Alert archive / Kansas / Tornado Watches in 2017

Tornado Watch 239

May 18, 201737 counties in Kansas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 18, 2017, 3:21 PM CDT for 37 counties in Kansas. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 18, 2017, 3:21 PM CDT (20:21 UTC)
Expired
May 18, 2017, 9:51 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Particularly dangerous situation
Yes
Largest hail expected
4 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 37 counties

Barber County, KS, Barton County, KS, Butler County, KS, Chase County, KS, Chautauqua County, KS, Clark County, KS, Comanche County, KS, Cowley County, KS, Edwards County, KS, Elk County, KS, Ellsworth County, KS, Finney County, KS, Ford County, KS, Gray County, KS, Greenwood County, KS, Harper County, KS, Harvey County, KS, Haskell County, KS, Hodgeman County, KS, Kingman County, KS, Kiowa County, KS, Lincoln County, KS, Marion County, KS, McPherson County, KS, Meade County, KS, Ness County, KS, Pawnee County, KS, Pratt County, KS, Reno County, KS, Rice County, KS, Rush County, KS, Russell County, KS, Saline County, KS, Sedgwick County, KS, Seward County, KS, Stafford County, KS, Sumner County, KS

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 108 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
90%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
80%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
50%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

44 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 18, 3:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCPawnee, Stafford49 min
May 18, 4:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCEdwards, Pawnee, Rush53 min
May 18, 4:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCClark, Comanche, Ford, Kiowa47 min
May 18, 4:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTBarton58 min
May 18, 4:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCBarber, Comanche55 min
May 18, 4:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCEdwards, Hodgeman, Ness, Pawnee, Rush40 min
May 18, 4:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTBarton, Ellsworth, Rice67 min
May 18, 4:42 PM CDTTornado WarningDDCPawnee, Rush33 min
May 18, 4:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCClark, Comanche, Kiowa43 min
May 18, 4:51 PM CDTTornado WarningDDCBarber29 min
May 18, 4:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTSaline54 min
May 18, 4:53 PM CDTTornado WarningDDCKiowa25 min
May 18, 4:53 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedICTBarton52 min
May 18, 4:57 PM CDTTornado WarningDDCPawnee, Rush33 min
May 18, 4:57 PM CDTTornado WarningDDCClark, Comanche33 min
May 18, 4:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTHarvey, McPherson, Reno45 min
May 18, 5:00 PM CDTTornado WarningDDCBarber22 min
May 18, 5:01 PM CDTTornado WarningICTBarton59 min
May 18, 5:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCPratt, Stafford39 min
May 18, 5:07 PM CDTTornado WarningICTBarton, Ellsworth, Rice53 min
May 18, 5:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCEllis, Pawnee, Rush32 min
May 18, 5:15 PM CDTTornado WarningDDCClark, Ford33 min
May 18, 5:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTChase, Marion29 min
May 18, 5:18 PM CDTTornado WarningDDCClark, Ford31 min
May 18, 5:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCStafford25 min
May 18, 5:38 PM CDTTornado WarningICTEllsworth44 min
May 18, 5:40 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningDDCPawnee, Rush6 hr
May 18, 5:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTSaline21 min
May 18, 5:45 PM CDTTornado WarningICTBarton35 min
May 18, 5:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCClark, Ford, Meade41 min
May 18, 5:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCEdwards, Ford, Hodgeman, Kiowa, Pawnee17 min
May 18, 5:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCFord, Hodgeman30 min
May 18, 5:59 PM CDTTornado WarningICTSaline61 min
May 18, 6:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTHarvey, McPherson, Reno, Rice23 min
May 18, 6:06 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningDDCFord6 hr
May 18, 6:21 PM CDTTornado WarningDDCClark, Meade15 min
May 18, 6:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCEllis, Ness, Rush, Trego51 min
May 18, 6:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTSedgwick, Sumner33 min
May 18, 6:45 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningDDCClark, Ford6 hr
May 18, 6:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTSaline21 min
May 18, 7:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTButler, Chase, Cowley, Elk, Greenwood65 min
May 18, 7:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCEdwards, Kiowa, Pawnee, Pratt, Stafford49 min
May 18, 8:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTChautauqua, Elk34 min
May 18, 8:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTElk, Greenwood, Wilson, Woodson39 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 8.4 hours before the alert went out and 102 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2017-05-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2017-05-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 356 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2030 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
56 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
356 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
380 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

730 
WWUS20 KWNS 182017
SEL9  
SPC WW 182017
KSZ000-190400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 239
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
320 PM CDT Thu May 18 2017

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  portions of central and southern Kansas

* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 320 PM until
  1100 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 4
    inches in diameter possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are forecast to develop across/spread into
southern portions of Kansas over the next 1-2 hours, with attendant
increase in significant severe risk -- including very
large/destructive hail, damaging winds, and the potential for
several strong tornadoes.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
north and south of a line from 25 miles west of Dodge City KS to 65
miles east northeast of Wichita KS. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 235...WW 236...WW
237...WW 238...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 4 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.

...Goss

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 18, 2:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Barton, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua, Clark and 20 more90 min
May 18, 2:16 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Chase, Coffey, Douglas, Franklin, Johnson and 7 more119 min
May 18, 3:00 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAnderson, Atchison, Brown, Clay, Cloud, Coffey and 24 more7 hr
May 18, 3:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGove, Grant, Greeley, Hamilton, Kearny, Logan and 8 more93 min
May 18, 5:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHarper, Sumner60 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2017Every tornado watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.