Severe Thunderstorm Warning 1, NWS Jacksonville, FL

085 
WWUS52 KJAX 030451
SVSJAX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
1151 PM EST MON JAN 2 2017

GAC001-003-005-065-069-161-299-030515-
/O.CON.KJAX.SV.W.0001.000000T0000Z-170103T0515Z/
Bacon GA-Jeff Davis GA-Clinch GA-Ware GA-Coffee GA-Atkinson GA-
Appling GA-
1151 PM EST MON JAN 2 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 AM EST
FOR BACON...JEFF DAVIS...NORTHWESTERN CLINCH...NORTHWESTERN WARE...
COFFEE...ATKINSON AND NORTHWESTERN APPLING COUNTIES...

At 1150 PM EST, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 6 miles north of Snipesville to 7 miles southeast of
Lakeland, moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Expect considerable tree damage. Damage is likely to mobile 
         homes, roofs, and outbuildings. 

Locations impacted include...
Douglas, Baxley, Hazlehurst, Alma, Homerville, Pearson, Willacoochee,
Broxton, Ambrose and Graham.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain alert for a possible tornado! Tornadoes can develop quickly
from severe thunderstorms. If you spot a tornado go at once into the
basement or small central room in a sturdy structure.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 300 AM EST for southeastern
Georgia.

LAT...LON 3193 8232 3194 8228 3088 8263 3088 8297
      3118 8297 3119 8305 3128 8303 3140 8314
      3146 8315 3151 8308 3161 8306 3166 8300
      3178 8300 3178 8287 3192 8268 3196 8257
      3195 8249 3197 8247
TIME...MOT...LOC 0450Z 270DEG 39KT 3186 8278 3095 8302 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

ENYEDI

567 
WWUS52 KJAX 030516
SVSJAX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
1216 AM EST TUE JAN 3 2017

GAC001-003-005-065-069-161-299-030526-
/O.EXP.KJAX.SV.W.0001.000000T0000Z-170103T0515Z/
Bacon GA-Jeff Davis GA-Clinch GA-Ware GA-Coffee GA-Atkinson GA-
Appling GA-
1216 AM EST TUE JAN 3 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR BACON...JEFF DAVIS...
NORTHWESTERN CLINCH...NORTHWESTERN WARE...COFFEE...ATKINSON AND
NORTHWESTERN APPLING COUNTIES HAS EXPIRED...

The storms which prompted the warning have weakened. Therefore the
warning has been allowed to expire.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 300 AM EST for southeastern
Georgia.

LAT...LON 3193 8232 3194 8228 3088 8263 3088 8297
      3118 8297 3119 8305 3128 8303 3140 8314
      3146 8315 3151 8308 3161 8306 3166 8300
      3178 8300 3178 8287 3192 8268 3196 8257
      3195 8249 3197 8247
TIME...MOT...LOC 0516Z 266DEG 39KT 3188 8247 3097 8272 

$$

ENYEDI

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
753 PM EST Mon Jan 2 2017

...Slight Risk of Severe Storms Tonight Portions of SE Georgia...

.UPDATE...Potential for strong to severe storms across our NW Ga
zones tonight where low level instability will phase with stronger
pre-frontal dynamics after midnight. Indicated highest rain
chances of 60-70% from Jesup to Waycross to Homerville between
midnight and 0700 am Tue morning then decrease rain chances into
the 30-50% chance range for SE Ga Tue morning through midday as
stronger dynamics lift NNE of the region. Lower rain chances
across the remainder of the area with only a low 10-20% chance for
much of the JAX metro area and our NE FL coastal zones where a
stray shower may quickly traverse. Otherwise mostly cloudy skies
with low stratus clouds and near record high minimum temperatures
tonight under strong warm air advection pattern (climate data
below).

.AVIATION...Ceilings will lower to at least MVFR with IFR at
times tonight ahead of approaching frontal system. Highest
probability of LIFR at GNV...VQQ...JAX and SSI. Low stratus more
probable than fog due to elevated boundary layer winds. Showers
likely to impact SSI tonight then activity pressing southward
across NE FL through Tue while gradually weakening and decreasing
in coverage. SSE winds this evening with east coast sea breeze
will veer SSW tonight through Tue with gusts up to 20 kts at times
by midday Tue. Surface front not expected to push south of the
terminals until late Tue night trailed by wind shift to the NW.

.MARINE...ESE winds 10 kts this evening will veer south tonight
and increase to near 15 kts over the outer waters with higher
gusts through sunrise ahead of the approaching frontal system.
Exercise caution winds are expected over the outer water Tue.
Combined seas 4 ft or less expected tonight.

.CLIMATE...Record warm airmass across the area.

Record high temperatures today set at Alma and Jacksonville. Alma set
a new record high of 82 (previous 80 in 1952) and Jacksonville set
a new record high of 82 (previous 80 in 1947. )

Near record high minimum temperatures likely tonight.

January 3rd Record High Minimum Temperatures:
Jacksonville 66/1947
Gainesville 69/1909
Alma 64/1985
St. Simons Island 65/1985

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  81  65  78  56 /  40  60  60  10
SSI  70  63  75  59 /  20  50  50  10
JAX  82  66  79  58 /  20  20  40  10
SGJ  76  66  81  60 /  10  20  20  20
GNV  82  66  80  58 /  20  20  30  20
OCF  84  66  80  60 /  10  20  30  20

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
&&

Enyedi/Wolf/Guillet

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1035 PM EST MON JAN 2 2017

AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-124-125-
GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-040345-
COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-INLAND NASSAU-INLAND DUVAL-UNION-
BRADFORD-CLAY-ST. JOHNS-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-
COASTAL NASSAU-COASTAL DUVAL-COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-
WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN-COASTAL GLYNN-
ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-COASTAL CAMDEN-
1035 PM EST MON JAN 2 2017

...TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT FOR INLAND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND
HAMILTON COUNTY IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA UNTIL 3 AM EDT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA...
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND
INTO PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. A TORNADO
WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EDT FOR ALL OF INLAND SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA AND HAMILTON COUNTY IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA. IN ADDITION TO
TORNADOES...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH ARE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY.

A LIGHT FREEZE IS POSSIBLE ACROSS INLAND LOCATIONS EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO SELF ACTIVATE IF WARNINGS ARE ISSUED.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
1038 PM EST MON JAN 2 2017

GAZ132-133-149-163-030415-
Clinch GA-Jeff Davis GA-Atkinson GA-Coffee GA-
1038 PM EST MON JAN 2 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN JEFF DAVIS...NORTHWESTERN
CLINCH...COFFEE AND ATKINSON COUNTIES UNTIL 1115 PM EST...

At 1032 PM EST, A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS TRACKING EAST
ACROSS SOUTHERN GEORGIA FROM NEAR CORDELE SOUTHWARD TOWARD
THOMASVILLE. THESE STORMS HAVE A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS
AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. STORMS WERE MOVING east AT 50 mph. THESE
STORMS WILL BE APPROACHING AREAS ALONG AND WEST OF A SNIPESVILLE TO
DOUGLAS TO HOMERVILLE LINE THROUGH MIDNIGHT. INTERESTS IN THESE
AREAS SHOULD PREPARE FOR POTENTIAL DAMAGING WINDS AND STAYED TUNED
FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

Locations impacted include... Douglas, Homerville,
Pearson, Willacoochee, Broxton, Ambrose, Du Pont, West Green,
Snipesville and Pridgen.

THESE COUNTIES ARE UNDER A TORNADO WATCH THROUGH 3 AM TUESDAY
MORNING.

LAT...LON 3128 8269 3127 8270 3099 8269 3096 8297
      3118 8297 3119 8305 3128 8303 3134 8307
      3140 8314 3146 8315 3151 8308 3161 8306
      3166 8300 3179 8299 3178 8287 3192 8268
TIME...MOT...LOC 0332Z 247DEG 47KT 3202 8390 3088 8387

ENYEDI