Gale Warning 1, NWS Buffalo, NY

626 
WHUS71 KBUF 020226
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
926 PM EST Mon Jan 1 2018

LOZ044-021100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0122.000000T0000Z-180102T1500Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0001.180102T1500Z-180103T0300Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
926 PM EST Mon Jan 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
TUESDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM EST
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...Northwest to 30 knots tonight. West to 35 knots 
  Tuesday.

* WAVES...7 to 10 feet tonight. 10 to 13 feet Tuesday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ045-021100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0122.000000T0000Z-180102T1500Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0001.180102T1500Z-180103T0300Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
926 PM EST Mon Jan 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
TUESDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM EST
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...Northwest 15 to 25 knots tonight. West to 35 knots 
  Tuesday.

* WAVES...5 to 8 feet tonight. 10 to 13 feet Tuesday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ062-021100-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0001.180102T1500Z-180103T0300Z/
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
926 PM EST Mon Jan 1 2018

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM EST
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...Southwest to 35 knots.

* WAVES...8 to 11 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ063>065-021100-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0001.180102T1500Z-180103T0300Z/
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
926 PM EST Mon Jan 1 2018

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM EST
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...West to 35 knots.

* WAVES...10 to 13 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-021100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0122.000000T0000Z-180104T0900Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
926 PM EST Mon Jan 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...Southwest to 30 knots.

* WAVES...7 to 10 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ042-043-021100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0122.000000T0000Z-180104T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
926 PM EST Mon Jan 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...Southwest to 30 knots.

* WAVES...7 to 10 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ020-021100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0122.180102T1200Z-180103T0600Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
926 PM EST Mon Jan 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TUESDAY TO
1 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...Southwest to 30 knots.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK/JJR

797 
WHUS71 KBUF 020841
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
341 AM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

LEZ040-041-021645-
/O.UPG.KBUF.SC.Y.0122.000000T0000Z-180104T0900Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.GL.W.0001.180102T1200Z-180103T0300Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
341 AM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a Gale
Warning, which is in effect from 7 AM this morning to 10 PM EST
this evening. The Small Craft Advisory is no longer in effect.

* WINDS...Southwest to 35 knots.

* WAVES...8 to 11 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ044-021645-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0122.000000T0000Z-180102T1500Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0001.180102T1500Z-180103T0300Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
341 AM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WINDS...West to 35 knots.

* WAVES...10 to 14 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ045-021645-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0122.000000T0000Z-180102T1500Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0001.180102T1500Z-180103T0300Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
341 AM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WINDS...Southwest to 35 knots.

* WAVES...10 to 14 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ062-021645-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0001.180102T1500Z-180103T0300Z/
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
341 AM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WINDS...Southwest to 40 knots.

* WAVES...9 to 12 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ063>065-021645-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0001.180102T1500Z-180103T0300Z/
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
341 AM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WINDS...West to 40 knots.

* WAVES...10 to 14 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ042-043-021645-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0122.000000T0000Z-180104T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
341 AM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...Southwest to 30 knots.

* WAVES...8 to 11 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ020-021645-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0122.180102T1200Z-180103T0600Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
341 AM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING
TO 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 25 knots.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

435 
WHUS71 KBUF 021513
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1013 AM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

LOZ044-045-022315-
/O.EXP.KBUF.SC.Y.0122.000000T0000Z-180102T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.UP.W.0001.180102T1513Z-180103T0300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180103T0300Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
1013 AM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a Heavy
Freezing Spray Warning, which is in effect until 10 PM EST this
evening.

* WINDS...Southwest to 35 knots.

* WAVES...10 to 14 feet.

* FREEZING SPRAY...Heavy freezing spray expected.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Heavy Freezing Spray Warning means heavy freezing spray is
expected to rapidly accumulate on vessels. These conditions can
be extremely hazardous to navigation. It is recommended that
mariners not trained to operate in these conditions or vessels
not properly equipped to do so...remain in port or avoid the
warning area.

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ063>065-022315-
/O.NEW.KBUF.UP.W.0001.180102T1513Z-180103T0300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180103T0300Z/
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
1013 AM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a Heavy
Freezing Spray Warning, which is in effect until 10 PM EST this
evening.

* WINDS...Southwest to 40 knots.

* WAVES...10 to 14 feet.

* FREEZING SPRAY...Heavy freezing spray expected.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

A Heavy Freezing Spray Warning means heavy freezing spray is
expected to rapidly accumulate on vessels. These conditions can
be extremely hazardous to navigation. It is recommended that
mariners not trained to operate in these conditions or vessels
not properly equipped to do so...remain in port or avoid the
warning area.

&&

$$

LOZ062-022315-
/O.NEW.KBUF.UP.W.0001.180102T1513Z-180103T0300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180103T0300Z/
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
1013 AM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a Heavy
Freezing Spray Warning, which is in effect until 10 PM EST this
evening.

* WINDS...West to 40 knots.

* WAVES...9 to 12 feet.

* FREEZING SPRAY...Heavy freezing spray expected.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

A Heavy Freezing Spray Warning means heavy freezing spray is
expected to rapidly accumulate on vessels. These conditions can
be extremely hazardous to navigation. It is recommended that
mariners not trained to operate in these conditions or vessels
not properly equipped to do so...remain in port or avoid the
warning area.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-022315-
/O.NEW.KBUF.UP.W.0001.180102T1513Z-180103T0300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180103T0300Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
1013 AM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a Heavy
Freezing Spray Warning, which is in effect until 10 PM EST this
evening.

* WINDS...Southwest to 35 knots.

* WAVES...8 to 11 feet.

* FREEZING SPRAY...Heavy freezing spray expected.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

A Heavy Freezing Spray Warning means heavy freezing spray is
expected to rapidly accumulate on vessels. These conditions can
be extremely hazardous to navigation. It is recommended that
mariners not trained to operate in these conditions or vessels
not properly equipped to do so...remain in port or avoid the
warning area.

&&

$$

LOZ042-043-022315-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0122.000000T0000Z-180104T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
1013 AM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...Southwest to 30 knots.

* WAVES...8 to 11 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ020-022315-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0122.000000T0000Z-180103T0600Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
1013 AM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 25 knots.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

051 
WHUS71 KBUF 021814
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
114 PM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

LOZ044-045-063>065-030215-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180103T0300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.UP.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180103T0300Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
114 PM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

* WINDS...West to 40 knots.

* WAVES...11 to 15 feet.

* FREEZING SPRAY...Heavy freezing spray expected.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

A Heavy Freezing Spray Warning means heavy freezing spray is
expected to rapidly accumulate on vessels. These conditions can
be extremely hazardous to navigation. It is recommended that
mariners not trained to operate in these conditions or vessels
not properly equipped to do so...remain in port or avoid the
warning area.

&&

$$

LOZ062-030215-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180103T0300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.UP.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180103T0300Z/
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
114 PM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

* WINDS...West to 40 knots.

* WAVES...10 to 13 feet.

* FREEZING SPRAY...Heavy freezing spray expected.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

A Heavy Freezing Spray Warning means heavy freezing spray is
expected to rapidly accumulate on vessels. These conditions can
be extremely hazardous to navigation. It is recommended that
mariners not trained to operate in these conditions or vessels
not properly equipped to do so...remain in port or avoid the
warning area.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-030215-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180103T0300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.UP.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180103T0300Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
114 PM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

* WINDS...Southwest to 35 knots.

* WAVES...9 to 12 feet.

* FREEZING SPRAY...Heavy freezing spray expected.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

A Heavy Freezing Spray Warning means heavy freezing spray is
expected to rapidly accumulate on vessels. These conditions can
be extremely hazardous to navigation. It is recommended that
mariners not trained to operate in these conditions or vessels
not properly equipped to do so...remain in port or avoid the
warning area.

&&

$$

LOZ042-043-030215-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0122.000000T0000Z-180104T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
114 PM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...Southwest to 35 knots.

* WAVES...9 to 12 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ020-030215-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0122.000000T0000Z-180103T0600Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
114 PM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...Southwest to 30 knots.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

SMITH

764 
WHUS71 KBUF 022051
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
351 PM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

LOZ044-045-063>065-030300-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180103T0300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.UP.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180103T0300Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
351 PM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

* WINDS...West to 40 knots.

* WAVES...13 to 17 feet.

* FREEZING SPRAY...Heavy freezing spray expected.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

A Heavy Freezing Spray Warning means heavy freezing spray is
expected to rapidly accumulate on vessels. These conditions can
be extremely hazardous to navigation. It is recommended that
mariners not trained to operate in these conditions or vessels
not properly equipped to do so...remain in port or avoid the
warning area.

&&

$$

LOZ062-030300-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180103T0300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.UP.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180103T0300Z/
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
351 PM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

* WINDS...West to 40 knots.

* WAVES...11 to 15 feet.

* FREEZING SPRAY...Heavy freezing spray expected.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

A Heavy Freezing Spray Warning means heavy freezing spray is
expected to rapidly accumulate on vessels. These conditions can
be extremely hazardous to navigation. It is recommended that
mariners not trained to operate in these conditions or vessels
not properly equipped to do so...remain in port or avoid the
warning area.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-030300-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180103T0300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.UP.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180103T0300Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
351 PM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

* WINDS...Southwest to 35 knots.

* WAVES...10 to 14 feet.

* FREEZING SPRAY...Heavy freezing spray expected.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

A Heavy Freezing Spray Warning means heavy freezing spray is
expected to rapidly accumulate on vessels. These conditions can
be extremely hazardous to navigation. It is recommended that
mariners not trained to operate in these conditions or vessels
not properly equipped to do so...remain in port or avoid the
warning area.

&&

$$

LEZ020-030500-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0122.000000T0000Z-180103T0900Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
351 PM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...Southwest to 30 knots.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ042-043-030500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0122.000000T0000Z-180104T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
351 PM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...Southwest to 30 knots.

* WAVES...10 to 14 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

551 
WHUS71 KBUF 022320
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
620 PM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

LOZ044-045-063>065-030300-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180103T0300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.UP.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180103T0300Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
620 PM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

* WINDS...West to 35 knots.

* WAVES...13 to 17 feet.

* FREEZING SPRAY...Heavy freezing spray expected.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

A Heavy Freezing Spray Warning means heavy freezing spray is
expected to rapidly accumulate on vessels. These conditions can
be extremely hazardous to navigation. It is recommended that
mariners not trained to operate in these conditions or vessels
not properly equipped to do so...remain in port or avoid the
warning area.

&&

$$

LOZ062-030300-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180103T0300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.UP.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180103T0300Z/
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
620 PM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

* WINDS...West to 35 knots.

* WAVES...11 to 15 feet.

* FREEZING SPRAY...Heavy freezing spray expected.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

A Heavy Freezing Spray Warning means heavy freezing spray is
expected to rapidly accumulate on vessels. These conditions can
be extremely hazardous to navigation. It is recommended that
mariners not trained to operate in these conditions or vessels
not properly equipped to do so...remain in port or avoid the
warning area.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-030300-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180103T0300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.UP.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180103T0300Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
620 PM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

* WINDS...Southwest to 35 knots.

* WAVES...10 to 14 feet.

* FREEZING SPRAY...Heavy freezing spray expected.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

A Heavy Freezing Spray Warning means heavy freezing spray is
expected to rapidly accumulate on vessels. These conditions can
be extremely hazardous to navigation. It is recommended that
mariners not trained to operate in these conditions or vessels
not properly equipped to do so...remain in port or avoid the
warning area.

&&

$$

LOZ042-043-030900-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0122.000000T0000Z-180104T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
620 PM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...Southwest to 30 knots.

* WAVES...10 to 14 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ020-030900-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0122.000000T0000Z-180103T0900Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
620 PM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...Southwest to 30 knots.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

043 
WHUS71 KBUF 030230
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
930 PM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

LOZ045-031030-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180103T0300Z/
/O.CAN.KBUF.UP.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180103T0300Z/
/O.EXA.KBUF.SC.Y.0122.000000T0000Z-180104T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
930 PM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a Small Craft
Advisory, which is in effect until 4 AM EST Thursday. The Gale
Warning has been cancelled. The Heavy Freezing Spray Warning has
been cancelled.

* WINDS...Southwest to 30 knots.

* WAVES...9 to 12 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ044-031030-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180103T0300Z/
/O.CAN.KBUF.UP.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180103T0300Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0122.000000T0000Z-180104T0300Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
930 PM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST WEDNESDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a Small Craft
Advisory, which is in effect until 10 PM EST Wednesday. The Gale
Warning has been cancelled. The Heavy Freezing Spray Warning has
been cancelled.

* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 25 knots.

* WAVES...9 to 12 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-031030-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180103T0300Z/
/O.CAN.KBUF.UP.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180103T0300Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0122.000000T0000Z-180104T0300Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
930 PM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST WEDNESDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a Small Craft
Advisory, which is in effect until 10 PM EST Wednesday. The Heavy
Freezing Spray Warning has been cancelled. The Gale Warning has
been cancelled.

* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 25 knots.

* WAVES...9 to 12 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ062>065-030330-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180103T0300Z/
/O.CAN.KBUF.UP.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180103T0300Z/
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
930 PM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has cancelled the Heavy
Freezing Spray Warning. The Gale Warning has been cancelled.

$$

LOZ042-043-031030-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0122.000000T0000Z-180104T0300Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
930 PM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...Southwest to 30 knots.

* WAVES...8 to 11 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ020-030900-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0122.000000T0000Z-180103T0900Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
930 PM EST Tue Jan 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...Southwest 15 to 25 knots.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 18 to 33 knots
and/or waves averaging 4 feet or more are expected to produce
hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced
mariners...especially those operating smaller vessels...should
avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1247 PM EST Mon Jan 1 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
Lake effect snow will continue through tonight southeast of the
lakes, and through Tuesday east of Lake Ontario. It will turn quite
windy on Tuesday, with areas of blowing snow developing. A cold
front will bring a general light snow to the region Wednesday night,
with lake effect snow showers Thursday through Saturday southeast of
the lakes. It will turn frigid again late this week, with
dangerously cold wind chills likely Thursday night through Saturday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Radar imagery early this afternoon showing a few areas of light to
moderate lake effect snow east of Lake Erie, with a more impressive
band lurking mainly offshore over the middle of Lake Ontario.

For this afternoon increasing west winds becoming northwest will
bring an upstream connection to the Lake Erie snowbands, with
moderate snowfall across the western So. Tier. Though extreme lake
instability with 850 hPa temperatures -22 to -24C, the shorter fetch
over the lake, and though improved, still shallow nature of the snow
growth zone will limit snow totals...to around 2 to 4 inches today,
and another 2 to 3 inches tonight. Will maintain the winter weather
advisory for lake effect snow here.

Over Lake Ontario, the passing upper level shortwave will likely
create a surface trough and meso low over Lake Ontario. Through the
day today lake effect snow will build over the lake, this on a
convergent wind from the colder land mass to over the warmer lakes.
By this afternoon, westerly winds will carry this snow towards the
southeast shoreline of Lake Ontario, bringing moderate to heavy lake
snows towards Oswego County. While brief, snowfall rates of 2 to 3
inches per hour will bring warning criteria snowfall...and a lake
effect snow warning will be issued. As the surface low pushes inland
over the Adirondacks, a surface trough followed by a colder airmass
will drop southward across Lake Ontario, pushing the lake snows
towards the southern shoreline of Lake Ontario. While not as
intense, several inches of snow will be possible from near Webster
and the NE corner of Monroe County and towards northern Cayuga
County this evening. Will convert the winter storm watch to lake
effect snow advisories here...with an additional 3 to 5 inches of
snow falling tonight.

With the passage of the surface trough, wind shear will increase
through the night and lake effect snow will become weaker and at
times disorganized. Wind shear will be a bit greater near Lake
Ontario. By late tonight winds will become more west to
southwesterly. This will begin to push the lake snows northward,
with snows entering southern Erie county late tonight, while also
increasing the organization and strength of lake snows southeast of
Lake Ontario. Will carry the lake effect snow warning into
Tuesday early morning to account for this second surge of lake
effect snow...though this second surge will not be as strong as
the evening snows.

As mentioned it will remain cold today and tonight. The southwest
winds tonight will bring relatively not as cold air northward
tonight...and this should leave many areas on the positive side of
zero south of Lake Ontario, while east of Lake Ontario lows will
still bottom out zero to ten below for most areas. These not as
harsh air temperatures should prevent any advisory level wind chills
(save for portions of the interior North Country) and plan on no
additional wind chill headlines with this morning's forecast
package.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
On Tuesday a shortwave and weak surface low will pass to our north.
The pressure gradient between this weak system and strong high
pressure across the Mississippi Valley will result in a tightening
pressure gradient. Consensus 925mb winds are forecast to increase to
40 to 45 kts, and these are southwesterly and fairly well aligned
with surface winds. This should help winds aloft mix to the surface
despite the 'warm' air advection. Expect gusts to approach wind
advisory criteria across the lake plains east of the lakes with
gusts up to 45 mph. Any lake effect snow off Lake Erie will be
minimal at this point, however with lots of fluffy snow already on
the ground across Western New York this will result in areas of
blowing snow during the day on Tuesday.

A bit more moisture and deeper equilibrium levels will support some
lake effect snow east of Lake Ontario on Tuesday. This will be aided
by upsloping along the west-face of the Tug Hill and Adirondacks.
Snowfall rates should be modest, but when combined with gusty west
to southwest winds there should be significant areas of blowing snow
Tuesday into Tuesday evening. Additional snow accumulation may fall
just shy of advisory criteria, but the impact from the blowing snow
may eventually support an advisory for both hazards.

Low pressure will approach the region from the northern Great Lakes
Wednesday. Winds will shift to the SSW ahead of this system and push
any lingering lake enhanced snow into Canada. Wednesday should be
mainly dry, with mostly sunny skies in the morning giving way to
increasing clouds during the afternoon with the approach of this
system. Temperatures will be warmer, but still well below normal
with highs in the upper teens to lower 20s.

This low will then track to near Lake Ontario by late Wednesday
night. Increasing moisture from this low and an associated shortwave
will cause lake effect snow to re-develop Wednesday night. Lake
effect snow will start northeast of the lakes Wednesday evening then
shift southward late in the night. The transient nature of the bands
should limit snow amounts, but some accumulation (1 to 3 inches) is
possible.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
There will be no let up in the very cold pattern through next
weekend as a longwave trough remains well established over central
and eastern North America. In fact, the coldest airmass yet will
likely be coming at the end of the week. A long stretch of this
magnitude of cold is not common, and this one is exceptionally early
in the season. When patterns such as this occur, it is more
typically in late January through February.

Looking at the details, the 00/12Z GFS, ECMWF, GEM all remain
consistent in developing an intense Nor'Easter Thursday and Thursday
night. This system will stay well out to sea and too far east to
have any direct influence on our region, but it will phase with a
northern stream trough and help pull down the coldest airmass of
this frigid stretch for Thursday night through Friday night. Both
the GFS and ECMWF bottom out 850mb temps at around -30C during this
period. According to the SPC sounding climatology website, the
coldest 850mb temp ever sampled on a KBUF sounding is -32.3C since
balloon launches began in 1948. Highs on Friday may struggle to
reach zero across much of Western NY, with the North Country staying
well below zero. Lows Thursday night and Friday night will be below
zero areawide, with lows across the North Country colder than -20F.
Winds will not be calm by any means, with a brisk northwest flow on
the western periphery of the strong Nor'Easter producing wind chills
far lower than we have seen so far in this cold pattern.

As far as snow chances go, northwest flow on the western periphery
of the coastal low will produce a spray of lake effect snow showers
southeast of the lakes across much of the region from Thursday
through Saturday, although the short fetch, very dry airmass, and
lack of dendritic crystal growth will likely keep accumulations on
the light side.

Model guidance begins to diverge on Sunday, with the ECMWF slower to
move the exceptional cold out of the region, while the GFS and
Canadian GEM start a moderating trend. It does appear that the
pattern will relax at least temporarily next week with temperatures
trending closer to average for a few days.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Lake effect snow will continue east and southeast of the lakes this
afternoon and tonight with areas of IFR and lower conditions. Off
Lake Erie, this will mainly impact the western Southern Tier
including KJHW. Off Lake Ontario, initially the lake snow will
develop across Oswego County late this afternoon, then move onshore
along much of the south shore of the lake this evening. This may
bring a few hours of IFR to KROC. Overnight into Tuesday morning the
lake effect snow will then focus east of KROC again.

During the day Tuesday, winds become west to southwest. This will
carry the Lake Ontario lake effect snow into the Tug Hill region
with local IFR. The northern edge of this may impact KART as well.
Off Lake Erie, any lake snow that remains should be light and
disorganized with just scattered light snow showers near KBUF.
Southwest winds will become quite gusty on Tuesday, producing areas
of blowing snow and reduced surface visibility. Gusts may reach 40
mph on the lake plains.

Outlook...

Wednesday...Mainly VFR.
Wednesday night...Areas of IFR in snow showers.
Thursday through Saturday...Areas of IFR in lake effect snow showers
southeast of the lakes.

&&

.MARINE...
Northwest winds will continue small craft conditions on the Eastern
Great Lakes today and through much of the week. Strongest winds will
likely be Tuesday and Tuesday night as a very strong surface high
pressure advances from the Plains to the Ohio Valley. This
strengthening pressure gradient will increase winds to near low end
gale force, for which a gale watch will be issued for Lake Ontario.
Winds may remain just below gale force on Lake Erie, and the western
shoreline of Lake Ontario.

Later in the week another very cold airmass will drop across the
Eastern Great Lakes region. This airmass may be the coldest
yet...and with winds a bit stronger there will be heightened chances
for freezing spray.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Record low maximums and record low temperatures will be
challenged today as arctic air continues to flow across the
Eastern Great Lakes region. Below are records for January 1st.

MONDAY/NEW YEARS DAY

Buffalo      11(1918)    0 (1970)
Rochester    10(1918)   -8 (1970)
Watertown    14(1989)  -11 (1989)

Period Records: Buffalo (1871-Present), Rochester (1871-Present) and
Watertown (1949-Present)

&&

.EQUIPMENT...
The KTYX WSR-88D radar at Montague, NY has suffered a motor
failure. A part is enroute to the radar and, due to the
holiday, service will likely not be restored until Wednesday.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...Lake Effect Snow Warning until 7 AM EST Tuesday for NYZ006.
     Winter Weather Advisory until 7 AM EST Tuesday for NYZ003>005.
     Winter Weather Advisory until 4 AM EST Tuesday for NYZ019-020.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EST Thursday for LEZ040-041.
         Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM Tuesday to 1 AM EST
         Wednesday for LEZ020.
         Gale Watch from Tuesday morning through late Tuesday
         night for LOZ044-045-062>065.
         Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EST Thursday for LOZ042-
         043.
         Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 10 AM EST
         Tuesday for LOZ045.
         Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST Tuesday for LOZ044.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HITCHCOCK
NEAR TERM...HITCHCOCK/THOMAS
SHORT TERM...APFFEL
LONG TERM...APFFEL/HITCHCOCK
AVIATION...HITCHCOCK
MARINE...THOMAS
CLIMATE...HSK/THOMAS
EQUIPMENT...CHURCH

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
927 AM EST Mon Jan 1 2018

NYZ001-002-010-011-021430-
Niagara-Orleans-Northern Erie-Genesee-
927 AM EST Mon Jan 1 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Winds gusting to 45 mph on Tuesday will result in areas of blowing
snow. This may impact travel.

An exceptionally cold airmass will arrive Thursday night through
Saturday morning. Wind chill values during this time may drop to
dangerous levels of colder than 25 below zero.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ003-021430-
Monroe-
927 AM EST Mon Jan 1 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
7 AM EST TUESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

Winds gusting to 45 mph on Tuesday will result in areas of blowing
snow. This may impact travel.

An exceptionally cold airmass will arrive Thursday night through
Saturday morning. Wind chill values during this time may drop to
dangerous levels of colder than 25 below zero.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ012>014-021-085-021430-
Wyoming-Livingston-Ontario-Allegany-Southern Erie-
927 AM EST Mon Jan 1 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

An exceptionally cold airmass will arrive Thursday night through
Saturday morning. Wind chill values during this time may drop to
dangerous levels of colder than 25 below zero.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ004-005-021430-
Wayne-Northern Cayuga-
927 AM EST Mon Jan 1 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
7 AM EST TUESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

An exceptionally cold airmass will arrive Thursday night through
Saturday morning. Wind chill values during this time may drop to
dangerous levels of colder than 25 below zero.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ019-020-021430-
Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-
927 AM EST Mon Jan 1 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

An exceptionally cold airmass will arrive Thursday night through
Saturday morning. Wind chill values during this time may drop to
dangerous levels of colder than 25 below zero.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ007-008-021430-
Jefferson-Lewis-
927 AM EST Mon Jan 1 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Another wind chill advisory may be needed for tonight also.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Accumulating snow is expected Tuesday and Tuesday night. This
combined with winds gusting to 40 mph will result in areas of
blowing
snow and difficult travel conditions.

An exceptionally cold airmass will arrive Thursday night through
Saturday morning. Wind chill values during this time may drop to
dangerous levels of colder than 40 below zero.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ006-021430-
Oswego-
927 AM EST Mon Jan 1 2018

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
7 AM EST TUESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

More accumulating snow is expected Tuesday and Tuesday night. This
combined with winds gusting to 40 mph will result in areas of
blowing
snow and difficult travel conditions.

An exceptionally cold airmass will arrive Thursday night through
Saturday morning. Wind chill values during this time may drop to
dangerous levels of colder than 25 below zero.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042-043-SLZ022-024-021430-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
Lower Niagara River-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
927 AM EST Mon Jan 1 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie, Lake
Ontario and Saint Lawrence River.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LOZ044-045-062>065-021430-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-
927 AM EST Mon Jan 1 2018

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Ontario.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf