Alert archive / Oklahoma / Special Weather Statements in 2017

Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

May 3, 2017Craig County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this special weather statement at May 3, 2017, 1:33 AM CDT for Craig County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 27 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 3, 2017, 1:33 AM CDT (06:33 UTC)
Expired: May 3, 2017, 2:00 AM CDT
In force: 27 min
Issued by: NWS Tulsa, OK

County Craig County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 97 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 6.6 hours before the alert went out and 113 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 2057 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 50 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 53 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 273 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at May 2, 11:55 PM CDT, 1 hour 38 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 2, 11:55 PM CDT, 1 hour 38 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1155 PM CDT Tue May 2 2017

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
Numerous showers and thunderstorms will affect the northeast
Oklahoma sites overnight, spreading into the northwest Arkansas
and southeast Oklahoma sites Wednesday morning. A cold front will
sweep across the area Wednesday, with gusty north winds and MVFR
ceilings following in its wake.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 930 PM CDT Tue May 2 2017/

..UPDATE...

DISCUSSION...
Convection continues to increase west of Interstate 35 and will be
spreading into NE OK very soon. Latest data support current
forecast with widespread precip across NE OK with the heaviest
amounts nearer the KS/OK border and points northward.
Updated forecast will adjust for observed trends otherwise
looks to be tracking well.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Flash Flood Watch through Thursday morning for OKZ054>063-
     067>069.

AR...Flash Flood Watch through Thursday morning for ARZ001-002-010-
     011.

&&

AVIATION...05

Hazardous weather outlook, May 2, 4:52 PM CDT, 8 hours 41 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
452 PM CDT Tue May 2 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-031030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
452 PM CDT Tue May 2 2017

...HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING CONCERNS OVERNIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Northeast Oklahoma and far northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...After 10pm.

HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...Elevated.
	AREA...Northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...After 10pm.

DISCUSSION...
Scattered thunderstorms will develop over the western
High Plains this evening and spread eastward overnight.
Repeated rounds of heavy rain are likely with locations
near the Oklahoma Kansas border and points northward
being the most likely for the heaviest rains.
A few storms may produce large hail with a locally
damaging wind gust also possible especially along and
north of a Tulsa to Fayetteville line.
Thunderstorms will continue to develop through the
day on Wednesday as a cold front moves through the
region.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
THURSDAY through MONDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
The threat of locally heavy rainfall will shift into southeast
Oklahoma and western Arkansas with during the day on
Wednesday. Additionally, a few severe storms will
again be possible, primarily Wednesday afternoon, across
southeast Oklahoma. Large hail and locally damaging winds
will again be the main severe weather threat Wednesday afternoon.
After this system moves out of the region, an extended period of
dry and mild weather will prevail from late week through
the upcoming weekend.

weather.gov/tulsa Contains additional information.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 3, 12:01 AM CDT, 1 hour 32 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1201 AM CDT WED MAY 3 2017

OKZ054-059-030530-
Osage OK-Pawnee OK-
1201 AM CDT WED MAY 3 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WEST CENTRAL OSAGE AND
NORTHWESTERN PAWNEE COUNTIES UNTIL 1230 AM CDT...

At 1200 AM CDT, a strong thunderstorm was located 5 miles east of Red
Rock, moving east at 45 mph.

Dime size hail will be possible with this storm.

Locations in or near the path include...
Fairfax...                        Ralston...

LAT...LON 3651 9703 3651 9701 3652 9701 3653 9698
      3653 9696 3655 9692 3655 9690 3657 9689
      3658 9689 3660 9691 3668 9666 3643 9656
      3634 9703
TIME...MOT...LOC 0500Z 252DEG 37KT 3644 9709

Lacy

Special weather statement, May 3, 1:33 AM CDT, 0 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
133 AM CDT WED MAY 3 2017

OKZ057-030700-
Craig OK-
133 AM CDT WED MAY 3 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN CRAIG COUNTY UNTIL
200 AM CDT...

At 133 AM CDT, a strong thunderstorm was located 8 miles northwest of
Welch, moving east at 30 mph.

Dime size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations in or near the path include...
Welch...                          Hollow...

LAT...LON 3699 9504 3699 9503 3698 9503 3697 9504
      3696 9502 3695 9499 3694 9500 3683 9500
      3684 9530 3700 9532 3700 9501
TIME...MOT...LOC 0633Z 263DEG 24KT 3694 9522

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 3, 12:01 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Pawnee	29 min
May 3, 12:29 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Osage, Pawnee	31 min
May 3, 12:57 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Osage	48 min
May 3, 1:32 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Osage	28 min
May 3, 1:57 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Osage, Washington	33 min
May 3, 1:59 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Osage	31 min
May 3, 2:03 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Rogers	27 min
May 3, 2:19 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Nowata, Rogers, Washington	26 min
May 3, 2:45 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Craig, Mayes, Nowata, Rogers	45 min
May 3, 2:49 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Osage, Pawnee	41 min
May 3, 3:01 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TSA	Osage, Pawnee, Washington	6 hr
May 3, 3:25 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Ottawa	35 min
May 3, 3:30 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Osage	30 min
May 3, 3:59 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Nowata, Osage, Washington	46 min
May 3, 4:06 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Tulsa	39 min
May 3, 4:09 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TSA	Craig, Nowata, Ottawa	5 hr
May 3, 4:18 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Osage, Rogers, Tulsa, Washington	42 min
May 3, 4:32 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Craig, Mayes, Nowata, Rogers, Tulsa, Washington	43 min
May 3, 4:45 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Craig, Nowata	45 min
May 3, 5:11 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Delaware, Mayes	34 min
May 3, 5:29 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Craig, Mayes, Rogers, Tulsa	3 hr
May 3, 5:38 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Delaware	37 min
May 3, 6:30 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Adair	30 min
May 3, 7:13 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Pittsburg	47 min
May 3, 7:42 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	McCurtain	48 min
May 3, 7:55 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Haskell, Latimer, Pittsburg	65 min
May 3, 8:06 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	LeFlore	39 min
May 3, 8:25 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	LeFlore	35 min
May 3, 8:27 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Sequoyah	33 min
May 3, 8:31 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Haskell, LeFlore, Sequoyah	29 min
May 3, 8:33 AM CDT	River Flood Advisory	TSA	Cherokee	4 days
May 3, 8:52 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	LeFlore, Sequoyah	23 min
May 3, 8:57 AM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	TSA	Osage, Pawnee, Washington	6 hr
May 3, 9:00 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Pushmataha	60 min
May 3, 9:02 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	TSA	Washington	52 hr
May 3, 9:02 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	TSA	Rogers, Tulsa	3 days
May 3, 9:09 AM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	TSA	Craig, Nowata, Ottawa	6 hr
May 3, 10:00 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	TSA	Osage	17 hr
May 3, 10:00 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	TSA	Osage, Tulsa	34 hr
May 3, 11:04 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	TSA	Washington	15 hr
May 3, 12:30 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Choctaw	45 min
May 3, 1:01 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Choctaw	29 min
May 3, 1:39 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	TSA	Tulsa	42 hr
May 3, 4:11 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	TSA	Okmulgee	3 days
May 3, 6:10 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Benton	35 min
May 3, 9:11 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Crawford, Franklin, Sebastian	49 min
May 3, 10:04 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Carroll, Madison	26 min
May 3, 10:47 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Franklin	28 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Oklahoma, 2017 Every special weather statement in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.