Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2017

Tornado Watch 26

February 7, 201737 parishes in Louisiana; 40 counties in Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Feb 7, 2017, 7:54 AM CST for 37 parishes in Louisiana; 40 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 11 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 7, 2017, 7:54 AM CST (13:54 UTC)
Expired
Feb 7, 2017, 6:39 PM CST
In force
11 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 77 counties

Acadia Parish, LA, Allen Parish, LA, Ascension Parish, LA, Assumption Parish, LA, Avoyelles Parish, LA, Catahoula Parish, LA, Concordia Parish, LA, East Baton Rouge Parish, LA, East Feliciana Parish, LA, Evangeline Parish, LA, Iberia Parish, LA, Iberville Parish, LA, Jefferson Davis Parish, LA, Jefferson Parish, LA, Lafayette Parish, LA, Lafourche Parish, LA, Livingston Parish, LA, Orleans Parish, LA, Plaquemines Parish, LA, Pointe Coupee Parish, LA, Rapides Parish, LA, Saint Bernard Parish, LA, Saint Charles Parish, LA, Saint Helena Parish, LA, Saint James Parish, LA, Saint John the Baptist Parish, LA, Saint Landry Parish, LA, Saint Martin Parish, LA, Saint Tammany Parish, LA, St. Mary Parish, LA, Tangipahoa Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA, Terrebonne Parish, LA, Vermilion Parish, LA, Washington Parish, LA, West Baton Rouge Parish, LA, West Feliciana Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Amite County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Clarke County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, Franklin County, MS, George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Hancock County, MS, Harrison County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Jackson County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Leake County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Madison County, MS, Marion County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Newton County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Perry County, MS, Pike County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Stone County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Warren County, MS, Wayne County, MS, Wilkinson County, MS

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
50%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

61 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 7, 8:13 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXEast Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Pointe Coupee, West Baton Rouge32 min
Feb 7, 8:22 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCovington, Jefferson Davis, Lamar, Marion29 min
Feb 7, 8:41 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXEast Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Livingston34 min
Feb 7, 9:05 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXAscension, Iberville25 min
Feb 7, 9:09 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXEast Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Livingston, Saint Helena36 min
Feb 7, 9:20 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXTangipahoa, Washington25 min
Feb 7, 9:26 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXAscension, Iberville, Livingston34 min
Feb 7, 9:29 AM CSTTornado WarningLCHAvoyelles31 min
Feb 7, 9:43 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXWashington47 min
Feb 7, 9:49 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXEast Baton Rouge, West Baton Rouge26 min
Feb 7, 9:52 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXPointe Coupee, West Feliciana23 min
Feb 7, 9:59 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXLivingston, Tangipahoa31 min
Feb 7, 10:06 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXSaint Helena, Tangipahoa, Washington24 min
Feb 7, 10:12 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXEast Baton Rouge, Livingston, Saint Helena33 min
Feb 7, 10:16 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXPointe Coupee, West Feliciana29 min
Feb 7, 10:16 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBWayne59 min
Feb 7, 10:19 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXJefferson, Lafourche, Saint Charles26 min
Feb 7, 10:21 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXPointe Coupee, West Feliciana24 min
Feb 7, 10:28 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXAscension, Iberville32 min
Feb 7, 10:32 AM CSTTornado Warning Tornado observedConsiderable damage threatLIXLivingston, Saint John the Baptist, Saint Tammany, Tangipahoa28 min
Feb 7, 10:36 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXEast Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Pointe Coupee, West Feliciana24 min
Feb 7, 10:36 AM CSTTornado WarningJANLamar, Marion54 min
Feb 7, 10:40 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXLivingston, Saint Helena, Tangipahoa35 min
Feb 7, 10:43 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXJefferson, Orleans, Saint Charles32 min
Feb 7, 10:52 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXJefferson, Orleans, Saint Bernard23 min
Feb 7, 10:55 AM CSTTornado Warning EmergencyTornado observedCatastrophic damage threatLIXSaint Tammany, Tangipahoa35 min
Feb 7, 10:58 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXEast Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Pointe Coupee, West Feliciana32 min
Feb 7, 10:59 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXAscension, Iberville, Livingston, Saint James31 min
Feb 7, 11:14 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXOrleans31 min
Feb 7, 11:15 AM CSTTornado WarningJANForrest, Lamar23 min
Feb 7, 11:27 AM CSTTornado Warning Tornado observedLIXAscension, Saint James, Saint John the Baptist33 min
Feb 7, 11:29 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXEast Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Livingston, Saint Helena31 min
Feb 7, 11:41 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHinds, Madison, Rankin64 min
Feb 7, 11:55 AM CSTTornado Warning Tornado observedLIXSaint John the Baptist11 min
Feb 7, 11:56 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXLivingston, Saint Helena, Tangipahoa34 min
Feb 7, 11:59 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXJefferson, Orleans, Plaquemines, Saint Bernard, Saint Charles31 min
Feb 7, 12:08 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANJasper, Smith52 min
Feb 7, 12:18 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCopiah, Hinds, Rankin, Simpson41 min
Feb 7, 12:23 PM CSTTornado WarningLIXOrleans, Saint Bernard22 min
Feb 7, 12:25 PM CSTTornado Warning Tornado observedLIXLivingston, Saint Helena, Tangipahoa35 min
Feb 7, 12:39 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANRankin, Scott66 min
Feb 7, 12:57 PM CSTTornado WarningLIXSaint Tammany, Tangipahoa, Washington33 min
Feb 7, 1:01 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXJackson29 min
Feb 7, 1:06 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBGeorge39 min
Feb 7, 1:19 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANRankin41 min
Feb 7, 1:26 PM CSTTornado WarningLIXSaint Tammany, Washington34 min
Feb 7, 1:37 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXHarrison, Jackson23 min
Feb 7, 1:43 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANNewton, Scott19 min
Feb 7, 1:43 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANRankin19 min
Feb 7, 1:58 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXSaint Tammany32 min
Feb 7, 2:27 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXHancock, Harrison, Pearl River33 min
Feb 7, 2:31 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLeake, Madison, Scott44 min
Feb 7, 2:58 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXHarrison, Jackson32 min
Feb 7, 3:25 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAttala, Leake50 min
Feb 7, 3:30 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANScott45 min
Feb 7, 3:37 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXJackson23 min
Feb 7, 3:54 PM CSTTornado WarningJANScott54 min
Feb 7, 4:09 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLeake, Neshoba66 min
Feb 7, 4:27 PM CSTTornado WarningJANJasper, Newton63 min
Feb 7, 5:23 PM CSTTornado Warning Tornado observedJANClarke, Jasper67 min
Feb 7, 6:10 PM CSTTornado WarningJANClarke20 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 1.9 hours before the alert went out and 148 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2017-02-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 442 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2017-02-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 241 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
442 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-42 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
583 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
241 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
231 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

018 
WWUS20 KWNS 071353
SEL6  
SPC WW 071353
LAZ000-MSZ000-CWZ000-072000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 26
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
755 AM CST Tue Feb 7 2017

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Southern Louisiana
  Southern Mississippi
  Coastal Waters

* Effective this Tuesday morning and afternoon from 755 AM until
  200 PM CST.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes possible
  Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
    to 3 inches in diameter possible
  Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...Ahead of an approaching upper system, a relatively moist
air mass and cool temperatures aloft over the region will yield
initial supercells capable of large hail and a few tornadoes. A
damaging wind risk may increase later this afternoon as storms
spread eastward across southeast Mississippi toward southern
Alabama.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 90 statute miles
north and south of a line from 45 miles south southwest of
Alexandria LA to 60 miles east southeast of Pine Belt MS. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 25030.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 7, 5:59 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAcadia, Ascension, Assumption, Avoyelles, Concordia, East Baton Rouge and 26 more2 hr
Feb 7, 10:18 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAcadia, Ascension, Assumption, Avoyelles, Catahoula, Concordia and 21 more117 min
Feb 7, 12:56 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCOrleans, Saint Charles, Saint John the Baptist, Saint Tammany, Tangipahoa, Washington64 min
Feb 6, 10:59 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCoahoma, DeSoto, Panola, Quitman, Tallahatchie, Tate and 1 more9 hr
Feb 7, 7:28 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlcorn, Benton, DeSoto, Marshall, Tate, Tippah and 1 more2 hr
Feb 7, 12:22 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAttala, Calhoun, Carroll, Chickasaw, Choctaw, Clay and 12 more2 hr
Feb 7, 5:39 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCWayne96 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2017Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2017Every tornado watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.