Alert archive / New York / Tornado Watches in 2017
Tornado Watch 185
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 1, 2017, 2:12 PM EDT for 29 counties in New York; 29 counties in Pennsylvania. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 1, 2017, 2:12 PM EDT (18:12 UTC)
- Expired
- May 1, 2017, 10:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 58 counties
Allegany County, NY, Broome County, NY, Cattaraugus County, NY, Cayuga County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY, Chemung County, NY, Chenango County, NY, Cortland County, NY, Erie County, NY, Genesee County, NY, Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Livingston County, NY, Madison County, NY, Monroe County, NY, Niagara County, NY, Oneida County, NY, Onondaga County, NY, Ontario County, NY, Orleans County, NY, Oswego County, NY, Schuyler County, NY, Seneca County, NY, Steuben County, NY, Tioga County, NY, Tompkins County, NY, Wayne County, NY, Wyoming County, NY, Yates County, NY, Bedford County, PA, Blair County, PA, Bradford County, PA, Cambria County, PA, Cameron County, PA, Centre County, PA, Clearfield County, PA, Clinton County, PA, Columbia County, PA, Elk County, PA, Fulton County, PA, Huntingdon County, PA, Juniata County, PA, Lackawanna County, PA, Luzerne County, PA, Lycoming County, PA, McKean County, PA, Mifflin County, PA, Montour County, PA, Northumberland County, PA, Potter County, PA, Snyder County, PA, Somerset County, PA, Sullivan County, PA, Susquehanna County, PA, Tioga County, PA, Union County, PA, Warren County, PA, Wyoming County, PA
The radar
The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 115 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 30%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 90%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 5%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
56 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2:20 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Chautauqua | 55 min |
| May 1, 2:37 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Warren | 68 min |
| May 1, 3:00 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Erie, Niagara | 60 min |
| May 1, 3:06 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Cattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie | 54 min |
| May 1, 3:33 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Elk, McKean | 87 min |
| May 1, 3:43 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Warren | 17 min |
| May 1, 3:47 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Erie, Genesee, Niagara, Orleans, Wyoming | 58 min |
| May 1, 3:48 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | CTP | Elk | 27 min |
| May 1, 3:50 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Allegany, Cattaraugus | 55 min |
| May 1, 3:56 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Cambria, Clearfield | 94 min |
| May 1, 4:06 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | CTP | McKean | 39 min |
| May 1, 4:16 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Genesee, Livingston, Monroe, Orleans, Wyoming | 14 min |
| May 1, 4:22 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Cameron, Potter | 68 min |
| May 1, 4:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Genesee, Livingston, Monroe, Orleans, Wyoming | 51 min |
| May 1, 4:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Allegany, Livingston | 62 min |
| May 1, 4:35 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | CTP | Potter | 55 min |
| May 1, 4:52 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Livingston, Monroe, Ontario, Wayne | 53 min |
| May 1, 4:52 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Centre, Clinton | 113 min |
| May 1, 4:55 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Steuben | 50 min |
| May 1, 5:01 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Somerset | 29 min |
| May 1, 5:02 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Steuben, Yates | 43 min |
| May 1, 5:21 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Bedford, Blair | 84 min |
| May 1, 5:25 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Potter, Tioga | 95 min |
| May 1, 5:35 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Cambria, Clearfield, Somerset | 25 min |
| May 1, 5:36 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Jefferson, Oswego | 54 min |
| May 1, 5:40 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Chemung, Schuyler, Seneca, Steuben, Yates | 50 min |
| May 1, 5:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Cayuga, Seneca, Steuben, Yates | 48 min |
| May 1, 5:44 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Lycoming | 61 min |
| May 1, 5:46 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Cayuga, Ontario, Wayne | 59 min |
| May 1, 6:06 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Blair, Huntingdon | 69 min |
| May 1, 6:09 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Jefferson, Lewis, Oswego | 66 min |
| May 1, 6:14 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Cayuga, Cortland, Onondaga, Schuyler, Seneca, Tompkins | 46 min |
| May 1, 6:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Chemung, Cortland, Schuyler, Steuben, Tioga, Tompkins | 66 min |
| May 1, 6:30 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Cayuga, Madison, Oneida, Onondaga | 60 min |
| May 1, 6:31 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Mifflin | 59 min |
| May 1, 6:36 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Lycoming, Snyder, Union | 84 min |
| May 1, 6:44 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Centre, Clinton | 46 min |
| May 1, 6:49 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Cortland, Madison, Oneida, Onondaga | 56 min |
| May 1, 6:52 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Juniata, Snyder | 68 min |
| May 1, 7:02 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Bradford | 43 min |
| May 1, 7:05 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Sullivan | 55 min |
| May 1, 7:14 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Broome, Chenango, Cortland, Madison, Tioga, Tompkins | 61 min |
| May 1, 7:14 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Columbia, Montour, Northumberland | 61 min |
| May 1, 7:16 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Madison, Oneida | 59 min |
| May 1, 7:49 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Bradford, Lackawanna, Luzerne, Susquehanna, Wyoming | 41 min |
| May 1, 7:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Snyder | 21 min |
| May 1, 8:02 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Broome, Chenango, Delaware, Otsego | 58 min |
| May 1, 8:17 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | BGM | Chenango, Otsego | 26 min |
| May 1, 8:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Lackawanna, Luzerne, Pike, Susquehanna, Wayne, Wyoming | 61 min |
| May 1, 8:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Bedford, Franklin, Fulton, Huntingdon | 46 min |
| May 1, 8:39 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Columbia, Lycoming, Montour, Sullivan | 36 min |
| May 1, 8:47 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | CTP | Franklin, Fulton, Huntingdon | 26 min |
| May 1, 8:51 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Lackawanna, Luzerne, Wyoming | 39 min |
| May 1, 9:10 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Juniata, Perry | 54 min |
| May 1, 9:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Lackawanna, Luzerne, Wyoming | 51 min |
| May 1, 9:55 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Columbia, Montour, Northumberland, Snyder | 80 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 6.2 hours before the alert went out and 112 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1242 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 48 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 306 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 318 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
906
WWUS20 KWNS 011808
SEL5
SPC WW 011808
NYZ000-PAZ000-LEZ000-LOZ000-020200-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 185
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
210 PM EDT Mon May 1 2017
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Western and central New York
Northern and central Pennsylvania
Lake Erie
Lake Ontario
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 210 PM until
1000 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible
Widespread damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
SUMMARY...A fast-moving line of storms is expected to progress
across parts of New York and Pennsylvania into this evening.
Damaging wind will be the primary hazard, with a few tornadoes also
possible.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles
either side of a line from 15 miles east northeast of Watertown NY
to 45 miles west northwest of Altoona PA. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 184...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 22045.
...GramsSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 1:41 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allegany, Cattaraugus, Genesee, Livingston, Ontario, Steuben and 2 more | 64 min |
| May 1, 4:36 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Broome, Cayuga, Chemung, Chenango, Cortland, Madison and 11 more | 84 min |
| May 1, 6:29 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Albany, Chenango, Clinton, Columbia, Delaware, Dutchess and 20 more | 61 min |
| May 1, 6:52 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Albany, Columbia, Delaware, Dutchess, Essex, Franklin and 15 more | 4 hr |
| May 1, 7:16 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | New York, Richmond, Rockland, Westchester | 2 hr |
| May 1, 11:59 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allegheny, Armstrong, Beaver, Butler, Clarion, Fayette and 8 more | 2 hr |
| May 1, 12:32 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Allegheny, Armstrong, Beaver, Butler, Clarion, Crawford and 11 more | 4 hr |
| May 1, 5:54 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Adams, Cumberland, Dauphin, Franklin, Lancaster, Lebanon and 3 more | 5 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in New York, 2017Tornado Watches in Pennsylvania, 2017Every tornado watch in 2017
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.