Gale Warning 56, NWS Anchorage, AK

210 
FZAK51 PAFC 151250
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
350 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-160200-
350 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 986 mb low 160 nm southeast of Middleton Island will move inland 
over Prince William Sound this afternoon. A Pacific low will move to 
240 nm south of Middleton Island at 971 mb Tue afternoon then move 
to 50 nm southeast of Kodiak at 977 mb Wed morning.

$$

PKZ119-160200-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
350 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
17 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 13
ft building to 19 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.WED...E wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ120-160200-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
350 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ121-160200-
Resurrection Bay-
350 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ125-160200-
Prince William Sound-
350 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt becoming SE 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4
ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-160200-
Port Valdez-
350 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ127-160200-
Valdez Narrows-
350 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-160200-
Valdez Arm-
350 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft building to 5 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-160200-
Passage Canal-
350 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ130-160200-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
350 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 25 kt after midnight. Seas 4
ft building to 9 ft after midnight.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-160200-
Barren Islands East-
350 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 25 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ132-160200-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
350 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 30 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. N of Dangerous Cape, N wind 35 kt
diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ136-160200-
Chiniak Bay-
350 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt becoming NW 20 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-160200-
Marmot Bay-
350 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming NW 20 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ138-160200-
Shelikof Strait-
350 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming N 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 2 ft building to 5 ft after midnight.
.TUE...N wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 6 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-160200-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
350 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 25 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft building to 7 ft after midnight.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Snow and rain.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-160200-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
350 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt becoming N 15 kt after midnight. Seas in
ice free waters 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-160200-
Kachemak Bay-
350 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt becoming N 20 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft. Snow.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

999 
FZAK51 PAFC 151710 AAA
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast...UPDATED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
810 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

Coastal waters forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-160415-
810 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 986 mb low 160 nm southeast of Middleton Island will move inland 
over Prince William Sound this afternoon. A Pacific low will move to 
240 nm south of Middleton Island at 971 mb Tue afternoon then move 
to 50 nm southeast of Kodiak at 977 mb Wed morning.

$$

PKZ119-160415-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
810 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt except SE wind 30 kt near the coast. 
Seas 17 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
13 ft building to 19 ft in the afternoon. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft. 
.WED...E wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. 
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ120-160415-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
810 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...E wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ121-160415-
Resurrection Bay-
810 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TONIGHT AND TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ125-160415-
Prince William Sound-
810 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-160415-
Port Valdez-
810 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ127-160415-
Valdez Narrows-
810 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-160415-
Valdez Arm-
810 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft building to 5 ft after midnight. Rain. 
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-160415-
Passage Canal-
810 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ130-160415-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
810 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 25 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft building to 9 ft after midnight. 
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain and snow. 
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-160415-
Barren Islands East-
810 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 25 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ132-160415-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
810 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 30 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. N of Dangerous Cape, N wind 35 kt
diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ136-160415-
Chiniak Bay-
810 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt becoming NW 20 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-160415-
Marmot Bay-
810 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming NW 20 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ138-160415-
Shelikof Strait-
810 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming N 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 2 ft building to 5 ft after midnight. 
.TUE...N wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 6 ft in the
afternoon. Rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-160415-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
810 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 25 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft building to 7 ft after midnight. 
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Snow and rain. 
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-160415-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
810 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt becoming N 15 kt after midnight. Seas in
ice free waters 3 ft. 
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. 
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-160415-
Kachemak Bay-
810 AM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt becoming N 20 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Snow. 
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

600 
FZAK51 PAFC 160012
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
312 PM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-161300-
312 PM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 970 mb Pacific low 720 nm southeast of Kodiak Mon night will 
move to 200 nm southeast of Kodiak Tue afternoon. This low will 
then weaken to 992 mb as it moves to 65 nm northeast of Larsen Bay 
Wed afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-161300-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
312 PM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt toward morning. 
Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 35 kt increasing to 45 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 22 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 50 kt. Seas 24 ft. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ120-161300-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
312 PM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming NE 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft building to 19 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ121-161300-
Resurrection Bay-
312 PM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt around midnight. 
Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ125-161300-
Prince William Sound-
312 PM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt becoming N after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft building to 6 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-161300-
Port Valdez-
312 PM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ127-161300-
Valdez Narrows-
312 PM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-161300-
Valdez Arm-
312 PM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-161300-
Passage Canal-
312 PM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt 
after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas building to 5 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ130-161300-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
312 PM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft building to 11 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-161300-
Barren Islands East-
312 PM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt becoming SE 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ132-161300-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
312 PM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. N of Dangerous Cape, NE wind 25 kt
becoming S 20 kt after midnight. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ136-161300-
Chiniak Bay-
312 PM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt becoming NE 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming NW 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 6 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-161300-
Marmot Bay-
312 PM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming NW 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 6 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 1 ft.

$$

PKZ138-161300-
Shelikof Strait-
312 PM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming N 30 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft building to 9 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 13 ft subsiding to 8 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-161300-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
312 PM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft building to 8 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-161300-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
312 PM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt becoming N 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas in ice free waters 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...N wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 
4 ft building to 8 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-161300-
Kachemak Bay-
312 PM AKST Mon Jan 15 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas building to 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
458 AM AKST Sun Jan 14 2018

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

The overall weather pattern features a deep trough over the Bering
Sea and a highly amplified ridge over western North America that
extends all the way up to the Alaska-Canada border in the Arctic.
This has once again set mainland Alaska up under a warm and wet
southerly flow pattern. A strong low crossed over the AKPEN from
the Gulf to the Bering overnight, which is the storm center
associated with the strong weather front that pushed through
Southcentral Alaska yesterday. Behind the front, temperatures at
most locations have warmed into the upper 30s to lower 40s, with
gusty southeast winds and showers that are mostly getting hung up
along the coastal mountains. The exception is across the Copper
River Basin, where cold air remains entrenched and heavy snow is
falling from Glennallen eastward. A Winter Weather Advisory
remains in effect for this area.

Meanwhile, Southwest Alaska is more under the influence of the low
center itself (rather than the weather front) with easterly winds
gradually becoming more southerly. Temperatures have spiked above
the freezing mark across most of the Bristol Bay zone as the
winds shifted directions, and this same thing will occur later
this morning across the Kuskowim Delta as the storm center slowly
tracks northward about 50 miles west of the coastline.

West of the low, most of the Bering/Aleutian region is seeing
fairly benign conditions in the heart of the longwave trough, with
cold air from the Russian Far East being pulled offshore and
producing gusty winds and snow showers.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

The models are in pretty good synoptic agreement for the next few
days, but continue to struggle with the placement of the low
moving up toward Prince William Sound on Monday that will bring
snowfall for somewhere from Anchorage to the western Copper River
Basin. A very sharp cutoff between no snow and several inches of
snow is expected on the western end of this storm, and so the
exact position will be critical. Unfortunately, the models
continue to vary significantly, with the previously snowy (for
Anchorage) NAM backing off to zero snow, and the previously dry
ECMWF now suggesting 4 of more inches of snow possible in
Anchorage. The other models are somewhere in the middle. Based on
forecast persistence and also conceptual models (highly amplified
jet well to the east of the Anchorage area), the current thinking
remains on the drier end of the forecast envelope. Stay tuned, as
this will be the main forecast challenge examined during the day
today.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions and light winds will persist as lingering
southeast winds gradually return to a more northerly direction
today.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

Warm advection continues over southcentral Alaska today in
southeast flow aloft. The Prince William Sound region will see
rainfall with the cooler Copper River Basin receiving mostly
snow. A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for the Copper River
Basin through tonight for snowfall with heaviest amounts south and
east of Glennallen. There is also a good chance there will be
some areas of freezing rain over the basin as well due to the warm
air pushing 850 mb temperatures to 0 C or higher, and surface
temperatures remaining below freezing. The most likely time for
the freezing rain will be this evening and overnight.

This system will edge westward tonight and bring in a chance of
snow to Anchorage late tonight into tomorrow. At this time it
looks like most or all of the snow will be east of Anchorage so
just went with a chance. The Palmer area has a better chance of
receiving snowfall being farther east but the majority of the snow
will be in the Copper River Basin.

Mild temperatures are expected to persist for the first half of
the week across southcentral Alaska.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...

A strong gale force low has now moved into Bristol Bay with the
associated occluded front quickly moving north into the interior.
With the exception of the lower Kuskokwim Valley, strong east to
southeast winds are mixing down to the surface allowing for a
rather dramatic warm-up over the region. The surface low will
eventually lift north toward the Bering Strait through Sunday
night, keeping a showery regime over Southwest Alaska with those
showers favoring coastal locations.

Winds diminish and precipitation wanes on Monday and Monday night
before another low moving west from the Gulf of Alaska spreads
clouds and moisture over Southwest. Depending on how the upper
level deformation zone forms, there exists an increasing chance
for snow for parts of Southwest as the surface low stalls near
Kodiak Island. There is uncertainty with the exact track of this
low, so stay tuned to future updates.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3)...

The gale force low over Bristol Bay will slowly weaken and lift
north toward the Bering Strait through Monday. The wrap-around
precipitation will continue to support snow for the Pribilof
Islands along with rain showers over the Eastern Aleutians.
Northerly flow and rather cold air originating from Eastern
Siberia will move over the Bering, keeping a showery regime in
place through Tuesday. A low end gale force low will then move
into the western Bering Sea Tue night.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
This forecast period commences with a low in the Gulf of Alaska
and a vortex of cold air spanning from NE Russia and into the
Central Bering. At the surface, there is a ridge axis that
extends from the north Pacific into the Western Aleutians. The GFS
and the ECMWF are not exactly in sync with the low in the Gulf Of
Alaska but they are clearly converging on a solution that brings
a deep fetch of moisture to Prince William Sound and the Kenai
Peninsula which merited bumping up pops and QPF this forecast
package. By Wednesday, the models bring new lows into the north
Pacific one which will move towards Southeast Alaska and the
other which will track towards the Western Aleutians. The models
continue to bring cooler temperatures aloft into Southwest Alaska
by midweek with the vortex slowly shifting eastward.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Gales: 130 132 138 150 160.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...AD
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EZ
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JRA
LONG TERM...PJS