

MR

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
917 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

KSZ085-086-200300-
Seward KS-Stevens KS-
917 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN SEWARD AND SOUTHEASTERN
STEVENS COUNTIES UNTIL 1000 PM CDT...

At 917 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Tyrone, or 6 miles southwest of Liberal, moving east at 35 mph.

Half inch hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Liberal, Kismet and Hayne.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
southwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3703 10114 3721 10068 3700 10064 3700 10113
TIME...MOT...LOC 0217Z 250DEG 28KT 3697 10102

TATRO

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
922 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

KSZ087-200300-
Meade KS-
922 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL MEADE COUNTY UNTIL 1000
PM CDT...

At 922 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Meade State Park, moving east at 30 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Meade, Fowler, Meade State Park, Missler and Plains.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
southwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3711 10055 3726 10059 3747 10013 3717 10010
TIME...MOT...LOC 0222Z 250DEG 28KT 3720 10047

TATRO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
923 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0918 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 W SHIELDS             38.61N 100.47W
06/19/2018  M62 MPH          LANE               KS   MESONET

&&

MR