Gale Warning 656, NWS Anchorage, AK

478 
FZAK52 PAFC 012311
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
311 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-021230-
311 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 966 mb low 340 nm southeast of Adak moves over Dutch Harbor
at 964 mb Fri afternoon. The low then moves into the Gulf Sat 
afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-021230-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
311 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft building to 16 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 50 kt becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 18 ft. 
Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ155-021230-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
311 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt becoming SE 50 kt after midnight. From the
Shumagin Islands E, SE wind 30 kt becoming E 50 kt after midnight.
Seas 15 ft building to 20 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, SE wind 40 kt
becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ160-021230-
Bristol Bay-
311 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft building to 8 ft after midnight.
.FRI...E wind 45 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ165-021230-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
311 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft.
.FRI...E wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
14 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ170-021230-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
311 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas 9 
ft building to 14 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
15 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ171-021230-
Unalaska Bay-
311 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt by late evening. 
Seas building to 5 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NW 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-021230-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
311 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 20 ft.
Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ173-021230-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
311 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ174-021230-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
311 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ175-021230-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
311 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ176-021230-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
311 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ177-021230-
Adak to Kiska-
311 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ178-021230-
Kiska to Attu-
311 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ179-021230-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
311 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ180-021230-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
311 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt in the evening increasing to 35 kt. Seas 12 
ft.
.FRI...E wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight.
Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ181-021230-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
311 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ185-021230-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
311 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

401 
FZAK52 PAFC 020556 AAA
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast...UPDATED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

Updated 170 171 172

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-021830-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 966 mb low 340 nm southeast of Adak moves over Dutch Harbor
at 964 mb Fri afternoon. The low then moves into the Gulf Sat 
afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-021830-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft building to 16 ft after midnight. Rain. 
.FRI...SE wind 50 kt becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
18 ft.  Rain. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain. 
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ155-021830-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt becoming SE 50 kt after midnight. From
the Shumagin Islands E, SE wind 30 kt becoming E 50 kt after
midnight. Seas 15 ft building to 20 ft after midnight. Rain. 
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, SE wind 40 kt
becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 21 ft. Rain. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 21 ft. Rain. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ160-021830-
Bristol Bay-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight.  Seas
4 ft building to 8 ft after midnight. 
.FRI...E wind 45 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ165-021830-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
14 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ170-021830-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E of Unalaska...E wind 50 kt with gusts to 60 kt 
diminishing to 40 kt late. W of Unalaska...E wind 40 kt. Seas 9 
ft building to 14 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
15 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ171-021830-
Unalaska Bay-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt with gusts to 45 kt increasing to 35 kt
with gusts to 50 kt by midnight. Seas building to 5 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NW 10 kt
after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-021830-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt with gusts to 60 kt becoming SE 25 kt 
late. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 20 ft.
Rain. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. 
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ173-021830-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 13 ft. Rain. 
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ174-021830-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain. 
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ175-021830-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ176-021830-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. 
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ177-021830-
Adak to Kiska-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ178-021830-
Kiska to Attu-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ179-021830-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 16 ft. 
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ180-021830-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt in the evening increasing to 35 kt. Seas
12  ft. 
.FRI...E wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight.
Seas 12 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ181-021830-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ185-021830-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
956 PM AKDT Thu Nov 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

090 
FZAK52 PAFC 021148
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-030015-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 957 mb low 90 nm southwest of Dutch Harbor will move to 80 nm 
southwest of Sand Point at 971 mb Sat morning. The low will then 
move into the southwestern Gulf at 988 mb Sun morning. A front 
will move over the western Aleutians Sun morning.

$$

PKZ150-030015-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 50 kt becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
18 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ155-030015-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, S wind 40 kt
diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 20 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ160-030015-
Bristol Bay-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ165-030015-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
14 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt except NE 35 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ170-030015-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt becoming NE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
16 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ171-030015-
Unalaska Bay-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-030015-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ173-030015-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ174-030015-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ175-030015-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ176-030015-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ177-030015-
Adak to Kiska-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ178-030015-
Kiska to Attu-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ179-030015-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ180-030015-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 45 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ181-030015-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ185-030015-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
348 AM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 24 ft.

$$

872 
FZAK52 PAFC 022322
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-031230-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 959 mb low 90 nm southwest of Dutch Harbor moves into the Gulf Sat
afternoon. A front enters the western Bering Sun afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-031230-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ155-031230-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ160-031230-
Bristol Bay-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ165-031230-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt except NE 35 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 7 ft. 
Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ170-031230-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ171-031230-
Unalaska Bay-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-031230-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ173-031230-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ174-031230-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ175-031230-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ176-031230-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ177-031230-
Adak to Kiska-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ178-031230-
Kiska to Attu-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...W wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ179-031230-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ180-031230-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ181-031230-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...S wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ185-031230-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
322 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 50 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.MON...S wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

192 
FZAK52 PAFC 030630 AAA
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast...UPDATED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
1030 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

Updated 150

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-031915-
1030 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 959 mb low 90 nm southwest of Dutch Harbor moves into the Gulf Sat
afternoon. A front enters the western Bering Sun afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-031915-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
1030 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. Isolated thunderstorms.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain. 
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ155-031915-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
1030 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain showers. 
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain showers. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON THROUGH WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ160-031915-
Bristol Bay-
1030 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ165-031915-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
1030 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt except NE 35 kt from Port Moller E. Seas
7 ft.  Rain showers. 
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ170-031915-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
1030 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers. 
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ171-031915-
Unalaska Bay-
1030 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers. 
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON THROUGH WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-031915-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
1030 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain showers. 
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ173-031915-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
1030 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ174-031915-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
1030 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers. 
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ175-031915-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
1030 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ176-031915-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
1030 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.MON THROUGH WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ177-031915-
Adak to Kiska-
1030 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.MON...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ178-031915-
Kiska to Attu-
1030 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.MON...W wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ179-031915-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
1030 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain. 
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ180-031915-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
1030 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain. 
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ181-031915-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
1030 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...S wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ185-031915-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
1030 PM AKDT Fri Nov 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 50 kt. Seas 22 ft. 
.MON...S wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft. 
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

513 
FZAK52 PAFC 031140
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
340 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-040015-
340 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 971 mb low 110 mb south of Dutch Harbor will move to 110 nm
southeast of Sitkinak at 987 mb Sat night. A front moves over the
western Aleutians Sun morning then it will spread over the 
central Aleutians through Mon.

$$

PKZ150-040015-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
340 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ155-040015-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
340 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ160-040015-
Bristol Bay-
340 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt becoming N 15 kt after midnight. Seas 5
ft.
.SUN...NW wind 10 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ165-040015-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
340 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ170-040015-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
340 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ171-040015-
Unalaska Bay-
340 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 3 ft after
midnight.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-040015-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
340 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ173-040015-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
340 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ174-040015-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
340 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ175-040015-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
340 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.

$$

PKZ176-040015-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
340 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ177-040015-
Adak to Kiska-
340 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.

$$

PKZ178-040015-
Kiska to Attu-
340 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON...W wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ179-040015-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
340 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ180-040015-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
340 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming NW 10 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ181-040015-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
340 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ185-040015-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
340 AM AKDT Sat Nov 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...E of Saint Matthew Island, SW wind 20 kt. W of Saint
Matthew Island, SW wind 20 kt becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...S wind 45 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.TUE...W wind 45 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
500 PM AKDT Wed Oct 31 2018

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
An upper level ridge of high pressure remains in place along an
axis extending from Southwest Alaska into the Gulf. An upper level
trough situated just south of the eastern Aleutians is slowly
weakening.

Satellite imagery shows generally clear skies across much of the
southern mainland with some high clouds in place over Southwest
Alaska. In addition to high level clouds, moist low level air
coupled with subsidence from the building high pressure has
generated fog across Southwest mainland Alaska and areas along
the northern AKPEN, as well as across the Copper River Basin.
Along with clear skies in Southcentral, surface observations
indicate light northerly winds with gustier outflow winds in place
along the southern end of Cook Inlet.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Model solutions remain in good agreement through the near term.
Minor disagreement arises early this weekend with the exact
placement of an upper level North Pacific low that approaches the
eastern Aleutians Fri morning. Models also disagree with placement
of the leading warm front associated with this low. Currently,
the GFS is most aggressive and brings this warm front through
Southcentral Fri night while the EC/NAM solution shows the warm
front stalling out. At this time, the EC/NAM solution is
preferred.

&&

.AVIATION...
The only question for the TAF is whether there will be any stratus
that develops overnight into tomorrow morning. The northerly flow
will persist and this has kept the atmosphere mixed well enough
to keep any significant fog from forming and also kept the stratus
from taking hold this morning. At this time it looks a lot like a
repeat for tomorrow morning with only FEW to SCT cloud coverage
for the stratus.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...
Cold surface high pressure and offshore flow is the name of the
game for Southcentral and most of the Gulf of Alaska today as a
strong gale force low skirts the southern Gulf. The low will get
closest to the Gulf Coast Thursday afternoon and evening, in
conjunction with a switch to weak northerly flow aloft, so
expecting the best gradient at that time to push slightly stronger
gap winds. Otherwise, weak flow over the Copper Basin will keep
threats for fog and low stratus in place through at least Thursday
and possibly longer.

The next front moves into the Gulf of Alaska Friday which will
bring rain and gale force winds to Kodiak before the front stalls
over the North Gulf. Expecting dry conditions inland into and
possibly through the weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...
Ridging over southwest Alaska has started to clear out cloud cover
over the area. The ridge axis is pushing east through the area
and as it does the winds will shift to a northeasterly direction.
These northeast winds will last through the night and should be
strong enough to keep fog from forming over the southwest mainland
tonight. This fair weather pattern will last into Friday when a
front moving through the Aleutians will make its way to the
Bristol Bay area. The front will stall there and bring precip to
the Bristol Bay area through Saturday with rain along the coast
and snow further inland.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3)...
A weak low south of the eastern Aleutians is following a track to
the northwest and is bringing rain to the islands as it passes. It
will move into the southern Bering this evening where it will
dissipate. The next system headed this way looks to be much
stronger. It will also come up from the North Pacific bringing
another push of warm air to the area. Its front will make it to
the eastern Aleutians Thursday evening and to the Alaska
Peninsula Friday morning. Strong winds will also be associated
with this system with storm force winds expected on the Pacific
side of the Alaska Peninsula Thursday night into Friday morning.
The main low will not make it into the Bering but will instead
veer off to the east Friday morning where it will diminish as it
tracks toward the Gulf.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7)...
The extended period begins Saturday evening with a ridge of high
pressure situated over the Alaska mainland. Near Kodiak Island, a
surface low is beginning to fill as it loses upper-level support
with the jet now racing west to east well south of the state. A
decaying occlusion remains draped across the Gulf east of the low
with a secondary surface low over the Alaska Panhandle. farther
west, conditions remain unsettled as an inverted trough lifts
north across the Bering while a mature low begins to slide east
from Kamchatka. Between the two, a weak ridge lies across the
central Bering. However, low-level moisture and a west-northwest
flow is keeping showers across this part of the chain.

Moving forward through the weekend, the low near Kodiak moves west
to east across the Gulf. Uncertainties in the forecast remain as
they have in previous days, though, as the GFS continues to
strengthen the low and track it farther into the northern Gulf
than the EC, NAM, and Canadian. Given the combination of colder
surface temperatures, the strength of the high pressure over the
mainland interior, and current outflow winds, the GFS is seen as
the outlier in bringing the low and associated occlusion into the
northern Gulf. With the EC favored, this would suggest limited
moisture for southcentral, with precipitation confined to the
coast this weekend. Farther west, the latest GFS/GEFS runs are
also the most aggressive with the placement of the Kamchatka low
and its associated front draped across the Bering. This, too, is
seen as the outlier, with the latest EC runs favored. This would
place the front over the central Bering and Aleutians by Sunday
with a weaker trough along the southwest coast.

Uncertainty within the guidance grows quite a bit moving into
early next week as the GFS continues to erode the high pressure
over the mainland and push the trough over the Bering east. The
EC and to a lesser extent the FV3 amplify the long-wave pattern,
keeping a stout trough over the Bering and ridge in place over
the Alaska mainland. While guidance from the GFS and EC would
keep conditions unsettled across the Bering to the southwest coast
(strong westerly winds and plenty of precipitation), the differences
become more pronounced downstream. To put it differently, the
GFS solutions favor shortwaves pushing across the southwest and
eventually into the northern Gulf and across southcentral
beginning early Monday lingering through midweek. The EC would
favor a drier solution, holding off on the advancement of the
trough through the interior until Tuesday. But the EC also has a
distinct south to north flow east of the AKPEN which would help
advect more moisture and warmer air into Southcentral by mid
week.

Given the issues with the GFS in the short-term, it is difficult
to lend it any credence through the mid-term. Therefore, the
forecast into early next week is weighted toward the EC solution.
However, it is also difficult to buy into the large amplitude
solution of the EC moving beyond Monday. Therefore, after Monday a
compromise between the EC and GFS is favored. This would begin to
erode the high from the south and west late Monday and eventually
bring moisture back into the mainland interior and southern coast
by Tuesday.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Storm Warning 155. Gale Warning 150 165 170 171 172 173
174 179 180 .

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...KO
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...JA
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DK
LONG TERM...TM