River Flood Warning 74, NWS La Crosse, WI

158 
WGUS83 KARX 042208
FLSARX


Flood Statement
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
508 PM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

.Recent rain and additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 5 inches 
tonight into Wednesday will cause significant rises along the 
Black...Trempealeau and Yellow rivers. While...minor to moderate 
flooding continues along the Kickapoo River. 

River forecasts take into account both observed and forecast 
precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 

Do not drive cars into flooded areas. Remember, it only takes two 
feet of water to float most automobiles, including sport utility 
vehicles. Turn Around, Don't Drown!

Additional river and weather information is available at...
http://www.weather.gov/lacrosse .

&&

WIC053-051308-
/O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0071.180905T2145Z-180908T2004Z/
/BRFW3.2.ER.180905T2145Z.180906T1200Z.180908T0204Z.NO/
508 PM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black River at Black River Falls.
* from Wednesday afternoon to Saturday afternoon...Or until the 
  warning is cancelled.
* At  3:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 36.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 47.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage Wednesday and continue to rise
  to near 53.9 feet Thursday morning.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4435 9075 4417 9088 4411 9097 4413 9100 4437 9080

$$

WIC081-123-051308-
/O.CON.KARX.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ONTW3.1.ER.180904T2241Z.180904T2300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
508 PM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kickapoo River at Ontario.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  3:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 13.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Minor flooding continues near Ontario.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4381 9051 4368 9057 4368 9061 4382 9061

$$

WIC103-123-051308-
/O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-180906T0417Z/
/LAFW3.1.ER.000000T0000Z.180905T0000Z.180905T1017Z.NO/
508 PM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kickapoo River at La Farge.
* until Wednesday evening...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  3:35 PM Tuesday the stage was 12.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 12.5 feet this
  evening. 
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Agricultural land adjacent to the river is 
  flooded and minor flooding affects some residences and commercial 
  properties. Water may also go over Highway 131 south of La Farge 
  near Ski Hill Road, and also over Winchell Valley Road at Bridge 8.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4368 9057 4353 9064 4354 9070 4368 9061

$$

WIC103-123-051308-
/O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-180908T1800Z/
/VIOW3.2.ER.000000T0000Z.180905T1800Z.180907T1800Z.NO/
508 PM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kickapoo River at Viola.
* until Saturday afternoon...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:23 PM Tuesday the stage was 15.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 16.2 feet  
  Wednesday. 
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Water begins going over Highway 131/56 in 
  Viola.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4353 9064 4347 9066 4346 9072 4348 9073 4354 9070

$$

WIC123-051308-
/O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-180909T0112Z/
/REAW3.2.ER.180904T0038Z.180905T0000Z.180908T0712Z.NO/
508 PM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kickapoo River at Readstown.
* until Saturday evening...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  3:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 14.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 15.0 feet this
  evening. 
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Water is up to the bottom of the Charles 
  Street Bridge.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4346 9072 4341 9077 4341 9079 4347 9078 4348 9073

$$

WIC023-051308-
/O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-180909T1600Z/
/SOGW3.1.ER.000000T0000Z.180905T0600Z.180908T1600Z.NO/
508 PM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kickapoo River at Soldiers Grove.
* until Sunday morning...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  3:01 PM Tuesday the stage was 13.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 15.8 feet  
  Wednesday morning. 
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water may begin to flood the park and 
  campground area in the old section of town.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4341 9077 4339 9077 4336 9081 4337 9085 4341 9079

$$

WIC023-051308-
/O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-180911T0800Z/
/GMIW3.3.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.180910T0800Z.NR/
508 PM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kickapoo River at Gays Mills.
* until Tuesday September 11...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 15.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 16.9 feet  
  Wednesday. 
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Water can be expected in the town of Gays 
  Mills with depth possibly reaching two feet in places.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4336 9081 4327 9082 4328 9086 4337 9085

$$

WIC023-051308-
/O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-180911T0448Z/
/STEW3.3.ER.180829T2248Z.180830T1030Z.180910T1048Z.NR/
508 PM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kickapoo River at Steuben.
* until Monday evening...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  4:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 13.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 16.0 feet  
  Thursday morning. 
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...The town of Steuben experiences significant 
  flooding.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4327 9082 4308 9085 4306 9092 4315 9091 4328 9086

$$

WIC011-121-051308-
/O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0073.180905T1410Z-180910T0742Z/
/DDGW3.1.ER.180905T1410Z.180908T0000Z.180909T1342Z.NR/
508 PM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Trempealeau River at Dodge.
* from Wednesday morning to late Sunday night...Or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At  4:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 6.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage Wednesday morning and continue
  to rise to near 10.9 feet Friday evening. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...The railroad bridge about three quarters of 
  a mile upstream from the gage can restrict the flow.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4404 9158 4420 9163 4423 9158 4422 9158 4402 9149

$$

WIC057-051308-
/O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0074.180908T0032Z-180910T0508Z/
/NCAW3.1.ER.180908T0032Z.180908T1200Z.180909T1108Z.UU/
508 PM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yellow River at Necedah.
* from Friday evening to late Sunday night...Or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  3:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 10.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage Friday evening and continue to
  rise to near 16.4 feet Saturday morning. 

&&
 
LAT...LON 4396 9003 4395 9006 4415 9014 4415 9009

$$

101 
WGUS83 KARX 050303
FLSARX


Flood Statement
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
1003 PM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

.Recent heavy rain has caused significant rises along the 
Black...Kickapoo...Trempealeau and Yellow rivers.

River forecasts take into account both observed and forecast 
precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 

Do not drive cars into flooded areas. Remember, it only takes two 
feet of water to float most automobiles, including sport utility 
vehicles. Turn Around, Don't Drown!

Additional river and weather information is available at...
http://www.weather.gov/lacrosse .

&&

WIC053-051802-
/O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0071.180905T2057Z-180908T1843Z/
/BRFW3.2.ER.180905T2057Z.180906T1200Z.180908T0043Z.NO/
1003 PM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black River at Black River Falls.
* from Wednesday afternoon to Saturday afternoon...Or until the 
  warning is cancelled.
* At  8:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 37.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 47.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage Wednesday and continue to rise
  to near 54.0 feet Thursday morning.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4435 9075 4417 9088 4411 9097 4413 9100 4437 9080

$$

WIC063-121-051802-
/O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0072.180907T1312Z-180910T1800Z/
/GALW3.2.ER.180907T1312Z.180908T1200Z.180910T0000Z.NO/
1003 PM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Black River Near Galesville.
* from Friday morning to Monday afternoon...Or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  9:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 4.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage Friday morning and continue to
  rise to near 14.0 feet Saturday morning. 
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Flooding mainly impacts wildlands and 
  agricultural pasture land. However the approach to the south end of
  the County Road VV Bridge over the Black River may be flooded.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4411 9097 4393 9135 4395 9138 4407 9133 4413 9100

$$

WIC103-123-051802-
/O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-180909T0000Z/
/VIOW3.2.ER.000000T0000Z.180905T1200Z.180908T0000Z.NO/
1003 PM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kickapoo River at Viola.
* until Saturday evening...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  5:16 PM Tuesday the stage was 16.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 17.0 feet  
  Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Water is flowing over Highway 56 east of 
  Viola.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4353 9064 4347 9066 4346 9072 4348 9073 4354 9070

$$

WIC123-051802-
/O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-180909T0600Z/
/REAW3.2.ER.180904T0038Z.180904T2315Z.180908T1200Z.NO/
1003 PM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kickapoo River at Readstown.
* until late Saturday night...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 14.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 14.5 feet  
  Wednesday morning. 
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Water is up to the bottom of the Charles 
  Street Bridge.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4346 9072 4341 9077 4341 9079 4347 9078 4348 9073

$$

WIC023-051802-
/O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-180909T1800Z/
/SOGW3.1.ER.000000T0000Z.180905T1200Z.180908T1800Z.NO/
1003 PM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kickapoo River at Soldiers Grove.
* until Sunday afternoon...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  6:54 PM Tuesday the stage was 14.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 15.9 feet  
  Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water may begin to flood the park and 
  campground area in the old section of town.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4341 9077 4339 9077 4336 9081 4337 9085 4341 9079

$$

WIC023-051802-
/O.CON.KARX.FL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-180911T0800Z/
/GMIW3.3.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.180910T0800Z.NR/
1003 PM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kickapoo River at Gays Mills.
* until Tuesday September 11...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 15.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 16.9 feet  
  Wednesday evening. 
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Water can be expected in the town of Gays 
  Mills with depth possibly reaching two feet in places.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4336 9081 4327 9082 4328 9086 4337 9085

$$

WIC023-051802-
/O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-180911T1600Z/
/STEW3.3.ER.180829T2248Z.180830T1030Z.180910T2200Z.NR/
1003 PM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Kickapoo River at Steuben.
* until Tuesday September 11...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 13.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 16.0 feet  
  Thursday morning. 
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...The town of Steuben experiences significant 
  flooding.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4327 9082 4308 9085 4306 9092 4315 9091 4328 9086

$$

WIC011-121-051802-
/O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0073.180905T1236Z-180910T0900Z/
/DDGW3.1.ER.180905T1236Z.180908T0000Z.180909T1500Z.NR/
1003 PM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Trempealeau River at Dodge.
* from Wednesday morning to late Sunday night...Or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At  9:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 6.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage Wednesday morning and continue
  to rise to near 10.9 feet Friday evening. 
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...The railroad bridge about three quarters of 
  a mile upstream from the gage can restrict the flow.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4404 9158 4420 9163 4423 9158 4422 9158 4402 9149

$$

WIC057-051802-
/O.CON.KARX.FL.W.0074.180908T0032Z-180910T0508Z/
/NCAW3.1.ER.180908T0032Z.180908T1200Z.180909T1108Z.UU/
1003 PM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yellow River at Necedah.
* from Friday evening to late Sunday night...Or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  8:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 10.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage Friday evening and continue to
  rise to near 16.4 feet Saturday morning. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by Sunday morning.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4396 9003 4395 9006 4415 9014 4415 9009

$$

440 
WGUS83 KARX 051534
FLSARX


Flood Statement
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
1034 AM CDT Wed Sep 5 2018

.Recent heavy rainfall is leading to significant rises on area 
rivers.

River forecasts take into account both observed and forecast 
precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 

Do not drive cars into flooded areas. Remember, it only takes two 
feet of water to float most automobiles, including sport utility 
vehicles. Turn Around, Don't Drown!

Additional river and weather information is available at...
http://www.weather.gov/lacrosse .

&&

WIC057-060633-
/O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0074.180907T2300Z-180910T0336Z/
/NCAW3.1.ER.180907T2300Z.180908T1200Z.180909T0936Z.UU/
1034 AM CDT Wed Sep 5 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yellow River at Necedah.
* from Friday evening to Sunday evening...Or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  9:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 10.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Friday evening and continue to
  rise to near 16.0 feet by Saturday morning. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by Sunday morning.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4396 9003 4395 9006 4415 9014 4415 9009

$$

443 
WGUS83 KARX 052155
FLSARX


Flood Statement
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
455 PM CDT Wed Sep 5 2018

.The Flood Warning continues for the Yellow River at Necedah.

River forecasts take into account both observed and forecast 
precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... 

Do not drive cars into flooded areas. Remember, it only takes two 
feet of water to float most automobiles, including sport utility 
vehicles. Turn Around, Don't Drown!

Additional river and weather information is available at...
http://www.weather.gov/lacrosse .

&&

WIC057-061255-
/O.EXT.KARX.FL.W.0074.180908T0448Z-180910T0430Z/
/NCAW3.1.ER.180908T0448Z.180908T1800Z.180909T1030Z.UU/
455 PM CDT Wed Sep 5 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yellow River at Necedah.
* from Friday evening to Sunday evening...Or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 3:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 10.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Friday evening and continue to
  rise to near 15.8 feet by Saturday. The river will fall below flood
  stage by Sunday morning.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4396 9003 4395 9006 4415 9014 4415 9009

$$

478 
WGUS83 KARX 060227
FLSARX


Flood Statement
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
927 PM CDT Wed Sep 5 2018

.The Flood Warning continues for the Yellow River at Necedah.

River forecasts take into account both observed and forecast 
precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... 

Do not drive cars into flooded areas. Remember, it only takes two 
feet of water to float most automobiles, including sport utility 
vehicles. Turn Around, Don't Drown!

Additional river and weather information is available at...
http://www.weather.gov/lacrosse .

&&

WIC057-061727-
/O.CON.KARX.FL.W.0074.180908T0448Z-180910T0430Z/
/NCAW3.1.ER.180908T0448Z.180908T1800Z.180909T1030Z.UU/
927 PM CDT Wed Sep 5 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yellow River at Necedah.
* from Friday evening to Sunday evening...Or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 8:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 10.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Friday evening and continue to
  rise to near 15.8 feet by Saturday. The river will fall below flood
  stage by Sunday morning.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4396 9003 4395 9006 4415 9014 4415 9009

$$

CA

897 
WGUS83 KARX 060858
FLSARX


Flood Statement
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
358 AM CDT Thu Sep 6 2018

.The Flood Warning continues for the Yellow River at Necedah.

River forecasts take into account both observed and forecast 
precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars into flooded areas. Remember, it only takes two 
feet of water to float most automobiles, including sport utility 
vehicles. Turn Around, Don't Drown!

Additional river and weather information is available at...
http://www.weather.gov/lacrosse .

&&

WIC057-062358-
/O.CON.KARX.FL.W.0074.180908T0448Z-180910T0430Z/
/NCAW3.1.ER.180908T0448Z.180908T1800Z.180909T1030Z.UU/
358 AM CDT Thu Sep 6 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yellow River at Necedah.
* from Friday evening to Sunday evening...Or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  2:30 AM Thursday the stage was 10.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Friday evening and continue to
  rise to near 15.8 feet by Saturday. The river will fall below flood
  stage by Sunday morning.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4396 9003 4395 9006 4415 9014 4415 9009

$$

854 
WGUS83 KARX 061506
FLSARX


Flood Statement
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
1006 AM CDT Thu Sep 6 2018

...Flooding No longer Expected along the Yellow River at Necedah...

.The Yellow River at Necedah is now expected to crest below flood 
stage, so the warning has been cancelled.

River forecasts take into account both observed and forecast 
precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 

Do not drive cars into flooded areas. Remember, it only takes two 
feet of water to float most automobiles, including sport utility 
vehicles. Turn Around, Don't Drown!

Additional river and weather information is available at...
http://www.weather.gov/lacrosse .

&&

WIC057-061536-
/O.CAN.KARX.FL.W.0074.000000T0000Z-180910T0430Z/
/NCAW3.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1006 AM CDT Thu Sep 6 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Yellow River at Necedah.
* At  8:30 AM Thursday the stage was 10.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage with a value of 
  14.0 feet Saturday evening.


$$

Boyne

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
1038 AM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

.UPDATE...(Severe Weather Potential This Evening)
Issued at 1038 AM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

Watching how next 12-18 hours will evolve very closely. With more
sunshine today south and east of the cloud shield, significant
instability, very high precipitable water values, and approaching
wave, numerous ingredients in place for potential active and
dangerous period of weather.

First off, will need to watch overall rainfall and where axis of
training and psuedo deformation zone sets up as surface low ejects.
Thinking it will initially setup across southeast Minnesota into
north central Wisconsin. Good news this is NOT the area that has
been hardest hit over the past week, but bad news is several inches
of rain is possible through the evening, which could lead to NEW
flooding on basins yet to be affected, like Black, Trempealeau,
Buffalo, and Zumbro Rivers. That rain threat will shift south then
later this evening to areas that are already suffering from way too
much rain and on-going flooding. Would not be surprised with
numerous additional warnings.

In addition, will need to watch tornado setup with backing of low
level winds as surface low and wave approaches this evening. Bowing
segments the likely storm mode with a threat for damaging wind and
heavy rain, but will need to watch for isolated tornadoes with
decent, deep shear and previously mentioned backing low level flow.
Tornadoes would likely be short lived but could be moving fast if
they form. Hail threat looks minimal given warm cloud depth.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 323 PM CDT Mon Sep 3 2018

Main short-term fcst concern is the heavy rain/flash flooding threat
late this afternoon/tonight, and a threat of strong to severe TSRA
this afternoon/evening.

06z data analysis had high pressure to our east and low pressure to
our west in the Dakotas. Deep southerly flow between the 2 and and
of troughing emerging from the Rockies continues to feed a very
moist airmass into the region. Convection continues to fire in the
stronger low level moisture transport of a 1.8 to 2 inch PW airmass
from western IA to eastern WI. SHRA/TSRA early this morning are
efficient rain makers with the stronger storms producing 1 to 2
inches of rain per hour. Some water problems ongoing across parts
of the SE side of the fcst area where earlier rains have left
soils saturated.

Model runs of 04.00z initialized rather well with solutions similar
at the larger scale as the troughing and shortwave energy lift
across the plains today and into the Upper Midwest tonight. Lower
level meso-scale detail differences continue though. Fcst confidence
is generally good, but not as good as one would really like given
the potential impacts of the weather later this afternoon/tonight.

A lull in the moisture transport/lower level thermo-dynamic forcing
expected around 12z this morning as one weak shortwave exits
northeast. Much of the area to experience a break in the SHRA/TSRA
right away this morning but moisture transport and lift start to
return by mid morning as the next shortwave out of the western
troughing lifts toward the region and 925-700mb winds increase.
Higher SHRA/TSRA chances later this morning focused over the NW side
of the fcst area. Lower level winds and transport of moisture
continue to increase this afternoon, with an increase of lower level
shear. CAPE progged to increase as well mainly over the SE 1/2 to
2/3 of the fcst area where temps are looking to warm into the upper
70s/lower 80s. A few strong to severe TSRA looking possible this
afternoon into this evening. Severe threat looking somewhat
conditional that there is a break from convection this morning and
some diurnal warming can occur to build instability. See SWODY1
for more details.

Stronger lower level winds this afternoon/evening mean stronger
transport of a 2+ inch PW airmass NE across the fcst area this
afternoon/tonight. This ahead the approaching sfc-700mb trough and
the F-gen forcing/lift with it. A line of SHRA/TSRA expected to
develop this afternoon, mainly just NW of the fcst area, then
translate slowly into/across the area late this afternoon/tonight.
Model consensus continues to indicate potential for very heavy rains
start late this afternoon and continue thru tonight. Strongest focus
for the heaviest rains remains over about the NW half of the fcst
area, which has had less rainfall the past week than areas along/
south of I-90. Even so, the threat of flash flooding elevated across
the entire fcst area with bulk of models producing a band of 2 to 6
inches of rainfall tonight. Question remains exactly where the band
occurs as meso-scale detail differences produce varying answers
among the models. For that reason, will issue a flash flood watch
for the entire fcst area tonight, starting late this afternoon
along/NW of a KOLZ-KLSE-KMFI line and continuing into Wed morning
east/south of KLSE. Not a situation to be taken lightly tonight
given the rainfall potential and susceptibility of the stream and
river systems to it right now.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 323 AM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

For Wednesday thru Thursday night: main concerns this period are
exiting SHRA/TSRA Wed then cooler, more September like temperatures
thru Thu night.

Model runs of 040.00z in good agreement for the mid level trough axis
to pass Wed, followed by quiet westerly flow Wed night thru Thu
night. Fcst confidence for a much quieter weather this period,
especially after Wed is good.

Sfc front is progged to still be crossing the area Wed morning, with
the mid level trough to pass in the afternoon. Some SHRA/TSRA
expected to be continuing over mainly the SE half of the fcst area
Wed morning. With this area unable to absorb any more rainfall,
seems only natural to continue the flash flood watch thru Wed
morning south and east of KLSE until at least the 850mb trough axis
passes and the high PW airmass is pushed out of the fcst area. By
Wed afternoon, cooler and much drier Can high pressure is building
SE across the region, bringing sfc dew points dropping out of the
60s and a decrease of rain chances/clouds from the NW. Drying/
cooling settles across the area for Wed night thru Thu night as the
center of the high drifts over the great lakes and north to east low
level flow spreads across the area. A touch of fall looks to be in
the air by Wed night thru Thu night with mostly clear skies and lows
in the mid 40s to mid 50s and highs mostly 70-75. Will have to watch
Thu night for the potential of late night valley fog with the sfc
ridge axis over the area but can deal with that later.

For Friday thru Monday (days 4 to 7): main fcst concerns this period
are the remnant of 'Gordon' potentially impacting the area Fri
night/Sat.

Medium range model runs of 04.00z on decent agreement for a mid
level trough to come across the central plains Fri, picking up the
remnants of 'Gordon' then moving thru the mid/upper MS valley Fri
night thru Sat night. Quasi-zonal flow to return for Sun/Mon, but as
usual models at odds on timing of shortwaves thru the flow by days
6/7. day 4-7 confidence is average this cycle.

Friday looking to be an extension of the weather of Thu with the
Can/great lakes high holding over the region. Small Consensus
SHRA/TSRA chances across the SW side of the fcst area around the
perimeter of the high OK for now. Plenty of model detail difference
with the timing and latitude of the remnants of 'Gordon' moving
thru the mid/upper MS centered on Sat. ECMWF the slowest/furthest
north with the remnants, bringing into the fcst area while
GFS/GEM/GEFS faster and keep it generally south of the WI/IL border.
Some SHRA/TSRA chances mainly across the south half of the fcst area
centered on Sat OK for now. Given the differences in timing of
shortwave thru quasi-zonal flow, some small SHRA/TSRA chances
returning by Mon are reasonable. Thru all this, trend of
temperatures near to a bit below normal Fri-Mon looks good.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Wednesday morning)
Issued at 542 AM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

Another taf period dominated by convection. Most of the area to get
a lull from SHRA/TSRA early this morning, but forcing/lift and
moisture into the area increases thru the day and maximizes this
evening. SHRA/TSRA to gradually increase thru the late morning and
afternoon, become numerous/widespread for the evening, then diminish
from west to east during the overnight hours. Some VFR conditions
expected for the late morning/afternoon hours, with mainly MVFR/IFR
cigs by late afternoon thru tonight. MVFR vsbys to prevail in the
SHRA/TSRA later this afternoon into the overnight hours. Any
stronger SHRA/TSRA will have IFR vsbys in the cores as they will be
efficient heavy rain producers, and may yet need a period of IFR
TSRA this evening when timing becomes clearer. Improving conditions
expected thru the day on Wed as drier Canadian high pressure builds
into the region.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...today into Wed morning
Issued at 323 AM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

Periods of heavy rain are expected into Wednesday morning. Given the
high PW values, any storms will continue to be efficient rain
producers with rain rates up to 2 inches/hr possible. If any storms
train over areas that have received heavy rains over the past week
to 10 days, areas of flooding could develop.

The highest potential for additional heavy rains and possible flash
flooding, remains focused on this afternoon and tonight. The next
cold front will be advancing into the area with strong moisture
transport focused into the front. An axis of high PW values, at and
above 2 inches, will reside ahead of the front. A strong linear
forcing signal will accompany the front, with the sfc-mid level flow
parallel to the front/forcing. The concerns remain timing and where
will the strongest forcing/lift/training set up to produce a band of
heavy/excessive rains. Consensus at this time is from north-central
IA to NE WI, just NW of the fcst area this afternoon, then
translating east/SE across the fcst area tonight. Much of the
landscape is saturated from rains of the past week - 10 days,
especially near and south of I-90. Any additional heavy rains have
the potential to quickly producing runoff and rises/flooding on
rivers and streams. However, uncertainty remains on the exact
location of the heaviest rain band as variability continues among
both the global and CAMs/hi-res models. Some consistency for as much
as 3 to 6 inches of rain in the band thru tonight though. Given the
sensitivity of the landscape and rivers to any more rain, will issue
a flash flood watch for the entire area centered on tonight.

Minor flooding is already occurring along parts of the Kickapoo and
Turkey Rivers, with potential for moderate flooding from rains that
have already fallen. See the latest flood statements for more
details.

&&

.ARX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...Flash Flood Watch from this afternoon through Wednesday morning
     for WIZ017-029-032>034-041.

     Flash Flood Watch from this evening through Wednesday afternoon
     for WIZ042>044-053>055-061.

MN...Flash Flood Watch from this afternoon through Wednesday morning
     for MNZ079-086>088-094>096.

IA...Flash Flood Watch from this afternoon through Wednesday morning
     for IAZ008>010-018-019-029.

     Flash Flood Watch from this evening through Wednesday afternoon
     for IAZ011-030.

&&

UPDATE...Shea
SHORT TERM...RRS
LONG TERM...RRS
AVIATION...RRS
HYDROLOGY...RRS

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
400 AM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

IAZ008>010-018-019-029-MNZ079-086>088-094>096-WIZ017-029-032>034-
041-051100-
Mitchell-Howard-Winneshiek-Floyd-Chickasaw-Fayette-Wabasha-Dodge-
Olmsted-Winona-Mower-Fillmore-Houston-Taylor-Clark-Buffalo-
Trempealeau-Jackson-La Crosse-
400 AM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast
Minnesota...northeast Iowa and western into north-central Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A flash flood watch is in effect late this afternoon and tonight.

More showers and storms are expected mainly this afternoon and
tonight. This round of storms has the potential to bring very
heavy rains, with several inches of rainfall possible. With wet
soils unable to hold much more rain, this rainfall would likely
result in localized to widespread flooding and flash flooding.

A few stronger to severe storms are possible this afternoon and
evening. Strong to damaging winds and isolated tornadoes, along
with the heavy rains, are the main threats.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Sunday

Shower and storm chances diminish Wednesday morning, with the main
threats locally heavy rain and lightning. Thunderstorm chances
return for Friday night through Saturday night. Severe storms are
not anticipated.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Reports of rainfall and any flooding are appreciated. A few
spotters groups may be needed this afternoon and evening.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION...

A webinar is scheduled for 1 pm this afternoon.

IAZ011-030-WIZ042>044-053>055-061-051100-
Allamakee-Clayton-Monroe-Juneau-Adams-Vernon-Crawford-Richland-
Grant-
400 AM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northeast
Iowa and southwest into central Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A flash flood watch is in effect later this evening through
Wednesday morning.

More showers and storms are expected mainly tonight into Wednesday
morning. This round of storms has the potential to bring heavy
rains, with 1 to 3 inches. With wet soils unable to hold any more
rain and ongoing flooding on some rivers, this rainfall would
likely result in enhanced or renewed flooding and flash flooding
for parts of the area.

A few stronger to severe storms are possible this afternoon and
evening. Strong to damaging winds and isolated tornadoes, along
with the heavy rains, are the main threats.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Sunday

Shower and storm chances diminish Wednesday morning, with the main
threats locally heavy rain and lightning. Thunderstorm chances
return for Friday night through Saturday night. Severe storms are
not anticipated.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Reports of rainfall and any flooding are appreciated. A few
spotters groups may be needed this afternoon and evening.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION...

A webinar is scheduled for 1 pm this afternoon.

RRS/Rieck

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
807 AM CDT TUE SEP 4 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       ADAMS/FRIENDSHIP WASTE  43.98N 89.83W
09/04/2018  E3.53 INCH       ADAMS              WI   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

JSB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
838 AM CDT TUE SEP 4 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       LA FARGE                43.57N 90.64W
09/04/2018  M2.20 INCH       VERNON             WI   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

JSB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
841 AM CDT TUE SEP 4 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       VIROQUA                 43.56N 90.88W
09/04/2018  M2.81 INCH       VERNON             WI   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

JSB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
843 AM CDT TUE SEP 4 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       4 SSW ROCKBRIDGE        43.40N 90.39W
09/04/2018  M2.57 INCH       RICHLAND           WI   PUBLIC

&&

JSB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
850 AM CDT TUE SEP 4 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0850 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 SW CASHTON            43.72N 90.82W
09/04/2018  M4.75 INCH       VERNON             WI   PUBLIC

&&

JSB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
855 AM CDT TUE SEP 4 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0439 AM     FLASH FLOOD      ONTARIO                 43.73N 90.59W
09/04/2018                   VERNON             WI   PUBLIC

            COUNTY ROADS F AND T FLOODED.

&&

JSB