Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2017

Tornado Watch 41

February 28, 201733 counties in Illinois; 64 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Feb 28, 2017, 2:19 PM CST for 33 counties in Illinois; 64 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 28, 2017, 2:19 PM CST (20:19 UTC)
Expired
Feb 28, 2017, 9:00 PM CST
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 97 counties

Alexander County, IL, Bond County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Clinton County, IL, Edwards County, IL, Fayette County, IL, Franklin County, IL, Gallatin County, IL, Greene County, IL, Hamilton County, IL, Hardin County, IL, Jackson County, IL, Jefferson County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Madison County, IL, Marion County, IL, Massac County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Montgomery County, IL, Perry County, IL, Pope County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Saline County, IL, Union County, IL, Wabash County, IL, Washington County, IL, Wayne County, IL, White County, IL, Williamson County, IL, Barry County, MO, Barton County, MO, Benton County, MO, Bollinger County, MO, Boone County, MO, Butler County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Camden County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Carter County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Christian County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Cole County, MO, Crawford County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Greene County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Howell County, MO, Iron County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Madison County, MO, Maries County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Miller County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Newton County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Osage County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Perry County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Polk County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Scott County, MO, Shannon County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO, Wayne County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 113 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
70%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
40%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

41 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 28, 2:32 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCrawford43 min
Feb 28, 3:02 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCrawford, Washington43 min
Feb 28, 3:13 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBarry, Stone21 days
Feb 28, 3:30 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDent, Texas21 days
Feb 28, 3:38 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXJefferson, Sainte Genevieve, Saint Francois, Washington52 min
Feb 28, 3:40 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFChristian, Greene21 days
Feb 28, 4:01 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCrawford, Washington44 min
Feb 28, 4:03 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFChristian, Douglas, Webster21 days
Feb 28, 4:07 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMonroe, Randolph26 min
Feb 28, 4:15 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCalhoun, Greene, Jersey32 min
Feb 28, 4:28 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFWright21 days
Feb 28, 4:41 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXFranklin, Jefferson, Washington34 min
Feb 28, 4:58 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCrawford, Washington33 min
Feb 28, 4:58 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDent, Texas, Wright21 days
Feb 28, 5:10 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMonroe, Saint Clair33 min
Feb 28, 5:14 PM CSTTornado WarningLSXMacoupin, Montgomery31 min
Feb 28, 5:16 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXJefferson, Washington44 min
Feb 28, 5:29 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBond, Clinton, Madison, Saint Clair46 min
Feb 28, 5:36 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMonroe, Randolph, Saint Clair39 min
Feb 28, 5:37 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDent, Shannon21 days
Feb 28, 5:44 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXJefferson, Sainte Genevieve31 min
Feb 28, 6:12 PM CSTTornado WarningSGFShannon14 min
Feb 28, 6:14 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMonroe, Randolph, Saint Clair, Washington46 min
Feb 28, 6:14 PM CSTTornado WarningLSXReynolds30 min
Feb 28, 6:16 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXIron, Reynolds44 min
Feb 28, 6:22 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXFayette23 min
Feb 28, 6:56 PM CSTTornado WarningLSXIron, Madison, Reynolds, Saint Francois34 min
Feb 28, 6:57 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXClinton, Marion, Washington48 min
Feb 28, 6:59 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXIron, Madison, Sainte Genevieve, Saint Francois46 min
Feb 28, 7:06 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHJefferson24 min
Feb 28, 7:27 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHPerry48 min
Feb 28, 7:30 PM CSTTornado WarningLSXMadison, Sainte Genevieve, Saint Francois19 min
Feb 28, 7:34 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXRandolph17 min
Feb 28, 7:40 PM CSTTornado WarningPAHPerry35 min
Feb 28, 7:54 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHWayne36 min
Feb 28, 8:07 PM CSTTornado Warning Tornado observedPAHJackson23 min
Feb 28, 8:08 PM CSTTornado Warning Tornado observedLSXRandolph14 min
Feb 28, 8:13 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCarter, Wayne29 min
Feb 28, 8:21 PM CSTTornado Warning Tornado observedConsiderable damage threatPAHJackson, Perry27 min
Feb 28, 8:39 PM CSTTornado Warning Tornado observedConsiderable damage threatPAHFranklin, Jackson, Perry36 min
Feb 28, 8:59 PM CSTTornado Warning Considerable damage threatPAHFranklin, Hamilton, Jefferson46 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 163 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2017-02-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 573 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2017-02-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 370 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
573 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-124 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
708 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
54 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
370 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
379 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
7.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

474 
WWUS20 KWNS 282017
SEL1  
SPC WW 282017
ILZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-010300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 41
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
215 PM CST Tue Feb 28 2017

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Southern and West-Central Illinois
  Extreme Southeast Kansas
  Central and Southern Missouri

* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 215 PM until
  900 PM CST.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
  Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
    to 3 inches in diameter possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...Widely scattered thunderstorms are expected to affect the
watch area this afternoon and evening, with a few severe storms
likely.  Very large hail and isolated tornadoes will be possible in
the more intense storms.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
north and south of a line from 10 miles west northwest of Joplin MO
to 25 miles south southeast of Mount Vernon IL. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 25035.

...Hart

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 28, 2:10 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Chicot, Desha, Drew and 2 more3 hr
Feb 28, 1:46 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Clay, Cleburne and 37 more2 hr
Feb 28, 3:40 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCArkansas, Baxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Clark and 50 more6 hr
Feb 28, 5:28 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Boone, Clay, Cleburne, Conway, Craighead and 36 more2 hr
Feb 28, 2:03 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBureau, DeKalb, DuPage, Ford, Fulton, Grundy and 24 more2 hr
Feb 28, 2:57 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAdams, Boone, Brown, Bureau, Carroll, Cass and 63 more7 hr
Feb 28, 5:24 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bureau, Carroll, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage and 28 more96 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2017Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2017Every tornado watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.