Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2018

Gale Warning 697, NWS Anchorage, AK

November 15, 2018

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Nov 15, 2018, 3:57 AM AKST. It was in force for 72 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 15, 2018, 3:57 AM AKST (12:57 UTC)
Expired
Nov 18, 2018, 3:30 AM AKST
In force
72 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

306 
FZAK51 PAFC 151257
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
357 AM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-160200-
357 AM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A front enters the western Gulf Thu afternoon associated with a
988 mb North Pacific low and moves into the northeastern Gulf
coast by Sat morning.

$$

PKZ119-160200-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
357 AM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ120-160200-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
357 AM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...E wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ121-160200-
Resurrection Bay-
357 AM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

.TODAY...N wind 15 with gusts to 25 kt diminishing to 
less than 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft subsiding.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain with snow.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ125-160200-
Prince William Sound-
357 AM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

.TODAY...N wind to 15 kt. Seas to 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-160200-
Port Valdez-
357 AM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable 
less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-160200-
Valdez Narrows-
357 AM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-160200-
Valdez Arm-
357 AM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-160200-
Passage Canal-
357 AM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable 
less than 10 kt. Gusts to 25 kt near Whittier early. 
Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain.
.FRI NIGHT THROUGH MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-160200-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
357 AM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas building to 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 35 kt. Seas 7 ft 
building to 12 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-160200-
Barren Islands East-
357 AM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. 
Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ132-160200-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
357 AM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ136-160200-
Chiniak Bay-
357 AM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt becoming E 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas building to 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 7 ft building to 14 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt becoming SE 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 11 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-160200-
Marmot Bay-
357 AM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft building to 7 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 10 ft building to 16 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 16 ft subsiding to 7 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-160200-
Shelikof Strait-
357 AM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt by late afternoon. 
Seas 6 ft building to 12 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 14 ft subsiding to 7 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-160200-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
357 AM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ140-160200-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
357 AM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas building to 3 ft. Areas of dense fog.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft building to 8 ft after midnight.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.

$$

PKZ141-160200-
Kachemak Bay-
357 AM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
5 follow-up statements
039 
FZAK51 PAFC 160036
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
336 PM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-161315-
336 PM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 986 mb low 505 nm South of Chignik moves to 85 nm Southeast of
Chignik at 996 mb then dissipates Sat morning. Its front pushes 
over the North Gulf Coast through Sat afternoon. A 993 mb low 
forms 210 nm South of Sand Point on Sat morning and slips to 125
nm Southeast of Chignik at 987 mb by Sat afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-161315-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
336 PM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
8 ft.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.SAT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ120-161315-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
336 PM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...E wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ121-161315-
Resurrection Bay-
336 PM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-161315-
Prince William Sound-
336 PM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-161315-
Port Valdez-
336 PM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-161315-
Valdez Narrows-
336 PM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-161315-
Valdez Arm-
336 PM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-161315-
Passage Canal-
336 PM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2
ft. Snow and rain.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-161315-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
336 PM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-161315-
Barren Islands East-
336 PM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ132-161315-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
336 PM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
15 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ136-161315-
Chiniak Bay-
336 PM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft building to 14 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt becoming SE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft
subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-161315-
Marmot Bay-
336 PM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft building to 16 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
14 ft subsiding to 6 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-161315-
Shelikof Strait-
336 PM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 40 kt. Seas building to 12 ft. 
Rain.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft subsiding to 7 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-161315-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
336 PM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ140-161315-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
336 PM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft building to 6 ft after midnight.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain and snow.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-161315-
Kachemak Bay-
336 PM AKST Thu Nov 15 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
628 
FZAK51 PAFC 161248
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
348 AM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-170200-
348 AM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 992 mb low 270 nm south of Kodiak Fri morning moves over the 
Alaska Peninsula by Sat morning and weakens. Its front moves into the
North Gulf Coast through Sat afternoon. A second front enters the 
Gulf through Sun morning.

$$

PKZ119-170200-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
348 AM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E wind increasing to 35 kt. Seas 8 ft 
building to 15 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Near the coast, SE wind 40 kt 
diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ120-170200-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
348 AM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind increasing to 40 kt. Seas 8 ft building 
to 16 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ121-170200-
Resurrection Bay-
348 AM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain with snow.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable 
less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-170200-
Prince William Sound-
348 AM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas building to 4 ft. 
Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft building to 6 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-170200-
Port Valdez-
348 AM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable 
less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-170200-
Valdez Narrows-
348 AM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT AND SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-170200-
Valdez Arm-
348 AM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT AND SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-170200-
Passage Canal-
348 AM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

.TODAY...E wind increasing to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.

$$

PKZ130-170200-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
348 AM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt increasing to 45 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.SAT...NE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 13 ft subsiding to 8 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-170200-
Barren Islands East-
348 AM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ132-170200-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
348 AM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ136-170200-
Chiniak Bay-
348 AM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 12 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-170200-
Marmot Bay-
348 AM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 16 ft subsiding to 7 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ138-170200-
Shelikof Strait-
348 AM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 15 ft subsiding to 9 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt becoming variable 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-170200-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
348 AM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.SAT...N wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 12 ft subsiding to 7 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ140-170200-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
348 AM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas 6 ft building 
to 10 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain and snow.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 8 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon.
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-170200-
Kachemak Bay-
348 AM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Gusts to 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Gusts to 25 kt in the evening. 
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
172 
FZAK51 PAFC 170027
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
327 PM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-171330-
327 PM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 995 mb low 135 nm Southeast of Chignik dissipates Sat morning. 
Its front spreads across the North Gulf Coast through Sun morning.
A second front enters the Western Gulf Sat afternoon and slides 
to the Central Gulf by Sun afternoon. A 996 mb low 295 nm 
Southeast of Kodiak City Sun morning moves along the front to 150 
nm South of Middleton Island by Sun afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-171330-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
327 PM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Near the coast, SE wind 40 kt diminishing to
25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ120-171330-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
327 PM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ121-171330-
Resurrection Bay-
327 PM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-171330-
Prince William Sound-
327 PM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-171330-
Port Valdez-
327 PM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-171330-
Valdez Narrows-
327 PM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-171330-
Valdez Arm-
327 PM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-171330-
Passage Canal-
327 PM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-171330-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
327 PM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.SAT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-171330-
Barren Islands East-
327 PM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ132-171330-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
327 PM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ136-171330-
Chiniak Bay-
327 PM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.

$$

PKZ137-171330-
Marmot Bay-
327 PM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 3 ft after
midnight.
.SUN...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.

$$

PKZ138-171330-
Shelikof Strait-
327 PM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-171330-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
327 PM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-171330-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
327 PM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain and snow.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 7 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-171330-
Kachemak Bay-
327 PM AKST Fri Nov 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 5 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
749 
FZAK51 PAFC 171247
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
347 AM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-180215-
347 AM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A front along the north to west Gulf coast will dissipate by 
Saturday afternoon. Another front enters the Gulf Sat morning 
and moves into the northeast Gulf coast by Mon morning.

$$

PKZ119-180215-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
347 AM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Near the coast, E wind 35 kt 
diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ120-180215-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
347 AM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ121-180215-
Resurrection Bay-
347 AM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt becoming less than 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable 
less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-180215-
Prince William Sound-
347 AM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-180215-
Port Valdez-
347 AM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT AND SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-180215-
Valdez Narrows-
347 AM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT AND SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-180215-
Valdez Arm-
347 AM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-180215-
Passage Canal-
347 AM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable 
less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT AND SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-180215-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
347 AM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt, except NE wind 35 kt near Kamishak Bay. 
Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Near
Kamishak Bay, NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 5 ft, except 9 ft near Kamishak Bay. Rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-180215-
Barren Islands East-
347 AM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ132-180215-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
347 AM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. 
Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ136-180215-
Chiniak Bay-
347 AM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SE 15 kt in the 
afternoon. Seas building to 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SUN...S wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable 
less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.

$$

PKZ137-180215-
Marmot Bay-
347 AM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable 
less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft subsiding.
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ138-180215-
Shelikof Strait-
347 AM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 10 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt becoming S 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt becoming Variable 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-180215-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
347 AM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt becoming N 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 8 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ140-180215-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
347 AM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 7 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-180215-
Kachemak Bay-
347 AM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
285 
FZAK51 PAFC 180000
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-181230-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A front exits Southeast Alaska for Sun night. A second front 
enters the Western Gulf and pushes across the Gulf through Mon 
afternoon. A 995 mb low forms along the front 460 nm South of
Kodiak City and moves to 160 nm Southeast of Kodiak City at 984 
mb then continues to 30 nm South of Seward at 989 mb by Mon 
afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-181230-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ120-181230-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ121-181230-
Resurrection Bay-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ125-181230-
Prince William Sound-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-181230-
Port Valdez-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-181230-
Valdez Narrows-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-181230-
Valdez Arm-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-181230-
Passage Canal-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-181230-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas
5 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-181230-
Barren Islands East-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ132-181230-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ136-181230-
Chiniak Bay-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.SUN...S wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.THU...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.

$$

PKZ137-181230-
Marmot Bay-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.

$$

PKZ138-181230-
Shelikof Strait-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt becoming S 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the
afternoon.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-181230-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt becoming N 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 7 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming NW 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-181230-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 7 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-181230-
Kachemak Bay-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SW wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Nov 14, 4:04 PM AKST, 11 hours 53 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 14, 4:04 PM AKST, 11 hours 53 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
404 PM AKST Wed Nov 14 2018

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
There is an upper level ridge over the western Gulf of Alaska
which is amplifying and merging with an upper level high over the
northwest Alaska coast. A weak upper level low is in the vicinity
of St Matthew Island with a trough extending over the Eastern
Aleutians with another upper level ridge to the west of this
feature over the Western Aleutians. None of these features are
very strong which is keeping the active weather outside of the
forecast area today.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models are all seeing the same synoptic features and pattern
through the weekend which is good. However, when comparing the
details of the features with each model, it gives a rather
'sloppy' look. The phasing of a low moving into the Gulf on
Saturday with a low moving into Bristol Bay is detected by all the
models, but there are distinct timing differences which are
important in determining the timing of the warm air moving into
the region and the resulting precipitation type. Overall, the GFS
is being looked upon with the most favor for this time period.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...Fog is the big concern through Thursday (and Thursday
night). While it cleared out over the airport early this morning
and did not become widespread after that, there is a good chance
that it will return tonight and persist through tomorrow morning.
This is due to the upper level ridge building in through Thursday
which will help cause more subsidence and therefore a more stable
atmosphere which is conducive for fog and stratus. There is a
chance that it could be more stratus than fog tonight, but limited
ceilings and/or visibilities look likely.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...
Surface ridging across the southern mainland will keep the region
dry through Thursday. The main challenge tonight is fog
development. A persistence forecast for fog was used for tonight
as the pattern remains unchanged across the mainland. Fog may
linger through late Thursday morning as a more stable air mass
establishes tonight.

The next front pushes across the southern Gulf Thursday night
into Friday. Gale force winds and rain are expected to develop
along the boundary which moves across Kodiak Island early Friday
morning then to the Gulf coast during the afternoon. Fog coverage
Friday morning will mainly linger over the Copper River Basin due
to the ridge losing its hold over the southern mainland.
Precipitation along the front is expected to change over to rain
fairly quickly with this system as a southeasterly low level jet
develops, aiding the warm subtropical air mass to surge inland.
However, northerly flow along the western Cook Inlet keeps this
area on the cooler side as the front moves across during the
morning which brings chances for mixed precipitation and light
freezing rain through the afternoon. The highest precipitation
amounts are expected along the Gulf coast as low level easterly
flow limits accumulations inland.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...
Offshore flow continues this evening, and this is keeping the
region dry and largely free from fog. Some low stratus developed
over the Lower Kusko Valley, and that may redevelop again
overnight since it never fully burned off and the upper pattern is
not changing much.

Attention quickly turns to a North Pacific warm front moving from
the south on Thursday afternoon and evening. This will bring in
more widespread precipitation with chances for rain, snow, and
freezing rain, depending on location. As is typical with this
pattern, rain is likely near coastal areas in Bristol Bay and down
wind of the Alaska Range with snow over interior valleys. Expect a
changeover to rain or a mix of freezing rain by Friday as the
front moves inland but also weakens. On Saturday, another
reinforcing front will move in, bringing in even more warm air
with threats for interior rain/mixed rain and snow with potential
isolated areas of freezing rain in prone valleys.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3)...
Widespread northerly flow continues to deliver cold air over much
of the Bering. A period of Gale force winds will affect the
western Aleutians on Thursday as a front associated with a
Kamchatka low enters the western Bering beginning overnight
tonight. This front quickly loses steam as it stretches out into
the central Bering, allowing those Gale force winds to diminish
by Fri afternoon. In addition to Gale force winds, precipitation
across the western Aleutians will begin as snow tonight before
quickly transitioning to rain by Thursday morning.

A second front inbound from the North Pacific will lift over the
southern AKPEN Thursday morning, bringing gusty easterly flow and
a period of Gale force winds near the southern coast of the
AKPEN. In addition, the warm moist air mass associated with this
front will interact with the cooler drier air already in place and
will bring chances of wintry precipitation across the Pribilofs
and eastern Bering through Friday morning transitioning to all
rain by Saturday morning.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7)...
The long-term forecast begins Saturday night with a surface low
weakening east of Kodiak Island and its associated occluded front
draped along the coast bringing another round of mixed wintry
precipitation to Southcentral Alaska. A second trough follows on
the heels of the first moving through the Gulf and impacting the
Southcentral coast Sunday. Yet another trough slides across the
gulf on Monday, with the GFS bringing it closer to Southcentral
while the EC slides the system farther east toward the Alaska
Panhandle. All of this is in response to an upper-level trough
situated along the western Alaska coast ejecting a series of
shortwaves through the Gulf as it slowly moves across the mainland
over the weekend. Confidence remains above average that
conditions will remain wet and unsettled across southern Alaska
through the weekend while under the influence of the long-wave
trough. There is less confidence, however, in the timing of the
mid-level shortwaves and associated surface features (and hence
precipitation and wind along the coast) as the GFS and EC continue
to disagree in their exact track through the Gulf.

Guidance then goes completely off the rails moving into early next
week with very low confidence in any solution overall. The main
issue is with the upper-level solutions between the GFS and EC,
specifically with the development of an upper-level low over
eastern Russia and a shortwave tracking across the Aleutians. The
EC is much faster in moving the Aleutian shortwave east and while
suppressing the ridge over the the central and eastern Bering as
it tracks well south of the AKPEN and shears apart by Tuesday in
conjunction with the trailing upper level low now in the Bering.
The GFS keeps the eastern Russia low in place on Monday allowing
the Aleutian shortwave to intensify and move quickly into the
Bering while pushing an amplified ridge over southwest Alaska. The
shortwave then reaches the west coast by late Monday. A secondary
low then develops south of the AKPEN and moves into the Gulf for
mid-week.

The GFS has had the better run to run consistency of the suite of
long-term guidance and is favored over the EC. This would keep
wet weather over the southern mainland through the weekend with a
brief drying trend late Sunday through late Monday across the
southwest and Monday through late Tuesday across Southcentral
(especially the interior) before more wet weather returns.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Gale Warning 130>132 138 150 177 178.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...EZ
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...KH
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JA/KO
LONG TERM...TM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 14, 3:24 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC48 hr
Nov 14, 3:25 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC4 days
Nov 14, 3:25 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC13 hr
Nov 14, 3:38 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC48 hr
Nov 14, 3:38 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC61 hr
Nov 14, 5:52 PM AKSTDense Fog AdvisoryAFC18 hr
Nov 15, 3:57 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC35 hr
Nov 15, 3:57 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC72 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2018Every gale warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.