Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2018

Gale Warning 57, NWS Anchorage, AK

January 15, 2018

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Jan 15, 2018, 3:50 AM AKST. It was in force for 48 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 15, 2018, 3:50 AM AKST (12:50 UTC)
Expired
Jan 17, 2018, 3:44 AM AKST
In force
48 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

210 
FZAK51 PAFC 151250
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
350 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-160200-
350 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 986 mb low 160 nm southeast of Middleton Island will move inland 
over Prince William Sound this afternoon. A Pacific low will move to 
240 nm south of Middleton Island at 971 mb Tue afternoon then move 
to 50 nm southeast of Kodiak at 977 mb Wed morning.

$$

PKZ119-160200-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
350 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
17 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 13
ft building to 19 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.WED...E wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ120-160200-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
350 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ121-160200-
Resurrection Bay-
350 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ125-160200-
Prince William Sound-
350 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt becoming SE 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4
ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-160200-
Port Valdez-
350 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ127-160200-
Valdez Narrows-
350 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-160200-
Valdez Arm-
350 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft building to 5 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-160200-
Passage Canal-
350 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ130-160200-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
350 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 25 kt after midnight. Seas 4
ft building to 9 ft after midnight.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-160200-
Barren Islands East-
350 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 25 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ132-160200-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
350 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 30 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. N of Dangerous Cape, N wind 35 kt
diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ136-160200-
Chiniak Bay-
350 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt becoming NW 20 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-160200-
Marmot Bay-
350 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming NW 20 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ138-160200-
Shelikof Strait-
350 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming N 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 2 ft building to 5 ft after midnight.
.TUE...N wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 6 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-160200-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
350 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 25 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft building to 7 ft after midnight.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Snow and rain.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-160200-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
350 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt becoming N 15 kt after midnight. Seas in
ice free waters 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-160200-
Kachemak Bay-
350 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt becoming N 20 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft. Snow.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
5 follow-up statements
999 
FZAK51 PAFC 151710 AAA
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast...UPDATED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
810 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

Coastal waters forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-160415-
810 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 986 mb low 160 nm southeast of Middleton Island will move inland 
over Prince William Sound this afternoon. A Pacific low will move to 
240 nm south of Middleton Island at 971 mb Tue afternoon then move 
to 50 nm southeast of Kodiak at 977 mb Wed morning.

$$

PKZ119-160415-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
810 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt except SE wind 30 kt near the coast. 
Seas 17 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
13 ft building to 19 ft in the afternoon. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft. 
.WED...E wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. 
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ120-160415-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
810 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...E wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ121-160415-
Resurrection Bay-
810 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TONIGHT AND TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ125-160415-
Prince William Sound-
810 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-160415-
Port Valdez-
810 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ127-160415-
Valdez Narrows-
810 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-160415-
Valdez Arm-
810 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft building to 5 ft after midnight. Rain. 
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-160415-
Passage Canal-
810 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ130-160415-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
810 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 25 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft building to 9 ft after midnight. 
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain and snow. 
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-160415-
Barren Islands East-
810 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 25 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ132-160415-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
810 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 30 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. N of Dangerous Cape, N wind 35 kt
diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ136-160415-
Chiniak Bay-
810 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt becoming NW 20 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-160415-
Marmot Bay-
810 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming NW 20 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ138-160415-
Shelikof Strait-
810 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming N 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 2 ft building to 5 ft after midnight. 
.TUE...N wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 6 ft in the
afternoon. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-160415-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
810 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 25 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft building to 7 ft after midnight. 
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Snow and rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-160415-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
810 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt becoming N 15 kt after midnight. Seas in
ice free waters 3 ft. 
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. 
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-160415-
Kachemak Bay-
810 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt becoming N 20 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Snow. 
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
600 
FZAK51 PAFC 160012
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
312 PM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-161300-
312 PM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 970 mb Pacific low 720 nm southeast of Kodiak Mon night will 
move to 200 nm southeast of Kodiak Tue afternoon. This low will 
then weaken to 992 mb as it moves to 65 nm northeast of Larsen Bay 
Wed afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-161300-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
312 PM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt toward morning. 
Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 35 kt increasing to 45 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 22 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 50 kt. Seas 24 ft. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ120-161300-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
312 PM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming NE 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft building to 19 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ121-161300-
Resurrection Bay-
312 PM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt around midnight. 
Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ125-161300-
Prince William Sound-
312 PM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt becoming N after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft building to 6 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-161300-
Port Valdez-
312 PM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ127-161300-
Valdez Narrows-
312 PM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-161300-
Valdez Arm-
312 PM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-161300-
Passage Canal-
312 PM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt 
after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas building to 5 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ130-161300-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
312 PM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft building to 11 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-161300-
Barren Islands East-
312 PM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt becoming SE 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ132-161300-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
312 PM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. N of Dangerous Cape, NE wind 25 kt
becoming S 20 kt after midnight. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ136-161300-
Chiniak Bay-
312 PM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt becoming NE 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming NW 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 6 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-161300-
Marmot Bay-
312 PM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming NW 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 6 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 1 ft.

$$

PKZ138-161300-
Shelikof Strait-
312 PM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming N 30 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft building to 9 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 13 ft subsiding to 8 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-161300-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
312 PM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft building to 8 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-161300-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
312 PM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt becoming N 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas in ice free waters 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...N wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 
4 ft building to 8 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-161300-
Kachemak Bay-
312 PM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas building to 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
593 
FZAK51 PAFC 161234
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
334 AM AKST Tue Jan 16 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-170200-
334 AM AKST Tue Jan 16 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 970 mb North Pacific low moves to 50 nm North of Kodiak City at 
983 mb Wed morning then moves to 100 nm Southeast of Kodiak City at 
995 mb early Thu morning.

$$

PKZ119-170200-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
334 AM AKST Tue Jan 16 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt increasing to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas
22 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt. Seas 24 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.WED...SE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
19 ft subsiding to 14 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ120-170200-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
334 AM AKST Tue Jan 16 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft building to 19 ft in the
afternoon. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ121-170200-
Resurrection Bay-
334 AM AKST Tue Jan 16 2018

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain and snow showers.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ125-170200-
Prince William Sound-
334 AM AKST Tue Jan 16 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.WED...SE wind 35 kt becoming E 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft
subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Widespread rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-170200-
Port Valdez-
334 AM AKST Tue Jan 16 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ127-170200-
Valdez Narrows-
334 AM AKST Tue Jan 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain and snow showers.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-170200-
Valdez Arm-
334 AM AKST Tue Jan 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Widespread rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-170200-
Passage Canal-
334 AM AKST Tue Jan 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Widespread rain and snow showers.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-170200-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
334 AM AKST Tue Jan 16 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ131-170200-
Barren Islands East-
334 AM AKST Tue Jan 16 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ132-170200-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
334 AM AKST Tue Jan 16 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
13 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. N of Dangerous Cape, NE wind 25 kt
becoming S 20 kt after midnight. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ136-170200-
Chiniak Bay-
334 AM AKST Tue Jan 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 9 ft in the
afternoon. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming NW 10 kt after midnight. Seas 6
ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Widespread rain showers.
.WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-170200-
Marmot Bay-
334 AM AKST Tue Jan 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming NW 10 kt after midnight. Seas 7
ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain showers.
.WED...S wind 10 kt becoming SE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ138-170200-
Shelikof Strait-
334 AM AKST Tue Jan 16 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-170200-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
334 AM AKST Tue Jan 16 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft subsiding to 6 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-170200-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
334 AM AKST Tue Jan 16 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.WED...NE wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
in ice free waters 6 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-170200-
Kachemak Bay-
334 AM AKST Tue Jan 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt becoming N 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
891 
FZAK51 PAFC 170031
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
331 PM AKST Tue Jan 16 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-171330-
331 PM AKST Tue Jan 16 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 974 mb low 150 nm southeast of Kodiak this afternoon moves to 
75 nm northwest of Kodiak at 989 mb Wed afternoon. This low will 
then move to 40 nm east of Kodiak at 995 mb Thu morning before 
dissipating Thu afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-171330-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
331 PM AKST Tue Jan 16 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 24 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...SE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
19 ft subsiding to 14 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NW 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 9 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ120-171330-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
331 PM AKST Tue Jan 16 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 9 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ121-171330-
Resurrection Bay-
331 PM AKST Tue Jan 16 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Snow.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ125-171330-
Prince William Sound-
331 PM AKST Tue Jan 16 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...SE wind 35 kt becoming E 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft
subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-171330-
Port Valdez-
331 PM AKST Tue Jan 16 2018

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ127-171330-
Valdez Narrows-
331 PM AKST Tue Jan 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-171330-
Valdez Arm-
331 PM AKST Tue Jan 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-171330-
Passage Canal-
331 PM AKST Tue Jan 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Snow showers.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-171330-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
331 PM AKST Tue Jan 16 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 3 ft after
midnight.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ131-171330-
Barren Islands East-
331 PM AKST Tue Jan 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ132-171330-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
331 PM AKST Tue Jan 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. N of Dangerous Cape, NE wind 25 kt
becoming S 20 kt after midnight. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. N of Dangerous Cape, SE wind 15 kt in
the evening becoming variable 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ136-171330-
Chiniak Bay-
331 PM AKST Tue Jan 16 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming NW 10 kt after midnight. Seas 7
ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain showers.
.WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-171330-
Marmot Bay-
331 PM AKST Tue Jan 16 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming NW 10 kt after midnight. Seas 6
ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain showers.
.WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ138-171330-
Shelikof Strait-
331 PM AKST Tue Jan 16 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-171330-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
331 PM AKST Tue Jan 16 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft subsiding to 6 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-171330-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
331 PM AKST Tue Jan 16 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
in ice free waters 6 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas in ice free
waters 1 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-171330-
Kachemak Bay-
331 PM AKST Tue Jan 16 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
081 
FZAK51 PAFC 171244
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
344 AM AKST Wed Jan 17 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-180130-
344 AM AKST Wed Jan 17 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 979 mb low 50 nm Southwest of Kodiak City will remain nearly 
stationary and weaken to 995 mb Wed night before dissipating Thu. A 
1000 mb low will develop near Middleton Island Thu night.

$$

PKZ119-180130-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
344 AM AKST Wed Jan 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
18 ft subsiding to 13 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ120-180130-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
344 AM AKST Wed Jan 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft subsiding to 13 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ121-180130-
Resurrection Bay-
344 AM AKST Wed Jan 17 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt becoming S 10 kt during the morning. 
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Snow showers.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...N wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ125-180130-
Prince William Sound-
344 AM AKST Wed Jan 17 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 35 kt becoming E 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft 
subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt becoming NW 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-180130-
Port Valdez-
344 AM AKST Wed Jan 17 2018

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ127-180130-
Valdez Narrows-
344 AM AKST Wed Jan 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ128-180130-
Valdez Arm-
344 AM AKST Wed Jan 17 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4
ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-180130-
Passage Canal-
344 AM AKST Wed Jan 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 
ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Snow showers.
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ130-180130-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
344 AM AKST Wed Jan 17 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt becoming E 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft subsiding to 9 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ131-180130-
Barren Islands East-
344 AM AKST Wed Jan 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt becoming E 15 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt becoming W 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ132-180130-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
344 AM AKST Wed Jan 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ136-180130-
Chiniak Bay-
344 AM AKST Wed Jan 17 2018

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-180130-
Marmot Bay-
344 AM AKST Wed Jan 17 2018

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt becoming SE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...W wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2
ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ138-180130-
Shelikof Strait-
344 AM AKST Wed Jan 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 
ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-180130-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
344 AM AKST Wed Jan 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 6 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-180130-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
344 AM AKST Wed Jan 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
in ice free waters 6 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
in ice free waters 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2
ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-180130-
Kachemak Bay-
344 AM AKST Wed Jan 17 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt becoming SE 20 kt by afternoon. Seas 4 ft
subsiding to 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Jan 14, 3:48 PM AKST, 12 hours 2 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 14, 3:48 PM AKST, 12 hours 2 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
348 PM AKST Sun Jan 14 2018

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
The fairly active pattern continues across the Gulf and Mainland
Alaska. The upper long wave trough extends from eastern Russia to
a low center moving north over coastal Southwest Alaska, then
digs southeast across the northeast Pacific. A fairly zonal (west-
east) jet is evident along 40N on the southern periphery of the
upper trough. While to the eastern a southerly jet is present
owing to the pinch between the amplified ridge across the West
Coast/western Canada. Dynamics with this jet are reinforcing the
board baroclinic zone (frontal boundary) extending from the
northeast pacific, across the eastern Gulf, to across the North
Gulf coast, and Copper River Basin. Steady rain continues across
the Gulf coast with snow at higher elevations above 1200 feet.
Overrunning has kept the snow fairly steady across the eastern
Copper River Basin. With very warm temperatures aloft over below
freezing air near the surface it is likely that some freezing rain
is falling across the southeast Copper River Basin. Some
lingering showers continue across Southcentral and Southwest
Alaska as the stacked low center over Southwest Alaska heads
north. Snow to mixed showers were evident across much of the
Bering Sea.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models are in fairly good agreement with the old stacked low
moving north near the Southwest Alaska Coast. They are also
in good agreement and reasonable with a developing low along the
baroclinic zone in the northeast Pacific. Significant model
differences arise with the next low to developing along this
boundary Monday which heads toward Kodiak Tuesday. The ECMWF and
Canadian Global have a much faster movement than the GFS/NAM. The
ECMWF has had overall the best run to run consistency and a faster
movement does fit better with the strong southerly upper jet.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions and light winds will persist through
tonight. MVFR to IFR conditions are expected with snow developing
during the morning hours on Monday.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
An upper level short-wave and surface low tracking northward
across the eastern Pacific will curve westward toward Prince
William Sound tonight. This will push all of the precipitation
which has been falling over Eastern Prince William Sound and the
Copper River Basin westward toward the Kenai Peninsula, Anchorage,
and the Mat-Su. There will be a sharp delineation between
accumulating snow and no snow at all, and right now it looks like
that line will set up in the vicinity of a line from West
Anchorage up to Talkeetna (along the Parks Highway corridor).
Areas north and east of this line have the best chance of
accumulating snow late tonight through Monday morning. Have
generally gone with an inch or two of accumulation for this area,
though if the snow were to push farther west amounts could be a
bit higher.

Meanwhile, the atmospheric river (AR) which has been pointed
toward Yakutat will shift westward toward eastern Prince William
Sound. This will bring a period of heavy precipitation to the
southern Copper River Basin and eastern Prince William Sound. The
AR will be in a weakening state as cyclogenesis over the
northeast Pacific begins to cut off the northward flow of warm
moist air, so it looks like about a 6 hour window of heavy
precipitation. One of the biggest forecast challenges is
precipitation type over the southern half of the Copper River
Basin. Area observations indicate all snow at the moment, but as
the low moves up to Prince William Sound warmer air will move in
aloft, over the coastal mountains and into the Copper River Basin.
A period of freezing rain looks likely for the southeastern
basin, perhaps reaching as far north as the Glennallen area. Have
backed off a bit on snow totals for this area, but stuck with all
snow along the Richardson Highway approaching Thompson Pass,
thinking the warmest air will remain east of here.

The new low forming over the Northeast Pacific will quickly head
into the Gulf Monday night into Tuesday. There is quite a bit of
uncertainty in time of arrival, but based on a low track toward
Kodiak Island, lots of precipitation and warm air will spread
north and west to Southcentral. Have trended the forecast toward
warmer temperatures and more rain than snow across the region. The
population centers may end up being downsloped for much of this
and avoiding rain falling on snow and ice covered roadways.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The much-talked about Bering Sea low continues its slow northward
push across eastern portions of the sea, with its associated
occluded front well north of the region. In its wake, a warmer
downsloping southeast wind has brought warmer air to much of the
interior, along with some scattered showers. Winds have been
rather gusty along the Alaska Range, and along the immediate
coast, where they've topped 45 mph in a few locations.

As the system continues to move away from the region tomorrow,
precipitation coverage and wind speeds will be on the decrease, as
some subtle ridging builds into the region from the east. However,
this will be short-lived, as another low approaches Kodiak Island
for early Wednesday morning. An inverted trough retrograding
westward from the low will act as a focus for precipitation to
develop under a developing deformation band, with early
indications showing the potential for some light accumulations of
snow, depending where the low tracks.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
As the eastern Bering low moves north of the region over the next
few days, strong northwesterly flow will continue to funnel
colder air from eastern Siberia into the region. This colder air
over the relatively warmer ocean will create sufficient low-level
instability for showery type precipitation to develop, with
locations generally north and west of a Nikolski to Nunivak Island
line seeing snow showers, and rain showers south and east of
there for Monday. This rain snow line will edge further southeast
for Tuesday, as cold air advection continues to strengthen.

Low end Gales across the eastern Bering will diminish to Small
Craft criteria or less by Monday. An area of low pressure moving
into the western Aleutians Tuesday evening will bring increasing
chances for a more steady precipitation pattern, with winds
increasing to low end Gale force.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
The long term forecast beginning Wednesday features a broad upper
level trough extending across the western two thirds of the state
with a highly amplified long wave ridge centered over the western
US extending up through central Canada and into the Yukon. As the
upper level trough digs east to encompass the whole state, the
upper level ridge will be pinched off over Canada and the jet
stream will return to more of an west/east zonal pattern, with the
main jet core setting up well to the south of the state, nearing
35N. What this means for the sensible weather this week is a
transition from warm and moist southerly flow to more of a colder
and drier pattern over the mainland as the storm track is
directed well to our south.

At the surface, a low over the northern Gulf will move north into
Bristol Bay and weaken during the day on Wednesday, though not
before bringing accumulating snow to the SW mainland. As this
system fizzles out the pattern becomes much quieter over the
mainland as cold air is allowed to filter south from the Arctic.
This will bring temperatures back to normal for this time of
year, likely dropping below normal by the end of the week,
especially out west. By Thursday, the models fall out of agreement
and solutions become unclear regarding specific features that may
track into the area, though at this point models are all
generally showing the storm track still staying to our south.
Models come back into agreement by the weekend as the next low
tracks across the northern Pacific and into the western Bering,
which could potentially be the next weather system to impact the
mainland.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Winter Weather Advisory 141.
MARINE...Gale Warning 119.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...RC
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...SB
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...PD
LONG TERM...KVP

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 14, 3:10 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC24 hr
Jan 14, 3:10 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC7 days
Jan 15, 3:50 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC36 hr
Jan 15, 3:51 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC48 hr
Jan 15, 2:56 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC60 hr
Jan 15, 2:56 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC6 days
Jan 15, 2:56 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC8 days

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2018Every gale warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.