Alert archive / Georgia / Tornado Watches in 2017

Tornado Watch 5

January 2, 201736 counties in Georgia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jan 2, 2017, 10:27 PM EST for 36 counties in Georgia. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 2, 2017, 10:27 PM EST (03:27 UTC)
Expired
Jan 3, 2017, 1:47 AM EST
In force
3 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 36 counties

Appling County, GA, Atkinson County, GA, Bacon County, GA, Ben Hill County, GA, Berrien County, GA, Brantley County, GA, Brooks County, GA, Candler County, GA, Charlton County, GA, Clinch County, GA, Coffee County, GA, Cook County, GA, Crisp County, GA, Dodge County, GA, Dooly County, GA, Echols County, GA, Emanuel County, GA, Evans County, GA, Irwin County, GA, Jeff Davis County, GA, Lanier County, GA, Long County, GA, Lowndes County, GA, Montgomery County, GA, Pierce County, GA, Pulaski County, GA, Tattnall County, GA, Telfair County, GA, Tift County, GA, Toombs County, GA, Treutlen County, GA, Turner County, GA, Ware County, GA, Wayne County, GA, Wheeler County, GA, Wilcox County, GA

The radar

The Moody AFB radar (KVAX), 81 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

9 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 2, 10:33 PM ESTTornado WarningTAEDougherty, Lee, Turner, Worth27 min
Jan 2, 10:51 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCCrisp, Wilcox39 min
Jan 2, 10:54 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAEBen Hill, Berrien, Cook, Irwin, Tift66 min
Jan 2, 10:59 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAEBrooks, Lanier, Lowndes61 min
Jan 2, 11:13 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCDodge, Pulaski, Telfair, Wilcox47 min
Jan 2, 11:15 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXAppling, Atkinson, Bacon, Clinch, Coffee, Jeff Davis and 1 more60 min
Jan 2, 11:31 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCDodge, Laurens, Telfair, Wheeler44 min
Jan 3, 12:15 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCEmanuel, Johnson, Laurens, Montgomery, Treutlen, Wheeler45 min
Jan 3, 12:30 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCEmanuel, Laurens, Montgomery, Toombs, Treutlen, Wheeler45 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Jacksonville, FL (KJAX), launched 00:00Z, 3.5 hours before the alert went out and 178 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jacksonville, FL at 00:00Z on 2017-01-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1191 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jacksonville, FL at 00:00Z on 2017-01-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 98 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1191 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-35 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
953 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
98 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
122 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.6
Supercell composite
4.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

612 
WWUS20 KWNS 030324
SEL5  
SPC WW 030324
FLZ000-GAZ000-030800-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 5
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1025 PM EST Mon Jan 2 2017

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Northern Florida
  Southern Georgia

* Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 1025 PM
  until 300 AM EST.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely

SUMMARY...A fast-moving line of severe storms over southwest GA and
the FL Panhandle will track eastward across the watch area for the
next few hours.  Damaging winds are the main threat, but a few
tornadoes are also possible.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles
north and south of a line from 20 miles north northwest of Moultrie
GA to 55 miles southeast of Vidalia GA. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU5).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 4...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 25040.

...Hart

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 2, 9:15 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaker, Brooks, Calhoun, Clay, Colquitt, Cook and 11 more60 min
Jan 3, 12:10 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppling, Atkinson, Bacon, Brantley, Bryan, Bulloch and 25 more2 hr
Jan 3, 12:12 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCharlton2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Georgia, 2017Every tornado watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.