Alert archive / Louisiana / Tornado Watches in 2017

Tornado Watch 9

January 20, 201715 parishes in Louisiana; Jefferson County, Orange County, Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jan 20, 2017, 7:32 PM CST for 15 parishes in Louisiana; Jefferson County, Orange County, Texas. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 20, 2017, 7:32 PM CST (01:32 UTC)
Expired
Jan 21, 2017, 2:00 AM CST
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Acadia Parish, LA, Allen Parish, LA, Avoyelles Parish, LA, Beauregard Parish, LA, Calcasieu Parish, LA, Cameron Parish, LA, Evangeline Parish, LA, Iberia Parish, LA, Jefferson Davis Parish, LA, Lafayette Parish, LA, Rapides Parish, LA, Saint Landry Parish, LA, Saint Martin Parish, LA, St. Mary Parish, LA, Vermilion Parish, LA, Jefferson County, TX, Orange County, TX

The radar

The Lake Charles radar (KLCH), 6 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 20, 7:40 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHHardin, Jasper, Jefferson, Newton, Orange35 min
Jan 20, 7:41 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHHardin, Jefferson34 min
Jan 20, 7:48 PM CSTTornado WarningLCHJefferson27 min
Jan 20, 8:03 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHBeauregard42 min
Jan 20, 8:08 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHHardin, Jefferson, Orange37 min
Jan 20, 8:15 PM CSTTornado WarningLCHJefferson, Orange30 min
Jan 20, 8:32 PM CSTTornado WarningLCHCalcasieu28 min
Jan 20, 8:56 PM CSTTornado WarningLCHBeauregard, Calcasieu21 min
Jan 20, 9:16 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHBeauregard, Calcasieu23 min
Jan 20, 10:05 PM CSTTornado WarningLCHAllen, Beauregard25 min
Jan 20, 10:26 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHAcadia, Allen, Evangeline, Jefferson Davis34 min
Jan 20, 11:05 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHAcadia, Jefferson Davis25 min
Jan 20, 11:10 PM CSTTornado WarningLCHAvoyelles, Saint Landry20 min
Jan 20, 11:28 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHAcadia, Allen, Evangeline, Jefferson Davis32 min
Jan 20, 11:32 PM CSTTornado WarningLCHAcadia, Evangeline, Jefferson Davis, Saint Landry28 min
Jan 20, 11:52 PM CSTTornado WarningLCHAcadia, Evangeline, Saint Landry8 min
Jan 20, 11:56 PM CSTTornado WarningLCHAcadia, Evangeline, Saint Landry19 min
Jan 21, 12:12 AM CSTTornado WarningLCHEvangeline, Saint Landry33 min
Jan 21, 12:47 AM CSTTornado WarningLCHSaint Landry28 min
Jan 21, 1:19 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHAcadia, Evangeline, Saint Landry26 min
Jan 21, 1:34 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHAcadia, Avoyelles, Lafayette, Saint Landry, Saint Martin56 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Lake Charles Mun, LA (KLCH), launched 00:00Z, 1.5 hours before the alert went out and 7 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 00:00Z on 2017-01-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 627 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 00:00Z on 2017-01-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 68 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
627 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-37 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
842 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
68 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
156 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
0.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

871 
WWUS20 KWNS 210120
SEL9  
SPC WW 210120
LAZ000-TXZ000-CWZ000-210800-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 9
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
720 PM CST Fri Jan 20 2017

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Southwestern and south-central Louisiana
  Extreme southeast Texas
  Coastal Waters

* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 720 PM
  until 200 AM CST.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  Isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter
    possible

SUMMARY...A cluster of thunderstorms over southeast Texas appears to
be the start of a more expansive overnight severe-storm event moving
east-northeastward through this watch (and eventually beyond). 
Additional, more isolated severe storms also may form ahead of the
main complex, along and south of a returning marine/warm frontal
zone.  The tornado threat, while marginal at first, will increase
with time and with eastward extent across the watch area tonight,
into southern Louisiana, as shear and instability increase.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles
north and south of a line from 20 miles southwest of Port Arthur TX
to 25 miles northeast of Lafayette LA. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU9).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 25030.

...Edwards

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 20, 6:37 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAcadia, Allen, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Cameron, Evangeline and 3 more113 min
Jan 20, 10:04 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAcadia, Allen, Avoyelles, Calcasieu, Cameron, Evangeline and 7 more116 min
Jan 20, 10:44 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAscension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Jefferson, Lafourche and 12 more61 min
Jan 20, 11:00 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAscension, Assumption, Concordia, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberville and 17 more8 hr
Jan 21, 1:41 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAcadia, Avoyelles, Cameron, Evangeline, Iberia, Jefferson Davis and 5 more64 min
Jan 21, 2:55 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAscension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberville, Jefferson and 16 more2 hr
Jan 21, 6:35 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCJefferson, Lafourche, Orleans, Plaquemines, Saint Bernard, Saint Charles and 1 more55 min
Jan 21, 2:33 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBienville, Bossier, Caddo, Claiborne, De Soto, Jackson and 8 more2 hr
Jan 21, 2:34 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Ascension, Avoyelles, Catahoula, Concordia, East Baton Rouge and 16 more2 hr
Jan 21, 3:29 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAcadia, Ascension, Avoyelles, Catahoula, Concordia, East Baton Rouge and 22 more6 hr
Jan 21, 3:41 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCBienville, Bossier, Caddo, Caldwell, Claiborne, De Soto and 11 more7 hr
Jan 21, 5:32 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAvoyelles, Bienville, Bossier, Caddo, Caldwell, Catahoula and 23 more118 min
Jan 20, 10:07 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrazoria, Chambers, Fort Bend, Hardin, Harris, Jasper and 10 more113 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2017Tornado Watches in Texas, 2017Every tornado watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.