Gale Warning 657, NWS Anchorage, AK

401 
FZAK52 PAFC 020556 AAA
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast...UPDATED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

Updated 170 171 172

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-021830-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 966 mb low 340 nm southeast of Adak moves over Dutch Harbor
at 964 mb Fri afternoon. The low then moves into the Gulf Sat 
afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-021830-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft building to 16 ft after midnight. Rain. 
.FRI...SE wind 50 kt becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
18 ft.  Rain. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain. 
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ155-021830-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt becoming SE 50 kt after midnight. From
the Shumagin Islands E, SE wind 30 kt becoming E 50 kt after
midnight. Seas 15 ft building to 20 ft after midnight. Rain. 
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, SE wind 40 kt
becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 21 ft. Rain. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 21 ft. Rain. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ160-021830-
Bristol Bay-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight.  Seas
4 ft building to 8 ft after midnight. 
.FRI...E wind 45 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ165-021830-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
14 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ170-021830-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E of Unalaska...E wind 50 kt with gusts to 60 kt 
diminishing to 40 kt late. W of Unalaska...E wind 40 kt. Seas 9 
ft building to 14 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
15 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ171-021830-
Unalaska Bay-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt with gusts to 45 kt increasing to 35 kt
with gusts to 50 kt by midnight. Seas building to 5 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NW 10 kt
after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-021830-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt with gusts to 60 kt becoming SE 25 kt 
late. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 20 ft.
Rain. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. 
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ173-021830-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 13 ft. Rain. 
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ174-021830-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain. 
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ175-021830-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ176-021830-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. 
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ177-021830-
Adak to Kiska-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ178-021830-
Kiska to Attu-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ179-021830-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 16 ft. 
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ180-021830-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt in the evening increasing to 35 kt. Seas
12  ft. 
.FRI...E wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight.
Seas 12 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ181-021830-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ185-021830-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

090 
FZAK52 PAFC 021148
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-030015-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 957 mb low 90 nm southwest of Dutch Harbor will move to 80 nm 
southwest of Sand Point at 971 mb Sat morning. The low will then 
move into the southwestern Gulf at 988 mb Sun morning. A front 
will move over the western Aleutians Sun morning.

$$

PKZ150-030015-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 50 kt becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
18 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ155-030015-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, S wind 40 kt
diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 20 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ160-030015-
Bristol Bay-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ165-030015-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
14 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt except NE 35 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ170-030015-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt becoming NE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
16 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ171-030015-
Unalaska Bay-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-030015-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ173-030015-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ174-030015-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ175-030015-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ176-030015-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ177-030015-
Adak to Kiska-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ178-030015-
Kiska to Attu-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ179-030015-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ180-030015-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 45 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ181-030015-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ185-030015-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 24 ft.

$$

872 
FZAK52 PAFC 022322
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-031230-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 959 mb low 90 nm southwest of Dutch Harbor moves into the Gulf Sat
afternoon. A front enters the western Bering Sun afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-031230-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ155-031230-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ160-031230-
Bristol Bay-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ165-031230-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt except NE 35 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 7 ft. 
Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ170-031230-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ171-031230-
Unalaska Bay-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-031230-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ173-031230-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ174-031230-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ175-031230-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ176-031230-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ177-031230-
Adak to Kiska-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ178-031230-
Kiska to Attu-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...W wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ179-031230-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ180-031230-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ181-031230-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...S wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ185-031230-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 50 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.MON...S wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
1114 AM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A ridge of high pressure located across southwest Alaska this
morning was building into the Mat-Su Valleys south through the
Cook Inlet region, as an area of low pressure is quickly lifting
into the northeastern Gulf ahead of the building ridge. This
mornings soundings show pretty stout low-level inversions with
abundant dry air across these locations.

Further west, an area of low pressure was lifting north through
the central Aleutians, with Gale Force winds already observed
south of the chain in the observations. The latest scatterometer
pass indicates these winds extend north into the southern Bering
as well. Finally, a strengthening area of low pressure was located
south of Shemya, with satellite imagery showing cloud tops
continuing to cool.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Overall the models remain in good agreement at the surface and
aloft. The main forecast issue with the models revolves around
when and where a triple point low develops southwest or near
Kodiak Island, and how fast its attendant front swings northward
towards the southcentral coast. The GFS continues to be slightly
faster with this feature, but, the latest NAM is now showing a
quicker low development which suggests maybe it's trying to trend
towards the GFS. In any cast, forecast confidence is above average
given the good continuity.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions and light winds will persist.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
High pressure at the surface and aloft will continue over the
Southcentral mainland into Friday. The offshore surface gradient
is stronger today than it has been, resulting in the gap winds
increasing. Weak flow over the Copper Basin will keep threats for
fog and low stratus in place into Friday at least. A front will
move into the northern Gulf on Friday, and the upper level high
will begin to retreat northward. The front will stretch out and
be oriented east-to-west just off the north Gulf coast Friday
night. Precipitation will reach Kodiak Island during the day
Friday, and to the north Gulf coast Friday night. Dry conditions
are expected for most inland areas as the front stalls.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2: Today through
Friday Night)...

High pressure remains established across Southwest Alaska this
morning. The first forecast challenge remains the ongoing fog
across Bethel and the Kuskokwim Delta. Offshore winds, albeit
fairly light, are not having much effect on the fog so far, so
it's likely it will persist into the morning, with perhaps some
patchy fog redeveloping again tonight. A weakening front and
associated low will keep things breezy along the coast through
Friday. On Friday morning, a front associated with a strong low
over the eastern Aleutians will bring warmer air and rain chances
to Bristol Bay, with higher elevation snows for the Alaska Range
and the Kuskokwim Mountains. As the front presses inland, it will
weaken, but in the unlikely event some of that moisture gets over
the Kuskokwim Mountains into the Kuskokwim Delta Friday evening
and Friday night, there is a slight chance for some patchy
freezing rain as the warm air associated with the front is
unlikely to succeed at scouring out all of the cold air near the
surface. Gusty gap winds through Lake Iliamna will increase Friday
afternoon and night as the front moves in.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2: Today
through Friday Night)...

An area of low pressure currently spinning south of Adak this
morning will be the focus for all of the Bering's weather over the
next two days. A dissipating front, currently over the eastern
Bering, will be absorbed into the strengthening low as tracks
south of Dutch Harbor this evening. Much of the strongest winds
associated with the low will be with the occluded front that moves
east of the low into the Alaska Peninsula tonight. Widespread
gale force winds (35-45 kt) are expected, with a brief period of
storm force winds (50-60 kt) as well south of the Alaska Peninsula
tonight into the day Friday. As the center of the low approaches
the Pacific side of Unalaska Island Friday morning, it will stall
out there for the rest of the day Friday. This will allow for a
prolonged period of strong gale force winds across much of the
southern Bering from Bristol Bay through almost to Atka from late
tonight through into Friday evening. The weakening low at this
point will then begin a slower eastward movement, with the center
remaining south of the Aleutians and Alaska Peninsula into
Saturday morning. Since the low will bring in slightly warmer air,
all areas impacted by the low should see only rain as the
dominant precipitation type.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7)...

The extended period begins Saturday evening with a ridge of high
pressure situated over the Alaska mainland. Near Kodiak Island, a
surface low is beginning to fill as it loses upper-level support
with the jet now racing west to east well south of the state. A
decaying occlusion remains draped across the Gulf east of the low
with a secondary surface low over the Alaska Panhandle. farther
west, conditions remain unsettled as an inverted trough lifts
north across the Bering while a mature low begins to slide east
from Kamchatka. Between the two, a weak ridge lies across the
central Bering. However, low-level moisture and a west-northwest
flow is keeping showers across this part of the chain.

Moving forward through the weekend, the low near Kodiak moves west
to east across the Gulf. Uncertainties in the forecast remain as
they have in previous days, though, as the GFS continues to
strengthen the low and track it farther into the northern Gulf
than the EC, NAM, and Canadian. Given the combination of colder
surface temperatures, the strength of the high pressure over the
mainland interior, and current outflow winds, the GFS is seen as
the outlier in bringing the low and associated occlusion into the
northern Gulf. With the EC favored, this would suggest limited
moisture for southcentral, with precipitation confined to the
coast this weekend. Farther west, the latest GFS/GEFS runs are
also the most aggressive with the placement of the Kamchatka low
and its associated front draped across the Bering. This, too, is
seen as the outlier, with the latest EC runs favored. This would
place the front over the central Bering and Aleutians by Sunday
with a weaker trough along the southwest coast.

Uncertainty within the guidance grows quite a bit moving into
early next week as the GFS continues to erode the high pressure
over the mainland and push the trough over the Bering east. The EC
and to a lesser extent the FV3 amplify the long-wave pattern,
keeping a stout trough over the Bering and ridge in place over the
Alaska mainland. While guidance from the GFS and EC would keep
conditions unsettled across the Bering to the southwest coast
(strong westerly winds and plenty of precipitation), the
differences become more pronounced downstream. To put it
differently, the GFS solutions favor shortwaves pushing across the
southwest and eventually into the northern Gulf and across
southcentral beginning early Monday lingering through midweek. The
EC would favor a drier solution, holding off on the advancement
of the trough through the interior until Tuesday. But the EC also
has a distinct south to north flow east of the AKPEN which would
help advect more moisture and warmer air into southcentral by mid
week.

Given the issues with the GFS in the short term, it is difficult
to lend it any credence through the mid term. Therefore, the
forecast into early next week is weighted toward the EC solution.
However, it is also difficult to buy into the large amplitude
solution of the EC moving beyond Monday. Therefore, after Monday
a compromise between the EC and GFS is favored. This would begin
to erode the high from the south and west late Monday and
eventually bring moisture back into the mainland interior and
southern coast by Tuesday.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Storm warning 150 155
 Gale Warning 130 131 132 136 138 160 165 170 171 172 179 180

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...PD
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BL
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JW
LONG TERM...TM