Gale Warning 522, NWS Anchorage, AK

967 
FZAK51 PAFC 011143
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
343 AM AKDT Mon Oct 1 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-020030-
343 AM AKDT Mon Oct 1 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A front in the western Gulf moves into the northeastern Gulf Tue 
afternoon. A second front enters the western Gulf Tue night.

$$

PKZ119-020030-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
343 AM AKDT Mon Oct 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas
4 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ120-020030-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
343 AM AKDT Mon Oct 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ121-020030-
Resurrection Bay-
343 AM AKDT Mon Oct 1 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 2
ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ125-020030-
Prince William Sound-
343 AM AKDT Mon Oct 1 2018

.TODAY...SW wind 10 kt becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt becoming E 20 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-020030-
Port Valdez-
343 AM AKDT Mon Oct 1 2018

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-020030-
Valdez Narrows-
343 AM AKDT Mon Oct 1 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-020030-
Valdez Arm-
343 AM AKDT Mon Oct 1 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-020030-
Passage Canal-
343 AM AKDT Mon Oct 1 2018

.TODAY...W wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-020030-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
343 AM AKDT Mon Oct 1 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
6 ft building to 9 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ131-020030-
Barren Islands East-
343 AM AKDT Mon Oct 1 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ132-020030-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
343 AM AKDT Mon Oct 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ136-020030-
Chiniak Bay-
343 AM AKDT Mon Oct 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 9 ft in the afternoon.
Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 4 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-020030-
Marmot Bay-
343 AM AKDT Mon Oct 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft building to 10 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
7 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-020030-
Shelikof Strait-
343 AM AKDT Mon Oct 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-020030-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
343 AM AKDT Mon Oct 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. 
Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-020030-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
343 AM AKDT Mon Oct 1 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-020030-
Kachemak Bay-
343 AM AKDT Mon Oct 1 2018

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

272 
FZAK51 PAFC 012344
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
344 PM AKDT Mon Oct 1 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-021230-
344 PM AKDT Mon Oct 1 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A front in the southwestern Gulf will weaken over the central 
Gulf Tue night. A second front enters the western Gulf on Wed. 

$$

PKZ119-021230-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
344 PM AKDT Mon Oct 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt becoming SE 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft building to 6 ft after midnight.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ120-021230-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
344 PM AKDT Mon Oct 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft building to 9 ft after midnight.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ121-021230-
Resurrection Bay-
344 PM AKDT Mon Oct 1 2018

.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable 
less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft. Rain.
.WED THROUGH THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ125-021230-
Prince William Sound-
344 PM AKDT Mon Oct 1 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt becoming E 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft after midnight.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-021230-
Port Valdez-
344 PM AKDT Mon Oct 1 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.TUE THROUGH FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-021230-
Valdez Narrows-
344 PM AKDT Mon Oct 1 2018

.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt early, shifting to NE and increasing 
to 20 kt after midnight. Seas building to 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-021230-
Valdez Arm-
344 PM AKDT Mon Oct 1 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE during 
the evening and increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 
building to 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-021230-
Passage Canal-
344 PM AKDT Mon Oct 1 2018

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt in the evening becoming 
variable less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ130-021230-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
344 PM AKDT Mon Oct 1 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt by late evening. 
Seas 7 ft building to 14 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ131-021230-
Barren Islands East-
344 PM AKDT Mon Oct 1 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt by late evening. 
Seas 6 ft building to 12 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ132-021230-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
344 PM AKDT Mon Oct 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ136-021230-
Chiniak Bay-
344 PM AKDT Mon Oct 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas building to 8 ft during the evening, then diminishing 
to 4 ft by morning. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt 
after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-021230-
Marmot Bay-
344 PM AKDT Mon Oct 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt toward morning. 
Seas building to 11 ft during the evening, then subsiding 
to 7 ft toward morning. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable 
less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-021230-
Shelikof Strait-
344 PM AKDT Mon Oct 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-021230-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
344 PM AKDT Mon Oct 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft after midnight.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-021230-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
344 PM AKDT Mon Oct 1 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind less than 10 kt increasing to 20 kt 
after midnight. Seas building to 4 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ141-021230-
Kachemak Bay-
344 PM AKDT Mon Oct 1 2018

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt around midnight. 
Seas building to 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

499 
FZAK51 PAFC 021145
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
345 AM AKDT Tue Oct 2 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-030100-
345 AM AKDT Tue Oct 2 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A front in the southwestern Gulf weakens over the central Gulf Tue 
night. A second front enters the western Gulf Wed night.

$$

PKZ119-030100-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
345 AM AKDT Tue Oct 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft building to 8 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ120-030100-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
345 AM AKDT Tue Oct 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 9 ft in the afternoon. 
Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ121-030100-
Resurrection Bay-
345 AM AKDT Tue Oct 2 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-030100-
Prince William Sound-
345 AM AKDT Tue Oct 2 2018

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
building to 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-030100-
Port Valdez-
345 AM AKDT Tue Oct 2 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-030100-
Valdez Narrows-
345 AM AKDT Tue Oct 2 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-030100-
Valdez Arm-
345 AM AKDT Tue Oct 2 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-030100-
Passage Canal-
345 AM AKDT Tue Oct 2 2018

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ130-030100-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
345 AM AKDT Tue Oct 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ131-030100-
Barren Islands East-
345 AM AKDT Tue Oct 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ132-030100-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
345 AM AKDT Tue Oct 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. N of Dangerous Cape, SE wind 30 kt
becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ136-030100-
Chiniak Bay-
345 AM AKDT Tue Oct 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft
building to 8 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt in the evening diminishing to 15 kt. Seas 
6 ft subsiding to 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-030100-
Marmot Bay-
345 AM AKDT Tue Oct 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
7 ft subsiding to 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft building to 8 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt by midnight. Seas 10 
ft subsiding to 4 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-030100-
Shelikof Strait-
345 AM AKDT Tue Oct 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-030100-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
345 AM AKDT Tue Oct 2 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-030100-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
345 AM AKDT Tue Oct 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft building to 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ141-030100-
Kachemak Bay-
345 AM AKDT Tue Oct 2 2018

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 
ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 10 kt becoming SE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
454 AM AKDT Sun Sep 30 2018

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A ridge of high pressure remains parked over the state today,
continuing the trend for fair weather across much of the Mainland.
The area of low pressure responsible for the gusty southeasterly
winds across the central and eastern Aleutians yesterday has now
moved into the northwestern Bering. A strong gradient between the
high over the mainland and the low pressure over the Bering Sea
is maintaining the strong south to southeast wind along the Bering
Sea coast and over the eastern Bering Sea. An upper level North
Pacific low is currently situated just south of Dutch Harbor. The
leading front associated with this low will continue to bring
southeasterly winds along the eastern Aleutians and AKPEN. Radar
imagery this morning indicates rain and low level stratus and fog
along the coastal areas of Southwest Alaska as the front
approaches.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Overall, models remain in good synoptic agreement through the next
48 hours. Differences arise by Tue morning as the remnants of
typhoon Trami enter the western Bering. Models currently agree on
the phasing of the upper level low currently south of Dutch
Harbor with the upper level remnants of Trami beginning Mon
evening over the central Bering. At this time, the GFS/EC solution
shows a slightly faster track while the NAM keeps the low further
west. With large uncertainties in timing and position, GFS was
still preferred with this morning's forecast package.

&&

.AVIATION...
The main issue will be with the potential for stratus and fog
this morning and again overnight tonight. The latest satellite
imagery (nighttime microphysics) did not show any stratus in the
northern Inlet, although that was from around 1030Z. At this
point we will stick some IFR Cigs and Vsby in for this morning
then VCFG for the late night and morning hours again tonight and
Mon morning, though generally keeping the prevailing conditions
VFR with light wind.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

High pressure will continue to dominate the weather over the
region for the next two days with the only exception being Kodiak
which will see a front move over that area tomorrow. With the high
pressure, the only real question will be the development of fog.
A nighttime microphysics pass from the VIIRS satellite taken
around 2:30 AM AKDT shows the development of fog in the river
valleys of the eastern Kenai Peninsula, eastern Turnagain Arm, as
well as in the Eagle River and Eklutna River valleys. The Copper
River Basin, which had some extensive fog and stratus yesterday is
almost completely clear of fog at this time. Fog should overall
be less than yesterday, with some areas developing again Sunday
night into Monday morning. Temperatures will remain well above
normal today and tomorrow for most of southcentral Alaska with a
cooling trend back toward normal after that.

A front will move over Kodiak Island from the southwest tomorrow
and bring back rain to the area as well as strong southeast
winds. This front will then slowly progress northward through
Tuesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...

Winds will remain the focus across Southwest Alaska through
Monday as a tight pressure gradient lingers over the region. The
gradient is the result of a stationary ridge situated downstream
in the northern Gulf and a trough upstream extending across the
eastern Bering. As the next surface low begins to track northeast
toward the AKPEN today, the gradient will tighten and the
southeasterly winds will increase, especially across Bristol Bay
and the Kuskokwim Delta with the highest speeds along the coasts.
Scattered showers will also develop along the coast later today
and continue through Monday as the low dissipates and transitions
to an open wave. For upslope areas of the AKPEN, the persistent
southerly flow will bring periods of moderate to heavy rain. Any
lingering showers from the now dissipating trough will move inland
on Tuesday as an occluded front extending from a strong storm
system over the western Bering advances toward the Southwest with
another shot of rain and gusty southerly winds.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3)...

A low well south of Atka will move toward Dutch Harbor today. The
rain and gusty southeasterly winds that developed overnight across
the eastern Bering will continue through early Monday before
diminishing as the low tracks north and fills in. Over the
central Bering, gusty northerly flow will increase tonight around
the back side of the low passing to the south and east. Then all
eyes turn to the remnants of typhoon Trami as it tracks quickly
toward the western Aleutians. This system will transition to a
powerful extratropical storm as it taps into a cold air mass over
the Kamchatka Peninsula. Storm-force winds will move over Shemya
and Attu Monday as its associated front sweeps across the western
Aleutians. There is still some uncertainty as to the exact track
of this low once it passes west of Attu; however, current guidance
continues to place the center of circulation well north and west
of the Aleutians. If this trend holds, it is looking more likely
that the core of strongest winds associated with the colder air
wrapping underneath the low will remain over the open waters of
the western and central Bering through Tuesday where gusts could
approach 70 kts.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
(Wednesday through Saturday)

A very unsettled pattern will persist for the middle to latter
part of the week, as the remnants of the former Super Typhoon
Trami, which is currently near Japan, move northeast towards the
western Bering Sea. It is expected to then turn eastward as it
merges with a trough coming off the Kamchatka Peninsula. The
numerical models all agree in this scenario, but they differ in
speed and strength as the system bumps into a persistent ridge
stretching from the North Slope through the Kenai Peninsula, and
into the Gulf. Initially, the models are in good agreement with
the pattern aloft on Wednesday, but they quickly begin to diverge
some 24 hours later, as the GFS looks to have a faster progression
with the system as the ridge slides off to the east while
weakening.

This storm will be unusually strong for the Bering Sea for this
time of year, as it will be 3 to 4 standard deviations above
normal. Most of the region along and north of the western
Aleutians will see storm force winds with hurricane force gusts
likely. An associated occluded front will cross into southwestern
parts of the state by evening, with widespread rainfall
accompanying it, with another low developing near Kodiak. This
rainfall will also spread northeast during the evening and into
Thursday for most of Southcentral and the Kenai/Prince William
Sound region.

Meanwhile, another north Pacific low will strengthen as it
crosses the central portions of the chain, lifting north towards
Saint Matthew Island on Friday, while sending another front
through the southwest with more rainfall developing. Similar to
its predecessor, another Kodiak low will form Friday evening,
reaching Prince William Sound late Saturday, spreading widespread
rainfall across all of Southcentral and into the Copper River
Basin. However, it's important to note that as we approach next
weekend, model diversity increases somewhat, which is typical
given its 5 to 7 days out. Added to the mix is that everything is
dependent on if the models handle the first extra-tropical system
correctly, so forecast changes are probable for the latter half
of the week.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Gale 150-170 172 174 177 180 181.
		 Storm 178.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...KO/SA
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EZ
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...TM
LONG TERM...PD