Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2018

Gale Warning 658, NWS Anchorage, AK

November 1, 2018

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Nov 1, 2018, 3:47 PM AKDT. It was in force for 48 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 1, 2018, 3:47 PM AKDT (23:47 UTC)
Expired
Nov 3, 2018, 3:58 PM AKDT
In force
48 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

871 
FZAK51 PAFC 012347
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
347 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-021300-
347 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front in the central Gulf moves to the eastern Gulf Fri morning.
A second front enters the western Gulf Thu night and moves to the
northeastern Gulf Fri afternoon. The associated 976 mb low moves
60 nm south of Sitkinak Sat afternoon at 980 mb.

$$

PKZ119-021300-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
347 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Gusts to 35 kt out of the Copper River
Delta. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt becoming E 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ120-021300-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
347 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9
ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ121-021300-
Resurrection Bay-
347 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-021300-
Prince William Sound-
347 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-021300-
Port Valdez-
347 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-021300-
Valdez Narrows-
347 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-021300-
Valdez Arm-
347 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-021300-
Passage Canal-
347 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Gusts to
30 kt near Whittier in the evening. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-021300-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
347 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9
ft
building to 16 ft in the afternoon.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain and snow.
.SAT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-021300-
Barren Islands East-
347 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. NE gusts to 25 kt near the Barren
Islands in the evening. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft 
building to 14 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ132-021300-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
347 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft.
.FRI...E wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ136-021300-
Chiniak Bay-
347 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SE 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft building to 14 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft. Rain.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-021300-
Marmot Bay-
347 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SE 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 12 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ138-021300-
Shelikof Strait-
347 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming E 25 kt after midnight. Seas 4
ft building to 6 ft after midnight.
.FRI...E wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight.
Seas 9 ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SAT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-021300-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
347 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 6 ft after
midnight.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 9 ft in the afternoon.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ140-021300-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
347 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft building to 6 ft in the afternoon.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-021300-
Kachemak Bay-
347 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
5 follow-up statements
952 
FZAK51 PAFC 021146
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
346 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-030015-
346 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front in the western Gulf will move into the northeastern Gulf
Fri night. The associated North Pacific low will move to 110 nm
southeast of Sitkinak at 988 mb Sun morning. 

$$

PKZ119-030015-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
346 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt becoming E 25 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ120-030015-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
346 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
9 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.SAT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ121-030015-
Resurrection Bay-
346 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-030015-
Prince William Sound-
346 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 6 ft after
midnight.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-030015-
Port Valdez-
346 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-030015-
Valdez Narrows-
346 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-030015-
Valdez Arm-
346 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-030015-
Passage Canal-
346 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-030015-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
346 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
13 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain and snow.
.SAT...NE wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-030015-
Barren Islands East-
346 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft building to 13 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ132-030015-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
346 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ136-030015-
Chiniak Bay-
346 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft building to 14 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. Seas 6
ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.

$$

PKZ137-030015-
Marmot Bay-
346 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-030015-
Shelikof Strait-
346 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft subsiding to 7 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SAT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-030015-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
346 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 9 ft in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-030015-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
346 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-030015-
Kachemak Bay-
346 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
280 
FZAK51 PAFC 022340
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
340 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-031245-
340 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front in the central Gulf moves to the northeastern Gulf Fri
night. The associated 982 mb low moves 90 nm southwest of Sitkinak Sat
afternoon and then moves 130 nm southwest of Sitka Sun afternoon 
at 998 mb.

$$

PKZ119-031245-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
340 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 35 kt. Seas building to 12 ft. Rain.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ120-031245-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
340 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 35 kt. Seas building to 14 ft. Rain.
.SAT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ121-031245-
Resurrection Bay-
340 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-031245-
Prince William Sound-
340 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft 
after midnight.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-031245-
Port Valdez-
340 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-031245-
Valdez Narrows-
340 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-031245-
Valdez Arm-
340 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-031245-
Passage Canal-
340 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-031245-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
340 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain and snow.
.SAT...NE wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-031245-
Barren Islands East-
340 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ132-031245-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
340 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers and isolated
thunderstorms.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ136-031245-
Chiniak Bay-
340 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. Seas 6
ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.WED...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.

$$

PKZ137-031245-
Marmot Bay-
340 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft subsiding to 6 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt becoming N 15 kt after midnight. Seas
8 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SUN...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.

$$

PKZ138-031245-
Shelikof Strait-
340 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft subsiding to 7 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SAT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ139-031245-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
340 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 35 kt. Seas building to 11 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-031245-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
340 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-031245-
Kachemak Bay-
340 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas building to 4 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 2 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
789 
FZAK51 PAFC 030628
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
1028 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

Coastal waters forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-031915-
1028 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front in the central Gulf moves to the northeastern Gulf Fri
night. The associated 982 mb low moves 90 nm southwest of Sitkinak Sat
afternoon and then moves 130 nm southwest of Sitka Sun afternoon 
at 998 mb.

$$

PKZ119-031915-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
1028 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 35 kt. Seas building to 12 ft.
Rain. 
.SAT...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft. Rain. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ120-031915-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
1028 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 35 kt. Seas building to 14 ft.
Rain. 
.SAT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ121-031915-
Resurrection Bay-
1028 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow. 
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-031915-
Prince William Sound-
1028 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 3 ft building to
5 ft  after midnight. 
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-031915-
Port Valdez-
1028 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-031915-
Valdez Narrows-
1028 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-031915-
Valdez Arm-
1028 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-031915-
Passage Canal-
1028 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-031915-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
1028 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain and snow. 
.SAT...NE wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 ft. Rain. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-031915-
Barren Islands East-
1028 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain. 
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ132-031915-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
1028 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers and isolated
thunderstorms. 
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain. 
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ136-031915-
Chiniak Bay-
1028 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft. Rain showers. 
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain. 
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft. 
.WED...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.

$$

PKZ137-031915-
Marmot Bay-
1028 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft subsiding to 6 ft after midnight. Rain. 
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt becoming N 15 kt after midnight. Seas
8 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. Rain. 
.SUN...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.

$$

PKZ138-031915-
Shelikof Strait-
1028 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft subsiding to 7 ft after midnight. Rain. 
.SAT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain. 
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ139-031915-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
1028 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 35 kt. Seas building to 11 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-031915-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
1028 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft. 
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-031915-
Kachemak Bay-
1028 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas building to 4 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
063 
FZAK51 PAFC 031134
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
334 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-040015-
334 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front in the North Pacific will dissipate Sat afternoon. A 987
mb low will move to 100 nm southeast of Sitkinak Sat night then 
it will move into the southeastern Gulf Sun afternoon. 

$$

PKZ119-040015-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
334 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
13 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ120-040015-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
334 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt becoming NE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
13 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ121-040015-
Resurrection Bay-
334 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-040015-
Prince William Sound-
334 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt becoming N 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2
ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-040015-
Port Valdez-
334 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-040015-
Valdez Narrows-
334 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-040015-
Valdez Arm-
334 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ129-040015-
Passage Canal-
334 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...W wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2
ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-040015-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
334 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt becoming N 20 kt after midnight. Seas 7
ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ131-040015-
Barren Islands East-
334 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ132-040015-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
334 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ136-040015-
Chiniak Bay-
334 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
5 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-040015-
Marmot Bay-
334 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft in the
afternoon.
Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 4 ft after
midnight.
.SUN...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-040015-
Shelikof Strait-
334 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft subsiding to 6 ft after
midnight.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-040015-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
334 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-040015-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
334 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-040015-
Kachemak Bay-
334 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2
ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
316 
FZAK51 PAFC 032358
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
358 PM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-041230-
358 PM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 983 mb low 120 nm southwest of Sitkinak moves into the eastern 
Gulf Sun afternoon at 1000 mb. A weak ridge enters the western 
Gulf Mon afternoon. 

$$

PKZ119-041230-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
358 PM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt out of the Copper River
Delta. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt out of the Copper River
Delta. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Gusts to 30 kt out of the Copper River 
Delta. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ120-041230-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
358 PM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ121-041230-
Resurrection Bay-
358 PM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-041230-
Prince William Sound-
358 PM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt becoming N 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-041230-
Port Valdez-
358 PM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-041230-
Valdez Narrows-
358 PM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-041230-
Valdez Arm-
358 PM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ129-041230-
Passage Canal-
358 PM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...W wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2
ft. Gusts to 30 kt near Whittier.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 2 ft. Gusts to 30 kt near Whittier.
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-041230-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
358 PM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt becoming N 20 kt after midnight. Seas 9
ft subsiding to 5 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ131-041230-
Barren Islands East-
358 PM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ132-041230-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
358 PM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ136-041230-
Chiniak Bay-
358 PM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt becoming W 15 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.

$$

PKZ137-041230-
Marmot Bay-
358 PM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 4 ft after
midnight.
.SUN...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ138-041230-
Shelikof Strait-
358 PM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 10
ft subsiding to 6 ft after midnight.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after
midnight.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-041230-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
358 PM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ140-041230-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
358 PM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.

$$

PKZ141-041230-
Kachemak Bay-
358 PM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Nov 1, 11:14 AM AKDT, 4 hours 33 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 1, 11:14 AM AKDT, 4 hours 33 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
1114 AM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A ridge of high pressure located across southwest Alaska this
morning was building into the Mat-Su Valleys south through the
Cook Inlet region, as an area of low pressure is quickly lifting
into the northeastern Gulf ahead of the building ridge. This
mornings soundings show pretty stout low-level inversions with
abundant dry air across these locations.

Further west, an area of low pressure was lifting north through
the central Aleutians, with Gale Force winds already observed
south of the chain in the observations. The latest scatterometer
pass indicates these winds extend north into the southern Bering
as well. Finally, a strengthening area of low pressure was located
south of Shemya, with satellite imagery showing cloud tops
continuing to cool.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Overall the models remain in good agreement at the surface and
aloft. The main forecast issue with the models revolves around
when and where a triple point low develops southwest or near
Kodiak Island, and how fast its attendant front swings northward
towards the southcentral coast. The GFS continues to be slightly
faster with this feature, but, the latest NAM is now showing a
quicker low development which suggests maybe it's trying to trend
towards the GFS. In any cast, forecast confidence is above average
given the good continuity.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions and light winds will persist.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
High pressure at the surface and aloft will continue over the
Southcentral mainland into Friday. The offshore surface gradient
is stronger today than it has been, resulting in the gap winds
increasing. Weak flow over the Copper Basin will keep threats for
fog and low stratus in place into Friday at least. A front will
move into the northern Gulf on Friday, and the upper level high
will begin to retreat northward. The front will stretch out and
be oriented east-to-west just off the north Gulf coast Friday
night. Precipitation will reach Kodiak Island during the day
Friday, and to the north Gulf coast Friday night. Dry conditions
are expected for most inland areas as the front stalls.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2: Today through
Friday Night)...

High pressure remains established across Southwest Alaska this
morning. The first forecast challenge remains the ongoing fog
across Bethel and the Kuskokwim Delta. Offshore winds, albeit
fairly light, are not having much effect on the fog so far, so
it's likely it will persist into the morning, with perhaps some
patchy fog redeveloping again tonight. A weakening front and
associated low will keep things breezy along the coast through
Friday. On Friday morning, a front associated with a strong low
over the eastern Aleutians will bring warmer air and rain chances
to Bristol Bay, with higher elevation snows for the Alaska Range
and the Kuskokwim Mountains. As the front presses inland, it will
weaken, but in the unlikely event some of that moisture gets over
the Kuskokwim Mountains into the Kuskokwim Delta Friday evening
and Friday night, there is a slight chance for some patchy
freezing rain as the warm air associated with the front is
unlikely to succeed at scouring out all of the cold air near the
surface. Gusty gap winds through Lake Iliamna will increase Friday
afternoon and night as the front moves in.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2: Today
through Friday Night)...

An area of low pressure currently spinning south of Adak this
morning will be the focus for all of the Bering's weather over the
next two days. A dissipating front, currently over the eastern
Bering, will be absorbed into the strengthening low as tracks
south of Dutch Harbor this evening. Much of the strongest winds
associated with the low will be with the occluded front that moves
east of the low into the Alaska Peninsula tonight. Widespread
gale force winds (35-45 kt) are expected, with a brief period of
storm force winds (50-60 kt) as well south of the Alaska Peninsula
tonight into the day Friday. As the center of the low approaches
the Pacific side of Unalaska Island Friday morning, it will stall
out there for the rest of the day Friday. This will allow for a
prolonged period of strong gale force winds across much of the
southern Bering from Bristol Bay through almost to Atka from late
tonight through into Friday evening. The weakening low at this
point will then begin a slower eastward movement, with the center
remaining south of the Aleutians and Alaska Peninsula into
Saturday morning. Since the low will bring in slightly warmer air,
all areas impacted by the low should see only rain as the
dominant precipitation type.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7)...

The extended period begins Saturday evening with a ridge of high
pressure situated over the Alaska mainland. Near Kodiak Island, a
surface low is beginning to fill as it loses upper-level support
with the jet now racing west to east well south of the state. A
decaying occlusion remains draped across the Gulf east of the low
with a secondary surface low over the Alaska Panhandle. farther
west, conditions remain unsettled as an inverted trough lifts
north across the Bering while a mature low begins to slide east
from Kamchatka. Between the two, a weak ridge lies across the
central Bering. However, low-level moisture and a west-northwest
flow is keeping showers across this part of the chain.

Moving forward through the weekend, the low near Kodiak moves west
to east across the Gulf. Uncertainties in the forecast remain as
they have in previous days, though, as the GFS continues to
strengthen the low and track it farther into the northern Gulf
than the EC, NAM, and Canadian. Given the combination of colder
surface temperatures, the strength of the high pressure over the
mainland interior, and current outflow winds, the GFS is seen as
the outlier in bringing the low and associated occlusion into the
northern Gulf. With the EC favored, this would suggest limited
moisture for southcentral, with precipitation confined to the
coast this weekend. Farther west, the latest GFS/GEFS runs are
also the most aggressive with the placement of the Kamchatka low
and its associated front draped across the Bering. This, too, is
seen as the outlier, with the latest EC runs favored. This would
place the front over the central Bering and Aleutians by Sunday
with a weaker trough along the southwest coast.

Uncertainty within the guidance grows quite a bit moving into
early next week as the GFS continues to erode the high pressure
over the mainland and push the trough over the Bering east. The EC
and to a lesser extent the FV3 amplify the long-wave pattern,
keeping a stout trough over the Bering and ridge in place over the
Alaska mainland. While guidance from the GFS and EC would keep
conditions unsettled across the Bering to the southwest coast
(strong westerly winds and plenty of precipitation), the
differences become more pronounced downstream. To put it
differently, the GFS solutions favor shortwaves pushing across the
southwest and eventually into the northern Gulf and across
southcentral beginning early Monday lingering through midweek. The
EC would favor a drier solution, holding off on the advancement
of the trough through the interior until Tuesday. But the EC also
has a distinct south to north flow east of the AKPEN which would
help advect more moisture and warmer air into southcentral by mid
week.

Given the issues with the GFS in the short term, it is difficult
to lend it any credence through the mid term. Therefore, the
forecast into early next week is weighted toward the EC solution.
However, it is also difficult to buy into the large amplitude
solution of the EC moving beyond Monday. Therefore, after Monday
a compromise between the EC and GFS is favored. This would begin
to erode the high from the south and west late Monday and
eventually bring moisture back into the mainland interior and
southern coast by Tuesday.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Storm warning 150 155
 Gale Warning 130 131 132 136 138 160 165 170 171 172 179 180

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...PD
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BL
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JW
LONG TERM...TM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 1, 3:42 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC60 hr
Nov 1, 3:42 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr
Nov 1, 3:44 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC48 hr
Nov 1, 3:44 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC11 hr
Nov 1, 3:44 AM AKDTStorm WarningAFC36 hr
Nov 1, 3:11 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC24 hr
Nov 1, 3:45 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC36 hr
Nov 1, 3:47 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC48 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2018Every gale warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.