Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2018

Small Craft Advisory 151, NWS Anchorage, AK

February 16, 2018

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Feb 16, 2018, 3:18 AM AKST. It was in force for 36 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 16, 2018, 3:18 AM AKST (12:18 UTC)
Expired
Feb 17, 2018, 3:26 PM AKST
In force
36 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

218 
FZAK51 PAFC 161218
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
318 AM AKST Fri Feb 16 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-170130-
318 AM AKST Fri Feb 16 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1017 mb low 40 nm south of Sitkinak moves across the Gulf and 
exits to the southeast tonight at 1002 mb. A front in the 
southwestern Gulf remains nearly stationary through Sat night.

$$

PKZ119-170130-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
318 AM AKST Fri Feb 16 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ120-170130-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
318 AM AKST Fri Feb 16 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas
5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ121-170130-
Resurrection Bay-
318 AM AKST Fri Feb 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5
ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-170130-
Prince William Sound-
318 AM AKST Fri Feb 16 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-170130-
Port Valdez-
318 AM AKST Fri Feb 16 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-170130-
Valdez Narrows-
318 AM AKST Fri Feb 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-170130-
Valdez Arm-
318 AM AKST Fri Feb 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-170130-
Passage Canal-
318 AM AKST Fri Feb 16 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt near Whittier. Seas 3 ft. 
Freezing spray.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt near Whittier. Seas 3 ft. 
Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-170130-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
318 AM AKST Fri Feb 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt becoming NW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 
ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-170130-
Barren Islands East-
318 AM AKST Fri Feb 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt becoming N 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. 
Snow.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt becoming N 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ132-170130-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
318 AM AKST Fri Feb 16 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 40 kt. N of Dangerous Cape, NE wind 20 kt becoming
N 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt. N
of Dangerous Cape, NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon. N of
Dangerous Cape, NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ136-170130-
Chiniak Bay-
318 AM AKST Fri Feb 16 2018

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt becoming NW in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft. Rain
and snow.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-170130-
Marmot Bay-
318 AM AKST Fri Feb 16 2018

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. Rain 
and snow.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ138-170130-
Shelikof Strait-
318 AM AKST Fri Feb 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-170130-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
318 AM AKST Fri Feb 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. Freezing 
spray.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft. Patchy 
freezing fog.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-170130-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
318 AM AKST Fri Feb 16 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Patchy freezing fog.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Patchy freezing fog.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the
afternoon. Patchy freezing fog.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt.
.SUN THROUGH MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt.

$$

PKZ141-170130-
Kachemak Bay-
318 AM AKST Fri Feb 16 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2
ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
3 follow-up statements
639 
FZAK51 PAFC 170025
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
325 PM AKST Fri Feb 16 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-171315-
325 PM AKST Fri Feb 16 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
High pressure builds across the Gulf into Saturday night then 
begins to break down and slide east Sunday. A weakening front 
slowly moves into the western gulf Sunday as a 1020 mb low 
moves to 110 NM southeast of Sitkinak during the afternoon. 

$$

PKZ119-171315-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
325 PM AKST Fri Feb 16 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ120-171315-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
325 PM AKST Fri Feb 16 2018

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. 
Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ121-171315-
Resurrection Bay-
325 PM AKST Fri Feb 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-171315-
Prince William Sound-
325 PM AKST Fri Feb 16 2018

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-171315-
Port Valdez-
325 PM AKST Fri Feb 16 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable 
less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-171315-
Valdez Narrows-
325 PM AKST Fri Feb 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-171315-
Valdez Arm-
325 PM AKST Fri Feb 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-171315-
Passage Canal-
325 PM AKST Fri Feb 16 2018

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt near Whittier. 
Seas 3 ft.  Freezing spray.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Gusts to 35 kt near Whittier in the morning. Seas 3 ft. 
Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 10 kt in the evening becoming 
variable less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-171315-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
325 PM AKST Fri Feb 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ131-171315-
Barren Islands East-
325 PM AKST Fri Feb 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ132-171315-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
325 PM AKST Fri Feb 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt. 
Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon. 
N of Dangerous Cape, NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. N of Dangerous Cape, variable wind 10
kt becoming S 20 kt after midnight. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ136-171315-
Chiniak Bay-
325 PM AKST Fri Feb 16 2018

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable 
less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming 
S 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-171315-
Marmot Bay-
325 PM AKST Fri Feb 16 2018

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SE 15 kt 
after midnight. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ138-171315-
Shelikof Strait-
325 PM AKST Fri Feb 16 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt. 
Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-171315-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
325 PM AKST Fri Feb 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft. Patchy
freezing fog.
.SAT...N wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. 
Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft subsiding
to 3 ft after midnight. Freezing spray and patchy freezing fog.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 
3 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-171315-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
325 PM AKST Fri Feb 16 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Patchy freezing fog.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the
afternoon. Patchy freezing fog in the morning.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable 
less than 10 kt. Patchy freezing fog.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt.
.WED...NW wind 10 kt.

$$

PKZ141-171315-
Kachemak Bay-
325 PM AKST Fri Feb 16 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt outer bay...NE 10 kt inner bay. Seas 2 ft. 
Freezing spray outer bay.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable 
less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
650 
FZAK51 PAFC 171246
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
346 AM AKST Sat Feb 17 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-180130-
346 AM AKST Sat Feb 17 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front in the western Gulf weakens and dissipates tonight. A weak
trough of low pressure develops over Sitkinak Sun night.

$$

PKZ119-180130-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
346 AM AKST Sat Feb 17 2018

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ120-180130-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
346 AM AKST Sat Feb 17 2018

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas
4 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ121-180130-
Resurrection Bay-
346 AM AKST Sat Feb 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-180130-
Prince William Sound-
346 AM AKST Sat Feb 17 2018

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-180130-
Port Valdez-
346 AM AKST Sat Feb 17 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-180130-
Valdez Narrows-
346 AM AKST Sat Feb 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-180130-
Valdez Arm-
346 AM AKST Sat Feb 17 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-180130-
Passage Canal-
346 AM AKST Sat Feb 17 2018

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Gusts to 40 kt near Whittier. Seas 3 ft. 
Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Gusts to 25 kt near Whittier in the evening. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-180130-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
346 AM AKST Sat Feb 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ131-180130-
Barren Islands East-
346 AM AKST Sat Feb 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
7 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ132-180130-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
346 AM AKST Sat Feb 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon. N
of Dangerous Cape, NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. N of Dangerous Cape, variable wind 10 kt
becoming S 20 kt after midnight. Seas 4 ft building to 8 ft after
midnight.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ136-180130-
Chiniak Bay-
346 AM AKST Sat Feb 17 2018

.TODAY...NW wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-180130-
Marmot Bay-
346 AM AKST Sat Feb 17 2018

.TODAY...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SE 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-180130-
Shelikof Strait-
346 AM AKST Sat Feb 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-180130-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
346 AM AKST Sat Feb 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. Freezing 
spray and patchy freezing fog.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.

$$

PKZ140-180130-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
346 AM AKST Sat Feb 17 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the
afternoon. Patchy freezing fog.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Patchy freezing fog.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Patchy freezing fog.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt.
.WED...NW wind 10 kt.

$$

PKZ141-180130-
Kachemak Bay-
346 AM AKST Sat Feb 17 2018

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
200 
FZAK51 PAFC 180026
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
326 PM AKST Sat Feb 17 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-181345-
326 PM AKST Sat Feb 17 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A weak trough lingers over the North Gulf Coast and Southeastern
Alaska through Mon afternoon. A 1027 mb low forms 240 nm South 
of Kodiak City and exits the Southeastern Gulf at 1022 mb Mon 
afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-181345-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
326 PM AKST Sat Feb 17 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ120-181345-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
326 PM AKST Sat Feb 17 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ121-181345-
Resurrection Bay-
326 PM AKST Sat Feb 17 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt during the evening. 
Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ125-181345-
Prince William Sound-
326 PM AKST Sat Feb 17 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-181345-
Port Valdez-
326 PM AKST Sat Feb 17 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-181345-
Valdez Narrows-
326 PM AKST Sat Feb 17 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray after midnight.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-181345-
Valdez Arm-
326 PM AKST Sat Feb 17 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray after midnight.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-181345-
Passage Canal-
326 PM AKST Sat Feb 17 2018

.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Gusts to 25 kt near Whittier in the evening. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ130-181345-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
326 PM AKST Sat Feb 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 3 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ131-181345-
Barren Islands East-
326 PM AKST Sat Feb 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ132-181345-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
326 PM AKST Sat Feb 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. N of Dangerous Cape, variable wind 10 kt
becoming S 20 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ136-181345-
Chiniak Bay-
326 PM AKST Sat Feb 17 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-181345-
Marmot Bay-
326 PM AKST Sat Feb 17 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SE 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-181345-
Shelikof Strait-
326 PM AKST Sat Feb 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-181345-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
326 PM AKST Sat Feb 17 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft subsiding 
to 3 ft after midnight. Freezing spray and patchy freezing fog.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft subsiding.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-181345-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
326 PM AKST Sat Feb 17 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable 
less than 10 kt. Patchy freezing fog.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Patchy freezing fog.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 10 kt.

$$

PKZ141-181345-
Kachemak Bay-
326 PM AKST Sat Feb 17 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable 
less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable 
less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Feb 15, 3:50 PM AKST, 11 hours 28 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 15, 3:50 PM AKST, 11 hours 28 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
350 PM AKST Thu Feb 15 2018

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
The main feature is a low over the central Bering Sea with a
front extending southeast just off the Bering coast through the
Alaska Peninsula to a forming triple point southwest of the Gulf
of Alaska. There is an upper level trough across the eastern
Mainland into the Gulf of Alaska supporting a weak low over the
North Gulf Coast. This trough is rapidly exiting to the east, and
with it the snow over the Copper River Basin will end as the
trough clears the area. We have another low about 500 nm south of
the western Aleutians with the front in an arc just south of the
Aleutians. A 130 KT jet is running around the base of this low
then tapers off as it crosses into the flat ride. A 120 KT jet is
running along the front coming up from the North Pacific toward
the Gulf of Alaska. The triple point low development is evident in
the satellite imagery where the jet crosses the Bering low front
south of the Alaska Peninsula. It is also evident in association
with the low southwest of the western Aleutians where the triple
point low is forming south of Amchitka.

A more subtle feature is the weak ridging in the wake of the
trough exiting the eastern mainland. This will likely result is
localized fog issues this evening and tonight over Southcentral
Alaska into the Copper River Basin.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
The models have come into very good agreement in the short term
through Saturday. High pressure builds over the central and
eastern portions of the mainland and a more progressive and stormy
pattern is on tap for the Bering Sea and Aleutians. The models all
agree the triple point low will move toward Kodiak, but not push
inland, rather take an east southeast track across the Gulf of
Alaska toward Dixon Entrance. High pressure then persists over the
mainland, which would continue to deflect storms to the south
keeping the southern Mainland in a high and dry pattern into next
week.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...The main concern is the stratus and fog this evening.
Without strong signs of mixing it is rather uncertain whether the
stratus and fog will mix out at all this evening. Fog and stratus
is evident in the visible satellite imagery over the Susitna
Valley into Cook Inlet down to Augustine. It does appear the lower
atmosphere will dry sufficiently overnight tonight through early
Friday as low level outflow down the Susitna Valley and Cook
Inlet increases. Think this will be just enough to scour out
the fog and stratus.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
Dry conditions are expected across Southcentral as a ridge over
the central interior slowly breaks down through Friday morning.
This ridge is quickly replaced by another building ridge which
moves in from the west Friday night. Patchy fog is expected to
develop each night through the upcoming weekend across the typical
low lying areas as temperature inversions set up during the
night. Gusty offshore flow this evening across coastal gaps
tapers down overnight as the first ridge tracks from the central
interior to the Alcan border. The next building ridge, late
Friday, is expected to bring higher gusts as forcing from an
upper level wave moves from west to east.

Along the Kenai...A brief period of light snow is possible Friday
as a front moves across the west Gulf bringing wrap around
moisture along a surface low which develops early morning, then
moves off to the east during the afternoon. Another front moves
up from the southern Gulf on Sunday which brings increased chances
for snow and rain across all of the Kenai as it advances north
through the afternoon. Locations along and north of a line from
Kenai to Seward should stay all snow as mid level temperatures
cool.

Along the Gulf and Kodiak Island...a front moves in from the
Alaska Peninsula this evening spreading light rain and snow
through Friday morning. A triple point low develops just south of
Kodiak early Friday morning and tracks to the eastern Gulf waters
that afternoon. A brief dry period is expected Friday night
through Saturday as a surface ridge amplifies across the mainland
and Gulf. The next front is a weak system that races north from
the Pacific. This system, driven by a parent low over the Bering,
sends a warm front across Kodiak during the early morning hours on
Sunday. Precipitation may start as snow, then transition to all
rain as it lifts north to the Kenai and central Gulf around mid
morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...
(Tonight through Sunday)
The active weather pattern looks to continue through the weekend.
Currently, another weak cold front is approaching the coast, with
area radars beginning to show the leading edge of precipitation.
Look for this front to continue pushing inland through the next 24
hours, with mainly snow being the dominant form north and east of
King Salmon, with more of a mix or rain showers heading down the
AKpen. Some gusty winds will develop for a few locations on the
coast, but coverage looked too limited to add blowing snow to the
forecast zones.

Otherwise, another short-wave ridge will build over the region for
the Friday night through Saturday time frame. Yet another front
will affect the area on Sunday, with winds and precipitation
potential rising once again.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3)...
(Tonight through Sunday)
A series of low pressure systems will continue to affect the
region through the weekend. As one low exits the western Bering as
it moves north tonight, it's associated surface front will stall
near Atka, as another wave of low pressure ridges north along it
from the northern Pacific. This will reinforce rainfall chances
along much of the Aleutian chain. as the Pacific low continues
its northward trek through the Bering, the associated surface
front will sweep eastward through the remainder of the chain/AKpen.
Quickly following on its heals, storm number three will intensify
as a 975mb low develops west of Shemya on Sunday, with another
front arcing east and southward through the west central
Aleutians. Each front will bring an increase in precipitation
coverage and intensity, as well as increasing winds, most of which
will be gale to occasional storm force.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
The remnants of the front will push through Southcentral Alaska
Sunday night resulting in increased chances for snow. A low will
be over the north Gulf Coast, but as has been the theme of this
current pattern, this low will be deflected to the southeast by
the high pressure over the eastern mainland and Yukon Territory.
Out over the Bering Sea as one low is exiting to the northwest,
another is sliding north across the western Aleutians Sunday
night. The associated front pushes into the northern Bering Sea
arcing south across the eastern Aleutians. The warm front will
push northeast across southwest Alaska by Monday with the
potential for rain or a rain snow mix over southwest Alaska for
the early part of next week. The warm air is progged to push well
inland over the upper level ridge to the Brooks Range through
Tuesday and Wednesday, thus a continuation of this wetter and
warmer trend.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Storm Warning 175 177.
 Gale Warning 127 132 150 172 173 174 176 178 179 181 185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...SA
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...KH
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...PD
LONG TERM...SA

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 15, 3:18 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC37 hr
Feb 15, 3:18 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr
Feb 15, 3:29 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC24 hr
Feb 15, 3:29 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Feb 16, 3:36 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC24 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2018Every small craft advisory in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.