Alert archive / Minnesota / Tornado Watches in 2017
Tornado Watch 408
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jul 11, 2017, 4:48 PM CDT for 15 counties in Minnesota; 12 counties in North Dakota. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 11, 2017, 4:48 PM CDT (21:48 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 11, 2017, 11:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 27 counties
Becker County, MN, Clay County, MN, Clearwater County, MN, Grant County, MN, Hubbard County, MN, Kittson County, MN, Mahnomen County, MN, Marshall County, MN, Norman County, MN, Otter Tail County, MN, Pennington County, MN, Polk County, MN, Red Lake County, MN, Wadena County, MN, Wilkin County, MN, Barnes County, ND, Cass County, ND, Grand Forks County, ND, Griggs County, ND, Nelson County, ND, Pembina County, ND, Ransom County, ND, Richland County, ND, Sargent County, ND, Steele County, ND, Traill County, ND, Walsh County, ND
The radar
The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 36 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 60%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 50%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
25 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 5:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Grand Forks, Nelson | 66 min |
| Jul 11, 5:25 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FGF | Marshall | 50 min |
| Jul 11, 5:35 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FGF | Grand Forks, Walsh | 40 min |
| Jul 11, 5:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Kittson, Marshall | 60 min |
| Jul 11, 5:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Grand Forks | 59 min |
| Jul 11, 5:48 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FGF | Cavalier, Ramsey, Walsh | 42 min |
| Jul 11, 6:01 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FGF | Grand Forks | 44 min |
| Jul 11, 6:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Marshall, Polk | 44 min |
| Jul 11, 6:21 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FGF | Marshall, Polk | 39 min |
| Jul 11, 6:27 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FGF | Cavalier, Pembina, Walsh | 48 min |
| Jul 11, 6:36 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Kittson | 39 min |
| Jul 11, 6:42 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FGF | Grand Forks, Steele, Traill | 48 min |
| Jul 11, 7:02 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FGF | Polk | 43 min |
| Jul 11, 7:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Marshall, Polk | 36 min |
| Jul 11, 7:19 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FGF | Norman, Polk | 41 min |
| Jul 11, 7:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Pembina | 41 min |
| Jul 11, 7:47 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FGF | Pennington, Polk, Red Lake | 27 min |
| Jul 11, 7:59 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FGF | Clay, Norman, Polk | 46 min |
| Jul 11, 8:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Pennington, Polk, Red Lake | 56 min |
| Jul 11, 8:34 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FGF | Becker, Clay, Mahnomen, Norman | 41 min |
| Jul 11, 9:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Becker, Clay, Mahnomen, Norman, Otter Tail | 61 min |
| Jul 11, 9:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Grant | 35 min |
| Jul 11, 9:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Grant, Otter Tail | 62 min |
| Jul 11, 10:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Becker, Hubbard, Otter Tail, Wadena | 67 min |
| Jul 11, 10:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Becker, Clay, Otter Tail | 67 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 12:00Z, 9.8 hours before the alert went out and 292 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 34 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -303 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2064 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 32 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 83 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 145 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
834
WWUS20 KWNS 112140
SEL8
SPC WW 112140
MNZ000-NDZ000-120400-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 408
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
440 PM CDT Tue Jul 11 2017
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northwestern Minnesota
Eastern North Dakota
* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 440 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2.5 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorm development is expected from 5-7 pm CDT
across eastern North Dakota, and storms will subsequently spread to
the east-southeast into Minnesota. Initial supercells will be
capable of producing a couple of tornadoes and isolated very large
hail, while storms could grow upscale into a small cluster or two
late this evening with an increase in the damaging wind threat.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
east and west of a line from 20 miles northwest of Hallock MN to 50
miles south southwest of Detroit Lakes MN. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 29025.
...ThompsonSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 3:48 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Becker, Big Stone, Chippewa, Clay, Douglas, Grant and 16 more | 87 min |
| Jul 11, 6:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Big Stone, Chippewa, Douglas, Lac qui Parle, Lincoln, Lyon and 7 more | 5 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Minnesota, 2017Tornado Watches in North Dakota, 2017Every tornado watch in 2017
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.