Severe Thunderstorm Warning 92, NWS Columbia, SC

516 
WWUS52 KCAE 252108
SVSCAE

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Columbia SC
508 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2018

SCC025-252130-
/O.CON.KCAE.SV.W.0092.000000T0000Z-180625T2130Z/
Chesterfield SC-
508 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM EDT
FOR CENTRAL CHESTERFIELD COUNTY...

At 508 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 9 miles southeast of
Pageland, or 21 miles west of Cheraw, moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Chesterfield, Jefferson, Ruby and Patrick. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection seek shelter inside a sturdy building and stay
away from windows.

&&

LAT...LON 3457 8038 3464 8038 3466 8039 3472 8038
      3480 8004 3453 8004
TIME...MOT...LOC 2108Z 270DEG 20KT 3467 8028 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

fwa

794 
WWUS52 KCAE 252133
SVSCAE

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Columbia SC
533 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2018

SCC025-252142-
/O.EXP.KCAE.SV.W.0092.000000T0000Z-180625T2130Z/
Chesterfield SC-
533 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL CHESTERFIELD COUNTY
HAS EXPIRED...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning has been allowed to expire.  However gusty
winds are still possible with this thunderstorm.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM EDT for 
central South Carolina. Additional severe thunderstorm warnings may 
be needed later this evening.

LAT...LON 3457 8038 3464 8038 3466 8039 3472 8038
      3480 8004 3453 8004
TIME...MOT...LOC 2132Z 270DEG 20KT 3467 8014 

$$

fwa

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Columbia SC
333 PM EDT Mon Jun 25 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will extend from the Atlantic westward into the
Gulf of Mexico through today. A hot westerly flow will continue
north of this ridge locally and high temperatures will be in
the mid 90s to around 100 degrees. A cold front will push into
the forecast area tonight and Tuesday bringing showers and
thunderstorms. Tuesday should be the coolest day in the past
week or so due mainly to increased cloud cover. A more
climatological pattern unfolds for the remainder of the period
with increasing moisture and ridging into the Southeast. This
pattern supports scattered diurnal thunderstorms and above
normal temperatures.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
The main concern will be the possibility of severe thunderstorms
and localized flooding.

A surface trough will be in the forecast area today ahead of the
approaching cold front. The front is forecast to sink southward
and into the area tonight. Despite strong heating and
convergence into the surface trough, upper ridging will likely
limit thunderstorm coverage this afternoon, except there may be
considerable coverage in the north section late, with moisture
pooling ahead of the cold front plus an approaching mid-level
shortwave trough. The greatest coverage may be this evening
closer to the maximum of diurnal instability and ahead of a mid-
level shortwave trough and in an area of convergence near the
front. There will be a continued threat of thunderstorms
overnight with the front and upper feature in the area. The NAM
and GFS depict strong instability with surface- based LI values
-8 to -10. Forecast soundings indicate considerable CAPE in the
hail growth region. Damaging wind and hail will be possible with
the thunderstorms. Precipitable water is forecast to be around
2 inches. High rainfall rates and possible training near the
front support a possibility of localized flooding. We followed a
guidance for the temperature forecast. Expect peak heat index
values about 105 and just below the heat advisory criteria of
110 today.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY/...
An upper trough will slowly move eastward from the Great Lakes into
New England during this time period.  Scattered to numerous showers
and thunderstorms are forecast for Tuesday through Wednesday ahead
of this trough, while a drying trend starts on Thursday as a front
pushes offshore.  Temperatures will be near normal Tuesday and
Wednesday and then above normal on Thursday.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
High pressure aloft builds over the Mid Atlantic States this
weekend.  This results in an onshore flow across the region which
will likely enhance the seabreeze front. Temperatures will be above
normal with the H5 heights.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR conditions should persist through the day, until showers
and thunderstorms bring restrictions this evening.

A surface trough will be in the forecast area today ahead of
the approaching cold front. The front is forecast to sink
southward and into the area tonight. Despite strong heating and
convergence into the surface trough, upper ridging will likely
limit thunderstorm coverage during much of the afternoon. The
hi-res models do show scattered convection developing between
20Z and 23Z, but confidence is too low to include in the
terminal forecasts at this time.

The greatest coverage may be this evening closer to the maximum
of diurnal instability and ahead of a mid-level shortwave
trough and in an area of convergence near the front. Kept
thunderstorms in the terminal forecasts during the 00z to 04z
time frame. There will be a continued threat of thunderstorms
overnight with the front and upper feature in the area. Damaging
wind and hail will be possible with the thunderstorms.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...Restrictions possible each day in
early morning fog plus mainly afternoon and evening thunderstorms.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...None.
SC...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...99
NEAR TERM...99
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM...99
AVIATION...99

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Columbia SC
217 AM EDT Mon Jun 25 2018

GAZ040-063>065-077-SCZ015-016-018-020>022-025>031-035>038-041-260630-
Lincoln-McDuffie-Columbia-Richmond-Burke-Lancaster-Chesterfield-
McCormick-Newberry-Fairfield-Kershaw-Edgefield-Saluda-Lexington-
Richland-Lee-Aiken-Sumter-Barnwell-Orangeburg-Calhoun-Clarendon-
Bamberg-
217 AM EDT Mon Jun 25 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Midlands of South Carolina
and the Central Savannah River area of Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Thunderstorms with damaging wind and hail will be possible this
afternoon and tonight. The threat will be greatest this evening.
There will also be a possibility of very heavy rain leading to
localized flooding this afternoon and especially tonight.

It will be hot today with heat index values peaking near 105.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be required this afternoon and tonight.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
1245 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1100 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 W NORWAY              33.45N 81.15W
06/24/2018                   ORANGEBURG         SC   PUBLIC

            PECAN TREES DOWN AND METAL SIDING RIPPED
            FROM HOME.

&&

RC

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Columbia SC
337 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2018

SCZ036>038-252015-
Orangeburg SC-Calhoun SC-Clarendon SC-
337 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2018

...Strong Thunderstorms Will Impact Portions of east central
Orangeburg...east central Calhoun and southwestern Clarendon Counties
Until 415 PM EDT....

...Boaters on Lake Marion Should Seek Safe Harbor...

At 336 PM EDT...National Weather Service doppler radar indicated a
strong thunderstorm near Summerton, or 16 miles southwest of Manning,
moving east at 15 mph.

  HAZARD...gusty winds 40 to 50 mph and pea sized hail.

  IMPACT...expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light, unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to plants,
           trees and crops is possible. Damage to windshields is
           unlikely.

Some locations in the path of this storm include...
Manning, Summerton, Elloree, Santee, Eutawville and Vance.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Boaters on Lake Marion should move to shore and seek shelter. Strong,
erratic wind gusts and lightning are possible. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

This includes Interstate 95 between mile markers 94 and 117.

LAT...LON 3348 8015 3347 8014 3345 8015 3346 8016
      3345 8017 3345 8020 3344 8020 3345 8022
      3340 8022 3338 8024 3343 8052 3358 8059
      3365 8055 3371 8016 3349 8013
TIME...MOT...LOC 1936Z 272DEG 15KT 3352 8042

LCV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
406 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0315 PM     TSTM WND DMG     10 E SWANSEA            33.73N 80.93W
06/25/2018                   CALHOUN            SC   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            REPORTED A TREE DOWN IN THE EASTBOUND SIDE
            OF I-26 NEAR MILE MARKER 133.

&&

LCV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
449 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0720 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WINNSBORO               34.38N 81.09W
06/24/2018                   FAIRFIELD          SC   PUBLIC

            HUGE LIMB REPORTED DOWN IN WINNSBORO VIA
            FACEBOOK. PHOTO WAS INCLUDED.

&&

WRS