Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2018

Gale Warning 684, NWS Anchorage, AK

November 11, 2018

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Nov 11, 2018, 3:42 AM AKST. It was in force for 48 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 11, 2018, 3:42 AM AKST (12:42 UTC)
Expired
Nov 13, 2018, 3:52 AM AKST
In force
48 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

050 
FZAK51 PAFC 111242
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-120145-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front persists across the Gulf. A 971 mb North Pacific low moves 
into the Gulf by Mon night and moves to 40 nm south of Kodiak City at
970 mb by Tue morning. Its front moves into the north Gulf Coast 
through Tue morning.

$$

PKZ119-120145-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt, except 40 kt along the coast. Seas 17 ft. 
Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt becoming E 35 kt in the afternoon. Near the
coast, E wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.

$$

PKZ120-120145-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
15 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt becoming NE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 16
ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ121-120145-
Resurrection Bay-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-120145-
Prince William Sound-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 6 ft in the afternoon.
Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-120145-
Port Valdez-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-120145-
Valdez Narrows-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-120145-
Valdez Arm-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-120145-
Passage Canal-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-120145-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt becoming NE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ131-120145-
Barren Islands East-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ132-120145-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ136-120145-
Chiniak Bay-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft in the
afternoon. Patchy fog. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt becoming NE in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft.
Patchy fog. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ137-120145-
Marmot Bay-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft in the
afternoon. Patchy fog. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ138-120145-
Shelikof Strait-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt becoming SE 20 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft subsiding to 6 ft after midnight.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ139-120145-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 8 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ140-120145-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ141-120145-
Kachemak Bay-
342 AM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$
5 follow-up statements
320 
FZAK51 PAFC 120033
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
333 PM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-121345-
333 PM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front over the Gulf will weaken Mon morning. A 974 mb Pacific 
low will move into the southern Gulf Mon afternoon then it will 
move near Sitkinak at 963 mb Tue morning. The low will then move 
over Chignik at 976 mb Tue afternoon. 

$$

PKZ119-121345-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
333 PM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...STORM WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.MON...E wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight.
Near the coast, E wind 50 kt becoming SE 40 kt after midnight. Seas 
23 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 22 ft.

$$

PKZ120-121345-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
333 PM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt becoming E 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
15 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight.
Seas 23 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ121-121345-
Resurrection Bay-
333 PM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-121345-
Prince William Sound-
333 PM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight.
Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ126-121345-
Port Valdez-
333 PM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread
rain showers.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain
showers.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-121345-
Valdez Narrows-
333 PM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-121345-
Valdez Arm-
333 PM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-121345-
Passage Canal-
333 PM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-121345-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
333 PM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ131-121345-
Barren Islands East-
333 PM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...STORM WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 40 kt increasing to 55 kt after midnight. Seas
18 ft building to 31 ft after midnight.
.TUE...E wind 45 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ132-121345-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
333 PM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...STORM WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt becoming S 30 kt after midnight, Seas
16 ft. N of Dangerous Cape, E wind 40 kt becoming SE 50 kt after
midnight, Seas 15 ft building to 30 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ136-121345-
Chiniak Bay-
333 PM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.MON...SE wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5
ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt becoming E 40 kt after midnight. Seas
9 ft building to 16 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-121345-
Marmot Bay-
333 PM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.MON...SE wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft. Widespread rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt becoming E 45 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft building to 19 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-121345-
Shelikof Strait-
333 PM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...STORM WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt becoming SE 20 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft subsiding to 6 ft after midnight. Widespread rain showers.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 6 ft in the afternoon.
Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt increasing to 50 kt after midnight.
Seas 11 ft building to 19 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-121345-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
333 PM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft
building to 6 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-121345-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
333 PM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-121345-
Kachemak Bay-
333 PM AKST Sun Nov 11 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2
ft. Widespread rain showers.
.MON...E wind 10 kt becoming N 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
722 
FZAK51 PAFC 121251
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
351 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-130215-
351 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front over the Gulf will weaken Mon morning. A 972 mb low 70 nm
west of Akhiok Tue morning moves to 200 nm south of Middleton
Island at 989 mb by Wed morning.

$$

PKZ119-130215-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
351 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 45 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt becoming S 20 kt after midnight. Near the
coast, E wind 50 kt becoming SE 35 kt after midnight. Seas 24 ft.
Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas
14 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ120-130215-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
351 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
17 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt becoming SE 25 kt after midnight. Seas
20 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ121-130215-
Resurrection Bay-
351 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt in the morning increasing to 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-130215-
Prince William Sound-
351 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 10
ft subsiding to 6 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-130215-
Port Valdez-
351 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-130215-
Valdez Narrows-
351 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-130215-
Valdez Arm-
351 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-130215-
Passage Canal-
351 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 
ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-130215-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
351 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt becoming NE 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7
ft building to 12 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-130215-
Barren Islands East-
351 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt becoming NE 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
15 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ132-130215-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
351 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt becoming NE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
15 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt in the evening becoming S 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ136-130215-
Chiniak Bay-
351 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt becoming N 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5
ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt in the evening becoming S 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-130215-
Marmot Bay-
351 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt becoming N 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4
ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-130215-
Shelikof Strait-
351 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt becoming NE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft building to 10 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 35 kt becoming NE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-130215-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
351 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt becoming N 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6
ft building to 11 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 
14 ft subsiding to 8 ft after midnight.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-130215-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
351 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt becoming N 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5
ft building to 9 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 10
ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-130215-
Kachemak Bay-
351 AM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt becoming NE in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. 
Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
353 
FZAK51 PAFC 130003
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
303 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-131315-
303 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 979 mb low 100 nm southeast of Sitkinak moves over Bristol Bay Mon
night at 977 mb and dissipates Tue evening. A 967 mb North Pacific 
low moves 300 nm southeast of Sitkinak at 982 mb Tue afternoon and 
then moves 200 nm southeast of Middleton Island at 1003 mb Wed 
afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-131315-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
303 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt becoming S 20 kt after midnight. Near the
coast, E wind 50 kt becoming SE 35 kt after midnight. Seas 24 ft.
Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ120-131315-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
303 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt becoming SE 25 kt after midnight. Seas
20 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ121-131315-
Resurrection Bay-
303 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-131315-
Prince William Sound-
303 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft subsiding to 7 ft after midnight. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-131315-
Port Valdez-
303 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain
showers.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-131315-
Valdez Narrows-
303 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-131315-
Valdez Arm-
303 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-131315-
Passage Canal-
303 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-131315-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
303 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-131315-
Barren Islands East-
303 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ132-131315-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
303 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ136-131315-
Chiniak Bay-
303 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt by late evening. Seas 
10 ft building to 15 ft after midnight. Rain showers.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-131315-
Marmot Bay-
303 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-131315-
Shelikof Strait-
303 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE...E wind 35 kt becoming NE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ139-131315-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
303 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
13 ft subsiding to 8 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-131315-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
303 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 2 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-131315-
Kachemak Bay-
303 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 2 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
258 
FZAK51 PAFC 130501 AAA
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast...UPDATED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
801 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

Updated Zone 129

Coastal waters forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-131815-
801 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 979 mb low 100 nm southeast of Sitkinak moves over Bristol Bay Mon
night at 977 mb and dissipates Tue evening. A 967 mb North Pacific 
low moves 300 nm southeast of Sitkinak at 982 mb Tue afternoon and 
then moves 200 nm southeast of Middleton Island at 1003 mb Wed 
afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-131815-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
801 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt becoming S 20 kt after midnight. Near
the coast, E wind 50 kt becoming SE 35 kt after midnight. Seas
24 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ120-131815-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
801 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt becoming SE 25 kt after midnight. Seas
20 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ121-131815-
Resurrection Bay-
801 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Widespread rain showers. 
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers. 
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers. 
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-131815-
Prince William Sound-
801 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft subsiding to 7 ft after midnight. Widespread rain showers. 
.TUE...E wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain showers. 
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-131815-
Port Valdez-
801 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain showers. 
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain
showers. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-131815-
Valdez Narrows-
801 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers. 
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-131815-
Valdez Arm-
801 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Widespread rain showers. 
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Widespread rain showers. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-131815-
Passage Canal-
801 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt late. Seas 5 ft. 
Widespread rain showers.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft. Widespread rain showers. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-131815-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
801 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers. 
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-131815-
Barren Islands East-
801 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain showers. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers. 
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ132-131815-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
801 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ136-131815-
Chiniak Bay-
801 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt by late evening.
Seas  10 ft building to 15 ft after midnight. Rain showers. 
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft. 
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-131815-
Marmot Bay-
801 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 4 ft. Rain showers. 
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-131815-
Shelikof Strait-
801 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Widespread rain showers. 
.TUE...E wind 35 kt becoming NE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ139-131815-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
801 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 13 ft subsiding to 8 ft after midnight. Rain. 
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-131815-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
801 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 2 ft. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-131815-
Kachemak Bay-
801 PM AKST Mon Nov 12 2018

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 2 ft. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
622 
FZAK51 PAFC 131252
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
352 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-140145-
352 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 978 mb low over Pilot Point Tue morning moves to 120 nm south of
Kodiak Island at 993 mb by Wed morning and then dissipates. A 997
mb North Pacific low Tue morning moves to 260 nm south of Middleton 
Island at 994 mb by Wed morning and then moves into the eastern 
Gulf coast by Wed night.

$$

PKZ119-140145-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
352 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt in the morning becoming N 10 kt in the
afternoon. Gusts to 30 kt near the coast in the early morning. 
Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ120-140145-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
352 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt becoming NE in the afternoon. 
Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ121-140145-
Resurrection Bay-
352 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT AND WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-140145-
Prince William Sound-
352 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt during the morning, 
then becoming variable 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft subsiding 
to 2 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-140145-
Port Valdez-
352 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018

.TODAY...E wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-140145-
Valdez Narrows-
352 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT AND WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-140145-
Valdez Arm-
352 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt becoming N 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT THROUGH SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-140145-
Passage Canal-
352 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt becoming less than 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Gusts to 20 kt near Whittier. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-140145-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
352 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt becoming NE in the afternoon. 
Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-140145-
Barren Islands East-
352 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ132-140145-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
352 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ136-140145-
Chiniak Bay-
352 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 7 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 7 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. Rain showers.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-140145-
Marmot Bay-
352 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Widespread rain 
showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 6 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-140145-
Shelikof Strait-
352 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas 6 ft building 
to 10 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 9 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. 
Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-140145-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
352 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-140145-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
352 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt becoming N 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-140145-
Kachemak Bay-
352 AM AKST Tue Nov 13 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Nov 10, 4:44 PM AKST, 10 hours 58 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 10, 4:44 PM AKST, 10 hours 58 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
444 PM AKST Sat Nov 10 2018

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A southerly moving upper level low, with a digging trough over
the central Aleutians, has become the dominate system aloft. The
upper low is negatively tilted and intensifying as it spins in the
North Pacific, south of the central Aleutians. Stemming from the
Arctic, cold air is wrapping around the backside of the low. On
the leading edge, southerly flow is bringing in warm, moist air
from the tropics. A low at the surface is moving northwestward
from the Pacific along the northerly moving jet stream.
Precipitation is beginning to fall over Southcentral and the AK-
PEN ahead of the warm front extending from the surface low over
the eastern Aleutians.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models are in good agreement initially with the placement of the
low near Sand Point. Models start to diverge Sunday morning as the
system begins to become more complex with a series of lows moving
through the eastern Aleutians from the North Pacific. Models
disagree more so with the strength of the low than with the
placement. Things fall apart Monday afternoon as a second low
moves into the southern Gulf. The EC is on a much faster track
into the Gulf while the NAM lags behind. Eventually the GFS and EC
come into generally good agreement as the low moves over the AK-
PEN Monday night. The NAM is alone as it takes this second low
more northward into the western Gulf.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...As a storm system with tropical moisture moves up from the
Gulf this afternoon and evening cross barrier flow will
strengthen. Oftentimes this results in complete downslope drying.
However, in this case the core of winds are a little higher above
the mountains than a classical downslope case and winds along the
front range of the Chugach will be lighter with more of a
northerly component to the direction. In addition, tropical
moisture can overcome downslope affect and produce precipitation
and lower ceilings. So, expect a period of light snow to overrun
the region this evening. For the most part VFR conditions should
dominate, though a brief period of heavier snow may cause a drop
to MVFR.

The precipitation forecast after 12Z becomes complicated. Warm air
will surge in aloft producing conditions favorable for freezing
rain. The problem is determining whether precipitation will occur
at all in this time frame. There are some weak features moving
through aloft, but nothing strong. For now, will keep dry
conditions in the early morning. Precipitation will become much
more likely after 18z Sunday as short-wave comes up from the
south. By this time expect surface temperatures to be above
freezing resulting in rain.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
A deepening low was located near Sand Point, with additional vort
maxes diving into the back side of an associated from the Bering
Sea. Additionally, a separate area of low pressure was racing
north through the Gulf. This system is of tropical origin, with a
deep tropical plume from Hawaii seen in this afternoon's Layer
Precipitable water vapor satellite imagery. This moisture that's
surging into our region is 300% or more above normal for this time
of year. However there have been a few changes from yesterdays
discussion.

One of the first changes is it was originally thought this would
initially be pointed at the Kenai Peninsula this evening, before
shifting east towards the northeastern Gulf overnight, and then
retrograding back on Sunday. Now, the models show this continuing
to be directed at the Kenai through Monday. This change is a
direct result of the models continuing to struggle with the vort
energy diving into the backside of the trough, causing new
cyclogenesis to commence. Todays run show the first area of low
pressure deeper and further to the southwest of Kodiak Island,
with both the tropical low getting absorbed into the trough, and
additional areas of low pressure developing for reasons described
above. In short, a series of lows (perhaps 3 to 5) will develop
and rotate around each other in a Fujiwhara-like fashion over the
next 24 to 48 hours. This causes the low-level jet to bend back to
the northwest and then west due to a stalled front near the Gulf
coast and the further southwest low positioning.

With a further southwest low position, the warm air arrival will
be delayed some, allowing for a period of freezing rain to develop
after an initial burst of snow for the Kenai Peninsula, where a
winter weather advisory has been issued to account for this.
Further north, the time between the moisture arrival and warm air
arrival is shorter, and confidence in getting any ice accumulation
is low. Further north and east, the current blizzard warning for
Thompson Pass looks good, as heavy snow and high winds are
virtually a slam dunk.

Finally, as another low refocuses the moisture advection into the
coastal areas on Monday, the heavy precipitation initially though
to be in the Sunday night through Monday afternoon has been
delayed by about 6 to 12 hours, but the same concerns remain.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
A complex weather pattern will exist for SW Alaska through the
weekend. A broad area of low pressure is in the western Gulf of
Alaska, with more than one low center spinning within it. Over the
next few days, these smaller areas of circulation will rotate
through SW Alaska, creating periods of precipitation. Due to the
disorganized nature of this pattern, timing and amount of
precipitation will be difficult to predict for specific locations
in SW Alaska.

Adding to the complexity of this system is the warm air that this
low will be bringing into the area. Right now, cold air is in place
at the surface for SW Alaska. As the low pushes precipitation
into the area tonight, warm air will overrun cold air at the
surface, making freezing rain a possibility for inland locations
in the Lower Kuskokwim Valley, as these areas will hold on to cold
air longer. Areas along the coast will start as snow and then
quickly transition to rain as the colder air is displaced.

Also of note with this system will be storm force offshore winds
in Bristol Bay tonight, as the initial front passes through the
area. Winds will quickly diminish tomorrow before increasing again
tomorrow evening, though they are not expected to be as strong.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
The broad area of low pressure affecting SW Alaska will also be
the big weather producer for the Bering Sea for the next few days.
The disorganized low pressure systems spinning through SW Alaska
will also spin through the eastern and Central Bering, making for
an active weather pattern. Plenty of precipitation will be present
with this system and due to the warm temperatures also associated
with it, anything that falls will mainly be in the form of rain
or a rain/snow mix.

What really draws attention with this storm is cold air diving
down the backside of the low from the north. This cold air,
coupled with the strength of the low will sustain storm force
winds through the Central Bering tonight, with storm force winds
shifting to the Western Bering tomorrow. Initially it looked at
though these winds would taper off tomorrow, but model guidance
shows they will continue through Sunday. Adjusted the forecast as
a result. We will continue to keep an eye on this system.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
The long-term forecast begins Monday night with an active pattern
remaining across much of the forecast domain. The main feature is
a large upper-level low centered south of the AKPEN and
stretching from the central Aleutians and southern Bering through
the Gulf. Multiple embedded shortwaves are pinwheeling around the
main trough, with the first well-defined feature situated south of
Kodiak Island, the second over the north Pacific well south of
the AKPEN, and the third moving across the eastern Aleutians from
the north. With the trough axis primarily over the AKPEN and two
surface lows in the western Gulf, southcentral Alaska will be
under the influence of a southerly fetch bringing a mild,
subtropical airmass from the Pacific into the region. Moving
through the week, both the deterministic guidance as well as their
ensemble counterparts are in relatively good agreement in keeping
this broad trough in place. The differences are in the timing and
position of the shortwaves and the surface features. In terms of
the big picture, the EC, NAM, and GFS all kick the low in the
northern Gulf toward the Alaska Panhandle on Tuesday while the low
in the southern Bering weakens and becomes absorbed into the main
surface low near Kodiak Island. This low then weakens as it
drifts southwest on Wednesday. Farther south, both the EC and GFS
develop a new north Pacific low, moving it toward the Gulf on
Thursday. Here the models diverge greatly, especially with the
timing of the low, as the GFS brings the low into the northern
Gulf by Thursday night while the EC delays the northward
progression by a good 12 hours or so. Either way, it will remain
fairly active across southcentral through next week with wind and
rain along the coast and mixed precipitation for interior
locations.

Farther west, both the GFS and EC develop a ridge over eastern
Russia, keeping a cold, northerly flow over the Bering. Guidance
also develops a low west of Shemya midweek with a front swinging
north across the Aleutians by late week.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Blizzard Warning 131 (Thompson Pass).
 Winter Weather Advisory 121 125 141.
MARINE...Storm Warning 119 130 131 138 139 160 165 173>176 179>181
                        185.
 Gale Warning 120 125 132 136 137 140 170 172 177.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...RA
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...PD
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...BB
LONG TERM...TM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 10, 3:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC61 hr
Nov 10, 3:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC25 hr
Nov 10, 3:00 PM AKSTStorm WarningAFC13 hr
Nov 10, 3:39 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Nov 10, 3:39 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC3 days
Nov 10, 3:39 PM AKSTStorm WarningAFC47 hr
Nov 10, 11:19 PM AKSTWinter Weather AdvisoryAFC37 hr
Nov 11, 3:42 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Nov 11, 4:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC60 hr
Nov 11, 4:00 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC72 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2018Every gale warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.