Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2018
Gale Warning 685, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Nov 11, 2018, 4:00 AM AKST. It was in force for 60 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 11, 2018, 4:00 AM AKST (13:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 13, 2018, 3:40 PM AKST
- In force
- 60 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted.
261 FZAK52 PAFC 111300 CWFALU Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 400 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018 Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ199-120145- 400 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 979 mb low 90 nm north of Dutch Harbor Sun morning moves near 195 nm south of Cold Bay with multiple centers at 975 mb by Mon morning and then to 40 nm south of Kodiak City at 970 mb by Tue morning. $$ PKZ150-120145- South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape- 400 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ155-120145- South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef- 400 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt becoming SW after midnight. From the Shumagin Islands E, S wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 8 ft. Slight chance of thunderstorms. .MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .MON NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ160-120145- Bristol Bay- 400 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers. .MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ165-120145- Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef- 400 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE 20 kt early becoming E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain. .MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .MON NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ170-120145- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side- 400 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. .TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms. .MON...NE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 22 ft. Rain showers. .MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft. .TUE THROUGH THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ171-120145- Unalaska Bay- 400 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE wind 10 kt becoming E 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms. .MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. .MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE THROUGH THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ172-120145- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side- 400 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...W wind 20 kt early becoming S. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Slight chance of thunderstorms. .MON...N wind 30 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ173-120145- Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side- 400 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018 ...GALE WARNING TODAY AND MONDAY... .TODAY...N wind 45 kt. Seas building to 23 ft. Widespread rain showers. .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain showers. .MON...N wind 40 kt. Seas 27 ft. Rain showers. .MON NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 25 ft. .TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ174-120145- Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side- 400 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018 ...GALE WARNING TODAY AND MONDAY... .TODAY...N wind 45 kt. Seas building to 19 ft. Widespread rain showers. .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms. .MON...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain showers. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft. .TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. .WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ175-120145- Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side- 400 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...N wind 50 kt. Seas 20 ft building to 26 ft in the afternoon. Widespread rain showers. .TONIGHT...N wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas 26 ft. Rain. .MON...N wind 40 kt. Seas 25 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 25 ft. .TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. .WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ176-120145- Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side- 400 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft. Widespread rain showers. .TONIGHT...N wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 17 ft. Rain showers. .MON...N wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ177-120145- Adak to Kiska- 400 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. .TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft Bering side...14 ft Pacific side. .MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft Bering side...15 ft Pacific side. .MON NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. .TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. .WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ178-120145- Kiska to Attu- 400 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. .MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. .MON NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. .TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. .WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. $$ PKZ179-120145- Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters- 400 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 21 ft. Widespread rain showers. .TONIGHT...N wind 45 kt. Seas 22 ft. Widespread rain showers and snow. .MON...N wind 45 kt. Seas 23 ft. Widespread rain and snow showers. .MON NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ180-120145- Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait- 400 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain and snow. .MON...NE wind 45 kt becoming E 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft. Widespread snow showers. .MON NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ181-120145- North and West of Nunivak Island- 400 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 16 ft. .TONIGHT...N wind 50 kt. Seas 16 ft. .MON...NE wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 17 ft. Snow showers. .MON NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ185-120145- Saint Matthew Island Waters- 400 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE wind 50 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...N 45 kt W of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 19 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 19 ft. .MON...N wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. .TUE...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. .WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$
7 follow-up statements
965 FZAK52 PAFC 120057 CWFALU Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 357 PM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018 Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ199-121345- 357 PM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A front over the central Aleutians will weaken Tue morning. A 963 mb Pacific low will move into the southwestern Gulf Tue morning then it will move over Chignik at 976 mb Tue afternoon. $$ PKZ150-121345- South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape- 357 PM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ155-121345- South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef- 357 PM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Slight chance of thunderstorms. .MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming NW 25 kt after midnight. Seas 12 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ160-121345- Bristol Bay- 357 PM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers. .MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ165-121345- Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef- 357 PM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain. .MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming N 30 kt after midnight. Seas 9 ft. .TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED THROUGH FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ170-121345- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side- 357 PM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms. .MON...NE wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 23 ft. .MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft. .TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ171-121345- Unalaska Bay- 357 PM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY... .TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers. .MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers. .MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt becoming NE after midnight. Seas 3 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ172-121345- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side- 357 PM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Slight chance of thunderstorms. .MON...N wind 30 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. .MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ173-121345- Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side- 357 PM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain showers. .MON...N wind 45 kt. Seas 27 ft. Rain showers. .MON NIGHT...N wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 24 ft subsiding to 18 ft after midnight. .TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ174-121345- Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side- 357 PM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain showers. .MON...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain showers. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. .TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ175-121345- Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side- 357 PM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 50 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas 27 ft. Rain. .MON...N wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 25 ft. .TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ176-121345- Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side- 357 PM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 50 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas 18 ft. Rain showers. .MON...N wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. .MON NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ177-121345- Adak to Kiska- 357 PM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft Bering side...14 ft Pacific side. .MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft Bering side...14 ft Pacific side. .MON NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft Bering side...13 ft Pacific side. .TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ178-121345- Kiska to Attu- 357 PM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. .MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. .WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. .FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ179-121345- Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters- 357 PM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt becoming N 50 kt after midnight. Seas 16 ft building to 23 ft after midnight. Widespread rain showers and snow. .MON...N wind 55 kt becoming NE 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 24 ft. Widespread rain and snow showers. .MON NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ180-121345- Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait- 357 PM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt increasing to 50 kt after midnight. Seas 15 ft. Areas of blowing snow. Rain and snow. .MON...NE wind 50 kt becoming E 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14 ft subsiding to 9 ft in the afternoon. Snow showers. .MON NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ181-121345- North and West of Nunivak Island- 357 PM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 17 ft. .MON...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 18 ft. Snow showers. .MON NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TUE...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ185-121345- Saint Matthew Island Waters- 357 PM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 50 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...N 40 kt W of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 19 ft. .MON...N wind 50 kt. Seas 20 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. .TUE...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$
596 FZAK52 PAFC 120955 AAA CWFALU Coastal Waters Forecast...UPDATED National Weather Service Anchorage AK 1255 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 Updated 171 Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ199-122215- 1255 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A front over the central Aleutians will weaken Tue morning. A 963 mb Pacific low will move into the southwestern Gulf Tue morning then it will move over Chignik at 976 mb Tue afternoon. $$ PKZ150-122215- South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape- 1255 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ155-122215- South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef- 1255 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Slight chance of thunderstorms. .MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming NW 25 kt after midnight. Seas 12 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ160-122215- Bristol Bay- 1255 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers. .MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ165-122215- Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef- 1255 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain. .MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming N 30 kt after midnight. Seas 9 ft. .TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED THROUGH FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ170-122215- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side- 1255 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms. .MON...NE wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 23 ft. .MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft. .TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ171-122215- Unalaska Bay- 1255 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers. .MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers. .MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt becoming NE after midnight. Seas 3 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ172-122215- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side- 1255 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Slight chance of thunderstorms. .MON...N wind 30 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. .MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ173-122215- Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side- 1255 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain showers. .MON...N wind 45 kt. Seas 27 ft. Rain showers. .MON NIGHT...N wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 24 ft subsiding to 18 ft after midnight. .TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ174-122215- Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side- 1255 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain showers. .MON...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain showers. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. .TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ175-122215- Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side- 1255 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 50 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas 27 ft. Rain. .MON...N wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 25 ft. .TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ176-122215- Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side- 1255 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 50 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas 18 ft. Rain showers. .MON...N wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. .MON NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ177-122215- Adak to Kiska- 1255 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft Bering side...14 ft Pacific side. .MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft Bering side...14 ft Pacific side. .MON NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft Bering side...13 ft Pacific side. .TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ178-122215- Kiska to Attu- 1255 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. .MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. .WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. .FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ179-122215- Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters- 1255 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt becoming N 50 kt after midnight. Seas 16 ft building to 23 ft after midnight. Widespread rain showers and snow. .MON...N wind 55 kt becoming NE 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 24 ft. Widespread rain and snow showers. .MON NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ180-122215- Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait- 1255 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt increasing to 50 kt after midnight. Seas 15 ft. Areas of blowing snow. Rain and snow. .MON...NE wind 50 kt becoming E 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14 ft subsiding to 9 ft in the afternoon. Snow showers. .MON NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ181-122215- North and West of Nunivak Island- 1255 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 17 ft. .MON...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 18 ft. Snow showers. .MON NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TUE...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ185-122215- Saint Matthew Island Waters- 1255 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 50 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...N 40 kt W of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 19 ft. .MON...N wind 50 kt. Seas 20 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. .TUE...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$
476 FZAK52 PAFC 121300 CWFALU Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 400 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ199-130145- 400 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A front over the central Aleutians will weaken Tue morning. A 969 mb low 70 nm east of Dutch Harbor Mon morning moves into the North Pacific Mon night. A second 972 mb low 70 nm west of Akhiok Tue morning moves to near Chirikof Island Tue afternoon at 983 mb, then is absorbed into a Gulf low by late Tue night. $$ PKZ150-130145- South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape- 400 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...SE wind 30 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft. .TONIGHT...NE 20 kt in the evening becoming W 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ155-130145- South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef- 400 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE wind 35 kt becoming E 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft. .TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt in the evening becoming NW 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ160-130145- Bristol Bay- 400 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY... .TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft subsiding. .TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft in the evening building to 8 ft. .TUE...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ165-130145- Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef- 400 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ170-130145- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side- 400 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 23 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. .TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ171-130145- Unalaska Bay- 400 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...NE wind 25 kt early becoming E wind 15 kt. Gusts to 40 kt in the morning. Seas 7 ft subsiding. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ172-130145- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side- 400 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ173-130145- Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side- 400 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...N wind 30 kt early increasing to 45 kt. Seas 18 ft early building to 27 ft. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 23 ft subsiding to 17 ft after midnight. .TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ174-130145- Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side- 400 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NW wind increasing to 40 kt. Seas 15 ft early building to 22 ft. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 20 ft subsiding to 15 ft after midnight. .TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ175-130145- Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side- 400 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N wind 40 kt. Seas 26 ft. .TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 25 ft. .TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ176-130145- Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side- 400 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...N wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ177-130145- Adak to Kiska- 400 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft Bering side...14 ft Pacific side. .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft Bering side...13 ft Pacific side. .TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ178-130145- Kiska to Attu- 400 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. .TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. .FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ179-130145- Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters- 400 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...N wind 50 kt becoming NE 35 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to 60 kt early. Seas 23 ft. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ180-130145- Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait- 400 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft. Snow showers. .TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas 9 ft. .TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ181-130145- North and West of Nunivak Island- 400 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 17 ft. Snow showers. .TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TUE...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ185-130145- Saint Matthew Island Waters- 400 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 45 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...N 40 kt W of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 19 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. .TUE...N wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. .WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$
644 FZAK52 PAFC 122359 CWFALU Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 259 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ199-131245- 259 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 967 mb North Pacific low 180 nm southeast of Dutch Harbor moves into the Gulf Tue afternoon. A 980 mb low moves over Bristol Bay Tue morning and then returns to the Gulf and dissipates Tue night. A front approaches the western Aleutians Wed afternoon. $$ PKZ150-131245- South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape- 259 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain. .TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ155-131245- South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef- 259 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, N wind 15 kt becoming W 25 kt after midnight. Seas 12 ft. .TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 10 ft. .WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ160-131245- Bristol Bay- 259 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. .TUE...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. .TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ165-131245- Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef- 259 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ170-131245- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side- 259 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. .TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED AND WED NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ171-131245- Unalaska Bay- 259 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight. .WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ172-131245- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side- 259 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 15 ft. $$ PKZ173-131245- Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side- 259 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 23 ft. .TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED AND WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ174-131245- Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side- 259 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 20 ft subsiding to 15 ft after midnight. .TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED AND WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. .SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 19 ft. $$ PKZ175-131245- Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side- 259 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 24 ft. Rain. .TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED AND WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ176-131245- Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side- 259 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED AND WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. $$ PKZ177-131245- Adak to Kiska- 259 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft Bering side...13 ft Pacific side. .TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ178-131245- Kiska to Attu- 259 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. .TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. .FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ179-131245- Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters- 259 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ180-131245- Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait- 259 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 10 ft after midnight. .TUE...N wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft. .WED AND WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ181-131245- North and West of Nunivak Island- 259 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TUE...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Snow. .WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ185-131245- Saint Matthew Island Waters- 259 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. .TUE...N wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. .WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$
444 FZAK52 PAFC 130826 CWFALU Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage AK 1126 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ199-132115- 1126 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 967 mb North Pacific low 180 nm southeast of Dutch Harbor moves into the Gulf Tue afternoon. A 980 mb low moves over Bristol Bay Tue morning and then returns to the Gulf and dissipates Tue night. A front approaches the western Aleutians Wed afternoon. $$ PKZ150-132115- South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape- 1126 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E of Chirikof Island...W wind 35 kt...except NE out of Shelikof Strait...becoming S wind 40 kt by morning. W of Chirikof Island...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain. .TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ155-132115- South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef- 1126 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, N wind 15 kt becoming W 25 kt after midnight. Seas 12 ft. .TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 10 ft. .WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ160-132115- Bristol Bay- 1126 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. .TUE...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. .TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ165-132115- Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef- 1126 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ170-132115- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side- 1126 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. .TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED AND WED NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ171-132115- Unalaska Bay- 1126 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight. .WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ172-132115- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side- 1126 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 15 ft. $$ PKZ173-132115- Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side- 1126 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 23 ft. .TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED AND WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ174-132115- Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side- 1126 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 20 ft subsiding to 15 ft after midnight. .TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED AND WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. .SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 19 ft. $$ PKZ175-132115- Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side- 1126 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 24 ft. Rain. .TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED AND WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ176-132115- Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side- 1126 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED AND WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. $$ PKZ177-132115- Adak to Kiska- 1126 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft Bering side...13 ft Pacific side. .TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ178-132115- Kiska to Attu- 1126 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. .TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. .FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ179-132115- Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters- 1126 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ180-132115- Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait- 1126 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 10 ft after midnight. .TUE...N wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft. .WED AND WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ181-132115- North and West of Nunivak Island- 1126 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TUE...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Snow. .WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ185-132115- Saint Matthew Island Waters- 1126 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. .TUE...N wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. .WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$
800 FZAK52 PAFC 131246 CWFALU Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 346 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ199-140130- 346 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...A 978 mb low over Pilot Point Tue morning moves to 120 nm south of Kodiak Island at 993 mb by Wed morning and then dissipates. A new 999 mb low forms 70 nm northwest of Cold Bay Wed morning then moves to 60 nm north of St Paul at 1004 mb by Thu morning. $$ PKZ150-140130- South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape- 346 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE wind 35 kt early diminishing to 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ155-140130- South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef- 346 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NW wind increasing to 30 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, W wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ160-140130- Bristol Bay- 346 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE wind 35 kt becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to 45 kt along the coast in the morning. Seas 7 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ165-140130- Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef- 346 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ170-140130- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side- 346 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ171-140130- Unalaska Bay- 346 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NW wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas building to 10 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight. .WED...NW wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ172-140130- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side- 346 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. $$ PKZ173-140130- Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side- 346 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ174-140130- Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side- 346 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. $$ PKZ175-140130- Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side- 346 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft. .TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ176-140130- Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side- 346 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ177-140130- Adak to Kiska- 346 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. .TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ178-140130- Kiska to Attu- 346 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. .FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ179-140130- Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters- 346 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...N wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ180-140130- Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait- 346 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...N wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ181-140130- North and West of Nunivak Island- 346 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Snow. .WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ185-140130- Saint Matthew Island Waters- 346 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. .WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$
812 FZAK52 PAFC 140040 CWFALU Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 340 PM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ199-141400- 340 PM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A front over the central Bering weakens and moves into the Gulf. A front enters the western Bering Wed morning and the associated low moves 330 nm southwest of Shemya at 985 mb Thu afternoon. $$ PKZ150-141400- South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape- 340 PM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU AND THU NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. .FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ155-141400- South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef- 340 PM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .THU NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. .SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ160-141400- Bristol Bay- 340 PM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU AND THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ165-141400- Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef- 340 PM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ170-141400- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side- 340 PM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. $$ PKZ171-141400- Unalaska Bay- 340 PM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight. Rain showers. .WED...NW wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. .WED NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft after midnight. .THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ172-141400- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side- 340 PM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt through Unimak Pass in the evening. Seas 8 ft. .WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU AND THU NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. .SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ173-141400- Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side- 340 PM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers. .WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ174-141400- Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side- 340 PM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. $$ PKZ175-141400- Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side- 340 PM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ176-141400- Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side- 340 PM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 .TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ177-141400- Adak to Kiska- 340 PM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ178-141400- Kiska to Attu- 340 PM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas 10 ft. .THU...E wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. .THU NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. .FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ179-141400- Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters- 340 PM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Snow showers and rain showers. .WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. Snow showers and rain showers. .WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU AND THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ180-141400- Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait- 340 PM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU AND THU NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ181-141400- North and West of Nunivak Island- 340 PM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray. Snow. .WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. .THU AND THU NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ185-141400- Saint Matthew Island Waters- 340 PM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. .WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Widespread snow showers. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU AND THU NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Nov 10, 4:44 PM AKST, 11 hours 16 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 10, 4:44 PM AKST, 11 hours 16 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
444 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018
.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A southerly moving upper level low, with a digging trough over
the central Aleutians, has become the dominate system aloft. The
upper low is negatively tilted and intensifying as it spins in the
North Pacific, south of the central Aleutians. Stemming from the
Arctic, cold air is wrapping around the backside of the low. On
the leading edge, southerly flow is bringing in warm, moist air
from the tropics. A low at the surface is moving northwestward
from the Pacific along the northerly moving jet stream.
Precipitation is beginning to fall over Southcentral and the AK-
PEN ahead of the warm front extending from the surface low over
the eastern Aleutians.
&&
.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models are in good agreement initially with the placement of the
low near Sand Point. Models start to diverge Sunday morning as the
system begins to become more complex with a series of lows moving
through the eastern Aleutians from the North Pacific. Models
disagree more so with the strength of the low than with the
placement. Things fall apart Monday afternoon as a second low
moves into the southern Gulf. The EC is on a much faster track
into the Gulf while the NAM lags behind. Eventually the GFS and EC
come into generally good agreement as the low moves over the AK-
PEN Monday night. The NAM is alone as it takes this second low
more northward into the western Gulf.
&&
.AVIATION...
PANC...As a storm system with tropical moisture moves up from the
Gulf this afternoon and evening cross barrier flow will
strengthen. Oftentimes this results in complete downslope drying.
However, in this case the core of winds are a little higher above
the mountains than a classical downslope case and winds along the
front range of the Chugach will be lighter with more of a
northerly component to the direction. In addition, tropical
moisture can overcome downslope affect and produce precipitation
and lower ceilings. So, expect a period of light snow to overrun
the region this evening. For the most part VFR conditions should
dominate, though a brief period of heavier snow may cause a drop
to MVFR.
The precipitation forecast after 12Z becomes complicated. Warm air
will surge in aloft producing conditions favorable for freezing
rain. The problem is determining whether precipitation will occur
at all in this time frame. There are some weak features moving
through aloft, but nothing strong. For now, will keep dry
conditions in the early morning. Precipitation will become much
more likely after 18z Sunday as short-wave comes up from the
south. By this time expect surface temperatures to be above
freezing resulting in rain.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
A deepening low was located near Sand Point, with additional vort
maxes diving into the back side of an associated from the Bering
Sea. Additionally, a separate area of low pressure was racing
north through the Gulf. This system is of tropical origin, with a
deep tropical plume from Hawaii seen in this afternoon's Layer
Precipitable water vapor satellite imagery. This moisture that's
surging into our region is 300% or more above normal for this time
of year. However there have been a few changes from yesterdays
discussion.
One of the first changes is it was originally thought this would
initially be pointed at the Kenai Peninsula this evening, before
shifting east towards the northeastern Gulf overnight, and then
retrograding back on Sunday. Now, the models show this continuing
to be directed at the Kenai through Monday. This change is a
direct result of the models continuing to struggle with the vort
energy diving into the backside of the trough, causing new
cyclogenesis to commence. Todays run show the first area of low
pressure deeper and further to the southwest of Kodiak Island,
with both the tropical low getting absorbed into the trough, and
additional areas of low pressure developing for reasons described
above. In short, a series of lows (perhaps 3 to 5) will develop
and rotate around each other in a Fujiwhara-like fashion over the
next 24 to 48 hours. This causes the low-level jet to bend back to
the northwest and then west due to a stalled front near the Gulf
coast and the further southwest low positioning.
With a further southwest low position, the warm air arrival will
be delayed some, allowing for a period of freezing rain to develop
after an initial burst of snow for the Kenai Peninsula, where a
winter weather advisory has been issued to account for this.
Further north, the time between the moisture arrival and warm air
arrival is shorter, and confidence in getting any ice accumulation
is low. Further north and east, the current blizzard warning for
Thompson Pass looks good, as heavy snow and high winds are
virtually a slam dunk.
Finally, as another low refocuses the moisture advection into the
coastal areas on Monday, the heavy precipitation initially though
to be in the Sunday night through Monday afternoon has been
delayed by about 6 to 12 hours, but the same concerns remain.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
A complex weather pattern will exist for SW Alaska through the
weekend. A broad area of low pressure is in the western Gulf of
Alaska, with more than one low center spinning within it. Over the
next few days, these smaller areas of circulation will rotate
through SW Alaska, creating periods of precipitation. Due to the
disorganized nature of this pattern, timing and amount of
precipitation will be difficult to predict for specific locations
in SW Alaska.
Adding to the complexity of this system is the warm air that this
low will be bringing into the area. Right now, cold air is in place
at the surface for SW Alaska. As the low pushes precipitation
into the area tonight, warm air will overrun cold air at the
surface, making freezing rain a possibility for inland locations
in the Lower Kuskokwim Valley, as these areas will hold on to cold
air longer. Areas along the coast will start as snow and then
quickly transition to rain as the colder air is displaced.
Also of note with this system will be storm force offshore winds
in Bristol Bay tonight, as the initial front passes through the
area. Winds will quickly diminish tomorrow before increasing again
tomorrow evening, though they are not expected to be as strong.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
The broad area of low pressure affecting SW Alaska will also be
the big weather producer for the Bering Sea for the next few days.
The disorganized low pressure systems spinning through SW Alaska
will also spin through the eastern and Central Bering, making for
an active weather pattern. Plenty of precipitation will be present
with this system and due to the warm temperatures also associated
with it, anything that falls will mainly be in the form of rain
or a rain/snow mix.
What really draws attention with this storm is cold air diving
down the backside of the low from the north. This cold air,
coupled with the strength of the low will sustain storm force
winds through the Central Bering tonight, with storm force winds
shifting to the Western Bering tomorrow. Initially it looked at
though these winds would taper off tomorrow, but model guidance
shows they will continue through Sunday. Adjusted the forecast as
a result. We will continue to keep an eye on this system.
&&
.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
The long-term forecast begins Monday night with an active pattern
remaining across much of the forecast domain. The main feature is
a large upper-level low centered south of the AKPEN and
stretching from the central Aleutians and southern Bering through
the Gulf. Multiple embedded shortwaves are pinwheeling around the
main trough, with the first well-defined feature situated south of
Kodiak Island, the second over the north Pacific well south of
the AKPEN, and the third moving across the eastern Aleutians from
the north. With the trough axis primarily over the AKPEN and two
surface lows in the western Gulf, southcentral Alaska will be
under the influence of a southerly fetch bringing a mild,
subtropical airmass from the Pacific into the region. Moving
through the week, both the deterministic guidance as well as their
ensemble counterparts are in relatively good agreement in keeping
this broad trough in place. The differences are in the timing and
position of the shortwaves and the surface features. In terms of
the big picture, the EC, NAM, and GFS all kick the low in the
northern Gulf toward the Alaska Panhandle on Tuesday while the low
in the southern Bering weakens and becomes absorbed into the main
surface low near Kodiak Island. This low then weakens as it
drifts southwest on Wednesday. Farther south, both the EC and GFS
develop a new north Pacific low, moving it toward the Gulf on
Thursday. Here the models diverge greatly, especially with the
timing of the low, as the GFS brings the low into the northern
Gulf by Thursday night while the EC delays the northward
progression by a good 12 hours or so. Either way, it will remain
fairly active across southcentral through next week with wind and
rain along the coast and mixed precipitation for interior
locations.
Farther west, both the GFS and EC develop a ridge over eastern
Russia, keeping a cold, northerly flow over the Bering. Guidance
also develops a low west of Shemya midweek with a front swinging
north across the Aleutians by late week.
&&
.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Blizzard Warning 131 (Thompson Pass).
Winter Weather Advisory 121 125 141.
MARINE...Storm Warning 119 130 131 138 139 160 165 173>176 179>181
185.
Gale Warning 120 125 132 136 137 140 170 172 177.
&&
SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...RA
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...PD
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...BB
LONG TERM...TMThe office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 3:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 61 hr | |
| Nov 10, 3:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 25 hr | |
| Nov 10, 3:00 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 13 hr | |
| Nov 10, 3:39 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Nov 10, 3:39 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 3 days | |
| Nov 10, 3:39 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 47 hr | |
| Nov 10, 11:19 PM AKST | Winter Weather Advisory | AFC | 37 hr | |
| Nov 11, 3:42 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Nov 11, 3:42 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Nov 11, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 72 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.