Small Craft Advisory 849, NWS Anchorage, AK

689 
FZAK52 PAFC 312338
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
338 PM AKDT Wed Oct 31 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-011300-
338 PM AKDT Wed Oct 31 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 992 mb low 180 nm southwest of Dutch Harbor moves into the 
southern Bering and dissipates Thu morning. A second 963 mb low 
400 nm southwest of Dutch Harbor Thu afternoon moves over Dutch
Harbor at 959 mb Fri afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-011300-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
338 PM AKDT Wed Oct 31 2018

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
14 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ155-011300-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
338 PM AKDT Wed Oct 31 2018

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt increasing to 50 kt after midnight.
From the Shumagin Islands E, SE wind 30 kt becoming E 50 kt after 
midnight. Seas 14 ft building to 20 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ160-011300-
Bristol Bay-
338 PM AKDT Wed Oct 31 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ165-011300-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
338 PM AKDT Wed Oct 31 2018

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...E wind 35 kt except E 30 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft.
.FRI...E wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ170-011300-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
338 PM AKDT Wed Oct 31 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft building to 15 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ171-011300-
Unalaska Bay-
338 PM AKDT Wed Oct 31 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 5 
ft. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-011300-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
338 PM AKDT Wed Oct 31 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. Seas
16 ft. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ173-011300-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
338 PM AKDT Wed Oct 31 2018

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 9
ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ174-011300-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
338 PM AKDT Wed Oct 31 2018

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 11 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt becoming E 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ175-011300-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
338 PM AKDT Wed Oct 31 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ176-011300-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
338 PM AKDT Wed Oct 31 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt becoming NE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ177-011300-
Adak to Kiska-
338 PM AKDT Wed Oct 31 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ178-011300-
Kiska to Attu-
338 PM AKDT Wed Oct 31 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ179-011300-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
338 PM AKDT Wed Oct 31 2018

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ180-011300-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
338 PM AKDT Wed Oct 31 2018

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...E wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ181-011300-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
338 PM AKDT Wed Oct 31 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ185-011300-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
338 PM AKDT Wed Oct 31 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

615 
FZAK52 PAFC 011144
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
344 AM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-020015-
344 AM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 974 mb low at 310 nm southwest of Adak will move to 150 nm
southwest of Dutch Harbor at 960 mb Fri morning. The low will 
then move to 60 nm southeast of Dutch Harbor at 973 mb Sat 
morning.

$$

PKZ150-020015-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
344 AM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
15 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
19 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ155-020015-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
344 AM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt increasing to 50 kt after midnight. From
the Shumagin Islands E, SE wind 30 kt becoming E 50 kt after 
midnight. Seas 14 ft building to 21 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 35 kt, Seas 18 ft building to 24 ft in the
afternoon. From the Shumagin Islands E, SE wind 50 kt becoming S 30 
kt in the afternoon, Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ160-020015-
Bristol Bay-
344 AM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...E wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ165-020015-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
344 AM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt except E 30 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 8
ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft.
.FRI...E wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ170-020015-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
344 AM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft building to 14 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
16 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ171-020015-
Unalaska Bay-
344 AM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft in the afternoon.
Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ172-020015-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
344 AM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 24 ft.
Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ173-020015-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
344 AM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8
ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ174-020015-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
344 AM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt becoming E 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ175-020015-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
344 AM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ176-020015-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
344 AM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ177-020015-
Adak to Kiska-
344 AM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ178-020015-
Kiska to Attu-
344 AM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ179-020015-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
344 AM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ180-020015-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
344 AM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...E wind 45 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ181-020015-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
344 AM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ185-020015-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
344 AM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

478 
FZAK52 PAFC 012311
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
311 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-021230-
311 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 966 mb low 340 nm southeast of Adak moves over Dutch Harbor
at 964 mb Fri afternoon. The low then moves into the Gulf Sat 
afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-021230-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
311 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft building to 16 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 50 kt becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 18 ft. 
Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ155-021230-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
311 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt becoming SE 50 kt after midnight. From the
Shumagin Islands E, SE wind 30 kt becoming E 50 kt after midnight.
Seas 15 ft building to 20 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, SE wind 40 kt
becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ160-021230-
Bristol Bay-
311 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft building to 8 ft after midnight.
.FRI...E wind 45 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ165-021230-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
311 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft.
.FRI...E wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
14 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ170-021230-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
311 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas 9 
ft building to 14 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
15 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ171-021230-
Unalaska Bay-
311 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt by late evening. 
Seas building to 5 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NW 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-021230-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
311 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 20 ft.
Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ173-021230-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
311 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ174-021230-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
311 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ175-021230-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
311 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ176-021230-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
311 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ177-021230-
Adak to Kiska-
311 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ178-021230-
Kiska to Attu-
311 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ179-021230-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
311 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ180-021230-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
311 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt in the evening increasing to 35 kt. Seas 12 
ft.
.FRI...E wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight.
Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ181-021230-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
311 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ185-021230-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
311 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

401 
FZAK52 PAFC 020556 AAA
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast...UPDATED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

Updated 170 171 172

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-021830-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 966 mb low 340 nm southeast of Adak moves over Dutch Harbor
at 964 mb Fri afternoon. The low then moves into the Gulf Sat 
afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-021830-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft building to 16 ft after midnight. Rain. 
.FRI...SE wind 50 kt becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
18 ft.  Rain. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain. 
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ155-021830-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt becoming SE 50 kt after midnight. From
the Shumagin Islands E, SE wind 30 kt becoming E 50 kt after
midnight. Seas 15 ft building to 20 ft after midnight. Rain. 
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, SE wind 40 kt
becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 21 ft. Rain. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 21 ft. Rain. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ160-021830-
Bristol Bay-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight.  Seas
4 ft building to 8 ft after midnight. 
.FRI...E wind 45 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ165-021830-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
14 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ170-021830-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E of Unalaska...E wind 50 kt with gusts to 60 kt 
diminishing to 40 kt late. W of Unalaska...E wind 40 kt. Seas 9 
ft building to 14 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
15 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ171-021830-
Unalaska Bay-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt with gusts to 45 kt increasing to 35 kt
with gusts to 50 kt by midnight. Seas building to 5 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NW 10 kt
after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-021830-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt with gusts to 60 kt becoming SE 25 kt 
late. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 20 ft.
Rain. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. 
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ173-021830-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 13 ft. Rain. 
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ174-021830-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain. 
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ175-021830-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ176-021830-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. 
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ177-021830-
Adak to Kiska-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ178-021830-
Kiska to Attu-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ179-021830-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 16 ft. 
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ180-021830-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt in the evening increasing to 35 kt. Seas
12  ft. 
.FRI...E wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight.
Seas 12 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ181-021830-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ185-021830-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

090 
FZAK52 PAFC 021148
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-030015-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 957 mb low 90 nm southwest of Dutch Harbor will move to 80 nm 
southwest of Sand Point at 971 mb Sat morning. The low will then 
move into the southwestern Gulf at 988 mb Sun morning. A front 
will move over the western Aleutians Sun morning.

$$

PKZ150-030015-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 50 kt becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
18 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ155-030015-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, S wind 40 kt
diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 20 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ160-030015-
Bristol Bay-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ165-030015-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
14 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt except NE 35 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ170-030015-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt becoming NE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
16 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ171-030015-
Unalaska Bay-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-030015-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ173-030015-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ174-030015-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ175-030015-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ176-030015-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ177-030015-
Adak to Kiska-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ178-030015-
Kiska to Attu-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ179-030015-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ180-030015-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 45 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ181-030015-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ185-030015-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 24 ft.

$$

872 
FZAK52 PAFC 022322
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-031230-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 959 mb low 90 nm southwest of Dutch Harbor moves into the Gulf Sat
afternoon. A front enters the western Bering Sun afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-031230-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ155-031230-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ160-031230-
Bristol Bay-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ165-031230-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt except NE 35 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 7 ft. 
Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ170-031230-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ171-031230-
Unalaska Bay-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-031230-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ173-031230-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ174-031230-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ175-031230-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ176-031230-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ177-031230-
Adak to Kiska-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ178-031230-
Kiska to Attu-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...W wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ179-031230-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ180-031230-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ181-031230-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...S wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ185-031230-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 50 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.MON...S wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

192 
FZAK52 PAFC 030630 AAA
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast...UPDATED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
1030 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

Updated 150

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-031915-
1030 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 959 mb low 90 nm southwest of Dutch Harbor moves into the Gulf Sat
afternoon. A front enters the western Bering Sun afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-031915-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
1030 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. Isolated thunderstorms.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain. 
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ155-031915-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
1030 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain showers. 
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain showers. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON THROUGH WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ160-031915-
Bristol Bay-
1030 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ165-031915-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
1030 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt except NE 35 kt from Port Moller E. Seas
7 ft.  Rain showers. 
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ170-031915-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
1030 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers. 
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ171-031915-
Unalaska Bay-
1030 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers. 
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON THROUGH WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-031915-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
1030 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain showers. 
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ173-031915-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
1030 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ174-031915-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
1030 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers. 
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ175-031915-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
1030 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ176-031915-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
1030 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.MON THROUGH WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ177-031915-
Adak to Kiska-
1030 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.MON...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ178-031915-
Kiska to Attu-
1030 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.MON...W wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ179-031915-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
1030 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain. 
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ180-031915-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
1030 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain. 
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ181-031915-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
1030 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...S wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ185-031915-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
1030 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 50 kt. Seas 22 ft. 
.MON...S wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft. 
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

513 
FZAK52 PAFC 031140
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
340 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-040015-
340 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 971 mb low 110 mb south of Dutch Harbor will move to 110 nm
southeast of Sitkinak at 987 mb Sat night. A front moves over the
western Aleutians Sun morning then it will spread over the 
central Aleutians through Mon.

$$

PKZ150-040015-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
340 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ155-040015-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
340 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ160-040015-
Bristol Bay-
340 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt becoming N 15 kt after midnight. Seas 5
ft.
.SUN...NW wind 10 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ165-040015-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
340 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ170-040015-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
340 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ171-040015-
Unalaska Bay-
340 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 3 ft after
midnight.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-040015-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
340 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ173-040015-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
340 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ174-040015-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
340 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ175-040015-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
340 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.

$$

PKZ176-040015-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
340 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ177-040015-
Adak to Kiska-
340 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.

$$

PKZ178-040015-
Kiska to Attu-
340 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON...W wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ179-040015-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
340 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ180-040015-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
340 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming NW 10 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ181-040015-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
340 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ185-040015-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
340 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...E of Saint Matthew Island, SW wind 20 kt. W of Saint
Matthew Island, SW wind 20 kt becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...S wind 45 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.TUE...W wind 45 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
436 PM AKDT Tue Oct 30 2018

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
An upper level shortwave trough positioned over the Copper River
Valley continues to drift eastward today over the Yukon Territory.
Filling in behind this trough is an upper level ridge of high
pressure with a negatively tilted axis extending from Saint Paul
Island down into the southwestern Gulf of Alaska.

Satellite imagery indicates clearing skies over Southcentral
today as the incoming ridge begins to influence the southern
mainland. Vertical temperature profiles retrieved from atmospheric
soundings overnight showed very dry low-level conditions across
Southcentral, however a moist low-level airmass remains in place over
Southwest Alaska. This has led to the development of fog across
parts of Southwest today, which will likely become more widespread
overnight as the building ridge brings subsidence (sinking air)
across the area.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Overall models remain in fairly good agreement with the exiting
trough and the building high. By Thu afternoon, models indicate a
North Pacific low developing just south of the central Aleutians
with a leading front entering the western Gulf by Thu evening.
Model solutions disagree slightly with the position of this low by
the early weekend, as the NAM/EC brings the low into the eastern
Bering while the GFS keeps it on the south side of the eastern
Aleutians. At this time, the GFS solution was preferred.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions and light winds will persist.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
For the short term, overall conditions will remain cool and dry.
There will be large areas of clear skies around southcentral with
some clouds persisting this evening in the eastern Prince William
Sound region due to a weak low south of Icy Bay which is heading
eastward. The clouds will clear as this low moves away from the
area. The Copper River Basin is the trickiest area tonight as
there will be some areas of stratus and patchy fog around. The
Basin could become completely cloudy in the lower elevations due
to the stratus. The upper level ridge will build into the region
Wednesday and help clear out the area of remaining clouds. The
Copper River Basin will remain the big question mark for cloud
cover. While the overall synoptic pattern is good for clearing
out the area, there is a possibility the stratus hangs in there
longer than expected. This will also impact temperatures as they
will be significantly warmer should the stratus persist. Leaned
toward the clearing solution with the forecast and therefore the
lows near Glennallen are forecast to drop below zero by Wednesday
night.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...
The longwave pattern features a ridge over the Central Aleutians
that is bisecting the Bering and there is a major shortwave trough
over central Alaska. There are a few lingering showers on the
radars at Bethel and King Salmon as of 3:58 PM local time. With
the ridge building into the southwest expect a drying trend into
Friday for the region. With the ridge moving in and the recent
moisture, areas of fog are expected tonight. There is another low
that is currently south of the chain and that system will track
toward the region however the leading edge of the precipitation
shield is not expected until Friday morning.

Veniaminof Volcano, which is on the AKPEN and located near 56.2N
159.4W is currently active. Emissions were observed earlier today
in satellite imagery and in the Perryville FAA webcam. The hotspot
from the volcano is detectable in infrared imagery.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3)...
The longwave pattern features a ridge over the Central Aleutians/Bering
and there is a major shortwave trough over Kamchatka, with a
second area of low pressure south of the Aleutian chain. This low
will inch its way closer and kick out a negatively tilted shortwave.
Gale force winds are expected with this system. The first rains
are expected at Nikolski and Unalaska. Then the precipitation
shield slowly moves north and east. The aforementioned ridge is
blocking its forward progression but the precipitation shield
doesn't completely stall out, it just moves really slowly.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7)...
The extended period begins Friday evening with an upper-level
ridge of high pressure over the mainland pinching off from the
main flow as it retreats to the north. This movement is in
response to the eastward progression of a mature low situated near
the AKPEN. An occluded front attached to the low lifts into the
northern Gulf from the southwest, with areas of easterly gales
moving toward the southcentral coast. The front is then expected
to weaken as it stalls along the coast for Saturday. Guidance
remains in decent agreement through Saturday, with the NAM, GFS,
and EC all suggesting this outcome. The outlier is with the
Canadian which tries to bring a weaker low along with the
occlusion through the Gulf to the southeast coast by Saturday.
Based on the overall consensus of the other models (deterministic
and ensemble), this is has been discounted in favor of the others.

Uncertainty ratchets up quite a bit after Saturday. The 06z and
12z GFS runs were on par with the EC runs and its GEFS
counterpart bringing the parent low into the Gulf on Sunday. The
EC was faster by about 12 hours with the track of the low toward
the southeast coast while the GFS weakened the low into more of
an open wave. The 18z GFS, however, has the more EC-like closed
low, but with the track hugging the southcentral coastline. So
while exact track and timing is still uncertain, there is high
confidence of inclement weather along the southern coast and
northern Gulf through Sunday.

Any remaining confidence in the models going into early next week
is then completely eroded by how the GFS and EC handle the upper-
level dynamics upstream over the Bering. The EC wants to build a
ridge between the aforementioned low and the long-wave trough over
the Bering. The ridge is then shifted east over the northern Gulf
and southern mainland for Monday and Tuesday as the Bering low
deepens and the ridge amplifies. The GFS, on the other hand, has
kept consistent with a zonal pattern, allowing the upper-level
shortwaves to progress east across the forecast area. The first
comes across the Aleutians beginning Saturday, reaching the
western Gulf on Monday and continuing to impact the southern
mainland through mid-week. The second impacts Southwest Alaska
late Monday with the third moving into the eastern Bering on
Tuesday. Overall, the long-term forecast beyond the weekend is
weighted more toward the GFS solution given that it is more in
agreement with ensemble guidance and consistent with previous
runs.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Gale Warning 155 172.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...KO
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EZ
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...PS
LONG TERM...TM