Alert archive / Oklahoma / Tornado Watches in 2017

Tornado Watch 504

October 21, 201739 counties in Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Oct 21, 2017, 7:24 PM CDT for 39 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 21, 2017, 7:24 PM CDT (00:24 UTC)
Expired
Oct 22, 2017, 1:56 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 39 counties

Adair County, OK, Atoka County, OK, Bryan County, OK, Carter County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Choctaw County, OK, Coal County, OK, Craig County, OK, Creek County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Hughes County, OK, Johnston County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, Lincoln County, OK, Love County, OK, Marshall County, OK, Mayes County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Murray County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Okfuskee County, OK, Okmulgee County, OK, Osage County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Pawnee County, OK, Payne County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Pontotoc County, OK, Pottawatomie County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Seminole County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK, Tulsa County, OK, Wagoner County, OK, Washington County, OK

The radar

The Norman radar (KTLX), 96 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
30%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

16 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 21, 7:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOsage, Pawnee39 min
Oct 21, 8:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOsage, Pawnee, Washington47 min
Oct 21, 9:02 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOUNCleveland, Lincoln, Logan, Oklahoma118 min
Oct 21, 9:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCarter, Garvin, Grady, Stephens50 min
Oct 21, 9:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCleveland, Lincoln, Oklahoma, Pottawatomie, Seminole41 min
Oct 21, 9:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACraig, Nowata, Rogers, Washington34 min
Oct 21, 9:38 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNPottawatomie, Seminole37 min
Oct 21, 9:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNHughes, Lincoln, Pottawatomie, Seminole38 min
Oct 21, 9:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNGarvin, Pontotoc, Seminole50 min
Oct 21, 10:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek, Okfuskee25 min
Oct 21, 10:10 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNPontotoc22 min
Oct 21, 10:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek, Okfuskee, Okmulgee47 min
Oct 22, 12:04 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAHaskell, Latimer, Pittsburg, Pushmataha41 min
Oct 22, 12:41 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAAdair, Sequoyah34 min
Oct 22, 12:46 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSALeFlore, Sequoyah29 min
Oct 22, 1:08 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSALeFlore, Sequoyah37 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 00:00Z, 0.4 hours before the alert went out and 104 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Norman, OK at 00:00Z on 2017-10-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1764 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Norman, OK at 00:00Z on 2017-10-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 207 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1764 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-20 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
974 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
207 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
226 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.9
Supercell composite
10.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

902 
WWUS20 KWNS 220021
SEL4  
SPC WW 220021
OKZ000-220700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 504
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
720 PM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Eastern Oklahoma

* Effective this Saturday night and Sunday morning from 720 PM
  until 200 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Ongoing semi-discrete supercell thunderstorms across
southwest Oklahoma should continue to move toward east-central
Oklahoma this evening while additional linearly organized storms
continue to intensify near a cold front. Damaging winds will be the
most prevalent risk, but some tornado potential will exist as well,
particularly as the low-level jet continues to strengthen this
evening.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles
east and west of a line from 5 miles south of Durant OK to 25 miles
east northeast of Bartlesville OK. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 502...WW 503...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 22035.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 21, 8:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Atoka, Bryan, Carter, Cherokee, Choctaw and 40 more86 min
Oct 21, 10:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Atoka, Bryan, Cherokee, Choctaw, Coal and 10 more93 min
Oct 21, 11:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCMcCurtain7 hr
Oct 22, 1:44 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMcCurtain91 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2017Every tornado watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.