Alert archive / Iowa / Tornado Watches in 2017

Tornado Watch 231

May 17, 20174 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 17, 2017, 12:08 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 17, 2017, 12:08 PM CDT (17:08 UTC)
Expired
May 17, 2017, 7:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 133 counties

Adair County, IA, Adams County, IA, Appanoose County, IA, Audubon County, IA, Black Hawk County, IA, Boone County, IA, Bremer County, IA, Buena Vista County, IA, Butler County, IA, Calhoun County, IA, Carroll County, IA, Cass County, IA, Cerro Gordo County, IA, Cherokee County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Clay County, IA, Crawford County, IA, Dallas County, IA, Davis County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Dickinson County, IA, Emmet County, IA, Franklin County, IA, Fremont County, IA, Greene County, IA, Grundy County, IA, Guthrie County, IA, Hamilton County, IA, Hancock County, IA, Hardin County, IA, Harrison County, IA, Humboldt County, IA, Ida County, IA, Jasper County, IA, Kossuth County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Lyon County, IA, Madison County, IA, Mahaska County, IA, Marion County, IA, Marshall County, IA, Mills County, IA, Monona County, IA, Monroe County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, O'Brien County, IA, Osceola County, IA, Page County, IA, Palo Alto County, IA, Plymouth County, IA, Pocahontas County, IA, Polk County, IA, Pottawattamie County, IA, Poweshiek County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Sac County, IA, Shelby County, IA, Sioux County, IA, Story County, IA, Tama County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Union County, IA, Wapello County, IA, Warren County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Webster County, IA, Winnebago County, IA, Woodbury County, IA, Worth County, IA, Wright County, IA, Atchison County, KS, Brown County, KS, Cloud County, KS, Doniphan County, KS, Douglas County, KS, Jackson County, KS, Jefferson County, KS, Johnson County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS, Marshall County, KS, Nemaha County, KS, Pottawatomie County, KS, Republic County, KS, Shawnee County, KS, Washington County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Adair County, MO, Andrew County, MO, Atchison County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Clay County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Holt County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Platte County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Ray County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Worth County, MO, Burt County, NE, Cass County, NE, Cuming County, NE, Dakota County, NE, Dodge County, NE, Douglas County, NE, Gage County, NE, Jefferson County, NE, Johnson County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Nemaha County, NE, Otoe County, NE, Pawnee County, NE, Richardson County, NE, Saline County, NE, Sarpy County, NE, Saunders County, NE, Thurston County, NE, Washington County, NE

The radar

The Omaha radar (KOAX), 93 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

31 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 17, 1:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXLancaster, Otoe30 min
May 17, 1:33 PM CDTTornado WarningFSDSioux27 min
May 17, 1:56 PM CDTTornado WarningFSDSioux34 min
May 17, 2:03 PM CDTTornado WarningFSDSioux27 min
May 17, 2:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXDouglas, Washington24 min
May 17, 2:28 PM CDTTornado WarningFSDLyon, Sioux32 min
May 17, 2:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXDodge, Douglas, Saunders32 min
May 17, 2:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDLyon26 min
May 17, 2:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXDallas, Madison28 min
May 17, 2:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXBurt, Dodge, Washington24 min
May 17, 3:01 PM CDTTornado WarningFSDLyon29 min
May 17, 3:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXDallas, Polk43 min
May 17, 3:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXBlack Hawk, Bremer27 min
May 17, 3:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXBoone, Story35 min
May 17, 3:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAdair, Clarke, Madison, Union29 min
May 17, 3:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAdair, Guthrie23 min
May 17, 3:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAdair, Audubon, Carroll, Cass, Clarke, Dallas and 6 more44 min
May 17, 3:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXClarke, Decatur, Lucas, Marion, Union, Warren and 1 more43 min
May 17, 3:59 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXAppanoose, Monroe46 min
May 17, 4:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXBoone, Dallas, Greene, Guthrie, Jasper, Madison and 4 more43 min
May 17, 4:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXKossuth22 min
May 17, 4:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAppanoose, Jasper, Lucas, Mahaska, Marion, Monroe and 4 more63 min
May 17, 4:36 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXMahaska, Monroe, Wapello27 min
May 17, 4:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXBoone, Grundy, Hamilton, Hardin, Jasper, Marshall and 3 more67 min
May 17, 5:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXHumboldt, Kossuth, Webster49 min
May 17, 5:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXCerro Gordo, Franklin, Hamilton, Hancock, Hardin, Wright59 min
May 17, 5:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXDavis, Wapello39 min
May 17, 5:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXBlack Hawk, Bremer, Butler43 min
May 17, 5:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXCerro Gordo, Hancock, Kossuth, Winnebago, Worth34 min
May 17, 6:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXEmmet8 min
May 17, 6:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXBlack Hawk, Bremer9 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 5.1 hours before the alert went out and 93 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2017-05-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 121 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2017-05-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 119 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
121 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-156 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1106 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
119 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
132 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

729 
WWUS20 KWNS 171706
SEL1  
SPC WW 171706
IAZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-NEZ000-180000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 231
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1205 PM CDT Wed May 17 2017

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  much of western and central Iowa
  parts of northeast Kansas
  portions of northern Missouri
  parts of eastern Nebraska

* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 1205 PM
  until 700 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible
  Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
  Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms have begun to develop early this afternoon
across parts of north-central Kansas and into the mid-Missouri
Valley area, and should continue expanding/spreading northeast
across the WW area over the next several hours.  Large hail and
locally damaging winds will be possible, along with a few tornadoes
this afternoon and into the early evening hours.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 115 statute miles
north and south of a line from 5 miles west northwest of Beatrice NE
to 5 miles east northeast of Knoxville IA. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 21040.

...Goss

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 16, 7:31 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Audubon, Benton, Black Hawk, Boone and 59 more59 min
May 16, 8:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllamakee, Black Hawk, Boone, Bremer, Butler, Cerro Gordo and 29 more5 hr
May 16, 9:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Audubon, Calhoun, Carroll, Cass and 16 more62 min
May 16, 11:48 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allamakee, Black Hawk, Boone, Bremer, Butler and 28 more117 min
May 17, 11:39 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Boone, Carroll and 28 more66 min
May 17, 12:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee, Clayton97 min
May 17, 2:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Audubon, Boone, Calhoun, Carroll and 32 more65 min
May 17, 2:38 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee, Benton, Black Hawk, Bremer, Buchanan, Butler and 15 more97 min
May 17, 3:13 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAllamakee, Chickasaw, Clayton, Fayette, Floyd, Howard and 2 more9 hr
May 17, 3:24 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Buchanan, Cedar, Clinton, Davis, Delaware and 17 more66 min
May 17, 3:44 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBenton, Buchanan, Cedar, Clinton, Delaware, Des Moines and 15 more9 hr
May 17, 6:05 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee, Benton, Black Hawk, Bremer, Buchanan, Cedar and 18 more55 min
May 16, 7:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCheyenne, Decatur, Rawlins5 hr
May 16, 9:53 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCowley, Harper, Sumner37 min
May 16, 10:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarber, Cowley, Harper, Sumner6 hr
May 16, 10:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarton, Butler, Chase, Comanche, Dickinson, Edwards and 17 more5 hr
May 17, 1:49 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Chase, Chautauqua, Cowley, Elk, Geary and 4 more56 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2017Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2017Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2017Every tornado watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.