Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2017
Tornado Watch 43
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Feb 28, 2017, 3:40 PM CST for 56 counties in Arkansas; Dunklin County, Pemiscot County, Missouri. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 28, 2017, 3:40 PM CST (21:40 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 28, 2017, 10:00 PM CST
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 3 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 58 counties
Arkansas County, AR, Baxter County, AR, Benton County, AR, Boone County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Clark County, AR, Clay County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Conway County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Greene County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Lee County, AR, Logan County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Madison County, AR, Marion County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Newton County, AR, Perry County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Pike County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Saline County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Sharp County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, Washington County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Yell County, AR, Dunklin County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO
The radar
The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 92 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 30%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 60%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
13 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 4:33 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Faulkner, Garland, Perry, Pulaski, Saline | 42 min |
| Feb 28, 4:36 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Garland, Montgomery | 39 min |
| Feb 28, 5:04 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Garland, Saline | 41 min |
| Feb 28, 5:21 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Faulkner, Perry, Pulaski, Saline | 39 min |
| Feb 28, 5:43 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Perry, Pulaski, Saline | 32 min |
| Feb 28, 5:54 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Faulkner, Pulaski | 35 min |
| Feb 28, 6:05 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Faulkner, Perry, Pulaski | 40 min |
| Feb 28, 6:25 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Faulkner, Lonoke, White | 50 min |
| Feb 28, 6:33 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | White | 42 min |
| Feb 28, 7:09 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Jackson, White, Woodruff | 51 min |
| Feb 28, 7:14 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Jackson, White, Woodruff | 35 min |
| Feb 28, 7:52 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Jackson, Woodruff | 23 min |
| Feb 28, 8:54 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Craighead, Mississippi, Poinsett | 36 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 9.7 hours before the alert went out and 178 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 573 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -124 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 708 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 54 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 370 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 379 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 7.9
The text
As transmitted.
573
WWUS20 KWNS 282137
SEL3
SPC WW 282137
ARZ000-MOZ000-010400-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 43
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
340 PM CST Tue Feb 28 2017
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northern and Central Arkansas
Missouri Bootheel
* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 340 PM until
1000 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 3 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms are beginning to develop over
western AR. These storms will spread eastward across the watch area
this afternoon and evening, posing a risk of large hail, damaging
winds, and a few tornadoes.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 90 statute miles
north and south of a line from 55 miles west of Russellville AR to
25 miles south southeast of Jonesboro AR. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 41...WW 42...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 25035.
...HartSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2:10 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Chicot, Desha, Drew and 2 more | 3 hr |
| Feb 28, 1:46 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Clay, Cleburne and 37 more | 2 hr |
| Feb 28, 5:28 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Boone, Clay, Cleburne, Conway, Craighead and 36 more | 2 hr |
| Feb 28, 2:19 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Barry, Barton, Benton, Bollinger, Boone, Butler and 58 more | 7 hr |
| Feb 28, 2:57 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Audrain, Clark, Knox, Lewis, Marion, Monroe and 4 more | 7 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2017Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2017Every tornado watch in 2017
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.