Alert archive / Oklahoma / Tornado Watches in 2017

Tornado Watch 503

October 21, 201729 counties in Oklahoma; 8 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Oct 21, 2017, 3:06 PM CDT for 29 counties in Oklahoma; 8 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 21, 2017, 3:06 PM CDT (20:06 UTC)
Expired
Oct 21, 2017, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 37 counties

Alfalfa County, OK, Beckham County, OK, Blaine County, OK, Caddo County, OK, Canadian County, OK, Cleveland County, OK, Comanche County, OK, Cotton County, OK, Custer County, OK, Dewey County, OK, Garfield County, OK, Garvin County, OK, Grady County, OK, Grant County, OK, Greer County, OK, Harmon County, OK, Jackson County, OK, Jefferson County, OK, Kay County, OK, Kingfisher County, OK, Kiowa County, OK, Logan County, OK, Major County, OK, McClain County, OK, Noble County, OK, Oklahoma County, OK, Stephens County, OK, Tillman County, OK, Washita County, OK, Archer County, TX, Baylor County, TX, Clay County, TX, Foard County, TX, Hardeman County, TX, Knox County, TX, Wichita County, TX, Wilbarger County, TX

The radar

The Norman radar (KTLX), 83 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
50%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

52 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 21, 3:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNComanche, Jackson, Kiowa, Tillman53 min
Oct 21, 4:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNJackson, Tillman39 min
Oct 21, 4:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNKiowa, Washita52 min
Oct 21, 4:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBlaine, Dewey50 min
Oct 21, 4:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBeckham, Roger Mills46 min
Oct 21, 4:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNDewey, Ellis, Roger Mills44 min
Oct 21, 4:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNComanche, Jackson, Kiowa, Tillman48 min
Oct 21, 4:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBlaine, Caddo, Canadian, Custer, Kiowa, Washita45 min
Oct 21, 5:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBeckham, Roger Mills37 min
Oct 21, 5:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNAlfalfa, Garfield, Grant, Major47 min
Oct 21, 5:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCaddo, Comanche, Jackson, Kiowa, Washita42 min
Oct 21, 5:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCaddo, Comanche, Kiowa, Tillman51 min
Oct 21, 5:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNJackson, Tillman48 min
Oct 21, 5:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBlaine, Custer, Dewey47 min
Oct 21, 5:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCuster, Washita45 min
Oct 21, 5:44 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNComanche, Tillman31 min
Oct 21, 5:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNJackson, Tillman41 min
Oct 21, 5:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNFoard, Knox39 min
Oct 21, 5:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCaddo, Comanche, Kiowa, Washita51 min
Oct 21, 6:09 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedOUNCaddo, Comanche36 min
Oct 21, 6:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNFoard, Hardeman35 min
Oct 21, 6:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNComanche, Kiowa, Tillman50 min
Oct 21, 6:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBaylor, Foard, Wilbarger46 min
Oct 21, 6:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNFoard, Hardeman, Wilbarger44 min
Oct 21, 6:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCaddo, Comanche, Grady49 min
Oct 21, 6:50 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOUNComanche3 hr
Oct 21, 6:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNKay, Noble48 min
Oct 21, 7:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNJackson, Tillman36 min
Oct 21, 7:10 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNCaddo35 min
Oct 21, 7:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNWichita, Wilbarger50 min
Oct 21, 7:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNComanche, Tillman47 min
Oct 21, 7:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCaddo, Canadian, Grady38 min
Oct 21, 7:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCaddo, Comanche, Grady51 min
Oct 21, 7:27 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNCaddo, Grady33 min
Oct 21, 7:34 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOUNCaddo116 min
Oct 21, 7:55 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNGrady, McClain35 min
Oct 21, 7:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCanadian, Cleveland, Grady, Oklahoma49 min
Oct 21, 7:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNComanche, Cotton, Tillman46 min
Oct 21, 8:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNFoard, Knox29 min
Oct 21, 8:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCleveland, Grady, McClain50 min
Oct 21, 8:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNKnox35 min
Oct 21, 8:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBaylor, Foard, Knox, Wilbarger40 min
Oct 21, 8:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNGrady, Jefferson, Stephens42 min
Oct 21, 8:37 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNCleveland, McClain23 min
Oct 21, 8:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCleveland, McClain, Oklahoma42 min
Oct 21, 8:49 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOUNCanadian, Cleveland, Grady, McClain, Oklahoma116 min
Oct 21, 8:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCotton, Tillman48 min
Oct 21, 9:02 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOUNCleveland, Lincoln, Logan, Oklahoma118 min
Oct 21, 9:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCarter, Garvin, Grady, Stephens50 min
Oct 21, 9:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCleveland, Lincoln, Oklahoma, Pottawatomie, Seminole41 min
Oct 21, 9:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNArcher, Clay41 min
Oct 21, 9:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNGarvin, Pontotoc, Seminole50 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 77 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Norman, OK at 12:00Z on 2017-10-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 725 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Norman, OK at 12:00Z on 2017-10-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 231 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
725 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-149 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
642 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
231 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
252 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

354 
WWUS20 KWNS 212002
SEL3  
SPC WW 212002
OKZ000-TXZ000-220300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 503
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
300 PM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Western and central Oklahoma
  Northwest Texas

* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 300 PM until
  1000 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible
  Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
    to 2.5 inches in diameter possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely

SUMMARY...Thunderstorm development is expected around 4pm, with an
increase in storm coverage/intensity into this evening.  More
isolated supercells with very large hail will be possible initially
across western Oklahoma and northwest Texas.  Storms will then grow
upscale into a more solid squall line by late evening, when damaging
winds will become the more common threat.  A tornado or two could
occur with the initial discrete supercells, as well as later this
evening with circulations embedded in the developing line across
central Oklahoma.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
east and west of a line from 45 miles west northwest of Ponca City
OK to 55 miles southwest of Wichita Falls TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 502...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24030.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 21, 2:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlfalfa, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Cleveland, Comanche and 24 more114 min
Oct 21, 5:05 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Cleveland, Comanche and 26 more85 min
Oct 21, 6:40 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCaddo, Canadian, Carter, Cleveland, Coal, Comanche and 36 more95 min
Oct 21, 5:41 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBorden, Cottle, Crosby, Dawson, Dickens, Fisher and 13 more94 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2017Tornado Watches in Texas, 2017Every tornado watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.