Small Craft Advisory 293, NWS Anchorage, AK

412 
FZAK51 PAFC 091154
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
354 AM AKDT Mon Apr 9 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-100100-
354 AM AKDT Mon Apr 9 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 988 mb North Pacific low moves to 240 nm southeast of Akhiok 
at 965 mb by Tue morning and then to 380 nm southeast of Akhiok 
at 980 mb by Wed morning.

$$

PKZ119-100100-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
354 AM AKDT Mon Apr 9 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the late afternoon. 
Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 15 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ120-100100-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
354 AM AKDT Mon Apr 9 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ121-100100-
Resurrection Bay-
354 AM AKDT Mon Apr 9 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt 
in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 15 kt 
after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-100100-
Prince William Sound-
354 AM AKDT Mon Apr 9 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt becoming NW 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-100100-
Port Valdez-
354 AM AKDT Mon Apr 9 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt 
after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less 
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-100100-
Valdez Narrows-
354 AM AKDT Mon Apr 9 2018

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming NE 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt becoming N 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-100100-
Valdez Arm-
354 AM AKDT Mon Apr 9 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable less 
than 10 kt. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-100100-
Passage Canal-
354 AM AKDT Mon Apr 9 2018

.TODAY...E wind less than 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in 
the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt becoming 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable 
less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-100100-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
354 AM AKDT Mon Apr 9 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas 5 ft building to 10 ft 
in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 14 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-100100-
Barren Islands East-
354 AM AKDT Mon Apr 9 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 10 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ132-100100-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
354 AM AKDT Mon Apr 9 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt by midday. 
Seas 6 ft building to 11 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ136-100100-
Chiniak Bay-
354 AM AKDT Mon Apr 9 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt increasing to NE 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft building to 10 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-100100-
Marmot Bay-
354 AM AKDT Mon Apr 9 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft building to 11 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-100100-
Shelikof Strait-
354 AM AKDT Mon Apr 9 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 5 ft building to 13 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-100100-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
354 AM AKDT Mon Apr 9 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt by afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft building to 8 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ140-100100-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
354 AM AKDT Mon Apr 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt by afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft building to 7 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-100100-
Kachemak Bay-
354 AM AKDT Mon Apr 9 2018

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the late afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.

$$

398 
FZAK51 PAFC 092348
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
348 PM AKDT Mon Apr 9 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-101300-
348 PM AKDT Mon Apr 9 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 977 mb North Pacific low moves to 190 nm South of Kodiak City at 
966 mb Tue morning then moves into the North Pacific at 990 mb Wed 
afternoon.
$$

PKZ119-101300-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
348 PM AKDT Mon Apr 9 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 35 kt by midnight. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ120-101300-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
348 PM AKDT Mon Apr 9 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
19 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ121-101300-
Resurrection Bay-
348 PM AKDT Mon Apr 9 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-101300-
Prince William Sound-
348 PM AKDT Mon Apr 9 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-101300-
Port Valdez-
348 PM AKDT Mon Apr 9 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-101300-
Valdez Narrows-
348 PM AKDT Mon Apr 9 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt becoming 20 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt becoming N 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-101300-
Valdez Arm-
348 PM AKDT Mon Apr 9 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-101300-
Passage Canal-
348 PM AKDT Mon Apr 9 2018

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-101300-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
348 PM AKDT Mon Apr 9 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt by midnight. Seas 14 
ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 7 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-101300-
Barren Islands East-
348 PM AKDT Mon Apr 9 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 45 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas
15 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ132-101300-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
348 PM AKDT Mon Apr 9 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt becoming NE 20 kt after midnight. Seas
16 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ136-101300-
Chiniak Bay-
348 PM AKDT Mon Apr 9 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt by midnight. Seas 14 
ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 40 kt decreasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 16 
ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt becoming N 15 kt after midnight. Seas
9 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-101300-
Marmot Bay-
348 PM AKDT Mon Apr 9 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt by midnight. Seas 16 ft.
Rain.
.TUE...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
16 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight. Seas 9
ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ138-101300-
Shelikof Strait-
348 PM AKDT Mon Apr 9 2018

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt increasing to 45 kt by midnight. Seas 17 
ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt decreasing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 
11 ft subsiding to 6 ft after midnight.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-101300-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
348 PM AKDT Mon Apr 9 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt by midnight. Seas 10 
ft.
.TUE...NE wind 35 kt decreasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 
ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt decreasing to 10 kt by midnight. Seas 5 
ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ140-101300-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
348 PM AKDT Mon Apr 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt decreasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 
ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-101300-
Kachemak Bay-
348 PM AKDT Mon Apr 9 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

968 
FZAK51 PAFC 101145
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
345 AM AKDT Tue Apr 10 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-110030-
345 AM AKDT Tue Apr 10 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 969 mb low 135 nm southeast of Akhiok moves to 185 nm southwest
of Akhiok at 983 mb by Wed morning. A 982 mb low 140 nm southeast
of Middleton Island Wed morning moves to 45 nm northwest of Port
Heiden at 988 mb by Thu morning.

$$

PKZ119-110030-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
345 AM AKDT Tue Apr 10 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming E 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 13 ft.
.WED...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 17 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ120-110030-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
345 AM AKDT Tue Apr 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 20 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 35 kt becoming E 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 16 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ121-110030-
Resurrection Bay-
345 AM AKDT Tue Apr 10 2018

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft. Rain.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 10 kt 
in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-110030-
Prince William Sound-
345 AM AKDT Tue Apr 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.WED NIGHT THROUGH SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-110030-
Port Valdez-
345 AM AKDT Tue Apr 10 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT THROUGH FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. 
Seas 1 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ127-110030-
Valdez Narrows-
345 AM AKDT Tue Apr 10 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-110030-
Valdez Arm-
345 AM AKDT Tue Apr 10 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable 
less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. 
Seas 1 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-110030-
Passage Canal-
345 AM AKDT Tue Apr 10 2018

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable 
less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT AND WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. 
Seas 1 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-110030-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
345 AM AKDT Tue Apr 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the late 
afternoon. Seas 18 ft subsiding to 11 ft in the late 
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt becoming N 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 7 ft building to 11 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-110030-
Barren Islands East-
345 AM AKDT Tue Apr 10 2018

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 50 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 24 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ132-110030-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
345 AM AKDT Tue Apr 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 22 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt becoming NE 15 kt by midnight. 
Seas 14 ft.
.WED...N of Dangerous Cape, N wind 30 kt becoming SE in the
afternoon. S of Dangerous Cape, N wind 20 kt becoming variable 
15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ136-110030-
Chiniak Bay-
345 AM AKDT Tue Apr 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 45 kt becoming E 25 kt in the late afternoon. 
Seas 18 ft diminishing to 11 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming N 10 kt by midnight. 
Seas 6 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...N wind 20 kt becoming E 20 kt in the late afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft building to 6 ft in the late afternoon. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-110030-
Marmot Bay-
345 AM AKDT Tue Apr 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 45 kt becoming E 30 kt in the late afternoon. 
Seas 19 ft subsiding to 12 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming N 10 kt by midnight. 
Seas 6 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...N wind 25 kt becoming E 25 kt in the late afternoon. 
Seas 5 ft building to 10 ft in the late afternoon. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ138-110030-
Shelikof Strait-
345 AM AKDT Tue Apr 10 2018

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the late afternoon. 
Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 12 ft subsiding to 7 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...N wind 20 kt becoming NE 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 6 ft building to 11 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-110030-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
345 AM AKDT Tue Apr 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the late afternoon. 
Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-110030-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
345 AM AKDT Tue Apr 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-110030-
Kachemak Bay-
345 AM AKDT Tue Apr 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt becoming E 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

424 
FZAK51 PAFC 102356
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
356 PM AKDT Tue Apr 10 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-111300-
356 PM AKDT Tue Apr 10 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 973 mb low 230 nm South of Kodiak City moves South into the 
North Pacific at 979 mb Wed afternoon. A 979 mb low 80 nm West of 
Klawock arches along the Northern Gulf front to 90 nm Southeast of
Chignik Thu morning then shifts to 300 nm Southeast of Kodiak 
City at 987 mb Thu afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-111300-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
356 PM AKDT Tue Apr 10 2018

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 16 
ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ120-111300-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
356 PM AKDT Tue Apr 10 2018

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 40 kt becoming E 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ121-111300-
Resurrection Bay-
356 PM AKDT Tue Apr 10 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-111300-
Prince William Sound-
356 PM AKDT Tue Apr 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6
ft
subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-111300-
Port Valdez-
356 PM AKDT Tue Apr 10 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ127-111300-
Valdez Narrows-
356 PM AKDT Tue Apr 10 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-111300-
Valdez Arm-
356 PM AKDT Tue Apr 10 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-111300-
Passage Canal-
356 PM AKDT Tue Apr 10 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt in 
the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-111300-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
356 PM AKDT Tue Apr 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt decreasing to 10 kt by midnight. Seas 6 ft.
Rain.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt by noon. Seas 6 ft building
to 10 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 5 ft after
midnight.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ131-111300-
Barren Islands East-
356 PM AKDT Tue Apr 10 2018

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ132-111300-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
356 PM AKDT Tue Apr 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt except N 30 kt N of Dangerous Cape. Seas 10 ft. 
Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ136-111300-
Chiniak Bay-
356 PM AKDT Tue Apr 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 4 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft in the afternoon. 
Rain.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas
9 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. Rain.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-111300-
Marmot Bay-
356 PM AKDT Tue Apr 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 9 ft in the afternoon.
Rain.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt decreasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 
10 ft subsiding to 6 ft after midnight. Rain.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-111300-
Shelikof Strait-
356 PM AKDT Tue Apr 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt becoming N 20 kt after midnight. Seas 9 ft 
subsiding to 5 ft after midnight.
.WED...N wind 20 kt becoming NE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft
building to 8 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ139-111300-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
356 PM AKDT Tue Apr 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-111300-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
356 PM AKDT Tue Apr 10 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-111300-
Kachemak Bay-
356 PM AKDT Tue Apr 10 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming variable less than 10 kt after 
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft 
building to 4 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
437 AM AKDT Sun Apr 8 2018

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
Water Vapor satellite imagery shows a ridge centering over the
interior early this morning with a broad closed low south of the
Alaska Peninsula. Further west another parent low, spinning just
south of the Kamchatka Peninsula, is pushing a storm force front
into the western Aleutian Chain. This storm is currently bringing
gale force southeasterly winds across the western Bering along
with rain. The low south of the Alaska Peninsula is a weaker
system, however it should be monitored as it is expected to
organize on a northward track late Monday.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models are in good agreement with the synoptic pattern through
Monday. However, they begin to diverge on solutions for a
northward moving front expected to move into the Gulf Monday and
Tuesday. The NAM and GFS solutions had the slowest progression of
the front and were in best agreement. The ECMWF and Canadian
models were most aggressive with the low and differed greatly on
the track of the system. The NAM was used to make updates for the
morning package as the slower solution is most probable as the
ridge over the interior will likely hold its position through
Tuesday.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions and light winds are expected to prevail
through Monday morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
A broad upper level trough over the Gulf will lift northward
across the Gulf today and then across Southcentral tonight into
Monday. Still expect quite a bit of sunshine today across most of
Southcentral, with just some cirrus clouds high up. Clouds will
lower tonight, with precipitation developing along the north Gulf
coast and Prince William Sound. With weak vertical motion and a
dry air mass in place inland, don't expect any precip to survive
the trip over the coastal mountains.

A deep low over the northeast Pacific will then head northward
tonight, with a second low forming out ahead of the original,
preceded by a warm front. With ridging building out ahead of
this storm system and storm motion stalling as the low becomes
vertically stacked, it's looking like the bulk of rain and wind
will be confined to the Gulf and Kodiak Island. Western Prince
William Sound and the north Gulf coast may see periods of rain
and snow as well, depending on how far north the frontal system
makes it. A lot of the moisture with this storm system will head
toward Kodiak Island, so expect a long duration of rain Monday
through Tuesday night. Expect at least an inch or two of rainfall,
though if the front stalls over Kodiak it could be more like
three inches. For the bulk of Southcentral, dry conditions will
persist with a mix of sun and clouds and warmer than normal
temperatures.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
High pressure over the mainland will keep Southwest AK dry through
Monday afternoon, as offshore flow maintains mostly clear skies.
There is some potential for patchy fog development over the next
few nights as high pressure settles in within a weak warm air
advection regime. However, the continued offshore flow and dry
ambient conditions will serve to keep any fog localized in nature
to portions of Greater Bristol Bay and the Kuskokwim Delta. The
chance for precipitation will return to coastal areas by Monday
evening, as a weakening Bering front approaches the mainland.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
Wet and windy weather conditions are expected to pick up this
morning over the western Aleutians/Bering as the next front
tracks in from the west. This system will spread precipitation and
stronger winds from west to east across the Bering and Aleutians
through Monday evening as it tracks eastward into the southwest
coast. Storm force winds will develop over the Western Aleutians
and surrounding waters by this evening as the parent low moves
into the Bering, aided by cold advection on the back side of the
system. The strongest gusts will remain in this corridor on the
southern periphery of the low, stretched across the western and
central Aleutians through Tuesday morning.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
(Previous discussion)
The weather pattern this week will undergo a gradual transition
as the weakening ridge over Mainland Alaska is pushed north and
large scale upper level lows along the Aleutians and over the Gulf
of Alaska become the dominate weather features to influence
southern Alaska. Early in the week, an upper low over the Bering
and one well south of the Gulf will merge Tuesday into a broad
multi- center low over the Gulf as the two features track east and
north respectively. Troughs and associated surface lows will
rotate through the Gulf around the periphery of the broad low
Tuesday and Wednesday.

The next low coming in from the west will track along and south
of the Aleutians Tuesday night and Wednesday to get pulled into
the large scale Gulf/North Pacific upper low low circulation
around around Thursday. By Friday another equally large upper
level low will become established centered off of the Kamchatka
Peninsula but extending over the western Bering, western Aleutians
and extending well south into the Pacific. The presence of these
two large upper level lows will help to amplify the upper level
ridge building in between them over the central and eastern
Aleutians and Bering on Friday.

By Saturday the upper ridge shifts east to the Alaska Peninsula
and Southwest Alaska and then continues to build over Mainland
Alaska Sunday and Monday with developing north Pacific frontal
systems starting to push back into the Aleutians around this time.
The net effect of all of this looks like continued relatively
quiet weather with a gradual warming trend through the week
(though dependent on cloud cover for how much of a warming trend)
and the potential for more rapid warming next weekend if the upper
level ridge does indeed push east over Mainland Alaska.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Storm 178.
         Gale 173 174 175 176 177 185.
         Heavy Freezing Spray 181.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...KH
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...SEB
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...TP
LONG TERM...JR