Gale Warning 359, NWS Anchorage, AK

407 
FZAK62 PAFC 312346
OFFALU

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
346 PM AKDT Thu May 31 2018

Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ499-011315-
346 PM AKDT Thu May 31 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 1011 mb low at 58N 170W dissipates this evening. A 968 mb low at
52N 169E Fri afternoon moves to 58N 176E at 969 mb Sat afternoon.

$$

PKZ411-011315-
Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International
Dateline-
346 PM AKDT Thu May 31 2018

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 10 to 25 kt increasing to 30 to 45 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 7 ft building to 8 to 13 ft in the afternoon.
Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 11 to 19 ft. Rain.
.SAT...SW wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 14 to 22 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 13 to 21 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 16 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.

$$

PKZ412-011315-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N-
346 PM AKDT Thu May 31 2018

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...S wind 10 to 20 kt becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 to 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft building to 9 to
17 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SAT...SE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 14 to 20 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 16 to 20 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 12 to 19 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ413-011315-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N-
346 PM AKDT Thu May 31 2018

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...S wind up to 20 kt becoming SE 20 to 35 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 4 to 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft in the evening
building to 10 to 18 ft. Rain.
.SAT...S wind 30 to 40 kt. Seas 15 to 23 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 16 to 23 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 12 to 19 ft.
.MON...SW wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft.

$$

PKZ414-011315-
Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W-
346 PM AKDT Thu May 31 2018

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind up to 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind up to 10 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 10 to 25 kt becoming SE 20 to 35 kt after
midnight. Seas 4 to 9 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft.

$$

469 
FZAK62 PAFC 011156
OFFALU

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
356 AM AKDT Fri Jun 1 2018

Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ499-020045-
356 AM AKDT Fri Jun 1 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 980 mb low at 48N 164E moves to 55N 176W at 966 mb by Sat 
morning and then to 60N 176E at 974 mb by Sun morning.

$$

PKZ411-020045-
Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International
Dateline-
356 AM AKDT Fri Jun 1 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 to 30 kt increasing to 30 to 45 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 7 ft building to 13 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 11 to 19 ft. Rain.
.SAT...SW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 14 to 22 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 13 to 21 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 16 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind up to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.

$$

PKZ412-020045-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N-
356 AM AKDT Fri Jun 1 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft. Rain.
.SAT...SE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 14 to 19 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 15 to 20 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 10 to 18 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ413-020045-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N-
356 AM AKDT Fri Jun 1 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 10 to 20 kt becoming SE 20 to 35 kt in the 
afternoon. Seas 3 to 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 10 to 18 ft. Rain.
.SAT...S wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 14 to 22 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 16 to 22 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 17 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft.

$$

PKZ414-020045-
Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W-
356 AM AKDT Fri Jun 1 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S wind up to 10 kt increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the 
afternoon. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 to 20 kt becoming SE 20 to 35 kt after 
midnight. Seas 4 to 9 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft.

$$

034 
FZAK62 PAFC 012255
OFFALU

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
255 PM AKDT Fri Jun 1 2018

Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ499-021300-
255 PM AKDT Fri Jun 1 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 972 MB low at 52N 169E will intensify to 965 MB at 55N 175E
Friday night then weaken to 981 MB at 59N 173E Sunday afternoon.  
A low will move off the southern Kamchatka Peninsula Saturday 
night and be a 987 mb low at 54N 174E Sunday afternoon. 

$$

PKZ411-021300-
Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International
Dateline-
255 PM AKDT Fri Jun 1 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 12 to 20 ft. Rain.
.SAT...SW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 15 to 23 ft. Widespread rain
showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 to 40 kt diminishing to 20 to 30 kt after
midnight. Seas 14 to 22 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind up to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...N wind up to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 10 ft.

$$

PKZ412-021300-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N-
255 PM AKDT Fri Jun 1 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft building to 10 to
18 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SAT...SE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 14 to 20 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 to 21 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...S wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 12 to 20 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft.

$$

PKZ413-021300-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N-
255 PM AKDT Fri Jun 1 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 11 to 19 ft. Rain.
.SAT...S wind 30 to 40 kt. Seas 15 to 23 ft. Widespread rain
showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 16 to 24 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 11 to 18 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...NW wind up to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft.

$$

PKZ414-021300-
Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W-
255 PM AKDT Fri Jun 1 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 10 to 25 kt becoming SE 20 to 35 kt after
midnight. Seas 4 to 9 ft. Rain.
.SAT...SE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 15 ft. Rain.
.SUN...S wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 9 to 15 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind up to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

396 
FZAK62 PAFC 021159
OFFALU

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
359 AM AKDT Sat Jun 2 2018

Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ499-030030-
359 AM AKDT Sat Jun 2 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 965 mb low at 55N 175E will move to 60N 176E at 974 mb by Sun
morning. A 984 mb low at 53N 165E Sun morning will move to 54N 174W 
at 996 mb by Mon morning.

$$

PKZ411-030030-
Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International
Dateline-
359 AM AKDT Sat Jun 2 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 16 to 25 ft. Widespread rain
showers.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 to 40 kt diminishing to 20 to 30 kt after
midnight. Seas 14 to 22 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 to 25 kt becoming S 10 to 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 9 to 14 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind up to 15 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft.
.MON...W wind up to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind up to 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ412-030030-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N-
359 AM AKDT Sat Jun 2 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 14 to 20 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 17 to 22 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...S wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 12 to 20 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...N wind up to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft.

$$

PKZ413-030030-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N-
359 AM AKDT Sat Jun 2 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 to 40 kt. Seas 15 to 23 ft. Widespread rain
showers.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 16 to 24 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 10 to 18 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind up to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft.
.MON...W wind up to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind up to 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ414-030030-
Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W-
359 AM AKDT Sat Jun 2 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 16 ft. Rain.
.SUN...S wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 10 to 15 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE wind up to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft.

$$

777 
FZAK62 PAFC 022313
OFFALU

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
313 PM AKDT Sat Jun 2 2018

Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ499-031230-
313 PM AKDT Sat Jun 2 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 970 mb low at 58N 178E moves to 57N 170E at 998 mb for Mon
afternoon. Its front wraps over the Northern Bering into Western
Alaska through Mon afternoon. A 983 mb low at 53N 164E on Sun
morning moves to 55N 167W at 997 mb by Mon afternoon. Its front
sweeps the Aleutians to the Alaska Peninsula by Mon afternoon.

$$

PKZ411-031230-
Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International
Dateline-
313 PM AKDT Sat Jun 2 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 to 40 kt becoming SW 20 to 30 kt after
midnight. Seas 15 to 23 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft.
.MON...SW wind up to 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind up to 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N wind up to 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ412-031230-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N-
313 PM AKDT Sat Jun 2 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 17 to 24 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...S wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 13 to 21 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 9 to 12 ft.
.MON...E wind up to 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind up to 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N wind up to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ413-031230-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N-
313 PM AKDT Sat Jun 2 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 16 to 25 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 10 to 18 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.MON...NW wind up to 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind up to 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NW wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft.

$$

PKZ414-031230-
Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W-
313 PM AKDT Sat Jun 2 2018

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 16 ft. Rain.
.SUN...S wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 9 to 15 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 8 to 11 ft.
.MON...E wind up to 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind up to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind up to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

546 
FZAK62 PAFC 031149
OFFALU

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
349 AM AKDT Sun Jun 3 2018

Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ499-040100-
349 AM AKDT Sun Jun 3 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 985 mb low at 53N 172E will move to 54N 161W at 1002 mb Tue 
morning. A weak front over the Alaska Peninsula will remain 
nearly stationary through Tue morning.

$$

PKZ411-040100-
Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International
Dateline-
349 AM AKDT Sun Jun 3 2018

.TODAY...SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 16 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft.
.MON...SW wind 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind up to 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind up to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ412-040100-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N-
349 AM AKDT Sun Jun 3 2018

.TODAY...S wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 13 to 21 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 9 to 13 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 to 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind up to 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind up to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ413-040100-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N-
349 AM AKDT Sun Jun 3 2018

.TODAY...SW wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 11 to 18 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.MON...NW wind 10 to 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind up to 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N wind up to 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ414-040100-
Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W-
349 AM AKDT Sun Jun 3 2018

.TODAY...S wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 9 to 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 to 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind up to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind up to 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
451 PM AKDT Wed May 30 2018

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

An upper level stacked low is currently situated over the Bering.
The trough axis extends from the central Aleutians toward Norton
Sound. A strong 140 knot jet on the southern side of the trough is
inducing a wide swath of zonal flow aloft over the northern
Pacific.

At the surface, cloud cover is plentiful across
much of the state. A weak low in the Gulf continues to generate
light rain across the coastal areas of Prince William Sound. Light
rain is also observed across Cook Inlet on radar this afternoon
as well as along the AK Peninsula.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Guidance remains in generally good agreement through the next 24
hours. Minor disagreements arise on Friday when a low enters the
western Bering. The ECMWF and GFS both position the low slightly
further north while the NAM keeps the low further south. At this
time, forecasters leaned toward the NAM solution with the
southerly track.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...Showers will be a threat through the early evening before
ending. Turnagain winds will remain gusty through the late evening
before waning overnight. Thereafter light winds and VFR conditions
will prevail.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...
A weak surface low spinning in the Gulf of Alaska will continue
to bring cloudy skies and rain showers to southern and western
portions of Southcentral overnight and into tomorrow. As the low
center drifts to the south and east tomorrow afternoon, dry
northeasterly flow will set-up leading to clearing skies and
warming temperatures as we head into the weekend.

Most of Southcentral will be under the influence of a no-flow
regime with weak ridging building in from the Yukon. As surface
temperatures warm up in the interior, a diurnal thermal trough
will develop over the Copper River Basin. This, combined with
several weak easterly waves pushing across the ALCAN should be
enough to initiate widespread showers with isolated thunderstorms
over the higher terrain in the afternoon and evening hours. Weak
northeasterly mid-level flow may push these storms into the lower
lying areas of the Copper River and Susitna Valleys on Friday.
Instability over the Chugach and Kenai Mountains should remain low
enough to prevent most thunderstorm development, though showers
and an isolated rumble of thunder can be expected if recreating in
those areas on Friday and into the weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...

A front remains stalled along the Southwest mainland through
Thursday afternoon, then dissipates as the associated surface low
fills. A ridge builds across the eastern Bering in the wake of the
low with light northerly flow developing across the Southwest on
Friday. Brief patchy morning fog is expected to develop Friday
early morning along much of the Kuskokwim Delta as the stable air
mass nudges inland. Friday afternoon there is a pattern shift
toward warmer conditions as a thermal trough develops across the
interior to the southwest. This brings the next focus for a few
thunderstorms to develop across the Kuskokwim Valley and Bristol
Bay during the latter part of the day Friday and Saturday.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3)...

Low pressure along the eastern Bering weakens and diminishes by
Thursday afternoon. A ridge builds across the Bering in its wake
bringing a brief break in the active weather pattern late
Thursday. The next front races up from the North Pacific late
Thursday night spreading moderate to heavy rain and storm force
marine winds to the western and central Aleutians Friday through
Saturday. The associated surface low crosses over Shemya to the
Bering late Friday evening as it deepens to 965 mb. The track of
the low slows considerably as it continues north and detaches from
the jet stream which remains nearly zonal south of the Aleutian
Chain. The frontal boundary is expected to progress to the western
Alaska Peninsula by Saturday afternoon with the northern extent
of the boundary stretched across St. Matthew Island. The core of
the low remains across the western Bering Waters through this
time.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
Models have come into somewhat better agreement with regards to
the progression of the upper level pattern this weekend through
early next week. The deep, vertically stacked Bering low will
gradually fill as it meanders around the western Bering through
the weekend. The weakening associated frontal system will reach
the eastern Bering and Alaska Peninsula Saturday night and then
stall out and shear apart along the Southwest Alaska coast on
Sunday. A frontal wave will develop along a trailing section of
the front south of the Alaska Peninsula Sunday night but will
track off to the east well south of the Gulf Monday and Tuesday.

The broad upper level low over the Bering will progress gradually
east to be centered over central Bering Monday with a trough
elongating east Tuesday to stretch across the Alaska Peninsula
and into the western Gulf. The entire pattern will then continue
to shift to the south and east with upper level low centered over
the Alaska Peninsula and western Gulf Wednesday through Friday.
Of the all the various model solutions from yesterday's runs, this
one will bring the coolest overall weather. Easterly flow to the
north of the low will bring persistently showery weather to
Southwest Alaska while troughs and fronts rotating through the
Gulf will bring rain to the Gulf coast and cool, generally cloudy
onshore flow further inland to Southcentral Alaska.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...KO
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...KVP
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...KH
LONG TERM...JR