Gale Warning 827, NWS Anchorage, AK

486 
FZAK51 PAFC 281301
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
401 AM AKST Fri Dec 28 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-290215-
401 AM AKST Fri Dec 28 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A strong cold front associated with a low in the the eastern 
Bering will move over the southwestern Gulf Fri night then it 
will move into the northern Gulf Sat morning. The front will 
dissipate Sat night. A second front will enter the southwestern 
Gulf Sun morning. 

$$

PKZ119-290215-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
401 AM AKST Fri Dec 28 2018

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt becoming SE 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.SAT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ120-290215-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
401 AM AKST Fri Dec 28 2018

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt becoming SE 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming SW 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.SAT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ121-290215-
Resurrection Bay-
401 AM AKST Fri Dec 28 2018

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable 
less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft subsiding. Snow.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
Rain and snow.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 20 kt 
in the afternoon. Seas building to 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-290215-
Prince William Sound-
401 AM AKST Fri Dec 28 2018

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt becoming E 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt becoming W 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-290215-
Port Valdez-
401 AM AKST Fri Dec 28 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.TONIGHT AND SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft. Snow.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-290215-
Valdez Narrows-
401 AM AKST Fri Dec 28 2018

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT AND SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-290215-
Valdez Arm-
401 AM AKST Fri Dec 28 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-290215-
Passage Canal-
401 AM AKST Fri Dec 28 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable less 
than 10 kt. Gusts to 30 kt near Whittier in the morning. 
Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.SAT...W wind increasing to 25 kt. Gusts to 35 kt near Whittier. 
Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft in the afternoon. Snow.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-290215-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
401 AM AKST Fri Dec 28 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SE 15 kt 
in the afternoon, except becoming NE 30 kt near Kamishak Bay. 
Seas 4 ft, except building to 10 ft near Kamishak Bay. 
Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...W wind increasing to 50 kt. Seas 9 ft building 
to 15 ft after midnight. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SAT...W wind 50 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 14 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-290215-
Barren Islands East-
401 AM AKST Fri Dec 28 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming NW 45 kt after midnight. 
Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.SAT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ132-290215-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
401 AM AKST Fri Dec 28 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind increasing to 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...W wind 35 kt becoming SW 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...S wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ136-290215-
Chiniak Bay-
401 AM AKST Fri Dec 28 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt becoming SW 10 kt late. Seas 3 ft. 
Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-290215-
Marmot Bay-
401 AM AKST Fri Dec 28 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
Rain changing to snow.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt late. 
Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-290215-
Shelikof Strait-
401 AM AKST Fri Dec 28 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt becoming variable in the afternoon, except
becoming W 25 kt south end of the strait. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Gusts to 50 kt out of bays and passes. 
Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Gusts to 50 kt out of bays and passes 
in the morning. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-290215-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
401 AM AKST Fri Dec 28 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NE 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft building to 7 ft in the afternoon. Snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt becoming W 40 kt after midnight, except
becoming W 20 kt N of Anchor Point. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray. 
Snow.
.SAT...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. N of
Anchor Point, W wind 30 kt becoming variable 10 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-290215-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
401 AM AKST Fri Dec 28 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 20 kt in 
the afternoon. Seas in ice free waters building to 5 ft in 
the afternoon. Freezing spray and snow in the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt becoming variable 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas in ice free waters 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. 
Freezing spray. Snow.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. 
Freezing spray. Snow.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-290215-
Kachemak Bay-
401 AM AKST Fri Dec 28 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas building to 3 ft. Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt becoming W 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft building to 10 ft after midnight. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SAT...SW wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt late. Seas 10 ft. 
Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

090 
FZAK51 PAFC 290048
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
348 PM AKST Fri Dec 28 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-291400-
348 PM AKST Fri Dec 28 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A strong front associated with a low over Southwest Alaska moves 
over the central Gulf Sat morning and then moves into the northern
Gulf Sat afternoon. The front will dissipate Sat night. A second 
front enters the southwestern Gulf Sun morning and reaches the 
northeastern Gulf Sun afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-291400-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
348 PM AKST Fri Dec 28 2018

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt in the morning increasing to 35 kt. Along the
coast, E wind 20 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft building
to 14 ft in the afternoon.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt becoming SE after midnight. Seas 14 ft
subsiding to 11 ft after midnight.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ120-291400-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
348 PM AKST Fri Dec 28 2018

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming SW 25 kt after midnight. Seas
9 ft. Rain.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt in the morning increasing to 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt becoming S 20 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ121-291400-
Resurrection Bay-
348 PM AKST Fri Dec 28 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and
snow.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt in the morning increasing to 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Freezing spray. 
Snow.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-291400-
Prince William Sound-
348 PM AKST Fri Dec 28 2018

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt becoming W 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Snow.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt becoming SE after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-291400-
Port Valdez-
348 PM AKST Fri Dec 28 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-291400-
Valdez Narrows-
348 PM AKST Fri Dec 28 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-291400-
Valdez Arm-
348 PM AKST Fri Dec 28 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-291400-
Passage Canal-
348 PM AKST Fri Dec 28 2018

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft. Snow.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-291400-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
348 PM AKST Fri Dec 28 2018

...STORM WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt increasing to 50 kt after midnight. Seas
8 ft building to 14 ft after midnight. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SAT...W wind 50 kt in the morning diminishing to 35 kt. Seas 15 ft
in the morning subsiding to 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt becoming E 30 kt after midnight. Seas 7 
ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-291400-
Barren Islands East-
348 PM AKST Fri Dec 28 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming NW 40 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft.
.SAT...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 
ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. Seas
8 ft. Snow and rain.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ132-291400-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
348 PM AKST Fri Dec 28 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...W wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 25 kt becoming SE 40 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft building to 14 ft after midnight. Rain with snow.
.SUN...S wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ136-291400-
Chiniak Bay-
348 PM AKST Fri Dec 28 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 10 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft building to 10 ft after midnight. Snow and rain.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-291400-
Marmot Bay-
348 PM AKST Fri Dec 28 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. 
Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. Seas 3 
ft building to 12 ft after midnight. Snow and rain.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ138-291400-
Shelikof Strait-
348 PM AKST Fri Dec 28 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...W wind 35 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft. 
Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft building to 7 ft after midnight. Snow and rain.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-291400-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
348 PM AKST Fri Dec 28 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt becoming NW 35 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SAT...W wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 
ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt in the evening becoming NE 20 kt. Seas 2 
ft building to 4 ft after midnight. Freezing spray.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ140-291400-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
348 PM AKST Fri Dec 28 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas in
ice free waters 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Freezing 
spray. Snow.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft. Freezing
spray. Snow.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt after
midnight. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-291400-
Kachemak Bay-
348 PM AKST Fri Dec 28 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt becoming W 35 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft 
building to 10 ft after midnight. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SAT...W wind 35 kt in the morning diminishing to 25 kt. Seas 10 ft
subsiding to 6 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming E after midnight. Seas 3 ft. 
Freezing spray. Snow.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

325 
FZAK51 PAFC 291256
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
356 AM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-300215-
356 AM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A strong front over the western Gulf will weaken as it moves to 
the northern to eastern Gulf Sat night. A second front, associated 
with an eastern Bering low, will move into the southwestern Gulf 
Sun morning and track to the northern to central Gulf Sun night.

$$

PKZ119-300215-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
356 AM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt becoming W 35 kt in the afternoon. Near 
the coast, SE wind 25 kt becoming Variable wind 15 kt by midday. 
Seas 7 ft building to 12 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...SE wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S wind 35 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ120-300215-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
356 AM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind increasing to 35 kt. Near the coast, NW wind
increasing to 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt becoming SW 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 13 ft subsiding to 7 ft after midnight. Snow.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.MON...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ121-300215-
Resurrection Bay-
356 AM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind less than 10 kt increasing to 25 kt in the 
afternoon. Seas building to 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt becoming S 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Freezing spray 
in the evening. Snow.
.SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-300215-
Prince William Sound-
356 AM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt becoming W 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt becoming S 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft in the afternoon. Snow and rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-300215-
Port Valdez-
356 AM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft. Snow showers.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-300215-
Valdez Narrows-
356 AM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. 
Widespread snow showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft. Snow showers.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray in the afternoon. Snow.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-300215-
Valdez Arm-
356 AM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt becoming SE 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft. Snow showers.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas building to 4 ft. Snow and rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-300215-
Passage Canal-
356 AM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E wind less than 10 kt becoming W wind 20 kt by afternoon. 
Gusts to 30 kt developing near Whittier midday. Seas building to 
3 ft. Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. 
Gusts to 30 kt near Whittier early. Seas 2 ft. Widespread 
snow showers.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon. Snow and rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-300215-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
356 AM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018

...STORM WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 50 kt. Seas 15 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt becoming E 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SUN...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.MON...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-300215-
Barren Islands East-
356 AM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt becoming SE after midnight. 
Seas 10 ft. Snow.
.SUN...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 50 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.MON...S wind 40 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ132-300215-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
356 AM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt becoming SE 40 kt after midnight. 
Seas 7 ft building to 14 ft after midnight. Snow and rain.
.SUN...S wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 50 kt. Seas 30 ft.
.MON...S wind 35 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ136-300215-
Chiniak Bay-
356 AM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Gusts to 30 kt in the morning. Seas 3 ft subsiding. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft building to 10 ft after midnight. Snow and rain.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 45 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-300215-
Marmot Bay-
356 AM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Gusts to 40 kt in the morning. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft 
in the afternoon. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft building to 12 ft after midnight. Snow.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-300215-
Shelikof Strait-
356 AM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SUNDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 35 kt becoming SW 25 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to 
50 kt out of bays and passes in the morning. Seas 12 ft subsiding to
7 ft in the afternoon. Heavy freezing spray in the morning.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming SE 30 kt overnight. Seas 4 ft 
building to 8 ft after midnight. Snow.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 50 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.MON...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-300215-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
356 AM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S of Anchor Point, W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt 
in the late afternoon. Seas 12 ft. N of Anchor Point, W wind 30 kt 
diminishing to variable 15 kt in the late afternoon. Seas 8 ft 
subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 15 kt becoming NE after midnight. 
Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray in the morning. 
Snow changing to rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-300215-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
356 AM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018

.TODAY...Variable mainly W wind 15 kt. Gusts to 25 kt out of 
western bays and passes. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NE after midnight. 
Seas in ice free waters 2 ft. Snow.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. 
Freezing spray. Snow.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 11 ft.
.MON...SE wind 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 17 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-300215-
Kachemak Bay-
356 AM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray. Snow showers.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming E 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 7 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

244 
FZAK51 PAFC 300108
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
408 PM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-301400-
408 PM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A strong front over the western Gulf reaches the central Gulf Sun
morning. A second front associated with a 955 mb eastern Bering 
low moves across the Gulf through Mon morning. A third front 
enters the western Gulf Mon afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-301400-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
408 PM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Along
the coast, E wind 10 kt becoming S after midnight. Seas 12 ft
subsiding to 7 ft after midnight.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt in the morning increasing to 30 kt. Seas 7 ft 
in the morning building to 11 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt becoming S 50 kt after midnight. Seas
13 ft building to 20 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...S wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.TUE...S wind 35 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ120-301400-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
408 PM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt becoming S 15 kt after midnight. Seas 12
ft subsiding to 7 ft after midnight. Snow.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt in the morning increasing to 35 kt. Seas 7 ft in
the morning building to 14 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft in the evening building to 22
ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ121-301400-
Resurrection Bay-
408 PM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt becoming Variable wind 10 kt after
midnight. Gusts to 30 kt near Seward in the evening. Seas 4 ft 
subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Freezing spray in the evening. 
Snow.
.SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-301400-
Prince William Sound-
408 PM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt becoming SE 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4
ft building to 6 ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 40 kt becoming SE 50 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-301400-
Port Valdez-
408 PM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow showers.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt becoming E wind 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-301400-
Valdez Narrows-
408 PM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Snow showers.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-301400-
Valdez Arm-
408 PM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4
ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 30 kt becoming SE 40 kt after midnight. Seas
8 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-301400-
Passage Canal-
408 PM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2
ft. Widespread snow showers.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Gusts near
Whittier up to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft in
the afternoon. Rain and snow.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Gusts near Whittier up to 50 kt in the
evening. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-301400-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
408 PM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt becoming E 30 kt after midnight. Seas 8
ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SUN...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-301400-
Barren Islands East-
408 PM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming S 30 kt after midnight. Seas 9
ft. Snow and rain.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ132-301400-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
408 PM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt becoming S 40 kt after midnight. Seas 7
ft building to 14 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SUN...S wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.MON...S wind 35 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ136-301400-
Chiniak Bay-
408 PM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. Seas
1 ft building to 11 ft after midnight. Snow and rain.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 12 ft in the afternoon.
Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft subsiding to 7 ft after
midnight.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-301400-
Marmot Bay-
408 PM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. Seas 2
ft building to 12 ft after midnight. Snow and rain.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft subsiding to 9 ft after
midnight. Widespread rain showers.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-301400-
Shelikof Strait-
408 PM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming SE 35 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft building to 8 ft after midnight. Snow and rain.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt in the evening increasing to 50 kt. Seas 
16 ft building to 23 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...S wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-301400-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
408 PM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt becoming E 20 kt after midnight. Seas 4
ft. Freezing spray after midnight. Snow.
.SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray in the morning. Rain
and snow.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-301400-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
408 PM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft. Snow.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft. Freezing
spray in the morning. Snow.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 25 kt becoming SE 35 kt after midnight. Seas
in ice free waters 6 ft building to 9 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...S wind 45 kt. Seas in ice free waters 14 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-301400-
Kachemak Bay-
408 PM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming E 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2
ft. Snow.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt in the morning becoming 30 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain 
and snow.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 45 kt becoming S 35 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 40 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

067 
FZAK51 PAFC 301258
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
358 AM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-310200-
358 AM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
Several well developed lows track over Western Alaska, with their
associated fronts crossing the Gulf through Tue morning.

$$

PKZ119-310200-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
358 AM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...SE wind increasing to 50 kt overnight, then becoming 
SW 35 kt toward morning. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 40 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 21 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ120-310200-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
358 AM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt becoming S 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 45 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 23 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ121-310200-
Resurrection Bay-
358 AM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...S wind increasing to 20 kt. Gusts to 30 kt in the 
afternoon. Seas building to 4 ft. Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 6 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-310200-
Prince William Sound-
358 AM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt becoming E 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft building to 6 ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt becoming SE 45 kt after midnight. 
Seas 7 ft building to 10 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...S wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 9 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-310200-
Port Valdez-
358 AM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt 
in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft. Snow and rain.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Gusts to 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
Rain and snow showers.
.MON NIGHT THROUGH WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-310200-
Valdez Narrows-
358 AM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 15 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow and rain.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain and snow showers.
.MON NIGHT THROUGH WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-310200-
Valdez Arm-
358 AM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt becoming NE in the afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft. Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming SE 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft building to 8 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...S wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 8 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-310200-
Passage Canal-
358 AM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft in the afternoon. Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.MON...Variable wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-310200-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
358 AM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Freezing spray. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 55 kt becoming S 50 kt after midnight. 
Seas 23 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 50 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 23 ft subsiding to 12 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-310200-
Barren Islands East-
358 AM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 50 kt becoming SW after midnight. 
Seas 22 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 45 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 23 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ132-310200-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
358 AM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 27 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 40 kt becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 25 ft subsiding to 18 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ136-310200-
Chiniak Bay-
358 AM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind increasing to 35 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 14 ft 
in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt becoming SW after midnight. Seas 18 ft 
subsiding to 8 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-310200-
Marmot Bay-
358 AM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt becoming SW 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 18 ft subsiding to 9 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 7 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-310200-
Shelikof Strait-
358 AM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt becoming SW 55 kt overnight. 
Seas 12 ft building to 25 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 50 kt becoming SE 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 25 ft subsiding to 10 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-310200-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
358 AM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...S of Anchor Point, SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
Snow and rain. N of Anchor Point, N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TONIGHT...S of Anchor Point, E wind 50 kt becoming S 45 kt 
after midnight. Seas 13 ft building to 20 ft after midnight. 
Rain. N of Anchor Point, NE wind 20 kt becoming SE 40 kt 
overnight. Seas 6 ft building to 18 ft after midnight.
.MON...S wind 50 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 20 ft subsiding to 12 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-310200-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
358 AM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018

...STORM WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. 
Freezing spray. Snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt becoming SE 35 kt toward morning. 
Seas in ice free waters 6 ft building to 10 ft toward morning. 
Rain and snow.
.MON...S wind 50 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas in ice free waters 20 ft subsiding to 12 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-310200-
Kachemak Bay-
358 AM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas building to 5 ft. Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt becoming S 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 8 ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...S wind 40 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 6 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
532 AM AKST Thu Dec 27 2018

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A broad northeasterly oriented long wave trough, stemming from an
Arctic low, encompasses the Bering with several short waves
embedded within the flow. Northerly flow and strong cold air
advection is occurring over the western and central Bering. The
first short wave extends over the central Aleutians and is
associated with a surface low. The surface low is bringing
precipitation to the islands and weak westerly flow over the
eastern Aleutians. The second shortwave extends from the western
mainland over Kodiak Island and into the southern Gulf. A large
band of increased vorticity runs the western coast into the Gulf
mimicking the location of the short wave. This shortwave is also
associated with a surface low that is gaining momentum and moving
northeast. A front ahead of the low is moving northward into the
northern Gulf which is creating south to southeasterly winds and
slight warm air advection. In the northern Gulf, a deformation
zone is passing over Southcentral which is bringing showers to
Southcentral. Radar shows the showers concentrated over the
northern Gulf. The next weather feature to watch is an
intensifying front and associated North Pacific low that is
approaching the western Aleutians.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Synoptically, models are in decent agreement early on. Model
consistency in regards to the low south of the central Aleutians
quickly dissipates as the models diverge tonight. The EC/Canadian
models are moving faster towards Bristol Bay while the NAM/GFS
are lacking behind. With this specific low and its track, the NAM
was selected as the model of choice. Regarding the low in the
southwestern Gulf, models have finally settled on a track just
east of Prince William Sound tonight. The next main feature to
note is the approaching front and associated North Pacific low.
Models are in decent agreement with the front placement but they
differ greatly on the strength of the low. The GFS has the
strongest solution with the low about 20 mb lower than the other
solutions. This causes the winds with the front to be
significantly stronger. By Saturday morning models diverge further
as the placement of the low and the intensity of the winds greatly
differ. A combination of models was used with this system, but
confidence regarding wind speeds remains low.

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...VFR conditions will prevail until midday before light snow
develops and drops ceilings to and visibilities down to MVFR at
times through early evening. Confidence in the intensity and
precise location of the strongest portion of the snow band however
remains low given continued model differences. If the heaviest
portion of the band sets up right over PANC, conditions could drop
to IFR for a couple hours and if the band drifts more quickly
west than current model runs are depicting, the snow be lighter
and end earlier. Following the snow band, a secondary upper
trough swings through with cold advection which will support
additional snow showers along the mountains tonight, these
however, should remain well east of the terminal.

&&.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3/Today
through Saturday night)...

A deepening surface low over the central Gulf will track toward
Cordova today, with an upper level short-wave extending W-NW from
the low. This system is looking more impressive than numerical
models originally depicted, so have upped precipitation amounts in
the latest forecast. In particular, as the low nears the coast, a
deformation band will set up across the Kenai Peninsula up to
northern Cook Inlet and into the southern Susitna Valley. There is
some uncertainty in exactly where the heaviest snow will set-up,
but guidance is now placing at least parts of Anchorage under the
deformation band. This could be yet another event where west
Anchorage sees more snow than the rest of the city. The
deformation band will last for about a 6 hour period - from
approximately Noon to 6pm. The low will then head inland east of
Cordova while the trailing short-wave then lifts northeastward.
Snowfall with this trailing wave looks notably lighter.

The next storm system, currently south of the eastern Aleutians,
will track across the western Gulf Friday then up to near the
Kenai Peninsula Friday night. While the surface low looks weak,
the upper trough is looks strong and negatively tilted and will
be accompanied by strong cold air advection. With such strong
forcing, have trended more aggressive with the snow forecast and
strengthened winds in the cold advection. This does look like a
relatively quick moving trough, so do not anticipate issuing any
advisories or warnings at this point, but will continue to
evaluate potential for heavy snowfall accumulation.

The active weather will continue, as a frontal system then
approaches the Gulf Saturday night. A deep storm out along the
Aleutians will help amplify the pattern, which will ultimately
lead to warmer temperatures as we head through the weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: Today
through Saturday)...

Below normal temperatures have ended for now across most of
Southwest Alaska. Snow showers associated with a weak upper level
front will move northeastward with time, and the associated cloud
cover will prevent any radiational cooling that would allow for
continued below normal temperatures. Light snow showers and some
patchy fog in Bristol Bay is likely to continue into tonight. A
new low approaches the Alaska Peninsula late tonight as an upper
level low and associated front move in from the west. The
combination of these two features will cause a deformation band to
develop early Friday morning. A surface low tracking up Shelikof
Strait will pump moisture into Southwest Alaska over the Aleutian
Mountains. Meanwhile, the cold air advancing from the west in
combination with a strong upper level front will add lift to the
atmosphere. As a result, widespread light snow will develop early
Friday morning over Bristol Bay and spread north into the Lower
Kuskokwim Valley by the afternoon. Most areas east of a Dillingham
to Sleetmute line are expected to get about 2 to 4 inches of snow
through Friday night. Higher amounts closer to 6 inches are
possible along the western slopes of the Alaska Range in the lower
Kuskokwim Valley as the mountains add additional lift locally.

In the wake of the upper level low and front, a very cold Arctic
air mass will move into the Kuskokwim Delta early on Friday and
overspread Bristol Bay and the Lower Kuskokwim Valley by Friday
night. Assuming calm winds, clearing skies, and a fresh snow cover
will allow temperatures to plummet to around 20 below in interior
areas of Southwest Alaska on Saturday morning. The cold snap will
be very short-lived as a strong front approaches the coast
Saturday evening, bringing another more significant round of snow
with much warmer temperatures to all of Southwest Alaska on
Sunday.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3: Today
through Saturday)...

Low pressure systems will impact portions of the Bering Sea
through Saturday. The first is a relatively weak low whose center
is tracking south of Dutch Harbor. Behind the low, very cold air
spilling directly out of the Arctic is wrapping around the low
center. A band of heavier snow along the strongest temperature
gradient north and west of the low is moving east. It is expected
to reach Dutch Harbor around midday today and persist into the
evening, as the low is relatively slow moving. Thus, any rain or
mixed precipitation in Dutch Harbor is expected to transition to a
heavy, wet snow that will be blown around in 20 to 30 mph winds.
Thus, expect a significant reduction in visibility in blowing snow
all over Unalaska Island today. The snow will move east overnight,
impacting the Alaska Peninsula, and then will track into Shelikof
Strait during the day on Friday.

Leaving behind the first low, a second much stronger low and
associated front are expected to move into the western Aleutians
starting late tonight. The front will bring warmer air to that
region. The models are still having a hard time pegging down where
the low is and perhaps more importantly, how strong it will be.
For the most part, the models are agreeing that the front will
produce hurricane force winds in the waters around Attu and Shemya
late tonight. The front will weaken somewhat during the day on
Friday. A secondary low will follow behind that front Friday
evening, intensifying as it goes. This will make for a second
round of hurricane force winds, primarily across the waters north
of Shemya and Attu late Friday night through Saturday morning,
followed by slow weakening. Further east, the low will help
advance the initial front across the eastern Aleutians on
Saturday, bringing widespread gale force winds. It will move into
Bristol Bay Saturday night. While the winds will be the most
hazardous aspect of the front, occasionally heavy rain associated
with it is also expected along the entire Aleutian Chain through
into Sunday morning.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7)...

The forecast period commences with a longwave ridge from the Gulf
Of Alaska to the Brooks Range with a deep upper level trough over
NE Russia and the Western Aleutians. Meanwhile at the surface at
12z Sunday, both the GFS and the ECMWF have a deep low between
Attu and Adak with a post frontal surface trough extending towards
Hokkaido Japan. Where these two models differ at 12z Sunday is
east of the parent low. The GFS has another surface low over
Bristol Bay and the ECMWF simply has weak troughing. Also the
ECMWF has a secondary low feature south of the chain which the
GFS doesn't have at all and then the GFS spins up a low by 18z
south of the ECMWF's position. This does not bode well for the
confidence level with the remainder of the longterm forecast
package since the divergence amplifies as time elapses. There is
good confidence that this will generally be a wet and windy
pattern for the Aleutians, but the timing of the sensible weather
highlights are a function of the precise track of the lows that
develop. This forecast package reflects a blend of operation and
ensemble data from the models.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Hurricane Force Wind Warning: 178.
         Gales: 119 155 172 174 175 176 177 351 352 411 413.
         Heavy Freezing Spray: 180 185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...RA
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...SEB
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JPW
LONG TERM...PS